Hillary Clinton Watch: Poll Numbers Coming Home to Roost

Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., listens to owner Ben Miller during a factory tour at Miller Veneers in Indianapolis, Ind., Tuesday, April 29, 2008.

Survey USA had Hillary Clinton up by nine points over Barack Obama in Indiana the other day and now has Hillary to within five points in North Carolina.

In a Democratic Primary in North Carolina today, 04/29/08, one week till votes are counted, the 10-point lead that Barack Obama has had for two months is halved, to now 5 points, Obama 49%, Clinton 44%, according to SurveyUSA’s 7th tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. In SurveyUSA last four polls, over the past two months, Obama has led by 10, 8, 10, and 9 points. Today: 5. White voters are key. Since January, Clinton had led among Carolina whites by 14, 19, 17, 22 and 23 points. But today, suddenly: 31. In the Research Triangle, Clinton is up 9 points, week-on-week; Obama is down 3; a net swing of 12 points to Clinton. Among unaffiliated voters, Clinton has overtaken Obama for the first time in 2008, though the difference is small and within the sub-group’s margin of sampling error. The two tie among Moderates. Obama leads slightly among Liberals. Clinton leads slightly among Conservatives. There is enough cross-current in the political waters that SurveyUSA’s final pre-Primary poll, next week, may show more movement — though in which direction it is impossible to know.

Are these numbers a result of the Obama – Jeremiah Wright explosion or Bitter-Gate? Are they significant or accurate?
Well. something is moving the numbers. Sounds to Flap that Obama’s negatives are coming home to roost.

Glenn McCoy on Reverend Jeremiah Wright