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President 2012 Poll Watch: Romney 49% Vs Obama 47%, Obama 50% Vs. Perry 45%
According to the latest USA Today/Gallup Poll.President Obama finds himself in close races with his two leading GOP rivals, according to a USA Today/Gallup poll released Monday.
Among registered voters, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney edges Obama, 49 percent to 47 percent. The president leads Texas Gov. Rick Perry, 50 percent to 45 percent.
Though he leads Obama, Romney isn’t GOP voters’ top choice for the nomination. Perry attracts 31 percent support from Republicans and Republican-leaning independents while Romney has 24 percent. Texas Rep. Ron Paul comes in third with 13 percent. Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and businessman Herman Cain each receive 5 percent support. Bachmann has plummeted eight points since the last USA Today/Gallup poll, released in early August. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman round out the field with 2 percent and 1 percent, respectively.
According to the new survey, 53 percent of voters say they want a Republican nominee who is best positioned to defeat President Obama, and 43 percent say they want a candidate who agrees with them on nearly all issues.
These numbers should shift around again after this Thursday’s debate in Orlando, Florida. For now, it is a two person race for the GOP nomination and President Obama is not assured of re-election.
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NV-Sen: Dean Heller 48% Vs. Shelly Barkley 42%
According to the latest Public Opinion Strategies (R) Poll.
A new Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll in Nevada shows Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) leading Rep. Shelley Berkley (D-NV) in the U.S. Senate race by six points, 48% to 42%.
The poll is here.
According to Nevada political reporter extraordinaire John Ralston, Heller is head in Washoe County by 17 points and also ahead with independents (2 to 1). -
Flap’s Links and Comments for September 19th on 08:25
These are my links for September 19th from 08:25 to 14:27:
- It’s Politics: Assemblyman Donnelly braves ‘Daily Show’ – Assemblyman Tim Donnelly, R-Hesperia, bravely welcomed John Oliver and crew from "The Daily Show" to his office Wednesday to talk direct democracy, taxes and, for perhaps the first time, only a little immigration.
"They're very interested in direct democracy," Donnelly said. "Obviously with the governor saying he will sign the DREAM Act, I plan to referend (sic) it. So that plus my focus on the Amazon tax attracted their attention."
Donnelly acknowledged he's never seen the show before and so perhaps is unprepared for what Oliver and the editors plan to do to him in post production, but he wanted to get his message out.
"People say why in the world would you go on a comedy show where they make fun of you and try to make you look stupid?" Donnelly asked. "We always hear people talking about `we need to go after the youth vote, we need to get our message out…' They have 14 million viewers. I think there's some things that (despite) the comedy, sometimes the message gets through," Donnelly said.
And that message?
"That people are absolutely sick and tired of illegal taxes. The Amazon tax is illegal. And the fire tax is illegal and unconstitutional, according to California's constitution. And here in California they cry the blues and say we don't have any money, but somehow we came up with $40 million to pay for people here illegally to go to college."
- (500) http://flapsblog.com/2011/09/19/president-2012-left-vows-to-challenge-president-obama-in-democratic-party-primary-elections/ – Relax folks it is only Ralph Nader…..:
- Solyndra Loan: Felony Dumb – Democrats at last week’s hearing accused Republicans of being “science-deniers” attempting to exploit Solyndra’s failure in order to discredit the entire “green” industry. But in Bilbray’s case especially, those claims couldn’t be any more off-base. As a self-professed supporter of solar energy who thinks tapping Steven Chu for secretary of energy was “probably one of the best choices this president has made,” Bilbray is not the Republican caricature the other side likes to portray. In fact, Bilbray shares Democrats’ concerns that the Solyndra debacle could end up setting back the solar industry, though for slightly different reasons.
At this point, Bilbray remains unconvinced that the Solyndra case involves “conscious corruption” on the part of the administration. “I see it as being a much deeper problem,” he says. “And that is a naivety of approaching science as if it’s a theology — green technology is all good, it’s all going to be great and it’s all going to make money. It’s this blind faith that green technology, no matter what it is, is going to be a boon, that is the greatest threat for future solar.”
It is eerily reminiscent, he adds, of the zealous frenzy in the past over alternative fuels like ethanol. “Now everybody except the people who have sold their souls knows what a disaster that has been,” he says. So while the administration may not have committed an actual crime with respect to its involvement with Solyndra, they certainly made some appalling decisions. “They were felony dumb,” Bilbray says. “What scares me is, how many other projects are being pushed by a political perception that it is good for politics and that it will always work out?”
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Read it all
- Dilbert September 19, 2011 – Genius » Flap’s California Blog – Dilbert September 19, 2011 – Genius
- President 2012 Pennsylvania Poll Watch: Obama 50% Vs. Romney 40% and Obama 52% Vs. Perry 37% | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – President Obama up in Pennsylvania polling.:
- Flap’s Dentistry Blog: Marathon Training Does Not Always Mean Losing Weight – Marathon Training Does Not Always Mean Losing Weight
- President 2012: Mitch Daniels Calls for a More Honest Debate | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – President 2012: Mitch Daniels Calls for a More Honest Debate #tcot #catcot
- The Deadly Link Between High Dietary Salt Intake and Obesity | Smiles For A Lifetime – Temporary (Locum Tenens) Dentistry – The Deadly Link Between High Dietary Salt Intake and Obesity
- Hats Off to the House GOP on NLRB Vote – By Larry Kudlow – Kudlow’s Money Politics – National Review Online – Hats Off to the House GOP on NLRB Vote – By Larry Kudlow
- Flap’s Links and Comments for September 15th through September 19th | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for September 15th through September 19th #tcot #catcot
- It’s Politics: Assemblyman Donnelly braves ‘Daily Show’ – Assemblyman Tim Donnelly, R-Hesperia, bravely welcomed John Oliver and crew from "The Daily Show" to his office Wednesday to talk direct democracy, taxes and, for perhaps the first time, only a little immigration.
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President 2012: LEFT Vows to Challenge President Obama in Democratic Party Primary Elections?
I doubt it and the only one making noise is Ralph Nader. Maybe Matt Drudge just has delusions of grandeur….
President Obama’s smooth path to the Democratic nomination may have gotten rockier Monday, after a group of liberal leaders, including former presidential candidate Ralph Nader, announced plans to challenge the incumbent in primaries next year.The group said the goal is to offer up a handful of candidates from various fields and areas where the president either has failed to stake out a “progressive” position or where he has “drifted toward the corporatist right.”
“Without debates by challengers inside the Democratic Party’s presidential primaries, the liberal/majoritarian agenda will be muted and ignored,” Mr. Nader said in a news release. “The one-man Democratic primaries will be dull, repetitive, and draining of both voter enthusiasm and real bright lines between the two parties that excite voters.”
In search of candidates, Mr. Nader and the others sent out a letter, endorsed by 45 “distinguished leaders,”to elected officials, civic leaders, academics and members of the progressive community who specialize among other things in labor, poverty, military and foreign policy. The list, they said, also includes progressive Democrats who have held national and state office and have fought for progressive reforms.
Ralph Nader, who is on the KOOK tin foil hate LEFT will run anyway – he always does and is always disgrunted. Sort of a grumpy old man.
The LEFT love Obama. He is their guy.
What the LEFT does not like about Obama is that the President’s popularity has fallen because he sucks as a leader, governs poorly and may lose Presidential power in 2012. If Obama was up in the polls, these LEFT leaders would be singing his praises.
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President 2012 Pennsylvania Poll Watch: Obama 50% Vs. Romney 40% and Obama 52% Vs. Perry 37%
According to the latest Magellan Strategies Poll.
Magellan Strategies today released the results of an autodial survey of 702 likely 2012 Pennsylvania general election voters.
The survey finds Barack Obama comfortably leading potential Republican challengers Mitt Romney by 10 points (50% to 40%) and Rick Perry by 15 points (52% to 37%). The President has solid support among voters that overwhelmingly backed him in 2008, including women, voters aged 18 to 34, and self-described moderate voters. It is clear from this survey that those key voting subgroups are still very much with him. Despite this good news for Barack Obama, the mood of these voters is pessimistic, with 62% of women, 64% of self-described moderates, and 54% of voters 18 to 34 feeling things in the country are on the wrong track. It remains to be seen if the eventual Republican nominee can appeal to these voters after the primary.
Pennsylvania is not a key battleground state for the GOP. President Obama handily won Pennyslvania in 2008.
But, should Pennsylvania flip to the Republican Presidential candidate, the path for Obama to 270 Electoral College votes is much more difficult. The party registration in Pennsylvania is 51% Democrat, 37% Republican and 12% Independent/Other.
It seems Pennsylvania is always mentioned as being in play, but a Republican Presidential candidate has not won the state since George H.W. Bush in 1988.
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President 2012: Mitch Daniels Calls for a More Honest Debate
Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels answers questions Thursday, May 19, 2011, at the Palais Royale ballroom during a breakfast speech in South Bend, Indiana
I still wish Daniels would have run for the Presidency but now he is hawking his book that will be out tomorrow.Four months after he decided against jumping into the Republican presidential race, Gov. Mitch Daniels of Indiana says that he has occasionally been frustrated by the discourse in the campaign and that the field could benefit from at least one more contender whose candidacy was rooted in a message of fiscal discipline.
Mr. Daniels said his party’s candidates had a responsibility to conduct a “more candid and honest” conversation about the nation’s financial burdens, particularly Social Security and Medicare.
“Somebody else could still enter and have a competitive chance,” Mr. Daniels said in a weekend interview. “The candidate I could get instantly excited about is someone who is willing to level with the American people and assume they are prepared to listen to the mathematical facts and agree that whatever other disagreements we have aren’t as important.”
Mr. Daniels, who is among the country’s most respected Republican governors, has not chosen a favorite candidate in the party’s nominating contest. He said the recent contentious exchanges over Social Security between the party’s leading candidates, Gov. Rick Perry of Texas and former Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts, had not advanced the debate.
Please, please a team of New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Rep. Paul Ryan. Either or both would be better than Romney and Perry.
The observations from Mr. Daniels come as he prepares this week to release a book, “Keeping the Republic: Saving America by Trusting Americans.” In the book, to be released Tuesday, he calls for a new Reconstruction period in the United States and proposes major changes to entitlement programs to help control the deficit and avert “the most predictable crisis we’ll ever face.”
He outlines in stark terms what he views as the nation’s precarious economic condition, suggesting that Democrats and Republicans alike have failed to adequately prepare for a new “Red menace” facing the United States.
“It’s quite possible that some Republican could win next year by just being not the president, but then what?” Mr. Daniels said. “They should campaign to govern, not just win an election.”
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Flap’s Links and Comments for September 15th through September 19th
These are my links for September 15th through September 19th:
- Hats Off to the House GOP on NLRB Vote – By Larry Kudlow – Thank heavens the House Republicans just passed a bill — the “Protecting Jobs from Government Interference Act” — that would stop the National Labor Relations Board from telling any company where it can or cannot operate in the United States.
Finally, a pro-business signal from Washington. This one inspired by Boeing’s attempt to operate their $750 million South Carolina plant to produce the 787 Dreamliner with at least one thousand workers. The NLRB has alleged that Boeing is retaliating against union workers in the state of Washington by operating a non-union in the right-to-work state of South Carolina.
This is nonsense.
Boeing is actually adding union jobs in Washington State. And if you keep them out of South Carolina, their next stop probably will be China.
Is that what we want?
This is the same NLRB rogue regulator that wants union strike posters displayed in all businesses and is pushing for back-door card check to end the secrecy of union-organizing ballots.
And it is exactly this anti-business bias coming out of the administration that has caused a capital-investment strike by American companies, which are sitting on nearly $2 trillion in cash.
The president should have taken the NLRB into a special presidential woodshed set up in the Oval Office. That’s what Ronald Reagan would have done.
You want to know why this economy could be on the front-end of a recession, with zero jobs? Think anti-business. Think over-regulation.
- Poll: Even Union Workers Back Boeing – The anti-free market jihad that’s being waged by U.S. President Barack Obama’s National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) against Boeing isn’t sitting well with the American public.
According to a new Rasmussen Reports poll, 64 percent of Americans believe that the aircraft manufacturer should be permitted to locate its second Dreamliner assembly plant in South Carolina. Less than a third of that number – 21 percent – disagree.
Not only that, a majority of unionized workers – 59 percent – believe that Boeing has a right to locate its new facility in South Carolina.
“Republicans and unaffiliated voters overwhelmingly side with Boeing on the issue while Democrats are more evenly divided,” the pollsters found.
In April, Obama’s NLRB filed an unprecedented anti-free market complaint against Boeing – alleging that the aircraft manufacturer’s decision to locate a second assembly line for its oft-delayed Dreamliner airplane in South Carolina was a hostile move against unionized workers in Washington State.
The move is clearly an effort by the Obama administration to discourage companies from locating new jobs to right-to-work states.
“Boeing has created hundreds of new jobs with the innovative Dreamliner and a cutting-edge production facility, but the National Labor Relations Board’s attempt to punish this success would drive jobs overseas,” U.S. Sen. Jim DeMint (R-South Carolina) said recently. - Poll Watch: Unemployment Rate Improves in Mid-September to 8.8% But Underemployment Remains High | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Poll Watch: Unemployment Rate Improves in Mid-September to 8.8% But Underemployment Remains High #tcot #catcot
- Even when it succeeds, Obamacare fails | Campaign 2012 – RT @conncarroll: Even when it succeeds, Obamacare fails #tcot
- Day By Day September 19, 2011 – Lost in Translation | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – With President Obama redistribution of income and capital gets better and better….:
- (404) http://t.co/NxR – RT @jimgeraghty: In Nevada, a Democratic party insider is telling candidates, "Don't get your picture taken with Obama." …
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-19 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-19 #tcot #catcot
- foursquare – (500)
- (500) http://4sq.com/q1AZii – BBQ was the special tonight (@ Chez Cole)
- A Methamphetamine Vaccine? | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – A Methamphetamine Vaccine? #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Dentistry Blog: The Daily Extraction: September 18, 2011 – The Daily Extraction: September 18, 2011
- (500) http://4sq.com/qe6Rbr – foursquare
- (500) http://4sq.com/qrI4Ab – foursquare
- (500) http://4sq.com/qlrS4Q – foursquare
- CA-26: Will Rep. Elton Gallegly Run for Re-Election? | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap says Rep. Elton Gallegly WILL run for re-election in 2012.:
- President 2012: California Taking a Back Seat for Presidential Campaigns? » Flap’s California Blog – California always the Presidential funder but never the competitive campaign state.:
- Dilbert September 18, 2011 – Imperious Interruptus » Flap’s California Blog – Not level conscious at all……:
- Flap’s Dentistry Blog: Clifton O. Dummett, D.D.S. R.I.P. – Clifton O. Dummett, D.D.S. R.I.P.
- Day By Day September 18, 2011 – Mammaries | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – How Americans long for the good old days, no?:
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-18 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-18 #tcot #catcot
- foursquare – Dinner with Kate H at Bubba Gumps (@ Santa Monica Pier w/ 5 others)
- foursquare – I just unlocked the "Photogenic" badge on @foursquare!
- foursquare – 8 miles and now Breakfast with Alice and Tara (@ Ronnie's Diner)
- Twitpic – Share photos and videos on Twitter – Off soon to Venice Beach, California and LA Marathon Roadrunner's training. 8 easy miles today.Then Ronnie's Diner
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-17 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-17 #tcot #catcot
- Eel enters man’s penis in spa treatment, is surgically removed – latimes.com – Ouch! RT @LATimeshealth: Eel enters man's penis in spa treatment, is surgically removed
- Clifton O. Dummett, D.D.S. R.I.P. | Smiles For A Lifetime – Temporary (Locum Tenens) Dentistry – I will miss Dr. Dummett. What an outstanding Professor of Dentistry!:
- Untitled (http://twitter.com/CAGOP/status/114860851797827584/photo/1) – RT @CAGOP: @CAGOP Chairman @tomdelbeccaro talks with press about extending GOP outreach. #cagop2011
- President 2012: Michele Bachmann Compares Rick Perry and HPV Vaccine to President Obama With Solyndra | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Michele Bachmann, PerryCare and Solyndra – in the Golden State:
- (500) https://gplus.to/flap – Tweeps, you can subscribe to @Flap on Facebook. Go here: It is that easy. Google Plus is here:
- California Unemployment Rate Increases to 12.1% As Employers Cut Jobs » Flap’s California Blog – California Unemployment Rate Up Again — to 12.1%:
- Dilbert September 16, 2011 – Unfortunately » Flap’s California Blog – :
- California Congressional Districts NOT All Bad for Republican Party | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – California GOP should accept Congressional Districts and fight for them.:
- Day By Day September 16, 2011 – Verbage In Verbage Out | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – The Tea Party Blame Game……:
- Flap’s California Morning Collection: September 16, 2011 » Flap’s California Blog – Flap’s California Morning Collection: September 16, 2011
- President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Rick Perry’s Ponzi Scheme Comment on Social Security a Non-Issue? | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Rick Perry’s Ponzi Scheme Comment on Social Security a Non-Issue? #tcot #catcot
- Stutzman: Congressional Redistricting Not All Bad News for California GOP : Roll Call Opinion – RT @juliesoderlund: CA Congressional maps not all bad news for CA GOP says @RobStutzman today in @rollcall:
- @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-16 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-16 #tcot #catcot
- Flap’s Dentistry Blog: Promotion of Former Director of Dayton VA Medical Center Guy Richardson Criticized – Promotion of Former Director of Dayton VA Medical Center Guy Richardson Criticized
- FAIR Files Lawsuit to Overturn the California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission’s State Senate Districts » Flap’s California Blog – FAIR Files Lawsuit to Overturn the California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission’s State Senate Districts:
- Perry Is Failing The First Test(s) – Business Insider – Perry debate performances hurt his chances
- Flap’s Links and Comments for September 15th on 10:33 | Flap’s Blog – FullosseousFlap’s Dental Blog – Flap’s Links and Comments for September 15th on 10:33 #tcot #catcot
- Hats Off to the House GOP on NLRB Vote – By Larry Kudlow – Thank heavens the House Republicans just passed a bill — the “Protecting Jobs from Government Interference Act” — that would stop the National Labor Relations Board from telling any company where it can or cannot operate in the United States.
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President 2012: Chris Christie Coming Into the Race?
Jen Rubin hopes and in a way, so do I.
Republicans are now confessing openly: The current field is weak, and Texas Gov. Rick Perry leaves them with substantial doubts. This conversation from the “Panel Plus” discussion of “Fox News Sunday” is illuminating…..
There are several factors at play here.
First, Perry has not yet coaxed the big donors off the sidelines.There is plenty of money for Christie to scoop up.
Second, none of the candidates in the field has been able to put together all factions of the party. As Evan Bayh noted on Fox, Christie is someone who embodies the Tea Party spirit (feisty, anti-D.C. establishment) but is more than sophisticated enough to satisfy mainstream conservatives, business leaders and policy wonks.
From what I gather, most Republicans will accept Rick Perry over Mitt Romney, but are really looking for somebody else. A team of Chris Christie and Paul Ryan would be awesomeness for grass roots and establishment Republicans.
If not, then the fight (and it will be a media battle royale) will be in the GOP primary elections/caucuses on whether to go “do no harm” with Romney (a safe candidate) or “go long” with Rick Perry (grass roots conservative who shoots from the hip).
Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels maintains there is room for another candidate in the race. I don’t think he means Sarah Palin.
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Poll Watch: Unemployment Rate Improves in Mid-September to 8.8% But Underemployment Remains High
According to the latest Gallup Poll.Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, is 8.8% in mid-September — down from 9.1% at the end of August and the same as it was at the end of July. However, the apparent improvement in unemployment from August to mid-September may merely reflect normal seasonal hiring patterns and not be an indication that the employment situation is improving. On the other hand, current unemployment is considerably better than the 9.4% of a year ago.
But……
Underemployment remains stuck at 18.5% in Mid-September.
Underemployment, a measure that combines the percentage of workers who are unemployed with the percentage working part time but wanting full-time work, is 18.5% in mid-September — the same as the 18.5% at the end of August and the 18.6% of mid-September a year ago.
Number Forced to Take Part-time Work Increases
Offsetting the drop in the percentage of unemployed is an increase to 9.7% in the percentage of part-time workers who want full-time work in mid-September — up from 9.4% at the end of August and its highest level since mid-June. It is also up from 9.2% in mid-September last year. It is this increase, coupled with the downturn in unemployment, that yields the stability this month in the measure of overall underemployment.
The chart:
Gallup’s issues a caveat that the improving unemployment rate may not indicate that the employment situation is improving appreciably because of the difference in their polling methodology as compared to the government’s. Gallup maintains that the underemployment rate is a better indicator.
Nearly one in five Americans remain underemployed this year, as was the case a year ago, and the figures are worse for certain subgroups, including 28.9% underemployment for those 18 to 29, 23.1% for those who have not attended college, and 27.8% among blacks.
More Americans are now being forced to take part-time jobs when they really want full-time work. Focusing merely on unemployment instead of underemployment tends to ignore the hardship facing the millions of Americans forced to work part time. The long-term implications of this jobs situation — particularly among specific groups of Americans — for U.S. society as a whole may be more important than any of the major topics currently being debated nationally.
In other words, the employment situation is not improving appreciably.
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Day By Day September 19, 2011 – Lost in Translation
But, wait, Chris.Obama and his redistributionist socialism gets better and better.
Today it is the Buffett Rule and $1.5 Trillion in new taxes to share the wealth around.
Key features of Obama’s plan, as described by senior administration officials Sunday evening:
- $1.5 trillion in new revenue, which would include about $800 billion realized over 10 years from repealing the Bush-era tax rates for couples making more than $250,000. It also would place limits on deductions for wealthy filers and end certain corporate loopholes and subsidies for oil and gas companies.
- $580 billion in cuts in mandatory benefit programs, including $248 billion in Medicare and $72 billion in Medicaid and other health programs. Other mandatory benefit programs include farm subsidies.
- $430 billion in savings from lower interest payment on the national debt.
By adding about $1 trillion in spending cuts already enacted by Congress and counting about $1 trillion in savings from the drawdown of military forces from Iraq and Afghanistan, the combined deficit reduction would total more than $4 trillion over 10 years, senior administration officials said.
The proposal is dead on arrival in the GOP House but the President does not care because this proposal is to fire up his base of Far Left Democratic supporters as he gears up for re-election.
Senate Republicans are already using the Obama missive as a wedge issue, insisting that Democratic Senators running for re-election next year take a position on the Obama plan. I doubt Harry Reid will take up the matter even if it made its way to the Senate.