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Archive for March 7th, 2011


According to the latest PPP poll.

  • Paul Ryan – 30%
  • Mike Huckabe – 17%
  • Newt Gingrich – 12%
  • Sarah Palin – 9%
  • Mitt Romney – 9%
  • Ron Paul – 5%
  • Tim Pawlenty – 4%
  • Mitch Daniels – 3%

What is surprising is how poorly Mitt Romney is doing in Wisconsin, finishing tied with Sarah in fourth place. He does no better if you take Rep Paul Ryan out of the race, continuing to finish fourth.

If you take the Wisconsin favorite son, Rep. Paul Ryan out of the race then:

  • Mike Huckabee – 23%
  • Sarah Palin – 15%
  • Newt Gingrich – 15%
  • Mitt Romney – 12%
  • Tim Pawlenty – 10%
  • Ron Paul – 5%
  • Mitch Daniels – 3%

Favorable Vs. Unfavorable:

  • Ryan – 67% Vs. 10%
  • Palin – 65% Vs. 25%
  • Huckabee – 58% Vs. 18%
  • Gingrich – 54% Vs. 23%
  • Romney – 49% Vs. 25%

So, the race is bunched and two of the frontrunners, Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin are doubtful candidates.

Huckabee’s shaping up to be the strongest Republican candidate in the Big Ten states- in addition to his lead on this Wisconsin poll, he’s also led in every other every state we’ve polled in the region so far in 2011- Pennsylvania, Nebraska, and Iowa. If Huckabee does end up running you’re going to have his strength in the South and Midwest butting up against Romney’s strength in the Northeast and West.

This is a bit of a broken record but still an important point: Republican voters love Sarah Palin but don’t want her to be their Presidential candidate. She has the highest favorability of the GOPers besides Ryan, 7 points higher than Huckabee’s and 11 points higher than Gingrich’s. But she still runs 8 points behind Huckabee on Presidential nomination choice and just ties with Gingrich. Liking someone and thinking they should occupy the White House are two very different things.

The entire poll is here.

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These are my links for March 7th from 14:53 to 16:13:

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Comments Comments Off on Flap’s Links and Comments for March 7th from 14:53 to 16:13


This event gives most of the top tier of the GOP Presidential field an excuse for not showing up at the Reagan Library on May 2nd. But, for Sarah it gives her a little more time to announce that she won’t be a candidate.

She may be waiting for some candidates to break out by then, but her polling is so poor (behind everyone heads up with Obama) that she will not spoil her brand for a Quixotic Presidential run.

But, Sarah gives a very good speech and you can buy tickets here


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