• Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for February 28th from 09:52 to 09:56

    These are my links for February 28th from 09:52 to 09:56:

    • Speaker Boehner: House likely to defend Defense of Marraige Act since Justice Dept. won’t – The House is likely to take steps to defend the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA), House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) said in an interview posted Monday.

      Boehner, the leader of the Republican-held House, said he and and his members are considering a number of options to defend DOMA after President Obama ordered the Justice Department to stop defending the 1990s law in court.

      ++++++++

      As they should.

    • Dem Rep. david Wu says he was hospitalized in 2008 for reaction to mental-health drug – U.S. Rep. David Wu says he was hospitalized after his 2008 campaign for symptoms that later were diagnosed as a reaction to a common mental health drug.

      The Oregon Democrat said he felt dizzy and confused on Election Day that year, a period of time when his staff and family have said they were unable to find him.

      "It came up that afternoon, and it knocked me off my can," Wu said, referring to the symptoms.

      Wu discussed his mental health Sunday in an interview with The Associated Press at his Portland office, offering more details of his psychiatric treatment since reports first surfaced last month of bizarre behavior.

      +++++

      Read it all.

      Of course, he will NOT resign.

  • President 2012

    President 2012: Republicans Waiting for 2016 Should Run in 2012

    According to South Carolina GOP Senator Lindsey Graham.

    Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) urged Republicans who are reportedly waiting until 2016 to run for president to consider getting off the sidelines for 2012.

    Graham said Monday that the time was ripe to take on President Obama, and that any candidate with the ambition to be president should run.

    “If you really decide to do this, now’s the time,” Graham said, noting speculation that a number of top GOP candidates are waiting until 2016. “If you think you should be president, it’s not about timing, it’s about ability.”

    Absolutely correct. Chris Christie, Bobby Jindahl, Sarah Palin. Mitch Daniels, Bob McDonnell should ALL give it a shot.

    President Obama WILL have an advantage but the race is really in just a few states. I mean, who cares about California and New York?

    Graham is correct here:

    Graham said that he didn’t expect Obama to win North Carolina, Virginia or Indiana, as he did in 2008, and speculated that the president might be vulnerable in Wisconsin and Ohio, the latter of which is a traditional bellwether in presidential campaigns.

    “Any sitting president probably has some built-in advantages, but this guy’s incredibly exposed,” Graham said.

    All a GOP nominee needs to do is win/flip Virginia, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Indiana, and Wisconsin. Game, set, match.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for February 28th from 08:46 to 09:15

    These are my links for February 28th from 08:46 to 09:15:

    • Social media not so hot on the Hill – It raises the question: Are lawmakers putting too much time — or staff resources — into social media?

      Currently, only 8 percent of American adults who use the Internet use Twitter, according to a December 2010 study by the Pew Research Center’s Internet & American Life Project.

      “The ease at which constituents can communicate with their member has really diluted the quality of communications overall,” said one legislative director quoted in the study. “We get way too many e-mail inputs that forward the congressman some e-mail or YouTube link with ‘Is this true?’ as the only message.”

      But that hasn’t stopped new members such as Rep. Paul Gosar (R-Ariz.) from embracing as many social media outlets as possible.

      “We have Foursquare, Twitter, Facebook — we’re trying to be in any medium we can,” said his spokeswoman, Stefani Zimmerman. “If it means he’s going to stay up an hour later checking his Facebook, that’s what he’s going to do.”

      +++++++

      Read it all.

      Probably because the Reps and Senators REALLY don't want to hear a critique of their jobs in real time.

      Social media also makes them more accountable to others outside their district who may fund opposition party candidates or a primary challenge.

      The Emperor Has No Clothes with social media.

    • Speaker John Boehner rips bid to regulate Internet – House Speaker John A. Boehner lashed out against efforts to regulate Internet traffic before an audience of evangelical Christian media leaders and pointedly responded to President Obama by comparing the challenge of the burgeoning national debt to the Sputnik-era space race.

      In a speech to religious broadcasters that received a sustained ovation at his conclusion, he said free expression is under attack by a power structure in Washington populated with regulators who have never set foot inside a radio station or a television studio.

      “We see this threat in how the FCC is creeping further into the free market by trying to regulate the Internet,” Mr. Boehner said.

      “The last thing we need, in my view, is the FCC serving as Internet traffic controller, and potentially running roughshod over local broadcasters who have been serving their communities with free content for decades,” he said to loud applause from members of the National Religious Broadcasters, a trade group holding its annual convention here.

      +++++++

      Read it all

      The Obama Administration is going into overdrive to regulate more of the economy, including the internet.

    • Cuban vs. Bissinger: NBA owner and journalist have Twitter smackdown – What happens when a billionaire entrepreneur and NBA team owner uses Twitter to criticize an outspoken Pulitzer Prize-winning author and journalist?

      Followers of Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban and author and Daily Beast columnist Buzz Bissinger found out Sunday. The result: A profanity-laced, 86-tweet rant by Bissinger that took place over a span of four hours. The two then set up — using Twitter, of course — a face-to-face meeting for Tuesday.

      It started Sunday when Cuban tweeted that Bissinger was "a coward." The tweet was sent in response to Bissinger's Feb. 17 column titled "NBA All-Star Game: White Men Can't Root." The piece doesn't mention Cuban, but argues that there's a race problem between the NBA and its white fans.

      "Are whites losing interest in a game in which the number of white American players not only continues to dwindle, but no longer features a superstar?" Bissinger wrote. "Yes."

      After Cuban's "coward" comment, Bissinger rattled off a couple dozen tweets and responded to users in true Bissinger form (plenty of cursing).

      Cuban eventually returned to Twitter with a comment directed at Bissinger's column: "Yr editor asked you to write about a topic you dont know & had no interest in researching…"

      At this point Daily Beast editor, and former Washington Post media reporter Howard Kurtz chimed in: "Hey, @mcuban, I asked @buzzbissinger to write *something* about basketball, but he chose the racial topic, knowing it'd be controversial."

      +++++++

      Ha Ha!

      I blocked Mark Cuban early in Twitter adoption.

      As Yoda would say: A JERK he is.

    • Chris Christie on Wisconsin, Scott Walker and Collective Bargaining – Asked if Gov. Scott Walker has "gone too far," Christie responded:

      Bob, let me tell you what — what went on in New Jersey. My predecessor, Governor Corzine, stood on the front steps of the Capitol at a public-sector union rally and said, "I'll fight to get you a good contract." And I thought to myself, watching that, who's he fighting with? Once he says that, the fight's over. What I believe in is true adversarial collective bargaining. And so, every state is different. I'm not going to micromanage Wisconsin from Trenton, New Jersey. I know Scott Walker. I like him. And I trust him. And I think he believe he's doing what's in the best interest of Wisconsin, the same way I'm going to do what I think needs to be done for New Jersey, which is, to reform the pension system and roll back health benefits for public-sector workers, to put them more in line with the rest of the population in New Jersey, to put us on a long-term path to fiscal stability.
      But aren't collective bargaining rights inviolate? Christie, a former U.S. attorney reminds us:

      Now listen. All these rights are legislatively created. They didn't come down from tablets at the top of a mountain. And so, political things change and go back and forth. And every state is going to make their own determination on that. Wisconsin is in the middle of making that determination. As you know, Bob, there are plenty of states in America where that right doesn't exist. And so, each state has to make their own determination on that.

      But it's not the legal precision of the answer that is exceptional. What stands out is his utter candor. I frankly can't imagine another politician debunking the notion that public employees have a God-given right to collectively bargain.

      +++++++

      Read it all.

      Agreed

  • Polling

    Poll Watch: 58% Favor a Partial Government Shutdown Until Spending Cuts Are Passed

    According to the latest Rasmussen Poll.

    As Republicans and Democrats in Congress haggle over the budget, most voters would rather have a partial shutdown of the federal government than keep its spending at current levels.

    A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 33% of Likely U.S. Voters would rather have Congress avoid a government shutdown by authorizing spending at the same levels as last year. Fifty-eight percent (58%) says it’s better to have a partial shutdown until Democrats and Republicans can agree on what spending to cut.

    I don’t think this is in the cards, since most voters don’t see passage of a budget as an emergency – an emergency worth extreme measures like a government shutdown.

    So, there will be NO government shutdown but probably a series of continuing spending resolutions, since the GOP would rather see this issue come up every few months as we head into election season 2012.

  • Democrats,  GOP,  Polling

    Government Shutdown Poll Watch: 29% Blame Democrats Vs. 23% Republicans

    So says the latest Hill Poll.

    Twenty-nine percent of likely voters would blame Democrats for a government shutdown, compared to 23 percent who would hold Republicans responsible, according to a new poll conducted for The Hill.

    The results are surprising because most people blamed the GOP for the last government shutdown, which occurred during President Clinton’s first term. A week before the 1995 shuttering, polls showed the public blamed Republicans by a two-to-one-margin.

    This is surprising to me but may speak to the difference as to how President Obama is perceived versus Bill Clinton. Bill Clinton always came off as a good ol’ boy POL who wold compromise if there was an advantage to him. Hence, the shutdown in 1995 was spun as a radical move by the GOP and Newt Gingrich.

    Republicans have a substantial edge among independents: Thirty-four percent would blame Democrats, while only 19 percent would blame the GOP.

    However, there are dangers for both parties, the poll indicates. A plurality of voters, 43 percent, would blame both Republicans and Democrats if the lights go out at midnight on March 5. Forty-five percent of respondents said neither party would benefit politically from a shutdown.

    This compares to 14 percent who think Democrats would benefit and 18 percent who said Republicans would.

    It is in both parties interest to NOT shut down the government.

    I think the biggest winner though may very well be President Obama who would take the high road and slam the GOP. So, since Obama is not enjoying good poll ratings, the Republicans may wish to deny him a bump up with a stagnant or declining economy. They can always blame him and the Democrats without the turmoil of a government shutdown.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for February 27th through February 28th

    These are my links for February 27th through February 28th:

  • Barack Obama,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin

    President 2012 Iowa GOP Poll Watch: Sarah Palin’s Favorability Falls Since November 2009 – So?



    According to a new Des Moines Register Poll.

    Sarah Palin’s popularity has declined among the very voters the former Alaska governor would need to impress first were she to seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president, The Des Moines Register’s new Iowa Poll shows.

    Palin’s favorability has ebbed with Iowa Republican likely voters, whose most active members make up the state’s presidential caucus electorate, in the past 15 months, according to the poll taken this month.

    While a solid majority of this group still views Palin positively, the intensity has waned as Palin has become a regular national media presence but done little to cultivate a support base in Iowa.

    The shift is not dramatic, but it raises questions about whether Palin would have staying power in Iowa as she moves closer to a decision on a White House run, pollsters say.

    “One might ask the question: Is she wearing well? And the numbers are not moving in a favorable direction on that,” Iowa Poll director J. Ann Selzer said.

    The poll does not mean much since Iowa will NOT mean much in the 2012 GOP Presidential season. New Hampshire immediately follows the Iowa Caucuses and Mitt Romney will be a lock to win that primary election. The real race for the GOP nomination will be in Nevada, South Carolina and Florida – then on to the Super Tuesday states.

    Plus, Sarah Palin will make her decision as to whether to run based on President Obama vulnerability in the polls and the state of the economy.

    On the other hand, states have NOT locked into a set GOP primary schedule and there may be a few wrinkles with scheduling elections thrown into the mix – for example, if Florida were to move up its primary election to January 2012.

    Stay tuned….

  • Polling,  President 2012,  Unemployment Rate

    Poll Watch: The Best and Worst Job Markets in 2010 – Nevada and California some of the Worst

    I am not surprised especially with regard to Nevada and California being poor job markets, according to the latest Gallup Poll.

    More than half of the 10 best job markets in 2010 were in energy- and commodity-producing states. Most of the 10 states with the worst job markets consisted of finance states of the Northeast and the housing-depressed states of the West.

    Having a significant presence of natural resource-based industries was a distinct job-creation advantage for states such as North Dakota, West Virginia, Oklahoma, and Texas. These were among the top 10 job markets in 2010, as they were in 2008 and 2009. Also among the top 10 in 2010 were Alaska — another energy state — and Washington, D.C., and Maryland, both of which benefit from having a large percentage of federal government workers. Mostly farm commodity states — including Arkansas, South Dakota, Iowa, and Pennsylvania — fill out the top 10.

    What about improvement between 2009 and 2010?

    States showing the most improvement in job market conditions between 2009 and 2010 included the long-depressed manufacturing states of Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania — likely reflecting the significant improvement in U.S. manufacturing last year. Also among the most improved were 5 of the 10 states with the worst job markets in 2009, giving them the most room to improve: Oregon, Delaware, Arizona, Minnesota, along with Michigan. Reflecting the growth of the federal government, the District of Columbia was not only the second-best job market but also the second-most improved job market in 2010.

    Eight of the states showing the least improvement last year were in the 10 best job markets in 2009, including New Mexico, Nebraska, West Virginia, Louisiana, Maryland, Oklahoma, Texas, and Virginia. Also among those showing the least improvement are several states in the Northeast — New Jersey, Vermont, and New York — and two smaller states in the West, Montana and Wyoming.

    So, what does this mean politically?

    It is noted that only two key battleground state in the Electoral College are listed – Nevada and Virginia. The other states are either very blue or very red which means these states in the extreme job markets will be ignored during the race for 2012.

    Nevada’s unemployment rate, plus President Obama’s comments about Las Vegas may play well there for the GOP nominee but demographic changes (more Hispanic and union, Clark County voters) if they show up and vote may be too much to overcome.

    Virginia is a state where the GOP will need to perform well if they wish to beat President Obama.

    The GOP nominee will concentrate their campaign in other states which have poor unemployment numbers.

    Gallup’s job creation index and job market conditions portend more of the same for 2011.

    Gallup’s Job Creation Index averaged +7 nationwide during 2010, with 28% of employees reporting their companies were hiring and 21% saying their companies were letting people go. Regionally, job market creation was best in the Midwest and South but lagged behind in the East and West.

    Looking ahead, it seems likely that the overall pattern of state job market conditions across the nation in 2011 will remain similar to those of the past three years. Energy prices are surging and gas is now $3.29 a gallon nationwide, compared with $2.69 a year ago. High oil prices tend to improve hiring activity in energy-producing states. Similarly, high commodity prices should help job conditions in the farm and mining states.

    On the other hand, the housing market continues to suffer. This suggests that states with the worst housing conditions will continue to see relatively difficult job market conditions for some time.

    Of course, it is possible that state and federal budget cutbacks could hurt job market conditions in some states more than others, particularly those having the worst budget problems, such as California, New York, and Illinois. Or, federal budget cuts could hurt states with a large number of federal government employees. Alternatively, U.S. manufacturing and exports could continue to increase, providing more jobs in industrial states.

    All in all, not a good poll about jobs for the incumbent President and Democratic U.S. Senate incumbents going into election 2012.

  • Twitter

    @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-02-28

    • RT @JonahNRO: I guess I can subscribe to the Atlantic again, and continue not reading the Daily Beast. Win-win. | Absolutely #
    • RT @marcambinder: A final Andrew Sullivan thought: virtually all his critics blazed their trails in the path he created for them.| NUTSOID #
    • RT @PatSimmsWSJ: As expected, people in Capitol will get stay the night on the ground floor. | Guess the Wisconsin protesters get Oscar too #
    • Flap’s Links and Comments for February 27th from 16:09 to 16:16 http://bit.ly/igryS9 #tcot #catcot #
    • The story behind the "Roger Ailes indictment" story http://bit.ly/hGsAGO #
    • Protesters defy deadline to leave Wisconsin Capitol as of 6:49 PM EST http://apne.ws/hJeTvz #
    • LA Times Headline: “Protesters Out in Force Nationwide to Oppose Wisconsin’s Anti-Union Bill” – I … http://bit.ly/dTId2T #tcot #catcot #
    • Day by Day February 27, 2011 – Mashup! http://bit.ly/g17DL4 #tcot #catcot #
    • @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-02-27 http://bit.ly/hbH04q #tcot #catcot #
    • Flap’s Links and Comments for February 26th from 17:01 to 17:29 http://bit.ly/ffP7gv #tcot #catcot #
    • Flap’s Links and Comments for February 26th from 17:01 to 17:29 http://bit.ly/h526zy #tcot #catcot #
    • Forbes’s Wisconsin Pension Myth – By Christian Schneider – The Corner – National Review Online http://bit.ly/fcrP8p #
    • The Real Political Math In Wisconsin http://huff.to/h84oSf #
    • Flap’s Links and Comments for February 26th from 16:50 to 16:57 | Flap's Blog – FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog http://bit.ly/ia2H9p #

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  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for February 27th from 16:28 to 17:01

    These are my links for February 27th from 16:28 to 17:01: