Archive for May, 2010
Obviously, Carly Fiorina has SURGED into a convincing lead as California voters participate in early and absentee ballot voting.
Survey results from the US Senate ballot test show Carly Fiorina with a 23 point lead over former Congressman Tom Campbell 44% to 21% and Assemblyman Chuck DeVore with 14%. Seven percent support another candidate, and 14% of voters are undecided. Support for Carly Fiorina has surged 24 points since our last survey on February 25th from 20% to 44%, and Tom Campbell’s support has declined 12 points from 33% to 21%. Chuck DeVore has made a small gain among men, increasing his support by 3 points from 11% to 14%.
Looks like Tom Campbell is collapsing as Independent Expenditure Committees run ads against him and Chuck Devore is a NEVER-WAS. With DeVore at only 7 points above another candidate and 30 points behind Fiorina, his candidacy is TOAST.
But, the race is fluid – so stay tuned……
Tags: Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore
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Posted by Flap in Day By Day
Day by Day by Chris Muir
The “Nanny State” mentality of the Congressional Democrats will be tested at the ballot box this November. Will Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid allow their minions to run on “local” issues?
Progressive regulation, control and tax/income redistribution are losing issues. Americans reject them.
But, will voters reject the Democrat Pols who espouse them?
My guess is yes.
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Posted by Flap in Twitter
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In the two latest polls to gauge the California election, Fiorina has opened up a wide lead on Campbell, with DeVore remaining in distant third. Public Policy Polling today released a poll that showed Fiorina with 41 percent of the electorate, while Campbell received 21 percent and DeVore only 16 percent. Yesterday, SurveyUSA’s poll showed Fiorina receiving Fiorina 46 percent of the support, Campbell 23 percent, and DeVore 14. Campbell was quick to rule out these numbers, suggesting that “robo-polls†can’t be trusted.
But if the polls are right, there certainly didn't seem like a game-changing moment in the debate that would have knocked Fiorina 20 points back and out of first place.
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The debate was a non-starter
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Senate candidate Tom Campbell has long argued that, in an election season marked by economic concerns and anger at Washington, his moderate social views won't cost him the support of largely conservative Republican primary voters. That theory is about to be tested.
Three outside groups are stepping into the GOP race to try to drive home the message that the former congressman's views on same-sex marriage and abortion rights — he favors both — and on gun rights, where he favors some restrictions, are at odds with the voters who will decide the party's nominee June 8.
Campbell's argument has been that as a fiscal conservative and social moderate he is more in line with California voters than his two opponents, former Hewlett-Packard chief Carly Fiorina and Orange County Assemblyman Chuck DeVore. His positions make him the stronger candidate against Sen. Barbara Boxer, he argues.
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Tom Campbell is a two time loser for US Senate and will be a loser again. He is too liberal
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A new Public Policy Polling survey in California shows Carly Fiorina (R) has now opened up a 20 point lead over Tom Campbell (R), 41% to 21%, with Chuck DeVore back at 16%.
Analysis: "There's been a large shift in the state of this race over the last few weeks so it seems plausible the electorate is fluid enough that Fiorina could still lose. But with a 20 point lead and opposition to her split among two candidates she looks like the overwhelming favorite at this point."
These results are very similar to a SurveyUSA poll released yesterday.
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Carly looks like the favorite now
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Among all the conflicting polls on the California Senate race, there’s one point on which every survey agrees: Chuck DeVore is not leading in the Republican primary.
In fact, the Orange County assemblyman has consistently ranked third, and often a distant third, behind former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and former Rep. Tom Campbell. A SurveyUSA poll released Monday showed him taking just 14 percent of the vote, compared with 46 percent for Fiorina and 23 percent for Campbell.
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Chuck DeVore never was a player in this race – just a spoiler for Tom Campbell.
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Paychecks from private business shrank to their smallest share of personal income in U.S. history during the first quarter of this year, a USA TODAY analysis of government data finds.
At the same time, government-provided benefits — from Social Security, unemployment insurance, food stamps and other programs — rose to a record high during the first three months of 2010.
Those records reflect a long-term trend accelerated by the recession and the federal stimulus program to counteract the downturn. The result is a major shift in the source of personal income from private wages to government programs.
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And, where is the job growth?
Well, there is NONE.
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Day By Day by Chris Muir
Lousiana Governor Bobby Jindal is NOT happy with President Obama and federal efforts to protect the Louisiana coast.
Here is the video:
And, the news story:
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) said the state will not waiting for federal approval to begin building sand barriers to protect the coastline from the Gulf of Mexico oil spill.
Oil has pushed at least 12 miles into Louisiana’s marshes, with two major pelican rookeries awash in crude.
Gov. Jindal was critical of the amount of boom his state received to ward off the oil seeping toward the coastline. But his major gripe comes at the expense of the Army Corps of Engineers, who have yet to give the go-ahead for the building of sand booms to protect the Louisiana wetlands. He used photographic evidence of oil breaking through hard booms, soft booms and another layer of protection, before being finally being corralled by a sand boom built by the National Guard.
“It is so much better for us. We don’t want oil on one inch of Louisiana’s coastline, but we’d much rather fight this oil off of a hard coast, off of an island, off of an island, off of a sandy beach on our coastal islands, rather than having to fight it inside in these wetlands,” Gov. Jindal said, making the case for sand booms.
The governor said he has been forced to protect Louisiana without the approval of the Army Corps of Engineers, which is weighing the ecological impact of the construction of more sand booms.
“We are not waiting for them. We are going to build it,” Jindal said.
Is 2010 Congressional Midterm and 2012 Presidential politics being played out in Louisiana?
Yes.
Every day the BP oil leak continues, is a day that Obama’s and the Democrat’s big government will be criticized as ineffective and inept.
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Posted by Flap in Twitter
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Former Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R-AZ), who is challenging Sen. John McCain in the Republican primary, said that the United States did not formally declare war on Germany in World War II — at least, that's how it went in his history.
While speaking last week to a local GOP organization in Phoenix, Hayworth was asked by an attendee about America's failure to formally declare war in our modern conflicts. Hayworth defended the modern-day authorizations for the use of military force. "But I would also point out, that if we want to be sticklers, the war that Dwight Eisenhower led in Europe against the Third Reich was never declared by the United States Congress," said Hayworth. "Recall, the Congress passed a war resolution against Japan. Germany declared war on us two days later. We never formally declared war on Hitler's Germany, and yet we fought the war."
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John McCain will win this primary election over a former Congressman who does not know history
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Conservative supporters of Chuck DeVore seem outraged that Sarah Palin didn't endorse their candidate for the California GOP Senate Primary race to take on Barbara Boxer in the November election. To them, it seemed like the likely thing for her to do and I know DeVore himself had asked for the nod. DeVore's supporters are operating, to this day on the notion that their guy is the "one true Conservative in the race." They run off of emotion and perception but they are omitting many facts about the Senate race and about Chuck DeVore himself with their analysis.
I'm going to go through a series of things I feel (this is all my opinion and speculation) as to why Chuck DeVore did not deserve a Sarah Palin endorsement. I'll be writing a short series of posts on the matter, starting with this one.
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