Jan. 17-18, 2007. Conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International.
Patrick Ruffini slaps down Newsweek magazine’s latest presidential poll.
Newsweek shows Hillary leading John McCain by 1 and trailing Rudy Giuliani by 1. John Edwardsâ€™ advantage over McCain and Giuliani is 5 and 3 points respectively. Obama leads McCain by 2 and trails Giuliani by 2.
In polling against Hillary, both leading Republicans capture more of their base than any Democrat does their base, while generally getting more of the independent vote. So, the Party breakdown of registered voters in this poll comes as no surprise:
No party/Not interested 2%
Other party *
Donâ€™t know 2%
Thatâ€™s right, the poll is +11D, and there are suddenly 30% less Republicans than there were last November.
The Clinton Media machine is at work already. Flap knows it will be a long two years before the presidential election and at this time the internals of polls best be highlighted rather than covered up.
So, is the Newsweek poll accurate?
Ruffini provides the corrected totals (results which by the way are consistent with other national polls):
How would these results look if the responses were re-weighted to reflect the makeup of the electorate in 2006, an overwhelmingly Democratic year?
Giuliani 51.8% – Clinton 44.6%
McCain 50.5% – Clinton 45.2%
Giuliani 50.6% – Obama 42.5%
McCain 47.4% – Obama 44.4%
Giuliani 49.3% – Edwards 45.2%
McCain 47.2% – Edwards 45.9%
A little different, wouldn’t you say?
There should be NO MORE Newsweek spin/manipulation of polling data to help the Clintons or any other candidate. Just report the poll and release the internals readily available online.
This isn’t the Washington Post and the days of the MSM before the internet. Get real…….
Technorati Tags: Newsweek, PatrcikRuffini, RudyGiuliani, JohnMcCain, HillaryClinton, BarackObama, JohnEdwards