Mike Huckabee,  President 2008,  Rudy Giuliani

Mike Huckabee Watch: Huckabee Tied with Giuliani for GOP National Poll Lead in Latest Rasmussen National GOP Poll

huckabeedecember3aweb

Huckaboom is right.

Mike Huckabee is now TIED with Rudy Giuliani in Rasmussen’s Daily Presidential tracking poll:

  • Mike Huckabee – 18%
  • Rudy Giuliani – 18%
  • John McCain – 14%
  • Fred Thompson – 13%
  • Mitt Romney – 12%
  • Ron Paul – 7%

Results for the Presidential Tracking Poll are obtained through nightly telephone interviews and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Next update scheduled for Wednesday at 11:00 a.m. Eastern.

So, what has happened in the GOP Presidential race?

  1. Rudy Giuliani’s collapse?
  2. Mike Huckabee’s Boom?
  3. John McCain’s Comeback?
  4. All of the above?

Last week was a poor one for Mayor Giuliani. The re-emergence of personal ethical lapses reminded GOP voters of potential character challenges in the general election. Rudy also performed poorly at the CNN You Tube debate where he engaged Mitt Romney in mutually assured destruction type negative personal attacks (Illegal aliens mowing Romney’s mansion lawn).

Whereas, Mike Huckabee was personally engaging at the You Tube debate and his comment about Jesus running for public office is destined to be a classic. He was personally engaging as Mitt Romney and Rudy were nasty to each other. John McCain looked Presidential but old and Fred Thompson looked worn out and disengaged.

Mike Huckabee is leading in the Iowa polls and is surging in New Hampshire. However, he has no major campaign operation in any states except Iowa (and Iowa IS debatable). He is dramatically underfunded as compared to Rudy and Romney. Thompson has more campaign cash than Huckabee but will not contend in Iowa or New Hampshire. McCain is out of money and is only contending in New Hampshire.

So, what will happen?

The race is very fluid and events in the next week could change candidate’s prospects.

Mitt Romney delivers his “Mormon Faith” speech tomorrow. If the speech disappoints it could sink his campaign. Would his supporters gravitate to Huckabee or Thompson or even McCain should he lose Iowa and New Hampshire?

If additional personal revelations come out about Rudy, would this drive voters to McCain, Thompson or even Huckabee?

Or, will the race plod along with a protracted state by state and delegate by GOP convention delegate fight through April 2008? Who would have the campaign cash to do this?

Stay tuned…….

Previous:

Mike Huckabee Watch: HUCKABOOM

Mike Huckabee Watch: Huckabee to Address Iowa Pastors

Mike Huckabee Iowa Poll Watch: Huckabee Leads Romney By 5 Points

Mike Huckabee Poll Watch: Moving on UP in Iowa, NH, SC

Mike Huckabee Watch: The New Iowa GOP Frontrunner


Technorati Tags:

Your comments are welcome below and at My Dental Forum

Follow Flap at Twitter