• Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for June 13th on 10:23

    These are my links for June 13th from 10:23 to 15:33:

  • Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012

    President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Electability Over Obama 50% Vs. Issue Agreement 44%



    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    Republicans nationwide are closely divided between those preferring that their party’s 2012 presidential nominee be the person with the best chance of beating President Barack Obama and those favoring someone who shares their views on the issues they most care about. Given this choice, slightly more prioritize electability over issue agreement, 50% vs. 44%.

    This sentiment appears to differ from what was the case leading up to the 2008 presidential election. Two Gallup polls conducted in late 2007 found the slight majority of Republicans saying issue agreement would be the more important factor to their vote, while about 4 in 10 chose electability.

    The June 8-11, 2011, USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted with 851 Republicans and independents who lean Republican, shows Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin leading Republicans’ vote preferences for 2012, with 24% and 16% support, respectively.

    Are most Republican content with the current field of candidates?

    Answer: YES.

    Republicans are generally satisfied with the current set of candidates that Gallup considers likely contenders for the GOP 2012 presidential nomination, including Gary Johnson and Jon Huntsman, in addition to Romney, Palin, Cain, Paul, Pawlenty, Santorum, Bachmann, and Gingrich. Two-thirds, 67%, say they would be satisfied if this list ultimately represents the full group of candidates running for the nomination, while 27% say they would not be satisfied.

    Notably, there is no difference in satisfaction with the field between Republicans who favor nominating the best candidate to beat Obama vs. those favoring someone who closely shares their views.

    The graph:


    And, economic issues are paramount for Republicans.

    So, what does this all mean?

    Mitt Romney is well positioned as the front-runner in this race. He is polling well against the current field and if voters are content with the field, it is his election to lose. Also, economic issues play to Romney’s strength with his business and executive background.

    Romney currently leads the GOP presidential field, with an eight-percentage-point edge over Palin in second place. He also performs a bit better in several recently reported trial heats against Obama than do his Republican competitors.

    Much of the political speculation about whether Romney can maintain his front-runner status and win the primaries, however, centers on his ability to convince primary voters that he is an authentic conservative — in other words, one of them. The new USA Today/Gallup poll suggests that half of Republicans may be less concerned about Romney’s conservative credentials than about how he compares with other GOP candidates in general-election trial heats against Obama. Furthermore, 7 in 10 predominantly issue-focused Republicans are primarily concerned about fiscal issues — either the economy and jobs or government debt — both of which may play to Romney’s business background.

    Romney will likely take some heat from his rivals on the campaign trail as he tries to reconcile his healthcare policies as governor of Massachusetts with his more recent criticism of President Obama’s healthcare law, as well as explain his past positions on gay rights and abortion. However, in addition to enjoying a modest lead at this early stage of the campaign, Romney appears to have as much potential as Palin, Cain, and others — if not more — to expand his lead by appealing to Republicans on the issues as well as to their pragmatism about nominating the strongest candidate.

  • Amazon Tax,  Internet Sales Taxes,  Streamlined Sales Tax Initiative

    Amazon Cuts Affiliate Ties In More States Over Internet Sales Taxes

    Note well, California Legislators because if current legislation becomes law, then this will happen to your state.

    Amazon has shut down its affiliates program in Connecticut and Arkansas over the controversial issue of collecting state taxes.

    The company announced the move in letters to affiliates Friday, noting that contracts with all Connecticut residents who participate in the Amazon Associates Program would be terminated effective immediately, while contracts with affiliates in Arkansas will be terminated on July 24.

    Affiliates of the Associates Program are typically Web site owners and bloggers who link to Amazon on their sites as a way of driving traffic to the online retailer. In return, they receive a commission if a sale is made.

    Though Amazon isn’t required to collect taxes in states where it has no presence, many cash-strapped local governments have tried to force the company to pay taxes in states where affiliates are located. Amazon naturally has challenged that requirement, a move that has forced the company to shut down its affiliate programs as it fights the tax regulations.

    The retailer has terminated similar agreements in other states, including Illinois, Colorado, North Carolina, and Rhode Island, and has threatened to do the same in other states where affiliates are located.

    In its letters to Connecticut and Arkansas affiliates, the company blamed the budgets signed by the governors of those states that force it to collect tax from online purchases even though Amazon has no physical presence in the states. Because of the new state tax laws, Amazon said it was “compelled” to shut down the affiliates programs.

    Great, it looks like I will no longer be an Amazon Associate (if and when Jerry Brown signs the legislation), although I have not realized any revenue yet. But, what about the Californians that do derive their livelihood from Amazon? Well, they lose their jobs.

    While federal litigation continues, up to the United States Supreme Court more than likely, the states will add little revenue while hurting its working citizens.

    In a recent interview, Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos condemned the drive to collect sales tax, arguing that Amazon is no different than big retail chains that don’t collect sales tax in states where they don’t have what’s known as a “nexus,” or presence. The CEO said Amazon’s point of view is that the collection of taxes among the states should be simplified, referring to a plan called the Streamlined Sales Tax Initiative.

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    Updated: California Assembly Passes Amazon Internet Sales Tax Legislation – Lawyers Get Rich; PMA Sues Illinois Over Internet Sales Tax Nexus

  • Bill Clinton,  Craig Huey,  Janice Hahn

    CA-36: Worried Democrats Call Out The Big Dog for Janice Hahn

    Former President Bill Clinton and Los Angeles City Councilwoman Janice Hahn

    I guess the race for Jane Harman’s Congressional seat in the South Bay is closer than one would expect.

    Now, the Democratic Party is bringing out the “Big Dog” himself, former President Bill Clinton, to help defeat Republican Craig Huey.

    Bill Clinton endorsed Los Angeles City Councilwoman Janice Hahn on Monday, the latest big-name Democrat to formally support her House bid.

    Hahn faces businessman Craig Huey (R) in the special-election runoff for former Rep. Jane Harman’s (D-Calif.) seat. Democrats have moved to circle the wagons around Hahn after Huey finished a surprise second in the May 17 jungle primary. In endorsing Hahn’s bid, Clinton joins a list that includes House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and former Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean, among others.

    “America is at a crossroads, and we need to decide whether we are going to pursue a path of right-wing extremism or one of compromise and common-sense solutions,” the former president said in a statement. “Janice has proven herself to be a champion for creating jobs, cleaning our environment, protecting a woman’s right to choose, and expanding access to healthcare. We need people like Janice Hahn in Congress, and I’m proud to endorse her.”

    Note that this endorsement is aimed at moderate Democrats who might not be too happy about the California economy and who may stay home on special election day, July 12th. Clinton will also be writing a fundraising letter for Hahn but will not travel to campaign in the district prior to the election.

    If this election tightens, don’t be surprised to see Vice President Biden or Michelle Obama make a campaign appearance. The Democrats do not want to take this seat for granted, particularly since the district will change in 2012 due to redistricting.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for June 13th on 02:01

    These are my links for June 13th from 02:01 to 10:06:

  • Dana Rohrabacher

    California Congressman Dana Rohrabacher Kicked Out of Iraq?

    Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, right, meets with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki on Friday during a congressional delegation’s visit that has stirred up Iraqi resentment

    Yeah like Iraq will ever repay the American people for our sacrifices to get rid of THEIR tyrant. But, nice try Dana.

    The suggestion by a California congressman that Iraq repay the United States for the money it has spent in the country has stirred outrage, with an Iraqi lawmaker ridiculing the idea as “stupid” and others saying Iraqis should be compensated for the hardships they’ve endured.

    Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, a Republican from Huntington Beach (Orange County), suggested during a trip to Baghdad with fellow lawmakers Friday that once Iraq becomes a rich and prosperous country, it could repay the United States.

    That comment triggered fury among an Iraqi public and political establishment that had little or no say in the U.S.-led invasion of 2003. Iraqis are largely glad to be rid of Saddam Hussein but blame the United States for the chaos and sectarian violence that followed the invasion.

    “We as a government reject such statements, and we have informed the American Embassy that these congressmen are not welcome in Iraq,” government spokesman Ali al-Dabbagh said Sunday.

    President George W. Bush made a BIG mistake invading Iraq and deposing Saddam Hussein. The war was eventually “not lost,” but the peace has NOT really been won.

    I imagine most Americans would want us to pull out completely from Iraq and not give the country another thought.

    And, as far as foreign aid, their oil is pumping so they can pay market price for American goods and services, otherwise – no.

  • Boeing,  National Labor Relations Board,  Nikki Haley

    Boeing Facility Opens in South Carolina Despite Opposition by Obama’s NLRB

    South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley speaks during the dedication of Boeing Co.’s $750 million final assembly plant in North Charleston, S.C. on Friday, June 10, 2011. Haley and state officials have joined hundreds of Boeing workers in North Charleston to cut the ribbon opening the company’s 787 jetliner assembly plant at the center of a National Labor Relations Board dispute

    Does anyone really think the Big Unions are going to be able to transfer these jobs back to Washington State?

    Friday marked the opening of the Boeing (BA) 787 Dreamliner Final Assembly building in North Charleston, South Carolina, despite the state’s battle with the National Labor Relations Board about the company’s decision to build in South Carolina.

    “The NLRB wants the jobs here transferred back to Washington State and that’s not going to happen,” South Carolina Attorney General Alan Wilson told FOXbusiness.com. “Opening this facility is an exclamation point.”

    The $750 million facility, which finished construction six months ahead of schedule, features 642,720 square feet (roughly 10 football fields) of space and will produce three 787 Dreamliners per month.

    “In this building, our talented Boeing South Carolina teammates are going to assemble the finest, most technologically advanced commercial widebody airplane in history,” said Jack Jones, vice president and general manager of Boeing South Carolina. “Airline customers from around the world will come to the South Carolina Lowcountry to take delivery of their 787s, and we look forward to demonstrating what ‘made with pride in South Carolina’ is all about.”

    Boeing officials, workers, and politicians all took part in the event, praising the success of the company.

    “To have our nation’s No. 1 exporter in this state…this is the game changer of my lifetime,” said US Congressman James Clyburn D-SC.

    “I can’t wait to see those mack-daddy planes come out of here,” said Governor Nikki Haley.

    This is Boeing’s second 787 facility, with the first housed in Washington state. In April, the NLRB sued Boeing for building in South Carolina, saying it chose to build in that right-to-work state as punishment to union members for previous strikes.

    Hearings about this matter are scheduled to begin on Tuesday. While Boeing and the NLRB fight their battle, Boeing’s production in South Carolina will continue on as scheduled.

    In this economy, the Obma administration is supporting Big Labor over American business. Washington state and the Boeing unions drove Boeing out and now they are trying to use the power of Obama’s Big Government to force Boeing to do it “their” way.

    Ain’t going to happen.

    Facility construction began in November in 2009, creating more than 9,000 jobs for the construction phase. Thousands more jobs are expected to be created when the facility is running at full capacity.

    Plane construction is scheduled to begin mid-2011 and the first delivery is scheduled for 2012.

  • California,  California Budget,  Dana Rohrabacher,  Flap's California Morning Collection,  Jerry Brown

    Flap’s California Morning Collection: June 13, 2011

    A morning collection of links and comments about my home, California.

    This week the California State Assembly and State Senate face a Wednesday constitutional deadline to pass a budget. California Jerry Brown is looking for Republican votes for tax extensions and so far has not obtained them.

    California Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. provides an update on state budget negotiations as the June 15 deadline for a balanced budget approaches.

    The question everyone is asking: will a Republican legislature sell out their party and no tax increase pledge?

    Now to the links:

    Jerry Brown offers state budget update in new video

    Gov. Jerry Brown said in an online video Sunday that he wants changes in pensions regulations and state pensions to be part of a budget deal, but he still lacks the support from four Republican lawmakers to place those reforms and billions in taxes before voters this fall.

    Brown said his plan “will put California’s finances on a firm footing for many, many years to come…but what we don’t have are the four Republican votes necessary to put it to a vote of the people of California.”

    He did not outline what those policy changes would entail, but said he was “really perplexed at why a package of this magnitude and this permanence … cannot be allowed for you the people to decide on.

    Brown posted the video to his YouTube channel Sunday, just three days before lawmakers are constitutionally required to pass a budget, to give his budget status report to voters.

    This year, for the first time, lawmakers’ pay will be docked if no spending plan is in place by Wednesday’s deadline.

    Brown plans to hold a Capitol press conference Monday with representatives from many of the various groups that have backed his budget, and the idea of placing higher vehicle, sales and income tax rates before voters, along with changes to state pensions and a limit of future state spending.

    GOP attacks bill that would ease local tax votes

    Now that Republican lawmakers have voted against a renewal of expiring tax hikes, Democrats are turning to another, more complex way to generate revenue.

    A bill proposed by state Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg and narrowly approved last week would dramatically expand the taxing powers of local governments, school boards and other jurisdictions.

    But the bill, SB23-1X, would lead to such a complicated latticework of taxes that opponents say Steinberg is merely pulling a stunt to ramp up pressure against Republican lawmakers.

    The Sacramento Democrat said his legislation would give public schools and law enforcement agencies a firmer source of funding if lawmakers don’t come up with one directly.

    It would grant sweeping authority to local governments to raise money, with voter approval, through taxes on income, vehicles, alcohol, tobacco, medical marijuana, soda and companies that pump oil in California.

    Steinberg introduced his local tax proposal on Friday, soon after the defeat in the Senate of the main bill to renew temporary increases in the statewide sales and vehicle taxes that will expire June 30. It passed, but with only the bare 21-vote majority needed. One Democrat voted against it and three others abstained.

    The bill applies to counties, school districts, community college districts and county offices of education. Critics said it would create a logistical nightmare of inconsistent tax policies that likely would be challenged in court and with a ballot referendum seeking to repeal it.

    Redistricting: Rohrabacher says he’s staying put

    With the release of a round of redistricting maps Friday, I mentioned that GOP Reps. Dana Rohrabacher, John Cambpell, Ed Royce and Gary Miller could be playing musical chairs.

    Rohrabacher may be busy in the Middle East, but he found time to make it clear he doesn’t plan to look for a new district to run in.

    The latest drafts throw Rohrabacher, R-Costa Mesa, and Campbell, R-Irvine, into the same coastal district (“OCCOAST” on the map). Campbell could run for the proposed Orange-Rancho Santa Margarita district instead – but Dave Gilliard, the consultant for Royce, R-Fullerton, says that Royce has been looking for a home in Orange and considers that the heart of his district.

    If Royce stays in Fullerton and the new district surrounding that city, he could face Miller, R-Diamond Bar, since proposed map eliminate the GOP-advantage in Los Angeles County portion of his district. I’d give Royce the edge in that race, since Miller doesn’t live in the county.

    Here’s the statement that came last night from Rohrabacher’s camp:

        Congressman Rohrabacher announced today that whatever the end configuration of the districts, he will be running in the area of Orange County that he has represented for many years.

        “I share a bond both philosophically and personally with these people. This is the area where people want limited government and personal liberty, which is something we share. I am raising my family here and feel very comfortable with the values of the people of this part of Orange County and they feel comfortable with me.”

        Rohrabacher believes there’s likely to be shifts in the proposed district lines between now and the election but points to his long standing relationship with the people of the area.

        “However the districts are shaped, I’m sure that the candidates and the voters will use this as a way of getting to know each other better. So we end up with districts that are more equal in population and voters who are more fairly represented.”

    Enjoy your morning!

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    Flap’s California Morning Collection Archive