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Archive for December 2nd, 2007

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Republican presidential hopeful, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, campaigns at a recreational center in Keene, N.H. Sunday, Nov. 25, 2007. Romney, his once strong lead evaporating in Iowa and diminishing in New Hampshire, faces a dual threat — presidential rival Mike Huckabee in Iowa and Rudy Giuliani in New Hampshire.

Mitt Romney having lost the poll lead in Iowa to Mike Huckabee has decided to discuss his Mormon religious beliefs Thursday at the George H. W. Bush Presidential Library in College Station, Texas.

Romney’s speech is titled “Faith in America,” spokesman Kevin Madden said in a statement.

Romney has said for months that he sees no need to make a big deal out of his religion, despite surveys which suggest that for some voters, especially in the South, his Mormon faith makes them less likely to vote for him. A Washington Post poll found earlier this year that his religion was regarded by voters as a bigger stumbling block than Illinois Sen. Barack Obama’s race or New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s gender.

“This speech is an opportunity for Governor Romney to share his views on religious liberty, the grand tradition religious tolerance has played in the progress of our nation and how the governor’s own faith would inform his Presidency if he were elected,” Madden said. “Governor Romney understands that faith is an important issue to many Americans, and he personally feels this moment is the right moment for him to share his views with the nation.”

Actually Romney’s speech is to counteract this television ad of Mike Huckabee now airing in Iowa which among other things is siphoning Evangelical Christian votes away from Mitt:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjtGgfhKIvo&eurl=http://flapsblog.com/index.php?s=Mormon[/youtube]

Flap told everyone that Romney would NOT play the MORMON CARD and that the time to do so had past.

The time for Mitt Romney to “comfortably” distance himself from his religion may have passed. Had Mitt discussed the issue immediately after his win in the Ames Straw Poll, no one would question the timing.

Now with the first elections/caucus in a little more than thirty days, Romney risks looking as either a desperate politician or an opportunist.

Flap does not expect Orin Hatch’s recommendation to be followed.

So, is Mitt desperate?

Yep, THERE IS TROUBLE IN RIVER CITY.

Update:

Erick over at Red State mentions the “PUSH POLL” Mormon-Gate Flap as the basis for the Romney Faith Speech.

It could be that the Romney camp feels it needs to address this issue in light of the mini-brouhaha over Muslims in his cabinet this past week. It could be that, realizing a dirty trickster was push polling to beat him up on his faith, Romney decided it was time.

I hold now to the position that a lot of the reporters I’ve talked to on this subject hold and on which, by stating here solely as my personal opinion I expect to be excoriated by a lot of people, even some who probably privately think I might be right — the “push poll” was pushing people on matters of religious bias, but it was not done by a camp hostile to Mitt Romney.

And the results of that polling gave the Romeny camp all the data points needed to finally show their MBA grad of a candidate that there is a real need for the speech he is about to give. I could be wrong and God knows the Romney camp has been telling me since I first suggested it that I’m wrong. But I think I’m right.

If, indeed true, then Western Wats will NEVER give up the name of the patron donor for the “Mormon-Gate” polling – unless forced by a New Hampshire court of Grand Jury.
Stay tuned……..

Previous:

Mike Huckabee Iowa Poll Watch: Huckabee Leads Romney By 5 Points

Mitt Romney Watch: Trouble in River City

Mitt Romney’s Hypocritical Iowa Illegal Immigration Mail

Mitt Romney Watch: Imaginary Florida Advisers

Mitt Romney Watch: Latest New Hampshire Ad Attacks Flip-Flop Mitt


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Republican Presidential hopeful, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., left, shakes hands while going door to door campaigning with volunteers Friday, Nov. 30, 2007, in North Myrtle Beach, S.C. South Carolina State Rep. Tracy Edge, R-North Myrtle Beach is at center.

Publisher Joseph W. McQuaid of the conservative influential New Hampshire Union Leader has endorsed John McCain for President.

On Jan. 8, New Hampshire Republicans will make one of the most important choices for their party and nation in the history of our presidential primary. Their choice ought to be John McCain.

We don’t agree with him on every issue. We disagree with him strongly on campaign finance reform. What is most compelling about McCain, however, is that his record, his character, and his courage show him to be the most trustworthy, competent, and conservative of all those seeking the nomination. Simply put, McCain can be trusted to make informed decisions based on the best interests of his country, come hell or high water.

What does this mean for the Race for 2008?

Certainly for more votes for John McCain in New Hampshire and South Carolina. This endorsement also spells the end of Mitt Romney’s early momentum strategy to sweep the “early states” of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Who is the WINNER – besides McCain?

Rudy Giuliani

By denying Mitt Romney early large pluarality victories Mike Huckabee and John McCain aid Giuliani to disperse votes and delegates prior to Florida (January 29) and the large state Super Duper Tuesday, February 5th. Also, while Romney goes negative on Huckabee in Iowa who will be his target in New Hampshire? Mitt will have to expend campaign resources against both candidates.

Should the current polling hold up, there are few scenarios where Romney can make a come back after either meager wins in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina or loses in two of these three states. Remember Giuliani will sweep the Northeast primary states which have many more GOP convention delegates than the early states. Rudy simply needs to bide his time, save campaign resources and win the large delegate states like New York, New Jersey, Florida and California.

Now, the main question is: Will the Union Leader bash Romney and Huckabee in support of McCain?

Second main question: Should Flap’s scenario play out, who will be Rudy’s running mate, McCain or Huckabee?

Flap’s bet is Huckabee with McCain as Secretary of Defense.

Stay tuned……

Republican presidential hopeful Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., talks to supporters at Rick’s Kitchen Friday, Nov. 30, 2007, in North Myrtle Beach, S.C.

Previous:

John McCain’s Mother Trashes Mormons of Salt Lake for Olympic Scandal

John McCain Watch: Woodstock

Will McCain Back Rudy?

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Giuliani – McCain Ticket?


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