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google plus Updated:Upset Possible: CA 36: Janice Hahn Refuses to Mention She is a Democrat in Television Ads   Something Going On in This Race?linkedin Updated:Upset Possible: CA 36: Janice Hahn Refuses to Mention She is a Democrat in Television Ads   Something Going On in This Race?pinterest Updated:Upset Possible: CA 36: Janice Hahn Refuses to Mention She is a Democrat in Television Ads   Something Going On in This Race?stumbleupon Updated:Upset Possible: CA 36: Janice Hahn Refuses to Mention She is a Democrat in Television Ads   Something Going On in This Race?reader Updated:Upset Possible: CA 36: Janice Hahn Refuses to Mention She is a Democrat in Television Ads   Something Going On in This Race?printfriendly Updated:Upset Possible: CA 36: Janice Hahn Refuses to Mention She is a Democrat in Television Ads   Something Going On in This Race?email Updated:Upset Possible: CA 36: Janice Hahn Refuses to Mention She is a Democrat in Television Ads   Something Going On in This Race?share save 171 16 Updated:Upset Possible: CA 36: Janice Hahn Refuses to Mention She is a Democrat in Television Ads   Something Going On in This Race?

+++++Update+++++

Now, a national Republican pundit, Michael Barone is taking interest in a possible upset.
The beach towns, originally settled by Midwestern retirees, were historically Republican. By the 1990s, however, the population had shifted to a younger generation, and the area, like so many other relatively high-education, high-income suburbs in major non-Southern metropolitan areas, trended heavily toward the Democrats. Hahn’s ads are clearly designed to appeal to cultural liberals and seem to totally ignore the fiscal and economic issues which are of paramount importance to most voters across the nation. A Republican victory would suggest that cultural issues are of far less importance than they were in the 1995-2005 period, when partisan preferences seemed frozen, and that affluent suburban voters are open to voting Republican on economic issues.

This was supposed to be an easy race for Democrats. Under California’s new primary rules, the top two candidates in the primary face off in the general election, and it was expected that the top two candidates in the May 17 primary would be Hahn and California Secretary of State Debra Bowen. Huey edged Bowen out for second place, but even so I thought that his chances of winning the seat were negligible. Now they seem somewhat better than that, although I think oddsmakers would still have to favor Hahn. But oddsmakers can be wrong, as the voters in the New York 26th district demonstrated.

Upset possible? I would not sell Craig Huey short here.

When the lefty site Daily Kos makes a mention on this race between Craig Huey and Janice Hahn in California Congressional District 36 that something is going on, one has to wonder.

Democrat Janice Hahn has two new “contrast” ads out — spots which start by attacking Craig Huey for his extremism and finish by touting Hahn’s own credentials. Something must really be up in this race, because the second ad (both are available at the link) focuses on Hahn’s “non-partisan” credentials and both shy away from mentioning her party affiliation. If an out-and-proud Democrat is having a hard time winning in this district… just oy.

Well, there has been little buzz about this race lately and no “leaked” internal polling. I suspect this race is close.

Remember this is a July 12th special election and Craig Huey WILL turn out his conservative/Republican voters even though they are badly outnumbered in CA-36.

An upset in the making?

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google plus President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%linkedin President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%pinterest President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%stumbleupon President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%reader President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%printfriendly President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%email President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%share save 171 16 President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%

According to the latest PPP Poll.

PPP has polled the key early Republican contests of New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa, and now South Carolina over the course of the last two months and they all have one thing in common: Mitt Romney with the lead. Romney and Sarah Palin may be closely matched in the national Republican polling right now but Romney’s considerably stronger in the states that matter most. Our most recent polls have him leading by 6 in Iowa, 15 in Nevada, and 23 in New Hampshire. And today’s numbers find him up by 9 in South Carolina at 27% to 18% for Palin, 12% each for Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich, 9% for Michele Bachmann, 7% for Ron Paul, 4% for Tim Pawlenty, and 2% for Jon Huntsman.

Romney’s formula for success in South Carolina is the same as in Iowa: dominate with the middle, lead with the center right, and avoid getting completely blown out of the water with the far right. Voters describing themselves as ‘very conservative’ are the largest segment of the Republican electorate in the state at 41% and Palin leads with them at 21% but Romney is at least right there at 20%. With moderates Romney leads by 26 points, getting 41% to Palin’s 15%. And with ‘somewhat conservative’ voters Romney gets 27% to 15% each for Gingrich and Palin.

The question: Is Mitt Romney starting to pull away from the rest of the field? Can he be considered the front runner?

Another question: Are Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann too late in the running to be the anti-Romney candidate?

Third question: What would throwing a Rudy Giuliani in the mix to compete for moderate Republican do to the race?

Last question: With Christie and Ryan favorables so high, would they become a viable anti-Romney candidate?

The entire poll is here.

Here is the favorable vs. unfavorable table:

ppp poll south carolina President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%

google plus President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%linkedin President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%pinterest President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%stumbleupon President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%reader President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%printfriendly President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%email President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%share save 171 16 President 2012 South Carolina GOP Poll Watch: Romney 27% Vs. Palin 18% Vs. Cain and Gingrich 12%

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google plus President 2012: Mitch Daniels Campaign Picks Up Steam?linkedin President 2012: Mitch Daniels Campaign Picks Up Steam?pinterest President 2012: Mitch Daniels Campaign Picks Up Steam?stumbleupon President 2012: Mitch Daniels Campaign Picks Up Steam?reader President 2012: Mitch Daniels Campaign Picks Up Steam?printfriendly President 2012: Mitch Daniels Campaign Picks Up Steam?email President 2012: Mitch Daniels Campaign Picks Up Steam?share save 171 16 President 2012: Mitch Daniels Campaign Picks Up Steam?

 

Well, if he announces it will.

Governor Mitch Daniel’s possible run for president continues to gain national support. A political website announced Monday that Daniels is definitely throwing his hat into the ring.

Even though Governor Daniels has yet to make an announcement, it hasn’t stopped newspapers or fellow politicians from endorsing him nor has it stopped political websites like pculcpa.com from making the decision for him.

At the American Enterprise Institute last week, Daniels tip-toed around the issue, telling reporters he didn’t think it was too late to enter the ring.

“I really thought it might become too late somewhere along the line. If it had it would have been that. But for whatever reason I think it is a happy surprise,” Daniels said.

The Governor’s wife Cheri is scheduled to give an Indiana GOP speech this Thursday but reportedly this is being downplayed by Daniel’s insiders. Frankly, with Cheri’s aversion to politics (she is actually a sane politico’s wife), if Mitch is going to go, then he should annoounce today or tomorrow and spare her the grief of all of the press questions.

But, on the other hand, maybe that is the point. Announce after her speech and spare her the follow-up questions.

On Thursday, Daniels’ notoriously politics shy wife Cheri will keynote a dinner for the Indiana Republican Party, and it has been suggested that that would be the venue for Daniels’ big moment. But people familiar with the Hoosier governor say that it’s likely to be a bit more of a wait.

“I don’t want to oversell it by any means,” said one Indiana Republican familiar with the situation of the dinner Thursday. “I don’t expect an announcement of any kind to come that night (if it does, it would be a surprise).”

A more reasonable time to look for a decision, the Republican suggested, would be closer to Memorial Day.

Governor, time to fish or cut bait – soon.

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google plus Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbelieflinkedin Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbeliefpinterest Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbeliefstumbleupon Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbeliefreader Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbeliefprintfriendly Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbeliefemail Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbeliefshare save 171 16 Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbelief

119425.strip Dilbert April 21, 2011   Schedule The Disbelief

Dilbert by Scott Adams

Prioritization of resouces, no doubt.

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5624959499 49a186205d Santa Monica at Daybreak

Santa Monica at Daybreak, originally uploaded by flap.

This photo was taken looking south towards the Santa Monica pier.

I was waiting for the LA Running Club to begin and then a 12 mile easy run to the Marina Del Rey Jetty and back.

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google plus Los Angeles Running Club   Looking at Malibulinkedin Los Angeles Running Club   Looking at Malibupinterest Los Angeles Running Club   Looking at Malibustumbleupon Los Angeles Running Club   Looking at Malibureader Los Angeles Running Club   Looking at Malibuprintfriendly Los Angeles Running Club   Looking at Malibuemail Los Angeles Running Club   Looking at Malibushare save 171 16 Los Angeles Running Club   Looking at Malibu

A Long run today at the LA Running Club.

This photo is looking north to Malibu  from Santa Monica.

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google plus Fundamentals of Restorative Implant Dentistrylinkedin Fundamentals of Restorative Implant Dentistrypinterest Fundamentals of Restorative Implant Dentistrystumbleupon Fundamentals of Restorative Implant Dentistryreader Fundamentals of Restorative Implant Dentistryprintfriendly Fundamentals of Restorative Implant Dentistryemail Fundamentals of Restorative Implant Dentistryshare save 171 16 Fundamentals of Restorative Implant Dentistry

This has been a great course today, especially since it is at my Alma Mater.

What a difference in class composition – good to see the younger next generation of dentists.

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