Posts Tagged “President 2012”
Restore Our Future: Saved
This positive ad has aired before for Mitt Romney but where it is “on air” is quite revealing.
A pro-Romney super PAC, Restore our Future, is reaching into the memory chest for its first big ad buy of the general election season, running a 30-second spot that recounts how Mitt Romney helped track down the daughter of a business partner in 1996.
The ad, called “Saved,” will run in nine battleground states, costing the group a total of $4.3 million, the PAC said in a statement. A major force in helping Mr. Romney beat back his Republican challengers, Restore Our Future is now turning to the battle against President Barack Obama with a distinctly positive biographical spot intended to boost Mr. Romney’s personal image by touching on a little-known episode from two decades ago.
The Romney campaign briefly ran a nearly identical spot in late 2007 in an effort to boost the candidate’s standing before the primary season began. In this election cycle, the super PAC has run the ads in 16 states around the country during the lead up to primaries in those states.
The group plans to run the ad in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.
No real secret as to what are the key battleground states – just where Mitt Romney will spend the advertising dollars to win them.
Now, we know.
Tags: Mitt Romney, President 2012
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According to the latest Rasmussen Poll.
President Obama continues to lead Mitt Romney in a head-to-head matchup in Nevada.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Obama earning 52% support, while Romney picks up 44% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefers some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.
This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on April 30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Perhaps the economy is better in Nevada. But, in any case, Mitt Romney had better choose his Vice Presidential running mate with Nevada in mind.
A key battleground state, Romney needs to win in Nevada.
Tags: Polling, President 2012
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New Jersey Governor Chris Christie arrives for a March 2012 Town Hall
Mitt Romney could NOT do worse than Marco Rubio or Chris Christie.
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie on Monday said Romney “might be able to convince” him to serve as his No. 2 on the Republican presidential ticket.
“He might be able to convince me. He’s a convincing guy, but I really love this job. I really want to stay in this job” Christie said during a high school visit in Plainsboro Township, New Jersey.
The popular Republican governor and early Romney backer said he is not interested in serving as vice president, but that he would be open to discussing the position with Romney.
“I really have no interest in being vice president, but if Governor Romney calls and asks me to sit down and talk to him about it, I’d listen because I think you owe the nominee of your party that level of respect and who knows what he’s going to say,” Christie said. “We’ll wait and see.”
I predicted four years ago that John McCain would pick little known Alaska Governor Sarah Palin. This time I think Mitt Romney will choose ……..
Marco Rubio.
Tags: Chris Christie, Mitt Romney, President 2012
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Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani during 2008 Presidential race
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is proving again he is a good Republican party man.
Rudy Giuliani will appear at an event with Mitt Romney on Tuesday to mark the anniversary of the assault on Osama bin Laden, a campaign aide confirmed to CNN.
The death of the former al Qaeda leader is currently a political talking point between the campaigns of the former Massachusetts governor and President Barack Obama, with both sides attempting to capitalize on the one-year anniversary.
There is NO love lost between these two. But, Rudy is always the loyal Republican and will likely do whatever he is asked to elect Mitt Romney.
And, I do not exepect Romney to ask Rudy to be any part of his administration.
I don’ think Rudy particularly cares.
Tags: Mitt Romney, President 2012, Rudy Giuliani
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From Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Larry Sabato lays out the Electoral College analysis for the race for the Presidency in 2012.
The London Olympics isn’t the only venue for world-class sport this year. Political gold is waiting to be won in November, and the only way to grab the top U.S.A. medal is to master Electoral College math. It is both deceptively easy and maddeningly complex. A candidate has to accumulate 270 votes in a tiny universe of 538, but those 538 will be generated by 130 million votes cast in 51 separate entities. A game that looks like checkers is really multi-dimensional chess.
Still, the deep polarization of party politics has simplified the process somewhat. Remarkably, about 40 states — and maybe more — have almost no chance of flipping from one party to the other in the 2012 Electoral College. If President Obama gets his way, the electoral map will look very close to the way it did four years ago; on the other hand, Mitt Romney needs to flip a relative handful of states to take up residence at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.
Obama’s 2008 performance was close to the high-water mark for a modern Democrat: 365 electoral votes (359 under the new 2010 census apportionment). Obama did the seemingly impossible by very narrowly pulling two long-time Republican states, Indiana and North Carolina, to his column and even winning an electoral vote in Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, while narrowly losing Missouri and Montana. Those latter two states are widely believed to have moved out of his reach for 2012.
It is a little-known Electoral College tidbit that a president reelected to a second term has always added a state to his coalition that he did not win during his first successful run. Sometimes, in the early days of the Republic, it was a state that didn’t exist during a president’s first bid. But it appears that Obama, if reelected, will break this trend. The only state John McCain won that Obama appears to have a chance of flipping is Arizona, but that is a long shot that would require a massive turnout effort by the Obama campaign among Hispanic voters.
To compare 2012 politics to war for a moment, the current electoral map is akin to World War I’s Western Front trench warfare: Massive amounts of manpower and resources will be needed to move the frontlines even a smidgen. And the less the lines move, the better it is for Obama.
Read all of the post, which is in line with my previous analysis. Watch the video embedded below:
It looks to me that the battle will be waged in even fewer states – Ohio, Virginia, Nevada and Florida. Voters in those states should feel the brunt of all of the intense ad campaigns.
In any case, here is my prediction of how the Electoral College will turn out in November: Romney 275 Vs. Obama 263:
Tags: Barack Obama, Electoral College, Larry Sabato, Mitt Romney, President 2012
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From Real Clear Politics
With Mitt Romney locking up the Republican nomination last night, it is time to look at the general election face off between him and President Obama. The Real Clear Politics poll average has Obama up by 4.1 points.
Now, let’s look at the Electoral College vote averages (Real Clear Politics):
Here we have the state of the race: President Obama is up by a few points and there are a number of key battleground states which will determine who wins in November.
Here is my prediction:
Let the campaigns begin…..
Tags: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Polling, President 2012
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From RealClearPolitics
After last night’s sweep of five states, Mitt Romney, it is safe to say, the presumptive Republican nominee for President.
Tags: Mitt Romney, President 2012
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