Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog

Here is a static screen shot:

I think Erick Erickson over at Red State has gone insane in the membrane over this post. But, then again, I said a few weeks ago that he was NOT serious and was simply covering his ass should Tom Campbell win.

However, it appears that Tom Campbell has topped out and the latest PPIC poll released last night shows him static or fading with Carly Fiorina besting Chuck DeVore by 9 points.

So, who should drop out?

I don’t think either at this point since Fiorina is leading or tied in the polls, has a robust media campaign ongoing and has the most campaign cash. Contrast this with DeVore who has run one television ad once and who has no money for a media campaign the last three weeks. Carly simply does NOT need DeVore to drop out to beat Tom Campbell, who, by the way, has pulled all of his campaign ads off television and radio and is rumored to be out of money.

If Chuck DeVore wishes to continue an embarrassingly negative, underfunded, futile campaign, then let it fly.

It is DeVore’s future after he loses.

California U.S. Senate candidates Tom Campbell, Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore

Graphic courtesy of Calbuzz

The latest PPIC poll has just been released.

The Republican senate primary race is also close, with Carly Fiorina (25%) and Tom Campbell (23%) deadlocked, as they were in March (24% Fiorina, 23% Campbell), and support doubling for Chuck DeVore (16% today, 8% March) among GOP likely voters. Thirty-six percent are undecided. Fiorina and Campbell have similar levels of support among men (29% Fiorina, 25% Campbell, 17% Devore), with 29 percent undecided. Support for the two candidates is also similar among women (21% Fiorina, 20% Campbell, 14% DeVore), but 44 percent of women are still undecided.

And, with the Fiorina campaign just starting a television media blitz while Campbell and Devore are “off air” the momentium continues with Fiorina. With three weeks to go before election day, Carly Fiorina is the one to beat.

With Chuck DeVore mired in third place, yet again in another poll, people are speculating when he will withdraw.

The Fiorina campaign had this to say about the poll:

Carly for California Deputy Campaign Manager for Communications Julie Soderlund today issued the following statement in response to the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) poll of California’s U.S. Senate race that was released this evening:

“Since declaring her candidacy in November, Carly has been laying the groundwork for a campaign that inspires enthusiasm among Republicans and sets the stage for an epic fight to retire a 28-year failed senator. Today’s PPIC poll confirms that hard work produces results. Carly has traveled across California talking to voters, inspiring volunteers to join the campaign and raising funds for a robust voter contact program. These are the necessary ingredients of a winning campaign, and we fully expect the momentum to continue building as we march toward victory on June 8.

“This poll also demonstrates that former Congressman Campbell’s high watermark of support for his candidacy has come and gone as Republican voters learn he is not a fiscal conservative and has not been honest with the people of California about his 20-year record of support for tax increases and more government spending. Generally speaking, once a candidate falls behind, he never retakes the lead. Tom Campbell’s standing with voters is declining and Carly’s is growing. It smells like a trend that is moving in Carly’s favor.”

I have highlighted in bold above the margin of error in which all of the GOP candidate are within. Let’s look at the other candidate’s charts:

First DeVore:

Now, Tom Campbell:

The campaigns and some pundits have been trying to spin this poll result as a “surge” for Chuck DeVore.

Not so.

Look at the poll trends above and only Carly Fiorina has an upward graph trend. But, all of the results are within the margin of error anyway.

The only conclusion to be drawn here is that Senator Barbara Boxer is in trouble.

Well, I think that Erick Erickson, the Editor of Red State, sees the handwriting on the wall in this race and is trying to cover his own ass.

A prominent conservative is issuing an ultimatum, essentially telling the candidate he supports to do better in the polls – or lose his support.

Erick Erickson, editor-in-chief of RedState.com, backs Assemblyman Chuck DeVore in the California Republican senate primary. DeVore is locked in a battle with former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and former Rep. Tom Campbell for the right to face Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer in November.

Speaking Tuesday with CNN Chief National Correspondent John King, Erickson – a CNN contributor – said he won’t support DeVore much longer if the candidate does not improve his political standing.

“Look, if Chuck DeVore hasn’t gone up in the polls within two weeks significantly, I’ll be with Carly Fiorina because Tom Campbell is that bad,” Erickson said.

So, is Erickson really serious? DeVore has been underwater from the start of this race in a dismal third place. There are only four weeks to go before the California election and early voting has already started.

If Erickson really wanted a conservative to be the Republican nominee, he would ask Chuck DeVore to step aside and endorse Carly Fiorina. Instead, Erickson gives DeVore two weeks to do the “right” thing?

Lip service and distancing on the part of Erickson here. If DeVore splits the conservative vote and liberal RINO Tom Campbell wins, Erickson will have his Red State hands all over this mess.

So, how about it Erick?

Update:

Erick must be getting some flack from the DeVore camp and issued this clarification.

Weak sauce because he is NOT serious. He is simply covering his ass if Campbell wins and doesn’t want the fall out or the blame. And, when Fiorina wins – well, you see – Erickson is sucking up.