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Former Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain endorsed his former rival Newt Gingrich at an event in West Palm Beach, Florida Saturday night. (Jan. 28)

This will probably not do too much for Newt Gingrich in Florida on Tuesday. But, Gingrich is now playing a delegate game with Romney, much like Ronald Reagain in 1976 against Gerald Ford. The difference is that Romney is not an incumbent President.

Herman Cain on the stump will help Gingrich in many states and bring along plenty of Tea Party supporters.

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google plus President 2012 Video: Sarah Palin Says Vote for Newt   Rage Against the Machinelinkedin President 2012 Video: Sarah Palin Says Vote for Newt   Rage Against the Machinepinterest President 2012 Video: Sarah Palin Says Vote for Newt   Rage Against the Machinestumbleupon President 2012 Video: Sarah Palin Says Vote for Newt   Rage Against the Machinereader President 2012 Video: Sarah Palin Says Vote for Newt   Rage Against the Machineprintfriendly President 2012 Video: Sarah Palin Says Vote for Newt   Rage Against the Machineemail President 2012 Video: Sarah Palin Says Vote for Newt   Rage Against the Machineshare save 171 16 President 2012 Video: Sarah Palin Says Vote for Newt   Rage Against the Machine

Here is Sarah Palin yesterday on the Judge Jeanine Show urging conservatives to vote for Newt Gingrich.

Will it be enough in Florida?

Probably not, but Gingrich will go forward with a hard earned second place and will take his campaign to other states. When Santorum and/or Ron Paul drop out, he will hope a one on one contest with Romney will help him win sufficient delegates to at least tie up the nomination (deny Mitt Romney a delegate majority) until the convention.

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google plus President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumpslinkedin President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumpspinterest President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumpsstumbleupon President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumpsreader President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumpsprintfriendly President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumpsemail President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumpsshare save 171 16 President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumps

Gallup Presidential National Poll Jan 27 President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Gingrich Maintaining National Poll Lead While Romney Slumps

According to the latest Gallup Poll.

Republican registered voters nationally continue to prefer Newt Gingrich over Mitt Romney for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination, with no sign in Gallup Daily tracking from Jan. 22-26 that Gingrich is giving back any of his recent gains.

The 32% of Republican voters now choosing Gingrich as the candidate they are most likely to support for the nomination is his highest level of support since the 2012 primary voting began in early January. The 24% supporting Romney is his lowest.

Despite the heavy media focus on the two front-runners, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum are each holding their own at just under 15%, putting the two men in a statistical tie for third.

It looks like the concentrated attacks of the GOP Establishment, including New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and former U.S. Senator Bob Dole have had little effect. It could also be that Mitt Romney just does not command that much support for himself.

Romney has pummeled Gingrich in Florida this past week with negative ads. Perhaps people just no longer respond to Romney’s negativity.

But, I suppose we will see what Florida voters do on Tuesday.

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google plus President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?linkedin President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?pinterest President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?stumbleupon President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?reader President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?printfriendly President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?email President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?share save 171 16 President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?

The 2012 Republican presidential primary battle shifts to Florida, where Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney are locked in a tight battle. And, already, Republicans are starting to have visions of a Newt candidacy — and they don’t like what they see. That includes an electoral map that could look quite different — and much worse for them — than the one Romney or another Republican might compete on.

Larry Sabato over at the University of Virginia Center for Politics has this excellent analysis. Long and short of it is: Newt Gingrich is more of a gamble to beat President Obama, should he win the Republican nomination.

To be clear, President Obama is vulnerable. His approval rating – 46% approve, 48.6% disapprove, according to the RealClearPolitics approval average — is middling. And against Mitt Romney, Obama’s vulnerability shows: in Pollster.com’s average of national polling, Obama leads Romney just 46.5% to 45.3%. But against Gingrich, the average tells a very different story — Obama, at 49.9%, leads Gingrich (39.1%) by more than 10 points.

Granted, there are outliers: Gallup on Tuesday had both Romney and Gingrich running evenly with Obama, both down 50% to 48%. But the bulk of the polling data indicates that Romney, at least at this point, is the stronger candidate against Obama.

Why does Romney fare better? Well, the best candidate against Obama remains “generic Republican” — that make-believe person who leads Obama by a single slim point, according to RealClearPolitics. Let’s be honest here: Romney’s the closest thing out there to a generic Republican available. He is not going to steal the presidency away from the incumbent if Obama’s having a good year and the economy is solid. Rather, if the country is ready to make a change, then Romney would be a credible alternative. The national polling numbers bear that out; they also show that Gingrich, at least right now, is not seen as a similarly acceptable alternative.

In other words, in the key battleground states of Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Iowa and Florida, Gingrich looks like a risk to LOSE these states.

Here is my Electoral College Map from some months ago:

2012 Electoral College Final President 2012: How Do Gingrich and Romney Look Against Obama in the Electoral College?

This map is from the interactive site, 270towin.com

Sobato and his staff make the argument that Gingrich will perform worse (at least he is polling worse now) than Romney in the states, the GOP needs to win to beat Obama.

This may very well be true, and the GOP Establishment have their own maps and are looking at the Senate and House race polls across the nation.

Romney is SAFE and Gingrich MAY underperform Obama.

But, what does the GOP base want in a candidate? A generic Republican, Romney nominee or a firebrand, big idea guy, like Gingrich.

Guess we will find out next tuesday in Florida.

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google plus President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrichlinkedin President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrichpinterest President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrichstumbleupon President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrichreader President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrichprintfriendly President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrichemail President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrichshare save 171 16 President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrich

Dole Drops Stink on Newt President 2012: GOP Debate Tonight   Long Knives Out for Newt Gingrich

The Republican Party Establishment REALLY does NOT like Newt Gingrich.

Watch the video below and listen to former Kansas Senator Bob Dole.

As usual, I will be covering the debate with my comments on Twitter. Follow me @Flap.

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google plus President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrichlinkedin President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrichpinterest President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrichstumbleupon President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrichreader President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrichprintfriendly President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrichemail President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrichshare save 171 16 President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrich

Pelosi and Gingrich President 2012: Pelosi Folds   No New Dirt on Gingrich

Former Speakers of the House Nancy Pelosi and Newt Gingrich

Pretty pathetic as California Democrat Rep. Nancy Pelosi backtracks.

Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s office on Wednesday said the minority leader doesn’t have any dirt on Newt Gingrich.

Pelosi has suggested in two interviews that she knows something that could prevent Gingrich from becoming president, but her office said the California Democrat doesn’t have any secrets about Gingrich, who has shot to the top of national Republican polls after winning the South Carolina primary.

“The ‘something’ Leader Pelosi knows is that Newt Gingrich will not be President of the United States. She made that clear last night,” Pelosi spokesman Drew Hammill said in a statement.

“Leader Pelosi previously made a reference to the extensive amount of information that is in the public record, including the comprehensive committee report with which the public may not be fully aware,” Hammill said.

Pelosi made headlines on Tuesday when she told CNN Gingrich would not be president, and that “there’s something I know.”

In an interview in December, Pelosi also drew attention by suggesting there was information that could come out of her office that could damage Gingrich. Pelosi suggested it was related to the House ethics investigation of Gingrich; Pelosi served on the panel looking into Gingrich.

“One of these days we’ll have a conversation about Newt Gingrich,” Pelosi said at the time. “When the time is right. … I know a lot about him. I served on the investigative committee that investigated him, four of us locked in a room in an undisclosed location for a year. A thousand pages of his stuff.”

But on Wednesday, Hammill repeated that all of the information from the investigation is in the public realm.

You know darn well that if there was any additional dirt, Mitt Romney would be using it now in Florida.

Pelosi and the Democrats are just doing a little misdirection.

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google plus President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%linkedin President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%pinterest President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%stumbleupon President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%reader President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%printfriendly President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%email President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%share save 171 16 President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%

Newt Ginrich in Tampa Florida President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Gingrich 38% Vs. Romney 33% Vs. Santorum 13% Vs. Paul 10%

Newt Gingrich campaigning today in Florida

According to the latest PPP Poll.

PPP’s first post-South Carolina poll in Florida finds Newt Gingrich with a small lead.  He’s at 38% to 33% for Mitt Romney, 13% for Rick Santorum, and 10% for Ron Paul.

Gingrich has gained 12 points since a PPP poll conducted in Florida a week ago. Romney has dropped 8 points. Paul and Santorum have pretty much remained in place. Their favorability numbers show similar trendlines. Gingrich’s has increased 8 points from +15 (51/36) to +23 (57/34). Meanwhile Romney’s has declined 13 points from +44 (68/24) to +31 (61/30).

This is the third poll today that has Newt Gingrich besting Mitt Romney in Florida.

What a come back!

The entire poll is here.

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