• Giuliani Notes,  President 2008,  Rudy Giuliani

    Giuliani Notes: Rudy 29% McCain 23% Thompson 12% Romney 8% in Latest National Gallup Poll

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    The Gallup Poll: New Yorkers Continue to Lead 2008 Nomination Contests

    Giuliani’s favorable image holding steady with Republicans

    The national front-runners for the 2008 presidential nominations continue to be former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani for the Republican Party and New York Sen. Hillary Clinton for the Democratic Party.

    According to a May 10-13, 2007, Gallup Poll, 29% of Republicans favor Giuliani for his party’s nomination, giving him a six-point lead over John McCain, with 23%. Clinton holds a nine-point lead in the Democratic race over second-place contender Barack Obama, 35% vs. 26%.

    In early March, and again in early April, Giuliani led McCain by more than 20 points, making him a more formidable front-runner than he appears to be in the current poll. More recently, Giuliani held a 14-point lead over McCain, 34% to 20%, in early May. But neither his five-point decline to 29% in the latest poll, nor McCain’s three-point increase, are statistically significant changes. Thus, it is important to wait until the next poll to see whether the race has truly tightened, or whether the apparently closer race merely reflects random variation because of normal sampling error.

    The GOP NUTS:

    giulianimay16dweb

    Rudy is in a good position going into the late Spring and early Summer. He may have gone down a little in the latest polling cycle and McCain may have gained but the changes may not be statistically significant.

    Let’s look at head to head comparisons:

    giulianimay16kweb

    And now this poll reflecting true head to head polling:

    giulianimay16lweb

    A national 10 percentage point lead is fine in anyone’s book.

    But, now will McCain be able to raise any money to be competitive with the Mayor in key Super-Duper Tuesday, February 5, 2008 states?

    Perhaps

    And Rudy’s favorability is well favorable:

    giulianimay16tweb

    Stay tuned……..

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    The Rudy Giuliani Files


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  • Giuliani Notes,  President 2008,  Rudy Giuliani

    Giuliani Notes: Ohio – Rudy Beats Hillary 47%-43%

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    Quinnipiac Poll Ohio

    Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani gets 43 percent to Illinois Sen. Barack Obama’s 42 percent in the 2008 presidential race in Ohio, and leads other Democrats by wider margins, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

    Giuliani tops New York Sen. Hillary Clinton 47 – 43 percent, and leads former Vice President Al Gore 48 – 40 percent, the independent Quinnipiac University poll finds.

    The GOP Ohio NUTS:

    Rudy – 23%

    McCain – 17%

    Thompson – 15%

    Romney – 11%

    Gingrich – 6%

    Fred Thompson jumps ahead of Mitt Romney even though he has not announced his candidacy nor formed a campaign organization.

    Rudy shows his strength as the most likely GOP candidate to beat the Democrats in 2008. The Mayor also leads ALL candidates in favorability/unfavorability polling.

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    The Rudy Giuliani Files


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  • Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch,  Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

    Iran Nuclear Watch: John Bolton – We Must Attack Iran Before it Gets the Bomb

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    Workers hang a huge poster of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in Dubai 14 May. UN nuclear inspectors say Iran is pressing ahead on a larger scale than ever with the uranium enrichment activities that Western powers suspect are aimed at developing a nuclear bomb, the New York Times reported Tuesday.

    Los Angeles Times: U.S. cautious about Iran nuclear report

    Bush administration officials reacted cautiously Tuesday to indications that Iran has improved its ability to enrich uranium as fuel for nuclear reactors, a crucial step toward nuclear weapons.

    White House and State Department officials say they still believe diplomacy can persuade Iran to freeze its program before it has mastered the complex technology involved.

    The International Atomic Energy Agency will report to the United Nations Security Council next week on Iran’s apparent progress. The Tehran regime has defied U.N. resolutions demanding an immediate suspension of its nuclear enrichment program, and another negative report by the nuclear watchdog agency is almost certain to spur a new round of U.N. sanctions.

    Top IAEA officials suggested that Iran’s engineers had achieved significant progress since early this year. The officials indicated that Tehran had overcome several technical challenges that hampered operation of centrifuges in the fuel enrichment plant at Natanz, Iran’s main nuclear facility.

    Mohamed ElBaradei, director of the IAEA, said that the goal of a suspension — preventing Tehran from gaining knowledge about enrichment — had been overtaken by events.

    “We believe they pretty much have the knowledge about how to enrich,” ElBaradei told the New York Times on Tuesday. “From now on, it is simply a question of perfecting that knowledge. People will not like to hear it, but that’s a fact.”

    The Bush administration has been fecking around for the past 18 months while Iran has been enriching uranium at Natanz. As Iran stalls and “negotiates” and ignores United Nations Security Council resolutions, the United States is now proposing more UNSC sanctions?

    Ridiculous……

    John Bolton, former U.S. United Nations Ambassador understands the nuclear stakes at hand.

    Telegraph UK: We must attack Iran before it gets the bomb

    Iran should be attacked before it develops nuclear weapons, America’s former ambassador to the United Nations said yesterday.

    John Bolton, who still has close links to the Bush administration, told The Daily Telegraph that the European Union had to “get more serious” about Iran and recognise that its diplomatic attempts to halt Iran’s enrichment programme had failed.

    Iran has “clearly mastered the enrichment technology now…they’re not stopping, they’re making progress and our time is limited”, he said. Economic sanctions “with pain” had to be the next step, followed by attempting to overthrow the theocratic regime and, ultimately, military action to destroy nuclear sites.

    Mr Bolton’s stark warning appeared to be borne out yesterday by leaks about an inspection by the UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) of Iran’s main nuclear installation at Natanz on Sunday.

    The experts found that Iran’s scientists were operating 1,312 centrifuges, the machines used to enrich uranium. If Iran can install 3,000, it will need about one year to produce enough weapons grade uranium for one nuclear bomb.

    The “NUCLEAR POINT OF RETURN” is at hand.

    The United States and Israel need to move and MOVE NOW.

    Cox&Forkumaugust30aFiveMinu
    Related Stories:

    Audio: John Bolton on Blair the poodle

    David Blair: Countdown to a nuclear Iran

    Con Coughlin: Teheran moves closer to a nuclear arsenal

    Iran ‘is seeking N Korea’s nuclear expertise

    North Korea tests long-range missile in Iran

    cox&forkum07.04.12web
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    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Steps Up Uranium Enrichment

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Ahmadinejad Leads Anti-USA Rally in Dubai

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Vice President Cheney Warns Iran

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Olmert – 10 Day Attack Will Set Iran’s Nuclear Program Back Years

    Iran Watch: US-Iranian Nuclear Worker Steals Nuclear Plant Software for Iran

    John McCain Watch: Bomb Bomb Bomb, Bomb Bomb Iran

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Moves Ahead with Uranium Enrichment

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Will Respond to United Nations Sanctions

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran To Build Two Additional Bushehr Nuclear Power Plants

    The Iran Nuclear Files

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    The Natanz uranium enrichment complex in Natanz is pictured in this January 2, 2006 satellite image.


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  • Giuliani Notes,  President 2008,  Rudy Giuliani

    Giuliani Notes: Florida – Rudy Continues to Lead GOP Field

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    POLL: Strategic Vision (R) Florida Primary

    Who is your first choice for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)

    Rudy Giuliani 32%

    John McCain 20%

    Fred Thompson 10%

    Newt Gingrich 7%

    Mitt Romney 5%

    Sam Brownback 3%

    Tom Tancredo 2%

    Mike Huckabee 2%

    Ron Paul 2%

    Tommy Thompson 1%

    Jim Gilmore 1%

    Chuck Hagel 1%

    Duncan Hunter 1%

    Undecided 13%

    Rudy continues to lead in Florida which has recently moved its primary election to January 29, 2008.

    Will Florida be the first of “big state” wins for Rudy, propleeing him toward a knock-out on Super-Duper Tuesday, February 5th?

    Most probably…..

    Post debate, the candidates will return to the fundraising trail, where second quarter numbers may tell the story for the rest of the year.

    The main questions are:

    1. Will Fred Thompson enter the race?

    2. Will Newt Gingrich enter the race?

    3. Will McCain be able to bolster his fundraising in order to contend in “big states?”

    Stay tuned…….

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    The Rudy Giuliani Files


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