• Gay Marriage

    Gay Marriage in Peril in California – California Proposition 8 Heading for Adoption?

    protect-marriage-logo

    Graphic courtesy of Pro California Proposition 8 website, Protect Marriage

    Gay Marriage in Peril headlines this piece in the Wall Street Journal.

    A state ballot measure to ban gay marriage in California is gaining momentum, with polls showing almost even odds of it passing after trailing by double digits a month ago.

    In June, the state legalized same-sex marriages. The next month, Proposition 8, defining marriage as between a man and a woman, was put on the ballot for November. Initial polling showed that a majority of Californians were likely to vote against Proposition 8. A Sept. 18 poll by the San Francisco-based Field Poll found the measure losing 55% to 38% among likely voters.

    But now the measure is favored 48% to 45% among likely voters questioned in an Oct. 17 poll by Survey USA of Verona, N.J. The poll’s margin of error, four percentage points, means the results were a statistical tie.

    A group leading the fight against the measure, Equality for All, said this week that one of its internal polls shows Proposition 8 leading by four percentage points. The close results of that poll, too, may suggest a dead heat as the Nov. 4 election approaches.

    The media campaign from the Pro Yes on 8 has been relentless and they have lead in fundraising. Evangelical Christian, Mormon (LDS) and Catholic churches have been busy churning up their membership roles and donors.

    Plus, it has been suggested that there is a gay marriage “Bradley Effect” in polling and being four points behind may mean ten points behind. Remember the last gay marriage election had the support of 61 % of California voters.

    Interesting there is support for Proposition 8 in two large Democrat constituencies – African -Americans and Latinos.

    But two Democratic constituencies — African-Americans and Latinos — are leaning toward the ban. Among likely black voters, 58% supported Proposition 8 compared with 38% who opposed it in the most recent Survey USA poll. Among Latinos, 47% supported the proposition while 41% opposed it; white voters were nearly evenly split. The reason, “Yes” officials say, is that church attendance is strong in many minority communities.

    Here is the summary of the latest polling:

    gay marriage poll

    Stay tuned…..

    Previous:

    Protect Traditional Marriage – The Robb and Robin Wirthlin Story

    Where is California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger in California Proposition 8 – Gay Marriage Fight?


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  • Barack Obama,  John McCain,  Media Bias,  NBC News,  Sarah Palin

    Shocking: John McCain Gets More Negative Media Coverage Than Barack Obama

    tanning bed

    The Tanning Bed Media

    In a shocker, it is reported by the Pew Research Center that John McCain is receiving more negative media coverage than Barack Obama.

    The study, released Wednesday, examined 2,412 campaign stories from 48 news outlets during the six weeks from the end of the conventions through the final presidential debate.

    The results: While the candidates are receiving equal amounts of coverage, 59% of stories about McCain were “decidedly negative in nature,” while only 14% were positive.

    Obama hasn’t exactly been fawned over by media, but the coverage statistically has been more evenhanded, with 36% of stories clearly positive, 35% neutral or mixed, and 29% negative.

    On Sarah Palin:

    Sarah Palin coverage’s had an “up and down trajectory, moving from quite positive, to very negative, to more mixed,” the study said. The negative coverage dealt with looks into her public record and her relationship with the press. “Little of her trouble came from coverage of her personal traits or family issues,” the authors said.


    The key question: Are the media pro-Obama?

    The study said the question was not answerable by the data.

    Flap knows, then, they did not survey NBC News which is anti-McCain, anti-Palin and pro-Obama ALL OF THE TIME.


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  • Karl Rove,  Liberal Morons

    Code Pink NUTTER Attempts to Handcuff Karl Rove

    58-year-old Janine Boneparth who tried to handcuff Rove in what she called a citizen’s arrest for “treason.”


    Nice elbow Karl.

    An anti-war protester confronted former Bush administration aide Karl Rove while he spoke at a San Francisco mortgage bankers’ meeting.

    A statement by the group Code Pink identified the woman as 58-year-old Janine Boneparth, who tried to handcuff Rove in what she called a citizen’s arrest for “treason.”

    Rove, who was speaking Tuesday at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s annual convention, elbowed Boneparth away as she was escorted off the stage.

    In total, five Code Pink members were removed from the hall during Rove’s appearance. The organization says none of the five women were charged.

    Flap would have done more than just an elbow.

    Believe me, Karl Rove showed restraint.


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  • Barack Obama,  GOP,  Rudy Giuliani

    Rudy Giuliani HIts Barack Obama on Crime

    Rudy-and-Obama-crime

    Former New City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Republican Party of Florida mail piece

    Rudy is hitting the telephones to hit Barack Obama on crime.

    Rudy Giuliani is portraying Barack Obama as soft on crime in robocalls being blasted out to swing states by the RNC and the McCain campaign.

    The call comes on the heels of a mailer being sent out by the Florida GOP focused on crime, an indication that even while on the stump, John McCain focuses on contrasting himself with Obama on taxes and spending, his campaign and his party are using other wedge issues in a more targeted fashion as Election Day nears. 

    The focus is on the Democrat’s opposition to mandatory minimums, and the bill of particulars is tough.

    “You need to know that Barack Obama opposes mandatory prison sentences for sex offenders, drug dealers and murderers,” Giuliani says. “It’s true. I read Barack Obama’s words myself.”

    Good to see Rudy helping the GOP again and John McCain in particular.

    Anyone think that Rudy will not be McCain’s Attorney General when he wins on November the 4th?


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  • Barack Obama,  GOP,  John McCain

    Shocker: McCain vs Obama – All Tied Up in Latest AP Presidential Poll

    Landslide-Obama

    In a shocking new poll, the Associated Press has the Presidential race tightening.

    The presidential race tightened after the final debate, with John McCain gaining among whites and people earning less than $50,000, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that shows McCain and Barack Obama essentially running even among likely voters in the election homestretch.

    The poll, which found Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent, supports what some Republicans and Democrats privately have said in recent days: that the race narrowed after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain’s “Joe the plumber” analogy struck a chord.

    Three weeks ago, an AP-GfK survey found that Obama had surged to a seven-point lead over McCain, lifted by voters who thought the Democrat was better suited to lead the nation through its sudden economic crisis.

    Conventional wisdom and most of the other Presidential polls have Obama up sometimes by double digits. So, this poll could be an outlier.

    But, Flap believes the race with tighten and that the Bradley Effect may very well skew poll numbers until election day.

    The GOP should not be discouraged in their GOTV efforts. There are other races down ticket as well.

    Update:

    Now, the IBD/TIPP Tracking poll shows a tightening race.

    Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead by double digits, the IBD/TIPP Poll shows a sudden tightening of Obama’s lead to 3.7 from 6.0. McCain has picked up 3 points in the West and with independents, married women and those with some college. He’s also gaining momentum in the suburbs, where he’s gone from dead even a week ago to a 20-point lead. Obama padded gains in urban areas and with lower-class households, but he slipped 4 points with parents.

    Again, stay tuned. This race is NOT over.


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  • Sarah Palin

    Todd and Sarah Palin Featured in People Magazine

    palinspeople

    Ok, Flap will give you the teaser stuff up on Mark Halperin’s The Page. Halperin teases the nice photos and puff interview as a push back at Tina Fey.

    Yeah right. Everyone knows that Sarah Palin is a draw and why not sell a few more magazines. Halperin likes to get paid. I mean, after all Saturday Night Live had their best ratings in what, over 14 years?

    Here it is.

    Todd and Sarah Palin People Magazine

    palinpage2

    Wonder how many additional magazines People will sell?

    Answer: MANY MORE…….


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  • Barack Obama

    Is the Bradley Effect in Play?

    Tom-Bradley-and-Barack-Obam

    The late Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley and Senator Barack Obama

    Jim Geraghty dissects the latest Pew Research Center piece which states:

    “polls conducted in campaigns pitting white and black candidates against each other are doing a better job of accurately predicting the outcome of the election now than in the past, suggesting that hidden biases that confounded polling in biracial elections in the 1980s and early 1990s are no longer a serious problem.”

    Comparing races against GOP African American candidates and their white Democrat opponents is probably not the same as Geraghty aptly notes.

    The fact that the polls were wrong with regards to Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in the primary elections earlier in the year have pollsters and the campaigns paying attention to a potential “Bradley Effect.”

    And, there is the conventional wisdom in GOP circles which have many Republican voters outright lying to pollsters as a matter of disguising election results.

    Many a dissertation will be written about this campaign for the Presidency, and the polls.


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  • Barack Obama,  Day By Day

    Day By Day by Chris Muir October 22, 2008 – Default Mode

    Day By Day 102208

    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    The arrogance and the hubris may start to fade when the LEFT tires of “The One” when Barack Obama actually has to govern.

    Flap remembers the same exuberance when John Kennedy beat Richard Nixon in 1960. By the middle of Kennedy’s term, the Kennedy/Camelot adoring press was becoming overtly critical as Kennedy turned right to appeal to more centrist voters. Voters he needed to attract to win re-election.

    A re-election campaign that was never to happen.

    Previous:

    The Day By Day Archive


  • Del.icio.us Links

    links for 2008-10-22

    • (tags: gaymarriage)
    • In this live-and-let-live town, where medical marijuana clubs do business next to grocery stores and an annual fair celebrates sadomasochism, prostitutes could soon walk the streets without fear of arrest.

      San Francisco would become the first major U.S. city to decriminalize prostitution if voters next month approve Proposition K—a measure that forbids local authorities from investigating, arresting or prosecuting anyone for selling sex.

      The ballot question technically would not legalize prostitution since state law still prohibits it, but the measure would eliminate the power of local law enforcement officials to go after prostitutes.

      Proponents say the measure will free up $11 million the police spend each year arresting prostitutes and allow them to form collectives.
      +++++++++
      Uh No and if passed should be ruled unconstitutional and the city forced to enforce the state law.

    • The fact is, that one of my personal friends, and others in her neighborhood, also friends – not only had several Vote YES on Prop 8 signs stolen, for a second time; but this time – received identical letters, containing serious death threats.
      ++++++++
      Despicable and the perps should be prosecuted.
    • Today, DailyKos blogger hekebolos is mustering the Kosacks (as they are sometimes known) to hunt down information about Mormons and others who have donated to "Protect Marriage," the non-profit group fighting to pass Proposition 8.

      In short, he wants to dig up dirt and expose people as hypocrites. Insane! What’s more, the Kos poster has put up the list for us indicating which people are Mormon. Doubly sick and wrong!

      In his own words: "Here’s the bottom line for me: if someone is willing to contribute thousands of dollars to a campaign to take away legal rights from some very dear friends of mine, they had damn well make sure their lives are beyond scrutiny–because I, for one, won’t take it lying down."

      That is ugly!
      ++++++++
      This is not the first time I have heard the AntiProposition 8 supporters trying to "OUT" the finncial supporters of the Protect Marraige Constitutional amendment

    • Gov. Sarah Palin charged the state for her children to travel with her, including to events where they were not invited, and later amended expense reports to specify that they were on official business.
      +++++++
      Yawn: The LEFT AP trying to smear Palin again……..
      (tags: sarah_palin)
    • In short: Like her or hate her, Palin remains VERY much in the mix as a 2012 candidate.
      ++++++++
      Absolutely correct…….
      (tags: sarah_palin)
    • Republican vice presidential nominee Gov. Sarah Palin apologized Tuesday for any misunderstanding that resulted when she referred last week to the patriotic values of "the real America" and the "pro-America areas of this great nation."

      Democrats and others immediately criticized Palin, alleging she was saying that some part of the country are more patriotic than others.

      Palin denied that was her intention in an interview with CNN on Tuesday.

      "I don't want that misunderstood," Palin said. "If that's the way it came across, I apologize."

      Speaking at a rally in North Carolina, the Alaska governor said: "We believe that the best of America is in these small towns that we get to visit, and in these wonderful little pockets of what I call the real America, being here with all of you hard-working, very patriotic, um, very, um, pro-America areas of this great nation."
      ++++++++
      Ok, so she misspoke……

      (tags: sarah_palin)
    • Oprah Winfrey is offering to "produce" the half-hour Barack Obama advertisement set to air on Oct. 29, a top source tells the DRUDGE REPORT. The Daytime TV dynamo has even offered up her studio space in Chicago.

      "She's been begging Obama to let her help," a source explaines.

      O & O

      It is not clear if the Obama campaign would pay Winfrey for any production services.

      Requests for comment from Oprah went un-returned.

      The Obama campaign strongly denies Oprah will be involved in the ad: Bill Richardson's former senior adviser, Mark Putnam is producing. Previously, Putnam produced commercials for Democratic campaigns in 44 states.

      The TV finale is seen as a high risk move, designed to remove any remaining voter doubts on the first term senator.

      CBS, NBC and FOX will air the info-commercial, with the start time of a potential World Series Game 6 being pushed back by eight minutes.
      Mystery surrounds the production: Will it simply be Obama sitting at a desk reading TelePrompTer?

    • But the recent worldwide economic downturn will, predictably, generate a demand that Washington "do something," and Washington will respond with a whole series of programs, laws and expenditures allegedly designed to improve matters. Few, if any, of them will work, but they will have the collective effect of putting government's weight on the scales against the economy's own healthy tendency to right itself. In a few years, we will learn all over again why we acquired our previous deep distrust of government "solutions."

      That is why the coming barrage of new government programs will predictably be such a desperately bad idea. We cannot legislate our way out of an economic slump, because an economic slump is simply the economy's way of exhaling, prior to taking a fresh breath. We can take palliative measures, to relieve individual cases of economic discomfort, but we cannot repeal the laws of economics.

    • No issue in the Proposition 8 campaign has generated as much debate as the contention by supporters that public schools in California will promote same-sex marriage if the ballot measure fails.

      The Yes on 8 forces have made it the focus of their campaign strategy in television and radio ads that have been running for weeks. The ads point to Massachusetts, where gay marriage has been legal since 2003 and the issue is being taught in schools.
      ++++++++
      It is all about legislating morality = the homosexual agenda.

      (tags: gaymarriage)