President 2008,  Rudy Giuliani

Rudy Giuliani California Poll Watch: Rudy 32% McCain 18% Huckabee 14% Romney 14% Thompson 13%

Mayor Rudy Giuliani greets supporters after speaking at a North Carolina A&T Women for Rudy event at North Carolina A&T University in Greensboro, N.C., Monday, December 3, 2007

Rudy Giuliani continues his double digit lead in California while Senator John McCain has surged past Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson. Mike Huckabee is now tied with Mitt Romney and beats Fred Thompson in a boom.

The Survey USA California Poll:

  • Rudy – 32% (39%, 10-12 thru 10-14)
  • John McCain – 18% (13%)
  • Mitt Romney – 14% (14%)
  • Mike Huckabee – 14% (–)
  • Fred Thompson – 13 (18%)

The PDF poll is here:

There is turbulence: Among Moderates, Giuliani is down 4 points, from 37% to 33%, and McCain is up 7 points, from 17% to 24%, an 11-point narrowing.

Among Conservatives: Huckabee has leapfrogged into 2nd place, at 19%. Among Pro-Life voters, Giuliani is down 7 points month-on month, Huckabee is up 7 points month-on-month, and has leapt into 2nd place, at 20%.

Among voters who think the USA needs a military draft, McCain’s support has doubled since October. Among voters age 50 to 64, 9 points now separates 1st place from 5th place.

The number of Hispanic voters who will vote in the CA GOP primary is a topic of debate among pollsters, and identifying and interviewing these possible Hispanic Republican voters is a challenge. Because of their small numbers, SurveyUSA’s tracking graphs show expected volatility. But all of that taken into account, Huckabee, who tempers his position on immigration, went from 2% among CA GOP Hispanics in November to 20% among CA GOP Hispanics in December.

All December interviews were conducted after the CNN YouTube GOP debate 11/28/07 in which the first 35 minutes was spent on immigration.

Again, California GOP delegates are elected by Congressional District and Giuliani is showing strong support throughout all areas of California. Will Huckabee or McCain who have no campaign organization in California be able to make a move on Rudy?

Doubtful……

Californians will begin voting the first week of January by absentee mail ballot for the February 5th primary election .

Stay tuned…….

Previous:

Mitt Romney Watch: “Sanctuary Mansion” Landscapers Fired by Romney

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