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Flap’s Links and Comments for March 13th on 17:25

March 13, 2011 /

These are my links for March 13th from 17:25 to 17:33:

  • California Redistricting and the 2010 Census – Musical chairs in Congress – California's addition of 3.4 million residents over the past decade allowed it to keep its 53 congressional seats – but the more dramatic population shifts within the state all but guarantee that some comfortable incumbents are going to be out of office in two years.

    And at least one of those out-of-luck members of Congress is likely to come from the Bay Area.

    Tony Quinn, one of the state's pre-eminent analysts of politics and demographics, said it is hard to look at the numbers in official U.S. Census data released last week and not conclude that the Bay Area will lose a House seat through redistricting. Population has remained fairly flat in the Bay Area, while rising sharply in once-rural areas to the east – a pattern that is replicated in Los Angeles and the Inland Empire.

    "The loss of one (Bay Area) congressional incumbent seems likely," he said.

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    The Dems will start eating their young soon in the Bay Area.

    With the new top two electoral system and geographically based legislative and congressional districts, there will be political upheal for both Dems and the GOP. Look for many incumbent retirements or forced relocations.

  • President 2012: What We Learned: Here Comes The Mitch – Daniels That Is – Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R) is sounding more serious about a presidential campaign, and his "Meet The Press" appearance Sunday will give a telling hint of his intentions. And with a recent NBC/WSJ poll showing two-thirds of GOP primary voters more likely to back a candidate who puts more focus on the economy/deficit than gay marriage/abortion, his "social truce" isn't as unpopular with the base as the CW has suggested.

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    I think ultimatley Mitch Daniels WILL run for the Presidency.

    To be honest, he knows the field is weak.

  • IN-Sen: Could Republicans Lose Major Party Status in Indiana? – WISH-TV reports a Democratic lawsuit challenges Secretary of State Charlie White's (R) status "on the ballot last November because his voter registration was allegedly false (a contention backed up by grand jury indictments.) If a judge rules in the Democrats' favor and White is disqualified, the Republicans would not receive the 10% of the vote in the Secretary of State race that is required to maintain major party status."

    Possible ramifications: "The lack of major party status would make the 2012 Senate race a convention battle rather than a primary for the GOP. Richard Mourdock's chances of upsetting Richard Lugar would be greatly enhanced in a convention."

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    Sen. Richard Lugar would be toast and I doubt he wuuld run for re-election.

    I doubt he runs anyway.