links for 2010-05-25

  • In the two latest polls to gauge the California election, Fiorina has opened up a wide lead on Campbell, with DeVore remaining in distant third. Public Policy Polling today released a poll that showed Fiorina with 41 percent of the electorate, while Campbell received 21 percent and DeVore only 16 percent. Yesterday, SurveyUSA’s poll showed Fiorina receiving Fiorina 46 percent of the support, Campbell 23 percent, and DeVore 14. Campbell was quick to rule out these numbers, suggesting that “robo-polls” can’t be trusted.

    But if the polls are right, there certainly didn't seem like a game-changing moment in the debate that would have knocked Fiorina 20 points back and out of first place.
    The debate was a non-starter

  • Senate candidate Tom Campbell has long argued that, in an election season marked by economic concerns and anger at Washington, his moderate social views won't cost him the support of largely conservative Republican primary voters. That theory is about to be tested.

    Three outside groups are stepping into the GOP race to try to drive home the message that the former congressman's views on same-sex marriage and abortion rights — he favors both — and on gun rights, where he favors some restrictions, are at odds with the voters who will decide the party's nominee June 8.

    Campbell's argument has been that as a fiscal conservative and social moderate he is more in line with California voters than his two opponents, former Hewlett-Packard chief Carly Fiorina and Orange County Assemblyman Chuck DeVore. His positions make him the stronger candidate against Sen. Barbara Boxer, he argues.
    Tom Campbell is a two time loser for US Senate and will be a loser again. He is too liberal

    (tags: tom_campbell)
  • A new Public Policy Polling survey in California shows Carly Fiorina (R) has now opened up a 20 point lead over Tom Campbell (R), 41% to 21%, with Chuck DeVore back at 16%.

    Analysis: "There's been a large shift in the state of this race over the last few weeks so it seems plausible the electorate is fluid enough that Fiorina could still lose. But with a 20 point lead and opposition to her split among two candidates she looks like the overwhelming favorite at this point."

    These results are very similar to a SurveyUSA poll released yesterday.
    Carly looks like the favorite now

  • Among all the conflicting polls on the California Senate race, there’s one point on which every survey agrees: Chuck DeVore is not leading in the Republican primary.

    In fact, the Orange County assemblyman has consistently ranked third, and often a distant third, behind former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and former Rep. Tom Campbell. A SurveyUSA poll released Monday showed him taking just 14 percent of the vote, compared with 46 percent for Fiorina and 23 percent for Campbell.
    Chuck DeVore never was a player in this race – just a spoiler for Tom Campbell.

  • Paychecks from private business shrank to their smallest share of personal income in U.S. history during the first quarter of this year, a USA TODAY analysis of government data finds.

    At the same time, government-provided benefits — from Social Security, unemployment insurance, food stamps and other programs — rose to a record high during the first three months of 2010.

    Those records reflect a long-term trend accelerated by the recession and the federal stimulus program to counteract the downturn. The result is a major shift in the source of personal income from private wages to government programs.
    And, where is the job growth?

    Well, there is NONE.

    (tags: barack_obama)