Republican presidential hopeful and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani shakes hands with supporters including Samantha, Ala. resident David Green, left, after speaking to over 800 people gathered for a breakfast sponsored by The Tuscaloosa County Republican Party Wednesday, May 9 2007 at the Bryant Conference Center in Tuscaloosa, Ala.
New York Times: Giuliani Plans to Publicly Embrace Abortion Rights
After months of conflicting signals on abortion, Rudolph W. Giuliani is planning to offer a forthright affirmation of his support for abortion rights in public forums, television appearances and interviews in the coming days, despite the potential for bad consequences among some conservative voters already wary of his views, aides said yesterday.
At the same time, Mr. Giulianiâ€™s campaign â€” seeking to accomplish the unusual task of persuading Republicans to nominate an abortion rights supporter â€” is eyeing a path to the nomination that would try to de-emphasize the early states in which abortion opponents wield a great deal of influence. Instead they would focus on the so-called mega-primary of Feb. 5, in which voters in states like California, New York and New Jersey are likely to be more receptive to Mr. Giulianiâ€™s social views than voters in Iowa and South Carolina.
That approach, they said, became more appealing after the Legislature in Florida, another state they said would be receptive to Mr. Giuliani, voted last week to move the primary forward to the end of January.
Well, there are NO SURPRISES here.
Rudy is pro-choice and has been for many years. Favoring abortion rights with certain restrictions is the mainstream political position of American voters. Look at the polls here.
The “NEW” strategy has been Rudy’s “strategery” all along and it enfranchises many more GOP voters. The past few Presidential cycles the GOP candidates would have to go to small, less populous states like New Hampshire and Iowa and literally kiss the ass of the local yocals.
Then, the candidate would parlay the electoral momentum of fundraising prowess and name identification (band wagon effect) into Super Tuesday and later primary/caucus victories – winning the majority of delegates. Howver, with major population and delegate states moving up their primary elections the importance of the early small states is diminished.
How does this relate to abortion, you ask?
The smaller states of New Hampshire, Iowa and South Carolina have heavily pro-life GOP constituencies. Whereas, Florida, scheduled now before South Carolina, does not. Also, pro-choice states New York, New Jersey, Pennyslvania and California have all moved their primary elections to February 5.
Rudy Giuliani leads the polls in those states. Here is the latest Florida poll. In Florida, Rudy leads the closest candidate, McCain by 13 percentage points.
Rudy’s strategy is a sound one.
The main question is: Will the GOP be receptive to a Presidential nominee supporting abortion rights?
Time will tell whether the GOP will be a “BIG TENT” party or like the Democrats who refused to let the pro-life Governor of Pennsylvania speak before their national convention.
Republican candidate for president Rudy Giuliani sits down and eats with guests at The Fish Market Restaurant in Birmingham, Ala. Wednesday, May 9, 2007.
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