Iran Nuclear Watch: The Final Proposal from Iran

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Iran’s top nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani answers a question from the media during a news conference in Tehran, on Sunday March 5, 2006. Iran warned Sunday that it will start large-scale uranium enrichment if it is referred to the U.N. Security Council.

ASSociated Press: Iran Threatens to Start Uranium Enrichment

Iran warned Sunday it will start large-scale uranium enrichment if it is referred to the U.N. Security Council because of international concerns over its nuclear program.

International Atomic Energy Agency will meet in Vienna, Austria, on Monday to discuss Iran’s nuclear program and decide whether to refer the issue to the Security Council, which has the power to impose economic and political sanctions on the Islamic republic.

As Flap has said over and over, Iran will NOT peacefully stand down their nuclear program. The ball has shifted from the Mullahs and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to the European Union, Israel and the United States.

Tomorrow the IAEA MAY refer Iran to the United Nations Security Council. But, the referral will be meaningless (due to the likelyhood of a China VETO) and the inevitable (a military operation to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities) will either slowly evolve or start to spin out of control, depnding upon Iran’s reaction.

THE QUOTES:

“If Iran’s nuclear dossier is referred to the U.N. Security Council, (large-scale) uranium enrichment will be resumed,” Iran’s top nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, told a news conference.

“If they (the U.S. and its allies) want to use force, we will pursue our own path.”

“Research and development won’t stop, but we are ready to agree to a timetable on (large-scale uranium) enrichment,” Larijani said. “This is the final proposal from Iran to find a solution.”

“Nuclear research and development is part of Iran’s national interests and sovereignty and won’t give it up,” he said.

“(Nuclear) research and development will continue. We don’t see any reason to suspend it … We are seeking to establish this technology at home,” he said. “We have made good progress in nuclear research.”

The United States and its allies should show “their good will,” and “accept industrial scale (uranium enrichment) by Iran, accept nuclear research and development. Then, if they have any concerns, we will be ready to show flexibility in short term.”

Iran, Larijani said, had exhausted “all peaceful ways” and said that if there were demands made contrary to the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, Iran “will resist.”

Two Iranians work at the zirconium production plant, part of the nuclear facilities in Isfahan, 295 km from Tehran, March 2005. Iran will not freeze sensitive nuclear “research” work even if it is hauled before the UN Security Council, the Islamic republic’s top nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani said.

The questions are:

What is the POINT OF NO RETURN for the United States and Israel?

How close is Iran to developing a nuclear weapon or do they already possess them (perhaps by purchase on the black market)?

Who will fire the first shot across the bow? And what will be the Iranian response?

Stay tuned…….

Update #1

And now the United States is discussing a 30 to 60-day deadline for Tehran to halt its nuclear program and cooperate with international inspectors or face intensified pressure in the UN Security Council.

The United States wants the council — which has enforcement powers — to issue a statement insisting Iran cease its nuclear activities and then giving Tehran “a time period to respond — say 30 to 60 days — after which the council would consider what to do” about applying further pressure, said the U.S. official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Is this the same deadline President Bush gave Saddam Hussein? A measured timetable?

And what will be Iran’s response?

Stay tuned……
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