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The Gallup Poll: Giuliani, McCain Have Competing Strengths in Republicans’ Eyes

McCain’s strengths lie in foreign policy, ethics, and moral values; Giuliani’s on domestic issues and leadership

A recent Gallup Panel poll shows Rudy Giuliani and John McCain the clear frontrunners among the Republican Party’s 2008 presidential hopefuls. In the most recent test of rank-and-file Republicans’ presidential nomination preferences, 31% said they would be most likely to support Giuliani and 27% said McCain. When asked to choose between the two, however, Republicans show a slight preference for Giuliani at 50% to 42%, respectively.

The latest poll sought to explore Republicans’ views of Giuliani and McCain in more depth, asking them to choose which candidate better exemplified certain personality or political characteristics as well as say who would be better able to handle specific issues.

The Candidate Characteristic Poll:

The Jan. 25-28, 2007 poll asked Republicans and independents who say they lean to the Republican Party to rate Giuliani versus McCain on each of 15 specific issue characteristics [a similar analysis was done of Democratic candidates: see “Clinton Eclipses Obama and Edwards on Leadership” in the Related Items]. Of the 15 characteristics tested, Giuliani is viewed as having a clear advantage on 10 items. McCain “wins” on only three dimensions, and the two candidates are essentially tied on the remaining two.

The Poll Results:

The Gallup Poll: Giuliani, McCain Have Competing Strengths in Republicans’ Eyes
Character and Political Dimensions Giuliani % McCain % Advantage
Is more likeable 74 21 G +53
Would be better in a crisis 68 28 G +40
Would do more to unite the country 65 28 G +37
Is the better public speaker 61 27 G +34
Better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans 60 33 G +27
Is the stronger leader 59 34 G +25
Would perform better in the debates 56 37 G +19
Would manage the government more effectively 55 37 G 18
Has the better chance of beating the Democratic nominee in the 2008 presidential election 55 38 G +17
Would run the more positive campaign 50 38 G +12
Has the better chance of winning the Republican presidential nomination in 2008 47 46 G +1
Would be respected more by leaders of other countries 45 45 Tie
Is more qualified to be president 41 50 M +9
Would work better with Congress 41 52 M +11
Has higher ethical standards 35 50 M +15

The Summary:

Giuliani’s greatest strength vis a vis McCain comes on the following dimensions on which he has at least a 20-point lead over the Arizona Senator:

  • Is more likable
  • Would be better in a crisis
  • Would do more to unite the country
  • Is the better public speaker
  • Better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans
  • Is the stronger leader

Giuliani does better than McCain, albeit with a slightly smaller lead, on the following:

  • Would perform better in the debates
  • Would manage the government more effectively
  • Has the better chance of beating the Democratic nominee in the 2008 presidential election
  • Would run the more positive campaign

The two candidates are essentially tied in terms of these characteristics:

  • Has the better chance of winning the Republican presidential nomination in 2008
  • Would be respected more by leaders of other countries

Republicans give McCain the advantage on these dimensions:

  • Has higher ethical standards
  • Would work better with Congress
  • Is more qualified to be president

Overall, Rudy giuliani does extremely wellwell in this part of the poll.

Note the large lead in likeable and “most likely to unite the country.

McCain does well on the ethical standards characteristic.  But, have the voters been introduced to McCain’s own public problems with his divorces?

Probably not.

However, Team Rudy will probably NOT have to introduce these issues and if Team McCain goes negative – it won’t be on these issues less his own ethical lapses come to the forefront.

Of course, these ethical issues will be de minimis in a race against Hillary Clinton who suffers the “SCORNED WOMAN” and “CHEATED UPON” baggage from husband Bill.  And why she stayed with him because of her own POLITICAL AMBITION.

Stay tuned……

Giulianijan24aweb

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