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Archive for March, 2011

According to the latest PPP Poll.

Job approval Vs Disapproval:

  • President Obama: 48% Vs. 47% (45% Vs. 49% in December 2010)

Favorable Vs. Unfavorable:

  • Mitt Romney – 39% Vs. 39%
  • Mike Huckabee – 40% vs. 39%
  • Jeb Bush – 44% Vs. 44%
  • Newt Gingrich 32% Vs. 48%
  • Sarah Palin – 32% Vs. 60%
  • Rudy Giuliani – 37% vs. 46%

Head to Head:

  • Obama – 46% Vs. Romney – 44%
  • Obama – 50% Vs. Huckabee – 43%
  • Obama – 50% Vs. Gingrich – 42%
  • Obama – 48% Vs. Bush – 44%
  • Obama – 48% Vs. Giuliani – 42%
  • Obama – 52% Vs. Palin – 39%

Fianlly, a good poll for Mitt Romney. But, Mike Huckabee is hanging in there and may give him pause as Huck decides whether to run or not.

Another disastrous poll for Sarah Palin (60% unfavorables) as she fades from being considered a serious candidate for the Presidency in 2012.

Interesting that former Florida Governor Jeb Bush does not do any better than Mitt Romney in this poll.

The GOP NEEDS to win Florida in order to beat President Obama in the Electoral College. It appears the tried and true candidates of Huckabee and/or Romney may very well provide the opportunity.




adbrite your ad here banner President 2012 Florida Poll Watch: Obama 46% Vs Romney 44%   Within the Margin of Error

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State Tea Party Express reminds Wisconsin residents to vote on April 5th. Big union bosses are trying to defeat Justice Prosser and elect their own environmental activist judge. Justice Prosser is fair-minded and principled.

Political pundits have been wondering if the Tea Party was going to lay down in Wisconsin after the Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker Vs. Democrat Legislators Fleebaggers Flap.

The ansewr is NO.




adbrite your ad here banner Video: The Tea Party and the Wisconsin Supreme Court Race

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These are my links for March 31st from 09:42 to 10:37:

  • Sen. Marco Rubio Takes the Lead on Libya – THE WEEKLY STANDARD has obtained the text of a letter freshman senator Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) sent tonight to the Senate majority and minority leaders. In it, Rubio proposes that the Senate authorize the president’s use of force in Libya, and that the authorization state that the aim of the use of force should be the removal of the Qaddafi regime. (The full text of the letter is below.)

    This is by far the boldest move Rubio has made—it’s perhaps the boldest move any freshman senator has made—in the three months since the beginning of the 112th Congress. Rubio is taking on those in his own party who wish to distance themselves from what they consider Obama’s war in Libya. He is answering critics of the war who have tried to cast a vague sense of illegitimacy over the action because Congress hasn’t explicitly authorized it. And Rubio is trying to push the administration into fully embracing regime change as an explicit goal, thus providing a compelling clarity for American military action—a clarity that he thinks will increase support for the effort at home and the chances of success on the ground.

    =======

    Ill-advised political move giving President Obama political cover.

  • Poll Watch: What’s behind Tea Party approval numbers – But let’s unpack all that. First, the poll is of all Americans (generally a sign of a leftward-tilt in results), not registered or likely voters. Second, while the poll asserts that half of all American households make under $50,000, the electorate is very different. In the 2010 exit polls, only 36 percent of voters had household incomes less than $50,000. These people voted Democratic (54 percent), while the electorate as a whole voted for Republicans over Democrats by a wide margin. And for non-white voters with incomes under $50,000 the Democratic tilt was even more dramatic (80 percent voted Democratic). Among those who voted for Democrats, 86 percent had a negative view of the Tea Party.

    CNN hasn’t released the underlying data, so we don’t know if the drop in support among low-income respondents is simply a reflection of increased animosity by Democrats or a rally-’round- Obama phenomenon by minority voters who still favor the president to a greater degree than the electorate as a whole. Moreover, we don’t know whether the poll over-sampled the very groups most likely to have negative views of the Tea Party.

    But if the Tea Party’s favorable rating dropped only 5 percentage points since December — nearly within the poll’s margin of error — then the grass-roots movement must be doing pretty darn well with the rest of the respondents (that is, those with incomes over $50,000 who made up 64 percent of the 2010 electorate).

    It’s hard to figure why the results reflect “a reaction to the tea party’s push for large cuts in government programs that help lower-income Americans.” Was that question asked? Or is that pure speculation? That assertion is even more odd in that the cuts the Tea Party generally embraces — e.g. means-testing Social Security — AREN’T aimed at the poor.

    What we do know is that the electorate as a whole and the Congress including Senate Democrats have accepted the Tea Party’s core message of deficit reduction and spending restraint. But if liberals want to keep on discounting the importance of the Tea Party, and more important, the message of the Tea Party, I am sure fiscal conservatives would be delighted.

    =======

    Read it all.

    Without the underlying data, the CNN poll on the Tea party looks like an outlier at best and a fraud at worst.




adbrite your ad here banner Flaps Links and Comments for March 31st on 09:42

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cgzqgpsokab3yrljcrkma Poll Watch: U.S. Unemployment Rate is 10% in March   Down From February    But So What?

America’s unemployment rate was down in March 2011 and down from March 2010 as measured by Gallup.
Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, was 10.0% in March — down from 10.2% in mid-March and 10.3% at the end of February, but above the 9.8% at the end of January. U.S. unemployment was 10.4% at the end of March a year ago.

What about the percentage of part-time workers?

f8vhjotru66e4obfscg5g Poll Watch: U.S. Unemployment Rate is 10% in March   Down From February    But So What?

And, underemployment also declined in March.

avtsz86mo05ulpkyufhkg Poll Watch: U.S. Unemployment Rate is 10% in March   Down From February    But So What?

But, what does this mean? Is America’s economy improving?

Not according to Gallup.

ADP on Wednesday reported that U.S. private-sector jobs increased by 201,000 in March — the third consecutive month at this level of job growth. At the same time, Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed a sharp decline in March U.S. layoffs compared with last year. All of this is consistent with Gallup’s Job Creation Index, which has shown slightly more jobs being created and comparatively low layoffs during the first quarter of 2011.

However, contrary to the federal government’s recent job reports, Gallup’s unemployment and underemployment measures suggest that recent job increases have not been sufficient to significantly improve the jobs situation so far in 2011. Although both of Gallup’s measures were marginally better in March, they remain higher now than they were in January.

The March improvement in the jobs situation compared with February may be partly the result of seasonal hiring patterns, with companies increasing their hiring at this time of year. However, the 2010 jobs situation didn’t show substantial improvement until the second half of April. Regardless, the decline in the underemployment rate year-over-year is consistent with a cautious hiring approach in which employers avoid layoffs while taking on more part-time workers and limiting their hiring of full-time employees.

Despite the March uptick, Gallup’s view of the U.S. jobs situation remains substantially less optimistic than the government’s recent unemployment report might suggest. Added to this, late March Gallup Daily tracking results show a continuing decline in economic optimism, a pullback in consumer spending, and a drop in Gallup’s Job Creation Index. This suggests that recent behavior on Main Street does not reflect the government’s rosier assessment. It also implies that the recent marginal improvement Gallup finds may be more temporary than one might hope.

Looks like the Obama Administration is spinning the numbers to creat some economic optimism but too many Americans remain out of work and economic activity remains stagnant at best.

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capt87a9159d4ad7472eb0b MA Sen Poll Watch: Sen. Scott Brown Safe for 2012?

Massachusetts Republican U.S. Senator Scott Brown

Apparently so, according to a DSCC poll.
Massachusetts is a deeply Democratic state, one in which barely more than 15 percent of the seats in the state Legislature are held by Republicans and fewer than 15 percent of all registered voters belong to the GOP. So it’s hardly surprising that national Democrats have been making noise about defeating the state’s Republican senator, Scott Brown, when he stands for reelection next year.

“It’s a priority for us,” Guy Cecil, the executive director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, told the Boston Globe when he made a two-day trip to the Bay State earlier this month.

But the DSCC received some bad news this week when a poll it commissioned found that Brown’s popularity is soaring. The survey, which has been seen by at least one D.C. insider and was detailed for Salon, measured Brown’s approval rating at 73 percent — easily surpassing the scores for Barack Obama and the state’s two top Democrats,  Gov. Deval Patrick and Sen. John Kerry. It also found him running over the magic 50 percent mark against every potential Democratic challenger, and crushing the strongest perceived Democrats (Reps. Michael Capuano and Ed Markey and former Rep. Marty Meehan) by double-digit margins. The results only grew closer when respondents were primed with negative information about Brown.

Good news for the GOP in taking over the U.S. Senate majority in 2012. The Republicans need to win a net of three seats to replace Harry Reid as Senate Majority Leader.

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These are my links for March 31st from 01:21 to 08:42:

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033111 Day By Day March 31, 2011   Lucky Luciano

Day By Day by Chris Muir

Maybe Sam would have preferred Naomi?

The bar is all in the family now. Look what Zed has waiting for him when he returns from Afghanistan.

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