Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog

Republican Presidential hopeful, former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, gestures while speaking in Manchester, Iowa, Tuesday, Dec. 18,2007.

Fred makes the call over at the Brody file. At least Fred did not use the L word like Mitt.

Such name calling…….

Previous:

The Fire in Fred Thompson’s Belly?

Your comments are welcome below and at My Dental Forum

Follow Flap at Twitter

Luke Ford has ALL of the poop and I do mean all:

Mickey Kaus has been pushing this story since day one.

Mickey writes Oct. 18:

What to expect when you’re expecting: Drudge teases the National Enquirer … Update: The Enquirer posts the gist….. One initial point: There’s no reason to conclude this story was planted by one campaign or another. I’m familiar with how the initial Rielle Hunter/Edwards rumors, true or not, got to at least one news outlet–and no campaigns, Dem or GOP, were involved. It was a story going around–I’d been hearing it for months. Not all rumors are plants. And some are true. Even in the Enquirer. …P.S.: Here’s an earlier analysis of the potential effect of this scandal on Edwards–and Hillary. It doesn’t seem all that complicated. Until recently, Edwards not very subtly put his wife’s illness. and his loyalty to her, near the center of his campaign. As he said:

In so many ways, you’re the guardians of what kind of human being, we’re going to have as president. … And you get to judge us.

Backfill: Here’s Jerome Armstrong’s initial Rielle Hunter denial.

********

And, here is the photo of the woman: Rielle Hunter

Will Larry Flynt take credit for this?

Probably not……..

Oh, yeah and Obama benefits, fancy that.

Your comments are welcome below and at My Dental Forum

Follow Flap at Twitter

Mitt Romney discussing illegal immigration on last night’s Bill O’Reilly Show

Mitt Romney calls for a new employment verification system and one already exists.

Mitt Romney suggested there was no way a landscaping company that worked for him could have known its employees were illegal aliens even though the federal government has an employer verification system that any employer in America, on a voluntary basis, can use for free.

And while the system already exists and is in use, Romney called for creating one during an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday. A Romney spokesman said the governor meant to say he wanted to make the system mandatory for all businesses.

Mitt cannot keep government programs straight and doesn’t know whether illegal aliens are tending to his Massachusetts mansion’s lawn.

And, someone wants this guy as President?

Please……..

Add this one to the list of Flip-Flops, Lies and Oddities:

• Massachusetts Superior Court Judge Kathe M. Tuttman appointment
• Flip on Abortion
• Campaign finance reform
• Flip on Gay Marriage
• Lied about hunting
• Scientology book one of his favorites
• Poor Mitt’s Dog
• Jay Garrity Trooper Flap
• The Robert Lichfield FLAP
• None of Mitt’s five adult sons had served in the military
• Health Care 2.0 Flip Flop
• PhoneyFred.org Flap
• Tax FLIP
• Log Cabin Ad Flip
• Lawyer’s Test for National Security
• Imaginary Florida Advisers
• NRA Endorsement Lie

Remember:

Stay tuned…….

Previous:

Mitt Romney Watch: Planned Parenthood Support Plagues Romney Campaign

Mitt Romney Watch: The Mormon Affinity Vote and Iowa Expectations

Romney’s Race to Lose?

Mitt Romney Watch: Romney Should Apologize About NRA Lie

Mitt Romney Watch: Did “The Speech” Solve Romney’s Mormon Problem?

Mitt Romney Watch: “Sanctuary Mansion” Landscapers Fired by Romney

Your comments are welcome below and at My Dental Forum

Follow Flap at Twitter

Rudy Giuliani on the Sean Hannity Show yesterday

Since the Florida Rasmussen Poll of this past weekend, pundits have been declaring Rudy Giuliani to be “on the brink” of failing in his bid for the Presidency. They blame his “BIG STATE” strategy and that by emphasing states with a more diverse population, more people and more GOP delegates that he will fail.

This is hard to believe on its face – especially with national poll numbers, an 11 point lead, like these.

Granted, the Huckaboom and the sudden surge of Mike Huckabee’s popularity in the polls has led credence to this opinion.

But, there are signs of the Huckaboom losing steam and that if there is any certain result of his surge is that he muddles the race in the early states where Giuliani has had little if any chance to win.

Iowa and South Carolina are states with large numbers of Evangelical Christian voters which trend toward a southern candidate like Mike Huckabee or Fred Thompson. Michigan, Nevada and New Hampshire are home fields for Mitt Romney. All of these states have relatively few GOP delegates at stake.

Realistically, the first states that are competitive for the GOP field are Florida and the February 5 Super Duper Tuesday contests, that include California and Illinois.

So, onto the polls:

Strategic Vision GOP Florida Primary

• Rudy 25% (31%, 11-9 thru 11-11)
• Mike Huckabee 21% (9%)
• John McCain 15% (13%)
• Mitt Romney 13% (12%)
• Fred Thompson 10% (13%)
• Ron Paul 4% (4%)
• Tom Tancredo 2% (2%)
• Duncan Hunter 1% (1%)
• Undecided 9% (14%)

Survey of 468 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 14-16. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Survey USA GOP Florida Primary

• Rudy 29% (32%, 12-2 thru 12-3)
• Mike Huckabee 24% (18%)
• Mitt Romney 20% (15%)
• John McCain 10% (11%)
• Fred Thompson 8% (14%)
• Other 6% (5%)
• Undecided 3% (6%)

Survey of 431 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 15-16. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.
SurveyUSA GOP California Primary

• Rudy 28% (32%, 11-30 thru Dec 2)
• Mike Huckabee 20% (14%)
• Mitt Romney 16% (14%)
• John McCain 14% (18%)
• Fred Thompson 13% (13%)
• Other 7% (6%)
• Undecided 3% (3%)

Yes, the races have tightened and Giuliani’s lead has decreased. But, he is NOT in third place in Florida like the Rasmussen Poll indicated. Obviously, this poll was an OUTLIER.

Rudy is not on the brink of collapse with a double digit national GOP lead and solid leads in these two GOP delegate laden states.

The rumors of Giuliani’s demise have been greatly exaggerated. But, isn’t this the picture the rival campaigns and the Democrats hoped to paint?

Stay tuned…….

Previous:

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Rudy Leading Huckabee By 11 Points in Latest Gallup National GOP Poll
Rudy Giuliani Watch: Rasmussen and Rudy

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Shifting Resources Out of New Hampshire

Rudy Giuliani Video Watch: “Tested. Ready. Now.”

Rudy Giuliani Watch: “Tested. Ready. Now.”

Rudy Giuliani California Poll Watch: Rudy Holding Steady in The Golden State

Mitt Romney and wife Ann attending Planned Parenthood Fundraiser

ABC News’ Rick Klein Reports: Mitt Romney attended a fund-raising reception for Planned Parenthood in 1994 in conjunction with a $150 donation his wife made to the organization — notwithstanding Romney’s contention that he had “no recollection” of the circumstances under which his wife made gave money to the abortion-rights group.

In the photograph obtained by ABC News, Romney and his wife, Ann, are shown in a yellow-and-white tent chatting with local political activists, including Nicki Nichols Gamble, who was then president and CEO of the Planned Parenthood League of Massachusetts.

Nichols Gamble — whose back is the camera in the photograph — told ABC that the event was a Planned Parenthood fundraising “house party” in Cohasset, Mass., in June 1994. At the time, Romney, R-Mass., was locked in a tight Senate campaign with Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., and was touting his support for abortion rights.

No recollection, eh, Mitt?

Is this another Romney LIE like the Meet the Press Press – National Rifle Association (NRA) one?

Or is it just another cover-up of a classic Romney FLIP-FLOP?

Take your pick……

Flap is sure a mailer and a television ad are being prepared like this one John McCain is using already in New Hampshire – except the subject will be abortion and stem cell research.

This revelation will NOT help Romney in Iowa or South Carolina with the Evangelical Christians he so desperately needs to support him. Mike Huckabee will be riding this one hard.

Stay tuned…….

Previous:

Mitt Romney Watch: The Mormon Affinity Vote and Iowa Expectations

Romney’s Race to Lose?

Mitt Romney Watch: Romney Should Apologize About NRA Lie

Mitt Romney Watch: Did “The Speech” Solve Romney’s Mormon Problem?

Mitt Romney Watch: “Sanctuary Mansion” Landscapers Fired by Romney

Your comments are welcome below and at My Dental Forum

Follow Flap at Twitter

Republican presidential hopeful, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney speaks at Insight Technology in Londonderry, N.H. Monday, Dec. 17, 2007

There are a couple of pieces this morning about Mitt Romney, Iowa election expectations and the Mormon Affinity vote for Mitt.

Every pundit is talking about the Huckaboom and the spectacular rise of Mike Huckabee in the polls. Flap knows with time the bloom will fall off the Huckabee rose and he will start to fade except among his base of Evangelical Christians.

What will not fade away is the Mormon turn-out vote for one of their own, Mitt Romney.

Flap’s experience in California is that members of the LDS church are VERY active in civic affairs, takes voting seriously, and WILL turn-out in HUGE numbers for Mitt Romney and Mitt Romney alone.

Soren is correct about Iowa:

The upshot is that you can safely add 5% or so to Romney’s numbers in any Iowa poll. Furthermore, if the Romney campaign is smart — and they are very, very smart — they are trying to drive these numbers even higher. What if turnout was 70% not 50%? Then that would be the equivalent of adding about 7% to his numbers.

The bottom line is that Mitt Romney will win a caucus that looks close. Romney starts with 5-7% of the vote. Any attempt to play down Romney’s chances in Iowa is just a game, the expectations game.

So, does the Romney campaign KNOW something about lowering Iowa expectations NOW to make a plausible Romney win more meaningful?

The answer is YES.

Stay tuned……

Previous:

Romney’s Race to Lose?

Mitt Romney Watch: Romney Should Apologize About NRA Lie

Mitt Romney Watch: Did “The Speech” Solve Romney’s Mormon Problem?

Mitt Romney Watch: “Sanctuary Mansion” Landscapers Fired by Romney

Your comments are welcome below and at My Dental Forum

Follow Flap at Twitter

Day By Day by Chris Muir

Are we in Christmas mode yet?

Finished your shopping?

Previous:

The Day By Day Archive

Subscribe to FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog by Email

Facebook Flap!