Israeli Defence Minister Shaul Mofaz walks out from a news conference in Tel Aviv December 11, 2005. Mofaz warned the people of Iran on Saturday that their president would bring disaster and suffering upon them if he continued to call for the destruction of the Jewish state.
ASSociated Press: Talk of Military Action in Iran Standoff
Israel’s defense minister hinted Saturday that the Jewish state is preparing for military action to stop
Iran’s nuclear program, but said international diplomacy must be the first course of action.
Shaul Mofaz said.
His comments at an academic conference stopped short of overtly threatening a military strike but were likely to add to growing tensions with Iran.
There are a number of good pieces about military options vis a vis an Iranian invasion in order to deny them nuclear weapons capability.
America has come to another turning point â€“ whether our inaction will again engulf the world and us in a nightmare comparable to World War Two. This will entail loss of our freedom as the price of domestic security measures against terrorist weapons of mass destruction, though we might suffer nuclear attack before implementing those measures. The only effective alternative is American use of pre-emptive military force against an imminent threat â€“ Iranian nuclear weapons, which requires that we invade Iran and overthrow its mullah regime as we did to Iraqâ€™s Baathist regime.
From the Left: Will Iran Be Next? by James Fallows
This piece has a Powerpoint War Game Simulation with chilling findings, “So this is how the war game turned out: with a finding that the next American President must, through bluff and patience, change the actions of a government whose motives he does not understand well, and over which his influence is limited. “After all this effort, I am left with two simple sentences for policymakers,” Sam Gardiner said of his exercise. “You have no military solution for the issues of Iran. And you have to make diplomacy work.”
I personally believe that we’re very likely to see at least 10 million dead in the Middle East within the next two decades, with an upper limit near 100 million. I do not believe pre-emptive action will be taken against Iran. I do, however, believe the extremist mullahs in Iran mean exactly what they say. They are steeped in an ideology that believes suicide/murder to be the holiest and most moral act possible. They have been diligent in laying strategic plans for an offensive Islamic War against Israel, America and the West. Plans backed by 25 years of action, and stated no less clearly than Mein Kampf. I believe that Ahmedinajad’s talk of 12th Imam end-times and halos around his head at the UN aren’t the ravings of an isolated nut, simply an unusually public (and unusually noticed) expression of beliefs that are close to mainstream within their ruling class. That class of “true believer” imams and revolutionary guard types have been quietly consolidating their control over all sectors of Iranian society over the last few months, and I do not believe anyone in the world today has both the will and the capability to stop them. A key pillar of The Bush Doctrine is about to fail.
At some point within the next decade, therefore, I believe that they will not only have nuclear weapons, but that they will act to make good on their stated beliefs and plans. With eventual “3 Conjectures” level results as noted above. I hope you’re all invested in solar, folks, and have some panels up on your houses.
It gets worse.
In my predictions for 2006 I said that Iran would obtain a nuclear weapon in 2006 and we wouldnâ€™t do much about it. Iâ€™m sticking to that.
Over the Christmas holidays I had a conversation on the subject of Iran with my very bright brother-in-law in which I was reminded that lots of people make little distinction among things that are physically impossible (things we canâ€™t do), things that are politically impossible (things that are hard to do), things we shouldnâ€™t do, and things we donâ€™t want to do. They are different and there are quite a few things we can do about Iranâ€™s pursuit of nuclear weapons, itâ€™s not completely clear (at least to me) that we should do any of them, and not one of them is particularly palatable.
Austin Bay Blog: More on the Uranium Mullahs
Winds of War are blowing in the Middle East.
The Natanz uranium enrichment complex in Natanz is pictured in this January 2, 2006 satellite image
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