Republicans and Republican-leaning independents have no clear favorite for the party’s 2012 presidential nominee at this point, with Mike Huckabee (18%), Mitt Romney (16%), and Sarah Palin (16%) in a statistical tie for the lead. They are the only candidates in the crowded field of potential candidates who register double-digit support. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, and former Utah Gov. and current Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman were included for the first time and received 4% and 1%, respectively.
Here is the list:
Also, it is apparent that Sarah Palin continues to position herself for a run with Facebook postings on foreign policy and a trip to India next month to deliver a speech about her vision for America. Unfortunately for Sarah is that her polling against President Obama head to head is the worst in the field – at least so far.
Here is a breakdown by GOP subgroup:
So, what does all of this mean?
There is NO front-runner for the GOP nomination.
I continue to maintain that should Sarah Palin decide to run, she will more than likely win the nomination. But Sarah will likely lose to President Obama in an overwhelming fashion in the Electoral College because of her unfavorables with independent voters. I, also, maintain that she will ultimately pass on the race when confronted with polls that show her a big loser – why damage her brand and political future.
Of course, if the economy does not improve and world events change, all bets are off and anyone may be able to beat the incumbent President, including Sarah Palin.