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SC poll has Obama, Thompson as frontrunners

South Carolina appears poised to shake up the 2008 presidential race, with Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Fred Thompson the frontrunners in a new state survey by Mason-Dixon.

With strong support from the African American community, Illinois Senator Obama has assumed a strong lead over New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton. On the Republican side, Thompson zoomed to the top spot, slightly ahead of former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, even though he hasn’t yet announced his bid for the GOP nomination.

The Mason-Dixon poll, made available to McClatchy Newspapers and NBC News, offered disappointing news for two candidates who previously had been polling well in South Carolina. John Edwards, a South Carolina native who won the primary in 2004, was well behind Obama and Clinton on the Democratic side. Arizona Sen. John McCain, meanwhile, appeared to have lost many of his supporters to Thompson, and was far back in the GOP field.


Thompson – 25%

Rudy – 21%

Romney – 11%

McCain – 7%

The latest Real Clear Poitics South Carolina GOP Poll Averages:


The big story here is John McCain’s collapse amid the illegal immigration furor on Capitol Hill.

But, it may not be just one issue – all of the little insults to the GOP base are being remembered and returned in kind to Senator McCain.

Flap thinks McCain’s campaign is all but over. In fact, Flap will be very surprised if McCain is around after Labor Day – particularly if the Senate passes the illegal immigration bill.

Also, Fred Thompson LEADS the poll without declaring his Presidential candidacy.

All in all a decent showing for Rudy Giuliani who was not expected to contend in South Carolina. Does this show Rudy’s inherent strength in this race?

You bet

And demonstrates tough going for Mitt Romney in southern conservative states.


The Rudy Giuliani Files

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