• Michele Bachmann,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry,  Sarah Palin

    President 2012 GOP North Carolina Poll Watch: Romney 17% Vs. Perry 17% Vs. Palin 17% Vs. Bachmann 9%

    According to the latest PPP Poll.

    • Rick Perry 17%
    • Mitt Romney 17%
    • Michele Bachmann 9%
    • Sarah Palin 17%
    • Ron Paul 7%
    • Herman Cain 11%
    • Newt Gingrich 10%
    • Tim Pawlenty 2%
    • Jon Huntsman 1%

    With Sarah Palin out of the race:

    • Mitt Romney 16%
    • Rick Perry 17%
    • Michele Bachmann 17%
    • Newt Gingrich 11%
    • Ron Paul 11%
    • Tim Pawlenty 4%
    • Herman Cain 9%
    • Jon Huntsman 2%

    Another good initial poll for Texas Governor Rick Perry. It looks like he goes into North Carolina in a very good position with both Bachmann and Romney fading in the most recent polls.

    Only two days into the race and in North Carolina, Rick Perry can be considered a co-front runner.

  • American Economy,  Barack Obama,  President 2012

    President 2012: Obama Offers Up His Excuses on Why the American Economy Sucks

    President Barack Obama speaks during a town hall meeting, Monday, Aug. 15, 2011, at the Seed Savers Exchange in Decorah, Iowa, during his three-day economic bus tour

    Unbelievable – I mean really.

    At a town hall meeting on his campaign-style tour of the Midwest, President Obama claimed that his economic program “reversed the recession” until recovery was frustrated by events overseas.  And then, Obama said, with the economy in an increasingly precarious position, the recovery suffered another blow when Republicans pressed the White House for federal spending cuts in exchange for an increase in the national debt limit, resulting in a deal Obama called a “debacle.”

    “We had reversed the recession, avoided a depression, gotten the economy moving again,” Obama told a crowd in Decorah, Iowa.  “But over the last six months we’ve had a run of bad luck.”  Obama listed three events overseas — the Arab Spring uprisings, the tsunami in Japan, and the European debt crises — which set the economy back.

    “All those things have been headwinds for our economy,” Obama said.  “Now, those are things that we can’t completely control.  The question is, how do we manage these challenging times and do the right things when it comes to those things that we can control?”

    Isn’t Obama really saying: Vote for me because things were out of my hands and without me the economy could be a lot worse?

    This pig is NOT going to fly, Mr. President.

  • Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry

    President 2012 GOP Colorado Poll Watch: Romney 20% Vs. Perry 20% Vs. Bachmann 12% Vs. Palin 11%

    According to the latest PPP Poll.

    • Rick Perry 20%
    • Mitt Romney 20%
    • Michele Bachmann 12%
    • Sarah Palin 11%
    • Ron Paul 8%
    • Herman Cain 7%
    • Newt Gingrich 6%
    • Tim Pawlenty 3%
    • Jon Huntsman 2%

    With Sarah Palin out of the race:

    • Mitt Romney 22%
    • Rick Perry 21%
    • Michele Bachmann 15%
    • Newt Gingrich 9%
    • Ron Paul 7%
    • Tim Pawlenty 6%
    • Herman Cain 5%
    • Jon Huntsman 2%

    With Texas Governor Rick Perry having just announced his Presidential bid on Saturday, he has already rocketed to be the main challenger to front-runner Mitt Romney. This poll was conducted August 4-7 with Colorado Republican voters. There is a 5.5% margin of error.

    The entire poll is here.

  • Barack Obama,  Polling,  President 2012

    President 2012 Poll Watch: Obama’s Weekly Job Approval at the Lowest of His Administration – 40%



    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    President Obama’s job approval rating dropped to 40% during the week spanning Aug. 8-14, the lowest weekly average of his administration. During this period, Obama’s three-day rolling average also hit a new low of 39% for Aug. 11-13, the first such average below 40% since he took office, though it recovered to 41% for Aug. 12-14.

    Obama’s weekly average was 42%
    for the two weeks prior to last week, which at that time also marked new lows for his administration. His lowest three-day average prior to Aug. 11-13 had been 40%.

    Why?

    Probably widespread disapproval of the way the President handled the debt-limit crisis and a drop in confidence regarding Obama’s handling of the economy.

    Also, the Republican Presidential field is being solidified and have been attacking Obama directly.

    But, the implications are very clear.

    Although the new lows in Obama’s job approval rating represent only a slight drop from his previous low readings, they symbolically underscore the weaker position the president is in as he begins a “listening tour” of the Midwest this week.

    Ten incumbent presidents have sought re-election since World War II, and none has won a second term with final pre-election job approval ratings below 48%. The last two presidents who lost their re-election bids — George H.W. Bush and Jimmy Carter — had job approval ratings in the 30% range in the fall of the election year. Thus, Obama’s challenge is not only to move his rating back above 40%, but also to push it close to or above 50%.

  • California,  Texas

    Why Are Californians Fleeing to Texas?

    Conn, I think you just might have the answer: JOBS.

    But then how do we explain California? From the time of the Gold Rush through 2000, the number of California residents not born in California grew every census. But, for some reason, that stopped in the 2000s. The number of Californians born in a different state actually fell by almost 1 million over the last decade. Why?

    Thanks to native births and immigration, California’s population did grow. But Texas’ native birth rate and immigration flows were about the same. Yet over the same decade the number of Texans born out-of-state grew by almost a million. Why?

    Matt is despereate to have you believe that Americans suddenly stopped wanting to live in California and started wanting to live in Texas. But why did this happen? Couldn’t have anyhting to do with the fact they were offered jobs in Texas could it?

  • Club For Growth,  Tommy Thompson,  Wisconsin

    WI-Sen GOP Poll Watch: Former Governor Tommy Thompson Leading

    According to the latest Club for Growth Poll.

    The poll surveyed 500 respondents with a history of voting in GOP primary elections in the state and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

    In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup against former U.S. Rep. Mark Neumann, who is also considering a run, Thompson received 40% of the vote and Neumann received 34%, with 27% undecided.

  • California,  California Citizens Redistricting Commission

    California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission Approves New Congressional and Legislative Districts


    Flap’s old Congressional District CA-24 and the new one CA-26

    The new Congressional and California Legislative Districts have been approved by the California Citizen’s Redistricting Commission this morning.

    A citizens panel gave final approval Monday to new boundaries for California’s state and congressional legislative districts, setting the stage for possible challenges to the plan in the courtroom and on the ballot.

    The maps adopted Monday by the Citizens Redistricting Commission will be used during the next decade in elections for 120 seats in the state Legislature, 53 congressional seats and four seats on the state Board of Equalization.

    “Given the conflicting requirements, I think we did a very good job,” said Commission Chairman Vincent Barabba, a Republican businessman from Santa Cruz County who is a former director of the U.S. Census Bureau.

    The 14-person panel was created after voters approved Proposition 11 in November 2008 to take the job of redistricting away from legislators, who drew the boundaries in a way that helped make sure incumbents were reelected.

    Some Republican members of Congress have complained about how the districts were drawn and hinted that the new districts could be subject to a court challenge.

    California Republican Party spokesman Mark Standriff said it is “less likely” the state party will go to court, and a decision on whether to put a referendum on the ballot to challenge the plan will probably be made this week.

    By and large, the Citizen’s Commission followed the law and their plan is probably about as fair as one can expect in politics. Sure, some POLS will be upset, but having been exposed to the last decade of blatant gerrymandering, this is a vast improvement.

    But, stay tuned, since there is liable to be some challenges either by referendum or by lawsuit.

    You can view your new California Congressional and Legislative districts here with an interactive map.

  • Pinboard Links

    Flap’s Links and Comments for August 15th on 10:07

    These are my links for August 15th from 10:07 to 10:09:

    • President 2012: Rick Perry’s political chops – It could have gone very badly. Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) is an Iowa native. She’s coming off a big win in Ames. But Texas Gov. Rick Perry gave Iowans a chance to compare the two candidates at the Black Hawk County Lincoln Day Dinner in Waterloo, Iowa.

      He spoke without notes and with a broad dynamic range. When he talked in measured tones about his Air Force experience he was making a dual point — he’s seen the world (he rattled off his postings around the globe) and he has military experience. He hit his main themes — jobs and debt. He ticked off the four elements (“simple, guiding principles”) of his success in Texas — “don’t spend all the money”; a tax system as low as possible that still allows the government to provide essential services; regulatory climate that is “fair” and “predictable”; and legal reform. Along the way he wove in a swipe at ObamaCare, using his wife’s experience as a nurse to raise questions about quality of care. He is evolving a positive agenda, rather than simply railing against the incursion of the federal government from the perspective of a governor.

      Mainstream and conservative media present pronounced themselves impressed, suggesting he outshined the hometown girl.

      =======

      Read it all

    • Wisconsin’s historic recall elections wrap up this week – Wisconsin's series of recall elections concludes on Tuesday when voters go to the polls in two state Senate districts where Democrats are being forced to defend their seats.

      No matter who wins, Republican Governor Scott Walker and his Republican allies will retain control of the legislature, where the battle over public workers' union rights was waged earlier this year with public protests, legislative maneuvering and court challenges.

      Republicans have managed to keep control of the state senate — 17 to 16 at last count — because Democrats failed to unseat three Republican state Senators in the key round of six GOP senate recalls last week. But Democrats did pick up two state Senate seats formerly held by Walker allies.

      To many Wisconsin voters, especially Republicans, the special elections have been, as 70-year-old Wade Ellingson of Fond du Lac put it, "a waste of time and money."

      Nevertheless, Tuesday's two final votes, like the seven before them, will be watched closely.

      Two Democrats who opposed Walker's anti-union bill and even fled the state for weeks in an unsuccessful effort to prevent a quorum and delay passage — Jim Holperin of Conover and Robert Wirch of Pleasant Prairie — will be defending their seats.

      "As always in Wisconsin politics, one has to give the incumbent an edge," said Mordecai Lee, governmental affairs professor at the University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee.

      "It is likely the two Democratic incumbents will win their recalls — but it is not a slam dunk," he said.

      ======

      The Fleebaggers face the music

  • Amazon Tax,  Internet Sales Taxes

    Advocates for the Poor Urge Boycott of Amazon.com Over California Internet Sales Taxes

    Good grief. It isn’t bad enough that businesses are leaving California and my income has been reduced because of this internet sales tax flap, but now the FAR LEFT low-income tax redistributionist groups are going specifically after Amazon.com.

    Advocates for the poor will urge Californians today to boycott Amazon.com until the online retailer begins collecting sales taxes.

    Representatives of the Health and Human Services Network of California will hold a news conference at 10:30 a.m. on the Capitol’s north steps asking state residents to close their Amazon.com accounts until the company stops fighting a law intended to force online retailers to collect California sales taxes.

    The group will be joined by Sen. Loni Hancock, D-Oakland.

    The Seattle-based retailer ponied up $3 million last month to collect signatures for a referendum that would overturn Assembly Bill X1 28. Gov. Jerry Brown and lawmakers enacted the measure as part of the June budget deal to raise $200 million a year.

    “We’re asking people to think before they shop on Amazon and tell Amazon what they think,” said Nancy Berlin, director of the California Partnership, which advocates for health and social service funding. “We don’t have the kind of money and power Amazon does, but collectively we’re asking our people and others in our community who share our values to put their money where their values are.”

    Amazon has not collected sales taxes on California purchases since the law was passed, believing the law does not apply because the retailer ended its relationship with California-based “affiliates” who refer customers to its website.

    Amazon.com is working well within California law. What will not surprise me, will be, who is funding this group to come out and protest.

    How does Wal-Mart, Target or other business competitors to Amazon.com sound?

    Again, this law is a loser and an expensive political and legal turf war is not something that will benefit California taxpayers