Mike Huckabee,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin

President 2012 Poll Watch: Huckabee 24% Palin 14% Romney 14% Gingrich 11% Pawlenty 8%

The latest national PPP poll is out for the GOP Presidential race.

  • Mike Huckabee – 24%
  • Sarah Palin – 14%
  • Mitt Romney – 14%
  • Newt Gingrich – 11%
  • Tim Pawlenty – 7%
  • Ron Paul – 7%
  • Mitch Daniels – 4%
  • John Thune – 1%

But, does this poll really mean anything? Is it relevant?

Probably not since it is obvious that Mike Huckabee will NOT run if Sarah Palin does. And, if Srah Palin runs, it is doubtful that anyone else except Mitt Romney and Ron Paul.

But, this poll is a downer for Mitt Romney, especially if and when he faces off with Sarah Palin.

This month’s numbers are indicative of an ongoing problem for Romney: conservative voters just don’t like him nearly as much as they do the rest of the leading Republican contenders. Only 55% have a favorable opinion of him. Gingrich is 10 points better at 65% favorability, and Palin and Huckabee are each almost 20 points higher at 74% and 73% respectively. Our state by state polling has indicated that the Republican electorate in most places is going to be more conservative leaning than it was in 2008 so this is somewhere Romney’s really going to have to step it up if he’s going to be viable for the nomination.

2 Comments

  • Andy Nevis

    I don’t see any real evidence behind the conventional wisdom that Sarah Palin would force Mike Huckabee out of the race. If anything, he may force her out. I think what we are seeing is that while Republicans like Sarah Palin, they don’t see her as a president. Mike Huckabee appeals to the same voter groups as Palin yet is also electable and presidential Even though they like her, they may vote for him. And if it becomes obvious that Romney or someone more moderate won’t win he will benefit from donors who want to see anyone but Palin get the nomination (and there are a lot). So if anything I think he puts the squeeze on her, not the other way around.

    • Gregory Flap Cole

      Well, from today’s New Hampshire Straw Poll, Mitt Romney has New Hampshire wrapped up.

      Mike Huckabee will never force Sarah Palin out of the race because he has NO money to fund his campaign in Iowa, South Carolina, Nevada and Florida. He has a $ 2.8 million mortgage on his new in-construction $ 3 Million Florida home.

      Huckabee will NOT win in New Hampshire.

      So, Huck will give up his Fox News gig and sell his new home to come in third or fourth place (don’t forget Gingrich)?

      Very doubtful.

      Huckabee is not running.