• Iran Nuclear Watch

    Iran Nuclear Watch: “Ahmadinejad Isn’t Bluffing”

    Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, left, waves as he is welcomed by Indonesia’s Foreign Minister Hassan Wirajuda, righ, on his arrival in Jakarta, Indonesia, early Wednesday May 10, 2006. Ahmadinejad arrived in Indonesia early Wednesday to discuss the international dispute over Tehran’s nuclear ambitions in the world’s most populous Muslim nation.

    SPIEGEL ONLINE: “Ahmadinejad Isn’t Bluffing”

    Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad sent US President George W. Bush a letter. But it’s not likely to make any difference in the ongoing conflict over the country’s nuclear program. Iran expert Wahied Wahdat-Hagh told SPIEGEL ONLINE why not.

    SPIEGEL ONLINE: Mr. Wahdat-Hagh, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wrote a letter to US President George W. Bush. In the letter, he once again questions Israel’s right to exist, accuses the US of lying about Iraq and insists on his country’s right to use nuclear technology. What message is Ahmadinejad trying to communicate?

    Wahdat-Hagh: The purpose is to show strength. It’s Ahmadinejad’s way of saying: “We are powerful! You are a cowboy! Islam, though, is the true democracy and your system will collapse.” Former Iranian President Khatami used to give interviews to CNN. But Ahmadinejad has gone directly to Bush and told him straight to his face that Iran is going to continue with the strategy it has thus far followed.

    SPIEGEL ONLINE: The letter, in other words, doesn’t open up any new options for the West to convince Iran to give up its nuclear program.

    Wahdat-Hagh: Ali Ardashir Larijani, the head of the country’s Supreme National Security Council, has already said that the letter can’t be read as a watering down of the Iranian position. On the day that the UN Security Council once again addresses the issue of Iran, Ahmadinejad could have said: “I’ll make some concessions on our uranium enrichment program.” But he’s not willing to do that. Instead, he points to American mistakes — for example in Iraq.

    SPIEGEL ONLINE: Is the letter intended for the Iranian people just as much as for the Americans?

    Wahdat-Hagh: Yes, and not only that. The letter is intended for the entire Muslim world. Ahmadinejad wants to build an anti-Western coalition and Iran wants to present itself as the leading power in the Muslim world.

    SPIEGEL ONLINE: Bellicose statements have been coming out of Iran for months. We’ve heard claims that they’ve developed rockets with a longer range, new submarines, and a number of other advances. Is this mere propaganda?

    Wahdat-Hagh: Iran is arming itself. There is no question about that. The maneuvers they have conducted prove it and the defense minister has pronounced that the country is going to produce rockets like it produces cars. Iran will never be able to overtake the US when it comes to military power. But its goals are to boost military power and to build a nuclear weapon. The past 27 years have shown that the Iranians only admit to possessing something after they already have it. Ahmadinejad is not Saddam Hussein.

    SPIEGEL ONLINE: You don’t think he’s bluffing?

    Wahdat-Hagh: No. He’s not bluffing. Everything that wasn’t true in Iraq, is true in Iran. The country has a rocket program. And it has a nuclear program.

    SPIEGEL ONLINE: There are military experts who think that the weapons Iran allegedly possesses are nothing but products of their imagination. Iran even has trouble maintaining its airforce.

    Wahdat-Hagh: It’s true that part of the Iranian airforce, purchased from the US in the 1970s, has trouble getting spare parts. But that also helps explain why Iran is so proud that its new submarine is a purely Iranian product. It is, of course, difficult to say how important the Iranian weapons really are. But the country is extremely proud of its weaponry.

    SPIEGEL ONLINE: Why exactly is Iranian arming itself. Is it interested in defending itself against an Israeli or US attack on its nuclear installations? Or is the country preparing to go on the offensive?

    Wahied Wahdat-Hagh was born to Iranian parents in Ludwigsburg, Germany. He is a political scientist and sociologist. Since 2003, he has worked as the Iran expert for Middle East Media Research Institute in Berlin.
    Zoom
    Wahied Wahdat-Hagh was born to Iranian parents in Ludwigsburg, Germany. He is a political scientist and sociologist. Since 2003, he has worked as the Iran expert for Middle East Media Research Institute in Berlin.

    Wahdat-Hagh: Since the 1979 revolution, it has become clear that Iranian policy has two faces: a pragmatic one and an apocalyptic one. On the one hand, Iran is smart enough not to endanger itself. That’s why I don’t think the country is trying to obtain a nuclear weapon in order to carry out a first strike on Israel — they are all too aware of what the consequences would be. But even Khatami said, “if we are attacked, we will turn the region into hell.” One has to take such a threat seriously. Seventy percent of the world’s oil supply passes through the Straits of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf. The Iranian defense minister calls it the “world’s throat” — and it’s in Iranian hands. To block the straits, all you need is three divers, a couple of mines and a ship. With incalucuable consequences. Furthermore, 40,000 people have already volunteered as jihadis. Ahmadinejad’s position is: We’ll fight with everything we’ve got if we’re attacked. If we have to, we’ll destroy you and ourselves together.SPIEGEL ONLINE: Given the rising danger of a military confrontation, what kind of popular support does Ahmadinejad enjoy?

    Wahdat-Hagh: The letter, and the fact that Ahmadinejad uses such a tone with the most powerful man in the world, makes an impression. But it provides Iranians with no clear indication as to what impact the letter may have. There is indeed no new position to be found in the letter. On the one hand, there is without a doubt a large amount of support for his policies. But on the other hand, I don’t agree with other analysts who say that all Iranians stand behind the nuclear program. And I also don’t give credence to those who argue that pointed threats from the West are a mistake because they bring the regime and the people together. There is even evidence that both positions are wrong. Credible, and thus carefully guarded, surveys indicate that the majority of Iranians are in fact against the nuclear program were it to lead Iran into war. And a declaration from the country’s official student organization likewise claims that the the nuclear program is a threat to national security. And even during the May 1 demonstrations in Tehran, there were critical voices to be heard. Instead, the people of Iran demanded work and an improved quality of life.

    Interview conducted by Yassin Musharbash

    Read Captain Ed’s analysis, Iran Expert: Ahmadinejad Letter A Defiant Challenge

    Another noteworthy piece was published today in the Wall Street Journal (subscription required): The Perils of Engagement by AMIR TAHERI

    With the failure today of UNSC action and Ahmadinejad’s lecture to President Bush, Flap feels the “POINT OF NO RETURN” is imminent.

    What is the point for the United States to be made a mockery by a third rate Mullahocracy?

    Ahmadinejad’s letter was condescending, trite, and intended to insult President Bush and the american people. Flap is personally insulted.

    And who in the hell does Ahmadinejad think he is to lecture me or my President?

    The Europeans have already proven themselves fools in negotiating with the Iranian Mullahs while Iran developed and upgraded their uranium enrichment programs.

    Bush has sufficient cover from the international community that views him as a maverick in any case.

    Time to get tough and time for action against Ahmainejad and the Mullahs.

    Watch for some action by the United States and/or Israel. Will Iran provoke?

    Possible……

    The time for negotiation is OVER.

    And ENGAGEMENTNO WAY!

    Stay tuned…….

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    The Natanz uranium enrichment complex in Natanz is pictured in this January 2, 2006 satellite image.

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  • Iran Nuclear Watch

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The Letter from Ahmadinejad to Bush

    Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad (R) and his US counterpart George W. Bush. The United States has dismissed a surprise letter from Iran’s hardline leader Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to US President George W. Bush, saying it offered nothing new, as world powers struggled to deal with Tehran’s nuclear ambitions.

    Winds of Change.NET: Gonna Sit Right Down And Write Myself A Letter…

    Le Monde has an English translation of Mahmood Ahmadi-Najad’s letter to George Bush.

    Read it all.

    And what this has to do with Iran enriching uranium is anyone’s guess.

    Ahmadinejad sounds more like a ponitificator on the order of George Galloway than the President of Iran.

    Is there any doubt on Iran’s intent to pursue weapons of mass destruction? And, for what purpose?

    Discuss this blog post and MORE…. at the FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blogs, My Dental Forum.

    The Natanz uranium enrichment complex in Natanz is pictured in this January 2, 2006 satellite image.

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  • Iran Nuclear Watch

    Iran Nuclear Watch: UNSC Foreign Ministers Fail to Agree on Iran Resolution

    France’s Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy, right, and France’s U.N. Ambassador Jean-Marc de la Sabliere, walk from the Security Council at the United Nations, Tuesday May 9, 2006.

    ASSociated Press: U.N. to Present Iran Nuke Program Options

    Key Security Council nations agreed Tuesday to present Iran with a choice of benefits or sanctions in deciding whether to suspend uranium enrichment, a move that will delay a U.N. resolution to curb Iran’s nuclear program, a European official said.

    Political directors from the United States, Russia, China, Britain and France as well as Germany made the decision to present Tehran with the possible carrots and sticks at a meeting after their foreign ministers failed Monday night to reach agreement on the resolution.

    As a result of Tuesday’s decision, political directors from the three European countries that had been spearheading negotiations with Iran will spend the next few days preparing a package of benefits and sanctions, the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity because no official announcement has been made

    The package will be presented to European Union foreign ministers on the sidelines of an EU meeting in Brussels, Belgium, on Monday, and when approved will be presented to the Iranian government, the official said.

    So, no UNSC Chapter 7 resolution vote this week. The UNSC is pathetically weak.

    The delay over the past few months has been done nothing but embolden the Iranians and in the meantime uranum enrichment continues at Natanz.

    However, Flap does not think Israel will wait for UNSC or European sanctions – if they EVER come.

    Pakistani Daily Times: Israel will hit Iran in the next few months: Israeli official

    Israel will strike Iran’s nuclear facilities in the next “month or two or three,” an Israeli official has been quoted here as saying.

    The unnamed official told Arnaud de Borchgrave, editor-in-chief of the United Press International (UPI), at the recently held national day reception at the Israeli Embassy that he believed Israel would strike Iran first in the next two or three months and that fighter bombers would not be involved as they had been to take out Iraq’s Osirak nuclear reactor before it went critical in 1981. For Osirak, Israel had used 14 F-15s and F-16s. This time, the Israeli said, it would be missiles. Asked if Israel would employ Cruise missiles, he replied, “with a gesture of his hand that went up and down again”, which meant that it would be the weapon of choice.

    Asked if tunnel entrances to widely scattered Iranian nuclear facilities would be targeted, he responded that Israel had its own geo-stationary spy-in-the-sky satellite taking constant pictures of Iran with a resolution down to 70 centimetres. “We know far more than anyone realises,” he added.

    And why is President Bush dwelling on diplomacy?

    Is Bush stalling for a possible military operation later in the year?

    Stay tuned……

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    The Natanz uranium enrichment complex in Natanz is pictured in this January 2, 2006 satellite image.

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  • Blogosphere,  Media

    Jihadi Hack Attack Watch: Blogosphere Attacked Again

    HotAir: Jihadi hack attack?

    Rusty of The Jawa Report just IM’d me to say that Aarons.cc has been hacked again and that, coincidentally, Blogspot and Mu.nu are also down. He says he saw his site (which is hosted at Mu.nu) on a list of jihadi targets the other day and suspects it’s all connected. Anyone know anything?

    Update 10:52 Blogspot and Mu.nu are back up. Waiting for details about what happened.

    Update 10:58 Rusty is suspicious.

    Flap’s backup site at blogspot is still down.

    What is the FBI doing to protect American servers? Or does the NSA have to be involved?

    Freedom of speech does have its price.

    Discuss this blog post and MORE…. at the FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blogs, My Dental Forum.

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  • Iran Nuclear Watch

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran President Ahamdinejad’s Letter to President Bush – “Liberalism and Western-style Democracy Have FAILED”

    The Iranian president wrote to President Bush proposing ‘new solutions’ to turn around Tehran’s plummeting relationship with the United States and other Western powers a move announced Monday and apparently timed to blunt U.S. determination for a U.N. Security Council vote this week that could lead to punishing sanctions against the Islamic regime.

    ASSociated Press: Iran Letter to Bush Criticizes U.S. Govt

    Iran’s president declared in a letter to President Bush that democracy had failed worldwide and lamented “an ever-increasing global hatred” of the U.S. government. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice swiftly rejected the letter, saying it didn’t resolve questions about Tehran’s suspect nuclear program.

    This letter is not the place that one would find an opening to engage on the nuclear issue or anything of the sort,” Rice said in an interview with The Associated Press. “It isn’t addressing the issues that we’re dealing with in a concrete way.”

    Rice’s comments were the most detailed response from the United States to the letter, the first from an Iranian head of state to an American president since the 1979 hostage crisis at the U.S. Embassy in Tehran.

    The letter from President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made only an oblique reference to Iran’s nuclear intentions, asking why “any technological and scientific achievement reached in the Middle East region is translated into and portrayed as a threat to the Zionist regime.”

    Mahmoud Ahamdinejad is a MORON.

    Now, he is lecturing President Bush and the American people in the first communication from an Iranian head of state since 1979 and the Iranian Hostage Crisis.

    Flap supposes Iran will do ANYTING to distract the world and United Nations away from the central issue, Iran’s uranium enrichment program and the manufacture of a nuclear weapon.

    The Quotes:

    “Would not your administration’s political and economic standing have been stronger?” the letter said. “And I am most sorry to say, would there have been an ever- increasing global hatred of the American government?

    In the letter, Ahmadinejad says that people around the world have lost faith in international institutions and questions whether the Bush administration has covered up some evidence surrounding the Sept. 11 attacks.

    Liberalism and Western-style democracy “have not been able to help realize the ideals of humanity,” said the letter, obtained late Monday by The Associated Press.

    “Today these two concepts have failed. Those with insight can already hear the sounds of the shattering and fall of the ideology and thoughts of the Liberal democratic systems,” it read.

    Ahmadinejad also suggests that Bush should look inward, saying there was an increasing hatred worldwide of the United States, and that history shows how “repressive and cruel governments do not survive.”

    “How much longer will the blood of the innocent men, women and children be spilled on the streets, and people’s houses destroyed over their heads? Are you pleased with the current condition of the world? Do you think present policies can continue?”

    A letter of conciliation and one leading to further negotiations?

    NOPE.

    Ahamadinejad sounds more like Cindy Sheehan and the MORONIC LEFT in the United States every day.

    On to the United Nations and the belly-aching of a pathetic, Iran-whipped China on why they cannot support sanctions against Iran.

    Stay tuned……

    Discuss this blog post and MORE…. at the FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blogs, My Dental Forum.

    The Natanz uranium enrichment complex in Natanz is pictured in this January 2, 2006 satellite image.

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