-
CA-36: Special Election Day for Craig Huey and Janice Hahn – Will Huey Pul Off the Upset Victory?
Los Angeles City Council Member Janice Hahn and GOP Congressional Nominee and businessman Craig Huey
Hard to say but Craig Huey has exceeded all expectations in this race.Republicans are hopeful they can pick off a Los Angeles-based House seat long held by Democrats in Tuesday’s special election.
The odds are against their candidate, businessman Craig Huey, but he’s surprised observers on both sides of the aisle by making the race closer than expected.
Both Democratic and GOP strategists tell The Hill they believe he’s trailing Democratic candidate Janice Hahn by 5 points. And a new poll out Monday, conducted by the Dem-leaning Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos and SEIU, shows Hahn leading Huey by 8 points — a small margin in a heavily Democratic area.
Huey has spent extensively to get to this point. He’s dropped about $1 million into the race, most of it his own money.
Meanwhile, Hahn, a Los Angeles City Councilwoman, has failed to reunite the district’s liberal base after a divisive primary. She’s spent close to the same amount, but it’s money she’s raised — not loaned — her campaign.
The district favors Democrats: President Obama won 64 percent of its votes in 2008, and the party has an advantage in voter registration.
Also working against Huey is the Republican Party’s subpar record in special elections. The most recent example was Republican candidate Jane Corwin’s loss in May’s special election in New York. In an embarrassment for the party, the GOP candidate failed to win the Republican-leaning district.
GOP operatives are downplaying Huey’s chances, trying to set expectations low so that a win would be seen as a shocking result.
Regardless of the result tonight, the CA-36 Congressional District will be changing to a more GOP friendly one (more Republicans registered) in just a month when the California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission draws the new maps for the 2012 election cycle. So, this campaign between these two will continue regardless of tonight’s result.
Also, according to the latest maps (always subject to change in August), there will be a new California Assembly District in the area where Craig Huey lives. This district will slant GOP. So, Huey could run for this office and most probably win easily with his high name identification in the district.
But for today, it comes down to turnout which are notoriously low in special elections, particularly in the summer. If Huey can turn out HIS voters and some Democrats stay home, he wins.
“We expect it to be close — it’s all going to come down to turnout; it’s going to be a very low-turnout election,” said Huey spokesman and adviser Dave Gilliard on Monday. “We’re excited about the possibility that we can pull this off tomorrow.”
-
Flap’s Links and Comments for July 11th through July 12th
These are my links for July 11th through July 12th:
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-07-12 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-07-12 #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Links and Comments for July 11th on 15:20 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for July 11th on 15:20 #tcot #catcot
-
@Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-07-12
- Flap's Dentistry Blog: The Daily Extraction: Two Lower Right Premolars http://bit.ly/qFFvtY #
- President 2012: Michele Bachmann and Her Police Reports | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/nonuJg #
- Amazon.com Files a Referendum to Ask Voters to Overturn California Internet Sales Taxes | Flap's Blog – Fullosse… http://bit.ly/qOxqbS #
- The Daily Extraction: Two Lower Right Premolars http://bit.ly/ogmT9c #
- President 2012: Michele Bachmann and Her Police Reports http://bit.ly/nUipkf #tcot #catcot #
- Amazon.com Files a Referendum to Ask Voters to Overturn California Internet Sales Taxes http://bit.ly/oA4M4Z #tcot #catcot #
- President 2012: Obama Offers to Raise Medicare Eligibility Age? http://bit.ly/paOujK #tcot #catcot #
- Ex-Assembly leader Fabien Nunez angers family of slain student http://bit.ly/qvPMS4 #
- Dilbert July 11, 2011 – Offense? http://bit.ly/rtqlKn #tcot #catcot #
- The Afternoon Drill: July 11, 2011 http://bit.ly/qA487D #
- President 2012 Iowa GOP Poll Watch: Bachmann 25% Vs Romney 21% Vs Pawlenty 9% http://bit.ly/qrr6Jo #tcot #catcot #
- CA-36 Poll Watch: Janice Hahn 52% Vs. Craig Huey 44% | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/p2joCm #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for July 11th on 03:02 http://bit.ly/noCjtO #tcot #catcot #
- CA-36 Poll Watch: Janice Hahn 52% Vs. Craig Huey 44% http://bit.ly/qbrJB6 #tcot #catcot #
- 'South California': Riverside politician seeks to form 'South California' http://lat.ms/pv3JHU #
- California Redistricting commission cancels next round of draft maps http://lat.ms/nAZbWg #
- CA-36: GOP Looking for an Upset in the Craig Huey Vs. Janice Hahn Race? http://bit.ly/nPQMGn #tcot #catcot #
- President 2012: Obama Says It Is Time to Eat Our Peas http://bit.ly/mZcfsi #tcot #catcot #
- FDA to Look at Fosamax and Other Bisphosphonate Drug Side Effects http://bit.ly/rkq1Xn #
- I just unlocked the "Local" badge on @foursquare! http://4sq.com/nlalwd #
- A little ice coffee during the 90 degree walk downtown (@ Starbucks w/ 2 others) http://4sq.com/p7QIxB #
- Day By Day July 11, 2011 – Economics 101 http://bit.ly/nKAyLt #tcot #catcot #
- CA-36: Craig Huey Ramps Up Get Out the Vote Campaign Against Janice Hahn | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/qYawa2 #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for July 10th on 10:01 | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/mTHCYd #
- Flap’s Links and Comments for July 10th on 19:02 http://bit.ly/r1XWFf #tcot #catcot #
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-07-11 http://bit.ly/p7QmQ7 #tcot #catcot #
Powered by Twitter Tools