Rudy Giuliani Watch: ARG Poll – Giuliani Leads 7 of 8 States Including California

Readers: Please Vote in Flapâ€™s January 2008 GOP Presidential Poll

American Research Group Poll – January 19, 2007

Republicans	MI	MO	FL	PA

Brownback	–	5%	1%	2%
Gilmore	–	–	–	1%
Giuliani	34%	18%	30%	35%
Gingrich	9%	14%	16%	10%
Hagel	–	3%	2%	4%
Huckabee	2%	1%	1%	1%
Hunter	–	–	–	–
McCain	24%	31%	15%	25%
Pataki	–	–	1%	–
Romney	10%	2%	2%	1%
Thompson	7%	2%	–	–
Undecided	14%	24%	32%	21%

Republicans	IL	NM	CA	NC

Brownback	4%	4%	–	–
Gilmore	–	–	–	1%
Giuliani	33%	38%	33%	34%
Gingrich	8%	9%	19%	11%
Hagel	3%	6%	5%	2%
Huckabee	–	–	–	4%
Hunter	1%	–	1%	–
McCain	24%	20%	18%	26%
Pataki	–	1%	–	–
Romney	12%	7%	3%	2%
Thompson	4%	–	–	–
Undecided	11%	15%	22%	19%

In each state, 600 likely primary voters of each party were surveyed; margin of error +/- 4%.
In an easier to read format:

California:

Giuliani 33%
Gingrich 19%
McCain 18%
Hagel 5%
Romney 3%
Hunter 1%
Undecided 22%

North Carolina:

Giuliani 34%
McCain 26%
Gingrich 11%
Huckabee 4%
Romney 2%
Hagel 2%
Undecided 19%

New Mexico:

Giuliani 38%
McCain 20%
Gingrich 9%
Romney 7%
Hagel 6%
Undecided 15%

Michigan:

Giuliani 34%
McCain 24%
Romney 10%
Gingrich 9%
Thompson 7%
Undecided 14%

Florida:

Giuliani 30%
Gingrich 16%
McCain 15%
Romney 2%
Hagel 2%
Undecided 32%

Pennsylvania:

Giuliani 35%
McCain 25%
Hagel 4%
Brownback 2%
Romney 1%
Undecided 21%

Illinois:

Giuliani 33%
McCain 24%
Romney 12%
Gingrich 8%
Brownback 4%
Thompson 4%
Hagel 3%
Undecided 11%

Michigan:

Giuliani 34%
McCain 24%
Romney 10%
Gingrich 9%
Thompson 7%
Undecided 14%

Missouri:

McCain 31%
Giuliani 18%
Gingrich 14%
Brownback 5%
Hagel 3%
Romney 2%
Thompson 2%
Undecided 24%

Hizzoner wins 7 of 8 primary contests including California, Pennsylvania and Florida. Rudy has work to do in Missouri.
Is there any reason to consider John McCain the front runner?

NOPE

Mitt Romney polls well in Michigan and illinois but is barely breaking into the top 3 candidates.

Hotline just released an even easier(?) to read format:

WH ’08 GOP Primary Election Matchup
MI MO FL PA IL NM CA NC
R. Giuliani 34 18 30 35 33 38 33 34
J. McCain 24 31 15 25 24 20 18 26
M. Romney 10 2 2 1 12 7 3 2
N. Gingrich 9 14 16 10 8 9 19 11
T. Thompson 7 2 — — 4 — – —
M. Huckabee 2 1 1 1 — — — 4
S. Brownback — 5 1 2 4 4 — —
J. Gilmore — — — 1 — — — 1
C. Hagel — 3 2 4 3 6 5 2
D. Hunter — — — — 1 — 1 —
G. Pataki — — 1 — — 1 — —
Other/undec 14 24 32 21 11 15 22 19

Stay tuned……..