Archive for the “Election 2006” Category

Sen. Conrad Burns, R-Mont., walks out of the Billings Hotel and Convention Center in Billings, Mont., Wednesday, Nov. 8, 2006. Incumbent Sen. Burns was locked in the fight of his political life early Wednesday, trailing Democrat Jon Tester by fewer than 2,000 votes as the GOP tried to hang on to control of the Senate.
AP: Democrat wins Montana seat, ties Senate
Republican Sen. Conrad Burns lost his job in a squeaker of a race Wednesday, thrust from office due to his own gaffes, his ties to convicted lobbyist Jack Abramoff and a determined campaign by Democrat Jon Tester, a farmer.
Tester’s win gave Democrats at least half the U.S. Senate, but the party still needed a victory in a tight Virginia race to gain control.
Burns, 71, first elected in 1988 as a folksy, backslapping outsider, has been under siege because of his ties to disgraced lobbyist Jack Abramoff and because of his own gaffes — including an incident in which he cursed at firefighters.
With 99 percent of precincts reporting, Tester had 198,032 votes, or 49.1 percent, to Burns’ 194,904 votes, or 48.3 percent.
Put a fork in Conrad Burns – He’s done!
Also put a fork in the GOP’s chances to hold control of the United States Senate. There will be a recount in Virigina but it will be a long shot at best.
Senate breakdown will be 49-49-2 with the two independents voting with the Democrats.
Just as Flap predicted – A DEBACLE
Stay tuned…….

Previous:
Election 2006 Watch: THE ARRIVING GOP DEBACLE – Senate
United States House 2006 Election Watch: Rush Limbaugh and the Coming GOP DEBACLE
Michael Ramirez on the Coming GOP Debacle
United States House 2006 Election Watch: SEA OF BLUE
Election 2006 Watch: The Coming Republican DEBACLE
Technorati Tags: Election2006, GOP, Democrats
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House Democratic Leader Rep. Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., fires up fellow Democrats at an election night rally at the Hyatt Regency Hotel near the Capitol in Washington Tuesday, Nov. 7, 2006. She is joined, left to right, by Rep. Tim Ryan, D-Ohio, and Rep. Kendrick Meek, D-Fla.
U.S. House: GOP Loses Control by how much will be the issue.
U.S. Senate: Continues in play. Virginia, Montana, Missouri and Tennessee are contested.
The Maryland Senate race is NOT over and the Washington Post has retracted its projection.
Maryland Election results are here.
Watch along with Flap at the links above.
Stay tuned……..
Update:
Riehl World calls if for Allen but Flap feels it is premature. This race will be recounted and will determine control of the Senate.
Update 12:07 AM EST
Looks like a recount in Virginia with Montana and Missouri going blue. If Virginia goes to Webb then Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate – as per Flap’s prediction.
The GOP will lose between 20 and 25 seats in the House and control.
THE GOP DEBACLE HAS ARRIVED!Â

Previous:
Election 2006 Watch: THE ARRIVING GOP DEBACLE – House
Election 2006 Watch: THE ARRIVING GOP DEBACLE – SenateÂ
Technorati Tags: Election2006, GOP, Democrats
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Election Projection has final United States House Election 2006 Projections:

Current: 232 GOP, 202 DEM, 1 IND
Projected: 208 GOP, 227 DEM, 0 IND
DEM +25, GOP -24, IND -1
Election Projection is forecasting a net loss of 25 House seats and loss of GOP control of the House. While this is a pessimistic account, I do not forsee any other likely scenario. Here is Election Projections summary of the race:
Summary of Contested House Races
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| State |
Major Candidates |
Projected Result |
| Arizona – CD 1 |
Rick Renzi (R)-inc vs Ellen Simon (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Arizona – CD 5 |
J.D. Hayworth (R)-inc vs Harry Mitchell (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Arizona – CD 8 |
OPEN: R. Graf (R) vs G. Giffords (D) |
Mod DEM Gain |
| California – CD 11 |
Richard Pombo (R)-inc vs Jerry McNerny (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Colorado – CD 4 |
M. Musgrave (R)-inc vs A. Paccione (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Colorado – CD 7 |
OPEN: O’Donnell (R) vs Perlmutter (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Conn – CD 2 |
Rob Simmons (R)-inc vs Joe Courtney (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Conn – CD 4 |
Chris Shays (R)-inc vs Diane Farrell (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Conn – CD 5 |
Nancy Johnson (R)-inc vs Chris Murphy (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Florida – CD 13 |
OPEN: V. Buchanan (R) vs C. Jennings (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Florida – CD 16 |
OPEN: J. Negron (R) vs T. Mahoney (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Florida – CD 22 |
Clay Shaw (R)-inc vs Ron Klein (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Georgia – CD 8 |
Jim Marshall (D)-inc vs “Mac” Collins (R) |
Weak DEM Hold |
| Georgia – CD 12 |
John Barrow (D)-inc vs Max Burns (R) |
Weak DEM Hold |
| Idaho – CD 1 |
Sali (R)-inc vs Grant (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Illinois – CD 6 |
OPEN: P. Roskam(R)-inc vs T. Duckworth(D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Illinois – CD 8 |
M. Bean (D)-inc vs D. McSweeney (R) |
Weak DEM Hold |
| Indiana – CD 2 |
Chris Chocola (R)-inc vs Joseph Donnelly (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Indiana – CD 8 |
John Hostettler (R)-inc vs Brad Ellsworth (D) |
Mod DEM Gain |
| Indiana – CD 9 |
Michael Sodrel (R)-inc vs Baron Hill (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Iowa – CD 1 |
OPEN: Mike Whalen (R) vs Bruce Braley (D) |
Mod DEM Gain |
| Kentucky – CD 3 |
Anne Northup (R)-inc vs John Yarmuth (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Kentucky – CD 4 |
Geoff Davis (R)-inc vs Ken Lucas (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Minnesota – CD 1 |
Gil Gutknecht, Jr. (R) vs Tim Walz (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Minnesota – CD 6 |
OPEN: M. Bachmann (R) vs P. Wetterling (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Nevada – CD 3 |
Jon Porter (R) vs Tessa Hafen (D) |
Porter +4.8 |
| New Hamp – CD 2 |
Charles Bass (R)-inc vs Paul Hodes (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| New Mexico – CD 1 |
Heather Wilson (R)-inc vs Patricia Madrid (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| New York – CD 19 |
Sue Kelly (R)-inc vs John Hall (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| New York – CD 20 |
John Sweeney (R)-inc vs Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| New York – CD 24 |
OPEN: R. Meier (R) vs M. Arcuri (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| New York – CD 25 |
James Walsh (R)-inc vs Dan Maffei (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| New York – CD 26 |
Thomas Reynolds (R)-inc vs Jack Davis (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| New York – CD 29 |
Randy Kuhl (R)-inc vs Eric Massa (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| N. Carolina – CD 8 |
Robin Hayes (R)-inc vs Larry Kissell (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| N. Carolina – CD 11 |
Charles Taylor (R)-inc vs Heath Shuler (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Ohio – CD 1 |
Steve Chabot (R)-inc vs John Cranley (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Ohio – CD 2 |
Jean Schmidt (R)-inc vs Wuslin (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Ohio – CD 15 |
Deborah Pryce (R)-inc vs Mary Jo Kilroy (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Ohio – CD 18 |
OPEN: Joy Padgett (R) vs Zack Space (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Penn – CD 4 |
Melissa Hart (R)-inc vs Jason Altmire (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Penn – CD 6 |
Jim Gerlach (R)-inc vs Lois Murphy (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Penn – CD 7 |
Curt Weldon (R)-inc vs Joseph Sestak (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Penn – CD 8 |
M. Fitzpatrick (R)-inc vs P. Murphy (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Penn – CD 10 |
Don Sherwood (R)-inc vs Chris Carney (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Texas – CD 22 |
OPEN: Sekula-Gibbs (R-WI) vs Lampson (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Vermont – CD 1 |
OPEN: P. Welch (D) vs M. Rainville (R) |
Mod DEM Gain |
| Virginia CD-2 |
Thelma Drake (R)-inc vs Philip Kellam (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Washington – CD 8 |
Dan Reichert (R)-inc vs Darcy Burner (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Wisconsin – CD 8 |
OPEN: John Gard (R) vs Steve Kagen (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Wyoming – CD 1 |
Barbara Cubin (R)-inc vs Gary Trauner (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
BOLD – party turnover
|
| Race ratings:
“Weak” – less than 5%
“Mod” – 5% to 15%
“Strong” – greater than 15%
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| For projected margins of victory, click here |
The Real Clear Politics House Summary chart is here.
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Current House (232 R, 202 D, 1 I): Democrats Need to Pick Up 15 Seats For Control
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Republican Seats
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Leans Dem (13)
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Toss Up (14)
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Leans GOP (21)
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Leans GOP (0)
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Toss Up (2)
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Leans Dem (4)
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The GOP House Debacle has arrived. Robert Novak has a conservative loss of 18 seats for the GOP. His analysis is here.
The next Speaker of the House will be Nancy Pelosi (D-California).

For election night coverage NZ Bear at Truth Laid Bear has set up an election tracker page here.
Previous:
Election 2006 Watch: THE ARRIVING GOP DEBACLE – Senate
United States House 2006 Election Watch: Rush Limbaugh and the Coming GOP DEBACLE
Michael Ramirez on the Coming GOP Debacle
United States House 2006 Election Watch: SEA OF BLUE
Election 2006 Watch: The Coming Republican DEBACLE
Technorati Tags: Election2006, GOP, Democrats
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Election Projection has final United States Senate Election 2006 Projections:

Current: 55 GOP, 44 DEM, 1 IND
Projected: 49 GOP, 49 DEM, 2 IND
DEM +5, GOP -6, IND +1
Election Projection is forecasting a net loss of six Senate seats and loss of GOP control of the Senate. While this is a pessimistic account, I do not forsee any other likely scenario. Here is election Projections summary of the race:
Summary of Senate Races
|
| State |
Major Candidates |
Projected Result |
| Arizona |
Jon Kyl (R)-inc vs Jim Pederson (D) |
Mod GOP Hold |
| California |
Dianne Feinstein (D)-inc vs Richard Mountjoy (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Connecticut |
Lieberman(I) / Lamont(D) / Schlesinger(R) |
Mod IND Gain |
| Delaware |
Tom Carper (D)-inc vs Jan Ting? (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Florida |
Bill Nelson (D)-inc vs Katherine Harris? (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Hawaii |
Daniel Akaka (D)-inc vs Cynthia Thielen (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Indiana |
Richard Lugar (R)-inc (unopposed) |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Maine |
Olympia Snowe (R)-inc vs Jean Hay Bright (D) |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Maryland |
OPEN: Ben Cardin (D) vs Michael Steele (R) |
Weak DEM Hold |
| Massachusetts |
Ted Kennedy (D)-inc vs Kenneth Chase (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Michigan |
Debbie Stabenow (D)-inc vs Mike Bouchard (R) |
Mod DEM Hold |
| Minnesota |
OPEN: Amy Klobuchar (D) vs Mark Kennedy (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Mississippi |
Trent Lott (R)-inc vs Erik Fleming (D) |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Missouri |
Jim Talent (R)-inc vs Claire McCaskill (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Montana |
Conrad Burns (R)-inc vs Jon Tester (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Nebraska |
Ben Nelson (D)-inc vs Peter Ricketts (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Nevada |
John Ensign (R)-inc vs Jack Carter (D) |
Mod GOP Hold |
| New Jersey |
Robert Menendez (D)-inc vs Tom Kean, Jr. (R) |
Weak DEM Hold |
| New Mexico |
Jeff Bingaman (D)-inc vs Allen McCulloch (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| New York |
Hillary Clinton (D)-inc vs John Spencer (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| North Dakota |
Kent Conrad (DNL)-inc vs Dwight Grotberg (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Ohio |
Mike DeWine (R)-inc vs Sherrod Brown (D) |
Mod DEM Gain |
| Pennsylvania |
Rick Santorum (R)-inc vs Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Mod DEM Gain |
| Rhode Island |
L. Chafee (R)-inc vs S. Whitehouse (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Tennessee |
OPEN: Bob Corker (R) vs Harold Ford, Jr. (D) |
Weak GOP Hold |
| Texas |
Kay Hutchison (R)-inc vs Barbara Radnofsky (D) |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Utah |
Orrin Hatch (R)-inc vs Pete Ashdown (D) |
Strong GOP Hold |
| Vermont |
OPEN: Bernie Sanders (I) vs Richard Tarrant (R) |
Strong IND Hold |
| Virginia |
George Allen (R)-inc vs James Webb, Jr. (D) |
Weak DEM Gain |
| Washington |
Maria Cantwell (D)-inc vs Mike McGavick (R) |
Mod DEM Hold |
| West Virginia |
Robert Byrd (D)-inc vs John Raese (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Wisconsin |
Herb Kohl (D)-inc vs Robert Lorge (R) |
Strong DEM Hold |
| Wyoming |
Craig Thomas (R)-inc vs Dale Groutage (D) |
Strong GOP Hold |
BOLD – party turnover
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| Race ratings:
“Weak” – less than 5%
“Mod” – 5% to 15%
“Strong” – greater than 15%
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| For projected margins of victory, click here |
The Real Clear Politics Senate Summary chart is here.
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Likely Dem
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Leans Dem
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Toss Up
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Leans GOP
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Likely GOP
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| Arizona |
Kyl (R)* 49.3% vs. Pederson (D) 40.7% | Chart |
Kyl +8.6% |
| Connecticut |
Lieberman (I) 49.8% vs. Lamont (D) 38.0% | Chart |
Lieberman +11.8% |
| Maryland |
Steele (R) 45.0% vs. Cardin (D) 48.7% | Chart |
Cardin +3.7% |
| Michigan |
Bouchard (R) 37.8% vs. Stabenow (D)* 52.3% | Chart |
Stabenow +14.5% |
| Minnesota |
Kennedy (R) 37.7% vs. Klobuchar (D) 53.0% | Chart |
Klobuchar +15.3% |
| Missouri |
Talent (R)* 45.3% vs. McCaskill (D) 48.5% | Chart |
McCaskill +3.2% |
| Montana |
Burns (R)* 45.5% vs. Tester (D) 48.5% | Chart |
Tester +3.0% |
| New Jersey |
Kean (R) 41.8% vs. Menendez (D)* 48.2% | Chart |
Menendez +6.4% |
| Ohio |
DeWine (R)* 43.3% vs. Brown (D) 53.3% | Chart |
Brown +10.0% |
| Pennsylvania |
Santorum (R)* 40.8% vs. Casey (D) 52.3% | Chart |
Casey +11.5% |
| Rhode Island |
Chafee (R) 43.3% vs. Whitehouse (D) 48.7% | Chart |
Whitehouse +5.4% |
| Tennessee |
Corker (R) 51.0% vs. Ford (D) 43.6% | Chart |
Corker +7.4% |
| Virginia |
Allen (R)* 46.8% vs. Webb (D) 48.3% | Chart |
Webb +1.5% |
| Washington |
McGavick (R) 40.5% vs. Cantwell (D)* 53.8% | Chart |
Cantwell +13.3% |
The GOP Senate Debacle has arrived. One race change will make the result transfer to GOP control. Flap feels this most likely will occur in either Rhode Island or Montana.
Stay tuned for House Projections which ARE even more bruising to the GOP later in the evening.

For election night coverage NZ Bear at Truth Laid Bear has set up an election tracker page here.
Previous:
United States House 2006 Election Watch: Rush Limbaugh and the Coming GOP DEBACLE
Michael Ramirez on the Coming GOP Debacle
United States House 2006 Election Watch: SEA OF BLUE
Election 2006 Watch: The Coming Republican DEBACLE
Technorati Tags: Election2006, GOP, Democrats
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LOOK WHERE AL QAEDA & CO. HAVE STRUCK SINCE 9/11
THE woman who will become Speaker of the House, should Democrats pick up sufficient seats on Tuesday, believes passionately that the War on Terror is only the war in Afghanistan.
Reality check: The map above shows a selection of the major, memorable terrorist attacks world-wide since Jan. 1, 2002, as well as indicating nations which the Rand Corp. Terrorism Database lists as hosting a significant al Qaeda presence.
(Just a selection, of course – a map of attacks in Israel or Iraq could fill the whole page.)
Only Afghanistan? It is staggering to think that anyone of such naivete could soon leading one house of Congress.
Nancy Pelosi’s defenders will point out that she answering the question, “Do you not think that the war in Iraq now, today, is the War on Terror?”
But her full answer was, “No. The War on Terror is the war in Afghanistan.”
Mind-boggling. She doesn’t even deny that terrorists have flocked to Iraq, “but that doesn’t mean we stay there,” she says. “They’ll stay there as long as we’re there” – implying . . . what? That they’ll just retire if we go?
True, some would leave – but only to do killing elsewhere. How many would come here?
None of this is to defend every particular of Bush policies in Iraq – would that that were all that divided America’s two political parties.
But it’s not. No, the overriding divide is that one party generally understands that America faces a determined and utterly ruthless enemy of global reach and ambition, an enemy that will keep on coming and keep on killing until it is stopped . . . and the other party just doesn’t want to think about it.
Sure, there are exceptions – one honorable one is Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut.
But he was rejected by his state party because of his firm stance in the War on Terror. He’s not the mainstream of the Democratic Party.
Nancy Pelosi is.
The political consensus is the GOP WILL lose majority control of the House. But, will the next Speaker of the House be Nancy Pelosi?
Flap is not so sure. It depends upon the nature of the majority.
But, then again, is the GOP in the midst of a “COMEBACK?”
Stay tuned……
Technorati Tags: NancyPelosi, AlQaeda, GlobalWaronTerror
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John Kerry, Democratic congressional campaigner in the Fifth District, speaks at a news conference Sept. 18, 1972 in Boston. During the Vietnam era, Kerry opposed a volunteer Army because it would be dominated by the underprivileged, be less accountable and be more prone to “the perpetuation of war crimes.
AP: Kerry’s ’72 Army Comments Mirror Latest
During a Vietnam-era run for Congress three decades ago, John Kerry said he opposed a volunteer Army because it would be dominated by the underprivileged, be less accountable and be more prone to “the perpetuation of war crimes.”
Kerry, a decorated Vietnam veteran who turned against the war, made the observations in answers to a 1972 candidate questionnaire from a Massachusetts peace group.
Is Senator Kerry FLIPPIN’ again? Or?
After Kerry caused a firestorm this week with what he termed a botched campaign joke that Republicans said insulted current soldiers, The Associated Press was alerted to the historical comments by a former law enforcement official who monitored 1970s anti-war activities
Kerry apologized Wednesday for the 2006 campaign trail gaffe that some took as suggesting U.S. soldiers fighting in Iraq were undereducated. He contended the remark was aimed at Bush, not the soldiers.
In 1972, as he ran for the House, he was less apologetic in his comments about the merits of a volunteer army. He declared in the questionnaire that he opposed the draft but considered a volunteer army “a greater anathema.”
“I am convinced a volunteer army would be an army of the poor and the black and the brown,” Kerry wrote. “We must not repeat the travesty of the inequities present during Vietnam. I also fear having a professional army that views the perpetuation of war crimes as simply ‘doing its job.’
“Equally as important, a volunteer army with our present constitutional crisis takes accountability away from the president and put the people further from control over military activities,” he wrote.
So, did he make the statements about Iraq and the troops before he meant them?
Or did Kerry BOTCH THE JOKE before he was AGAINST it?
Or is it a HYPOCRITICAL APOLOGY?
Allah has more: What the left really thinks about the military

Previous:
John Kerry Watch: Kerry Makes Direct Apology to Troops
John Kerry Watch: Kerry Apologizes for “Botched Jokeâ€
Michael Ramirez on John Kerry – Educate Yourselves or You’ll Get Stuck in Iraq
John Kerry Watch: Kerry WARNS Students – Educate Yourselves or You’ll Get Stuck in Iraq

Photo Credit: J. Farmer
Technorati Tags: JohnKerry
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