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Archive for August 15th, 2006

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216009003 e577cedf15 o Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Cleric Ahmad Khatami Warns Israel of Missile Attack

Iranian cleric Hojatoleslam Ahmad Khatami speaks at Tehran University in February 2006. Khatami has vowed a harsh response in case of a showdown with the West over Tehran’s controversial nuclear programme and said Iran would not abide by “bullying” Security Council resolutions.

AP: Iranian Warns Israel to Fear Missiles

An Iranian hard-line cleric warned Israel on Tuesday that Iran’s long-range missiles will land in Tel Aviv if the Jewish state attacks Iran, state-run television reported.

Ahmad Khatami, a mid-ranking cleric, said Israel should bear in mind its monthlong war with Lebanon’s Hezbollah guerrillas before considering any threats against Iran.

Boasting that Hezbollah’s 40-mile range missiles “turned Israel into a country of ghosts,” Khatami declared that Israel would face dire consequences if it “makes an iota of aggression against Iran.”

“They must fear the day (Iran’s) 2,000-kilometer (1,250-mile) range missiles land in the heart of Tel Aviv,” he said.

Israel does fear the mid-range missiles of Iran. But, they have missile defenses and are deploying more – and fast.

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Israel’s Arrow Missle

And……

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MIM-104 Patriot

And the sea based Aegis

irannukeaegismay238xm Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Cleric Ahmad Khatami Warns Israel of Missile Attack

As the United States THAAD missiles begin manufacture and deployment, Flap is sure that this missile system will be sold to Israel.

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THAAD Mobile Launchers

And, of course, Israel possesses nuclear weapons as a deterrent.

The world has no illusions that Israel would not hesitate to “NUKE” Tehran or the Natanz uranium enrichment facility if a strategic threat to Israel’s existence was perceived.

Khatami’s comment about Iran’s long-range capabilities appeared to refer to an upgraded version of its Shahab-3 missile, which is capable of carrying a nuclear warhead and reaching Israel and U.S. bases in the Middle East.

Iran’s military test-fired a series of missiles during large-scale war games in the Persian Gulf in March and April including a missile not detectable by radar that can use multiple warheads to hit several targets simultaneously, a development that raised concerns in the United States and Israel.

Stay tuned for the August 22nd response to the P-5-Plus-1 proposal and the UNSC deadline of August 31.

Previous:

Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Rejects “ILLEGAL International Obligations” of the United Nations Security Council

The Iran Nuclear Files

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The Natanz uranium enrichment complex in Natanz is pictured in this January 2, 2006 satellite image.


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Weapons captured by the IDF in Bint Jbail.

JPost:Hizbullah likely to retain weapons

Hizbullah will not hand over its weapons to the Lebanese government but rather refrain from exhibiting them publicly, according to a new compromise that is reportedly brewing between Lebanese Prime Minister Fuad Seniora and Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah.

The UN cease-fire resolution specifically demands the demilitarization of the area south of the Litani river. The resolution was approved by the Lebanese cabinet.

Well, either United Nations resolutions 1701 and 1559 will be enforced or they won’t. Is there any reason for the international community to ask Israel to stand down hostilities when Hezbollah and the Lebanese government immediately refuse to abide by agreed upon terms?

NO REASON AT ALL.

Flap fears that despite diplomatic efforts to disarm Hezbollah that this terrorist threat will remain to fight Israel another day. Hezbollah now will restock and resupply arms, including rockets and missiles from Syria and Iran, dig buners, reconfigure command and control and prepare for the next war.

In a televised address on Monday night, Nasrallah declared that now was not the time to debate the disarmament of his guerrilla fighters, saying the issue should be done in secret sessions of the government to avoid serving Israeli interests.

“This is immoral, incorrect and inappropriate,” he said. “It is wrong timing on the psychological and moral level particularly before the cease-fire,” he said in reference to calls from critics for the guerrillas to disarm.

According to Lebanon’s defense minister, Elias Murr, “There will be no other weapons or military presence other than the army” after Lebanese troops move south of the Litani. However, he then contradicted himself by saying the army would not ask Hizbullah to hand over its weapons.

The United States should immediately insist that U.N. Resolutions 1701 and 1559 be enforced. If Hezbollah violates the terms, then as a member of the U.N. Security Council, the United States should bring forward a Chapter 7 resolution empowering the U.N. peacekeepers to force Hezbollah to surrender their weapons.

Does Flap think this will EVER happen?

NOPE

So, what does the future hold?

Israel will withdraw from southern Lebanon without meeting its strategic objectives. The UNIFIL and Lebanese Army will do NOTHING to restrain Hezbollah from re-arming. A new Prime Minister and new Israeli government will eventually move troops back to Lebanon to finish the job that Omert and the United States failed to do.

And the United Nations?

U.N resolutions are worthless and why the United States continues to participate is beyond belief.

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Israeli troops return to Israel from southern Lebanon near the border village of Malkiya in northern Israel Tuesday Aug. 15, 2006. Israel has begun thinning its troops in southern Lebanon, to prepare the handover of captured positions to a U.N. force, possibly within days, the army and media report.

Murr added that Lebanon’s contribution of 15,000 soldiers could be on the north side of the Litani River by the end of the week.

He noted that international forces could begin arriving next week to bolster the current 2,000-member UN force in southern Lebanon, which watched helplessly as fighting raged over the past month.

In Europe, Italy and France have pledged troops. Malaysia, Turkey and Indonesia were among the mostly Muslim nations offering help.

Will these forces do anything but take up space?

Doubtful…..

Captain Ed has Lebanon Balking At The Terms

The goals for Israel have always been a Hezbollah-free sub-Litani without having to conduct another generational occupation. They got the agreement they wanted that delivers on these goals, and at the same time served notice that the era of non-response to provocations had passed. The key for Israel is to insist on full implementation of 1701 and 1559. They cannot budge on these points. If Lebanon reneges, Israel can go back to their military options until the Lebanese get the message for good.

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Israeli soldiers smile as they walk down a dirt road returning from southern Lebanon in northern Israel near the Lebanese-Israeli border early Tuesday, Aug. 15, 2006.

Stay tuned……

Previous:

Israel at War Watch: President Bush – Israel Defeated Hezbollah

Michael Ramirez on Iran’s Proxy Hezbollah

Israel at War Watch: Hezbollah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah – A “Strategic, Historic Victory” Against Israel

Israel at War Watch: The Cease-Fire – Disarming Hezbollah

Cox & Forkum: Disarmed?

Israel at War Watch: Lebanon Falters Over Cease-Fire

Israel at War Watch: Israeli Cabinet Approves United Nations Cease-Fire

Israel at War Watch: Israeli-Hezbollah Cease-Fire Begins Monday

Israel at War Watch: Israeli Troops Reach Latani River – Will Cease-Fire 7 AM Monday

Israel at War Watch: United Nations Security Council Unanimously Adopts Resolution to End Israel-Hezbollah War

Israel at War Watch: Israeli Prime Minister Olmert Has Accepted United Nations Cease-Fire Deal

Israel at War Watch: United Nations Security Council Resolution to End War?


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Day By Day by Chris Muir


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