President 2008Rudy Giuliani

Rudy Giuliani Watch: Latest New Jersey Quinnipiac Poll Has Giuliani Beating McCain 39-21

Readers: Please Vote in Flap’s January 2008 GOP Presidential Poll

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Daily Journal Via AP: Poll: N.J. wants Rudy Giuliani for president

New Jersey voters would like former Republican New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani and Democratic New York Sen. Hillary Clinton as 2008 presidential candidates.

But they don’t adore Clinton all that much, a new poll released this morning finds.

The Quinnipiac University poll finds New Jersey voters prefer Giuliani over Clinton, and like Arizona Sen. John McCain just as much.

Giuliani leads Clinton 48 percent to 41 percent, while McCain leads Clinton 44 percent to 43 percent, according to the poll.

“It looks like problems with Sen. Hillary Clinton’s new presidential campaign are cropping up close to home,” says Clay F. Richard, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute assistant director.

The Poll is here.

On the Republican side:

— Giuliani leads with 39 percent.

— McCain, 21 percent.

— Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, 11 percent.

— No other Republican tops 5 percent.

REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
Tot     Men     Wom

Giuliani                39%     35%     43%
McCain                  21      22      21
Romney                   5       6       3
Gingrich                11      17       5
Hunter                   1       1       1
Brownback                1       -       1
Thompson                 -       -       -
Gilmore                  1       1       1
Hagel                    1       -       1
Huckabee                 1       2       -
Pataki                   3       3       4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         3       3       3
DK/NA                   13       9      17

Mayor Giuliani continues to lead in the polls in state after state. Notably in this poll is that NO other GOP candidate, including Mitt Romney are in double digits except McCain and Gingrich.

So, why are Brownback, Tancredo et. al. bothering?

Could it be Presidential campaign federal matching funds?

On favorability ratings:

New Jersey voters give Clinton a 53 – 38 percent favorability rating.

Giuliani gets a 63 – 24 percent favorability rating.

McCain gets a 52 – 24 percent score.

Sen. Obama gets 41 – 9 percent favorability rating, with 49 percent who haven’t heard enough to form an opinion.

General Election:

3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom

Clinton                 41%      5%     75%     37%     36%     46%
Giuliani                48      86      19      47      52      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          1       -       -       3       2       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         2       3       -       1       2       1
DK/NA                    8       6       5      12       7       9

Philly
Urban   SubUrbn ExUrbn  land    Shore

Clinton                 62%     44%     27%     47%     27%
Giuliani                28      46      61      40      61
SMONE ELSE(VOL)          -       1       2       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)         1       1       3       -       3
DK/NA                    8       7       8      11       9

Stay tuned…….

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 Update:

John McIntyre at Real Clear Politics has a good analysis.

Barring a sizable third party candidate Clinton is not going to carry a single southern state. So from the GOP’s standpoint the ability to put blue states in play fundamentally alters the generic landscape of the general election. McCain would lock down the red states in the Southwest that are trending Democratic (Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico and Nevada) which combine for 29 electoral votes. Giuliani would seriously put in play the 36 blue electoral votes in New Jersey and Pennsylvania. And both McCain and Giuliani would complicate Democratic efforts to hold on to the upper Midwest trio of Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa that have been slowly trending toward the GOP.

Previous:

Rudy Giuliani Watch: In or Out?

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