• President 2012

    President 2012: Fox News/ Google Sponsored GOP Debate at 6 PM PDT

    Thanks to Matt Drudge for the graphic

    The Fox News/Google GOP Presidential debate begins in about two hours.

    As they head into the FOX News/Google debate ahead of the Republican Party of Florida’s straw poll, the stakes for Romney and Perry are huge.

    Romney has seen his own support solidify following Perry’s blazing entrance to the race last month. But the former Massachusetts governor has to prove that it is more than just a political version of “cash for clunkers” in which people who were eventually going to back Romney anyway just moved up their decisions.

    I will be making a few comments during the debate and they can be found in the right sidebar or follow me on Twiiter.

  • Barack Obama,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry

    President 2012 Poll Watch: More Voters Like Mitt Romney Than President Obama or Rick Perry

    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    More registered voters say they would definitely vote for Mitt Romney or might consider doing so (62%) than say the same about his two main rivals in the 2012 presidential election, Democrat Barack Obama (54%) and Republican Rick Perry (53%).

    Though Romney currently receives the highest level of consideration among voters, more say they would “definitely vote for” Obama (33%) than say this about either Romney (21%) or Perry (20%). That may reflect the virtual certainty that Obama will be the Democratic candidate for president, while Republicans’ loyalties are divided between their two leading contenders.

    That dynamic is apparent in the higher percentage of Democratic registered voters who say they definitely would vote for Obama (70%) than of Republican registered voters who would definitely vote for either of the main Republican contenders (41% for Perry and 44% for Romney). Once the Republican nominee is decided, the percentage of Republicans who say they would definitely vote for that candidate should increase significantly.

    But, it all means nothing for Mitt Romney, unless he can win in the early Republican primary elections/caucuses. But, Mitt will certainly use this poll in tonight’s debate to show his elecability in contrast to Texas Governor Rick Perry.

    Romney’s advantage in broader voter consideration over Perry and Obama results partly from his greater appeal to independent voters — 70% say they would definitely vote for him or consider doing so, compared with 60% for Perry and 45% for Obama. Romney also receives greater consideration from Republican and Democratic voters than does Perry, and matches the 90% party loyalty Obama gets from his party’s supporters.The greater consideration Romney gets among registered voters speaks to his potential in the 2012 election, something that has not necessarily been translated to performance yet. Romney is essentially tied with Obama in the latest head-to-head matchup for the general election, and currently trails Perry in Republicans’ current preferences for the party’s presidential nominee. However, the same poll finds Republicans saying they are more willing to trade agreement on the issues for electability when choosing their party’s presidential nominee, something that could work to Romney’s advantage given that he currently fares slightly better than Perry in a head-to-head matchup versus Obama.

  • Barack Obama,  Mitt Romney,  Polling,  President 2012,  Rick Perry

    President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Perry 31% Vs. Romney 22% But Romney 47% Vs. Obama 40%

    Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (L) and Texas Governor Rick Perry participate in the CNN/Tea Party Republican presidential candidates debate in Tampa, Florida September 12, 2011

    According to the latest Quinnipiac University Poll.

    Texas Gov. Rick Perry has a small lead over the Republican presidential pack in Florida with 28 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 22 percent, but Perry tops Romney 31 – 22 percent if Sarah Palin doesn’t run and leads Romney 46 – 38 percent in a two- man face-off, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

    Romney has barely moved since he led the Florida GOP pack with 23 percent in an August 4 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, while Perry has surged from 13 percent in that survey conducted before he formally announced his candidacy.

    All Florida voters disapprove 57 – 39 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his worst score in any Quinnipiac University poll in any state.

    In possible 2012 presidential matchups, Romney tops the president 47 – 40 percent while Perry gets 42 percent to Obama’s 44 percent, a dead heat. In the August 4 Florida poll, Romney and Obama were deadlocked 44 – 44 percent while the president led Perry 44 – 39 percent.

    Obama does not deserve a second term, Florida voters say 53 – 41 percent.

    “Gov. Rick Perry has the lead – and the momentum – among Florida Republicans, while former Gov. Mitt Romney can point to a better general election showing,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

    I think this poll lags in measuring momentum as the polls in Arizona and New Hampshire show Romney leading. Yesterday’s national Rasmussen Poll also shows an upside to Mitt Romney.

    Tonight’s debate is critical for Rick Perry. If he fails to do well like, the last one on September 12, he will be wounded – not out, but severely wounded. In fact, this may open the door to other candidates to enter the field, like Sarah Palin and/or Chris Christie.

    Most of the difference between how Romney and Perry run against President Obama is among independent voters. The president leads Perry 42 – 36 percent among Florida independents, while Romney tops the president 44 – 35 percent among the same group.

    “This finding is consistent with Quinnipiac University polls in other states and re-enforces Perry’s need to improve his standing with independent voters,” said Brown.

  • Day By Day,  Joe McGinniss,  Sarah Palin

    Day By Day September 22, 2011 – Burn Notice

    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    McGinniss is the one who has burned with his useless POS book about Sarah Palin. The New York Times book review was enough.

    Although most of “The Rogue” is dated, petty and easily available to anyone with Internet access, Mr. McGinniss used his time in Alaska to chase caustic, unsubstantiated gossip about the Palins, often from unnamed sources like “one resident” and “a friend.”

    Worse than Anatoly’s shirt because some people will actually buy and read this crap.

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    @Flap Twitter Updates for 2011-09-22

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