Ventura County Supervisor Linda Parks (NP) and California State Senator Tony Strickland (R)
Timm Herdt over at the Ventura County Star has the poop on the fundraising numbers – Republican California State Senator Tony Strickland leads far and away.
Strickland had a pretty good week at fundraising last week, FEC reports show.
He took in more than $70,000, most in the form of contributions from members of Congress and conservative PACs, including House Speaker John Boehner ($4,000) and Rep. Paul Ryan’s Prosperity PAC ($2,500).
Meanwhile, Democrat Julia Brownley took in slightly over $20,000, led by contributions from AFSCME ($2,500), House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer ($2,000) and $2,000 each from county Democratic clubs in the Conejo Valley, Oxnard and Ojai.
The reports show that independent Linda Parks boosted her campaign with a $10,000 contribution to the campaign from her personal funds on May 2.
Ventura County Supervisor and No Party Preference candidate, Linda Parks, has been widely outspent by Strickland and Brownley. She accepts no contributions from PACS, although an independent SuperPAC has run some ads for her.
Will Parks approach work in the new top two format?
Will Republicans “GAME” the voting system and vote for Linda Parks to eliminate the Democrat, Brownley?
Well. stay tuned…..the election is tomorrow.
In California’s new top two election system, Ventura County voters can have either have a Far Left Democrat (Assemblywoman Julia Brownley) or a No Party Preference moderate in Ventura County Sueprvisor Linda Parks, face off with Republican Tony Strickland in November.
Brownley without hesitation will vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker and for every left-wing cause down the line.
Parks is a moderate and although more left than I would like will at least be approachable on issues. Not to say that Parks will vote more conservative, but who can be MORE left than Santa Monica resident (oh yeah Brownley just moved) Julia Brownley?
Conservative voters tomorrow have an opportunity for a two-fer. Strickland and Parks.
Tomorrow vote for Linda Parks.
Oxnard Harbor District Commissioner Jess Herrera
Democrat Oxnard Harbor District Commissioner Jess Herrera may just deliver a top two victory to No Party Preference candidate Linda Parks.
It’s difficult to assess Herrera’s chances on Tuesday. He has a chance to perform well in Oxnard, where he has lived his entire life and has consistently been the leading vote-getter in elections for the Harbor District. In addition, he has been targeting working-class Latino voters in other areas of the district, notably Santa Paula and Fillmore. Depending on Latino turnout and how fractured the overall vote turns out to be, an upset may not be inconceivable. But at the very least, he has the potential to play the role of a spoiler, siphoning away from Brownley a share of the Democratic vote that she may need to outpoll Parks.
But, will Herrera be enough of a vote siphon to drop Julia Brownley below Linda Parks?
The Democratic Party and Democratic independent expenditure Super PACS are not taking any chances and are heavily running ads for Brownley.
Here is Herrera’s web ad:
Screenshot of Patricia McKeon for Assembly mailer featuring California State Senator and CA-26 Congressional candidate Tony Strickland
So, who to vote for next week in my (26th) Congressional district – especially since the California top two voting system sets up various ways to game the November general election?
Most Republican voters WILL vote for the Republican candidate Tony Strickland who is the ONLY Republican listed on the ballot. Let’s face it, most voters vote for their party and don’t look at the other candidates.
The California top two system this year will send the top two vote getters next Tuesday to the general election in November regardless of party affiliation.
The conventional wisdom says that there are sufficient Republican voters in the CA-26 to easily place Tony Strickland in the top two. But, what if some Republican or conservative independent Tea Party voters, confident of Strickland moving along, decide to vote for either No Party Preference candidate, Ventura County Supervisor Linda Parks or Democratic Assemblywoman Julia Brownley.
This will, of course, dilute Strickland’s vote total, but will set him up with either the best candidate to beat or not.
I am not happy with Tony Strickland endorsing the unethical, Republican tools, Buck and Patricia McKeon. They are an embarrassment to the GOP.
I mean, Tony is an acceptable Republican and conservative candidate, but he is NO Tom McClintock. He can represent my views better than Julia Brownley or Linda Parks, but when Speaker Boehner or Leader McCarthy come calling, he will switch his vote in a minute for the campaign cash. I cannot say the same for my current Congressman Elton Gallegly who is retiring.
What to do?
Vote for Linda Parks, who I think has a REAL chance to beat Tony Strickland with grass roots populism, or vote for Julia Brownley who will bring plenty of Democratic campaign cash to run major negative ads against Strickland.
If Parks wins one of the top two spots, will she have sufficient resources to run a general election campaign against Strickland? Probably enough and the Democrats or an independent-minded billionaire or two might sweeten the pot – perhaps.
If Brownley wins, she could beat Strickland in November. But, the Congressional District will remain a registration neutral battleground and Strickland or another Republican would certainly run against her in two years. The GOP might get a better Republican.
All I know is that Tony Strickland’s endorsement of Patricia McKeon in AD-48 has cost him this conservative, Republicans vote next week.
Who will I vote for to best game the system?
I will let you know…..
This is almost laughable since Ventura County Supervisor Linda Parks (of No Party Preference fame) would dish it out, if you she had the campaign cash to do so.
But, she had only enough money to run those inane cable television ads, where she says she likes “rocky road” ice cream and talks with her mouth half open.
The Democrats have done what they have had to do and expose Parks as the unprincipled POL that she is.
But, will Parks edge out Democrat Assemblywoman Julia Brownley in next Tuesday’s election?
Hold on, it WILL be close.
Screenshot from Tony Strickland Mailer
The real campaign for this contested Congressional seat will be in November. But, Republican Tony Strickland is playing nice with this positive mailer about constituent service.
Here is the entire mailer:
A very good idea to portray yourself in a positive manner while the Democrat Julia Brownley goes after No Party Preference independent candidate Linda Parks in the June primary election.
It is called placing a little goodwill in the general election bank.
Democratic Attack Mailer against No Party Preference candidate Linda Parks
The chances of Ventura County Supervisor Linda Parks winning a top two spot in the June 5th California Primary election is not looking so good. Timm Herdt over at the Ventura County Star has the analysis.
First, lets look a the early balloting (California allows early by mail voting):
Here’s what we know, based on information compiled by Political Data Inc. and Redistricting Partners: In the 26th Congressional District, 7 percent of the ballots sent to the district’s 151,515 permanent mail-in voters have already been returned. Of them, 40 percent have come from Democrats, 45 percent from Republicans and 11 percent from nonpartisans.
Although CA-26 has a plurality of registered Democrats, the preponderance of early returned ballots, speaks to more enthusiastic voting by Republicans. And, these Republicans, are probably NOT voting for Linda Parks (who changed her registration from Republican to No Party Preference at the beginning of this campaign).
Note, also the non-partisan or Declined to State returned mail ballots are ONLY at 11%.
Herdt says that Linda Parks must capture 35 per cent of the Republican and non-partisan vote, plus 22 per cent of Democratic votes in order to beat Democrat Assemblywoman Julia Brownley for second place. I don’t see how she gets there.
With the blistering Democratic direct mail attacks on Parks and the preference for GOP primary voters to vote for one of their own, Parks will likely come in a close third to Brownley.
Republican California State Senator Tony Strickland has run a very smart race. His low-key campaign, while raining tons of campaign cash for November has been the winning strategy.
Watch your mailbox for more Democratic attacks on Parks as Brownley closes out the campaign.
Linda Parks is a Ventura County Supervisor running for Congress in in California’s 26th district as an “independent.” But Linda was a Republican for 16 years before switching to become an “independent” just in time to run for office. Sixteen years as a Republican. Really?
Linda Parks claims to hate all things partisan. But that’s funny.
You see, Linda became a Republican during Newt Gingrich’s hyperpartisan assault on democracy and good government.
She stayed a Republican during the politically motivated partisan impeachment of Bill Clinton.
She remained a Republican for the election of George W. Bush, an election decided by the nakedly partisan decision of the Supreme Court’s conservative bloc. She was still a Republican throughout the Bush Administration–arguably the most partisan Republican conservative administration in history.
She remained a loyal partisan Republican during the invasion of Iraq.
When Republicans swift-boated war hero John Kerry and wore purple-heart band-aids to mock Kerry’s military service during their convention, she still stayed a Republican. She didn’t change her registration when being a Republican meant endorsing Dick Cheney and Karl Rove.
And when the Republican economics of reckless Wall Street deregulation crashed the economy even as the Republican Party threatened to put Sarah Palin, of all hyperpartisans, one heartbeat away from the Presidency, there was Linda Parks. An unwavering Republican.
But now that she’s switched to “independent” in order to run for Congress, she claims to hate partisanship and declares independence from party loyalty. Not so fast.
I have known Linda Parks for many years and watched her rise with the Thousand Oaks based “Slow Growth” movement. Her mentors were former Thousand Oaks City Council members Eloise Zeanah (a Republican) and Jaime Zukowski (a Democrat).
Parks knew that if she was to have a political future in Thousand Oaks that she must be registered a Republican. Almost all of the POLS in this town since the 1980’s have been. The vast majority of voters and especially the ones that show up to vote are Republicans.
Registering as a Republican was a no-brainer, if she wanted a political career.
The better question is: will Linda Parks be a Republican partisan in the Congress?
The answer to this question is NO and she won’t vote for the Democratic Party line either – especially since they are so desperate to defeat her with Democrat Assemblywoman Julia Brownley.
This attack website is nothing but HOT AIR and I suppose created by the very LEFT leaning Democrats in Ventura County who so want a Brownley vs. Republican Tony Strickland race in November.
And, there will be more – how about weekly?
Linda Parks is up with a new ad on cable television as well.
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) Mailer
The Democrats (Democratic Congressional Campaign Commitee) are sliming Ventura County Supervisor and NPP (No Party Preference) Linda Parks again.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has flooded the mailboxes of Ventura County Democratic voters with another cartoonish mailer that seeks to portray independent congressional candidate Linda Parks as a tea party-style Republican extremist.
The first showed Parks’ face on campaign buttons paired with George W. Bush, Dick Cheney and Sarah Palin. The cover of this one shows an open closet with GOP paraphernalia, including a cardboard cutout of Palin and a Bush-Cheney placard, spilling out. The implication is that Parks has been trying to keep her true political leanings in the closet. The headline says, “Republican Linda Parks has a secret…”
On the flip side it says that “Washington Republicans and Linda Parks would end Medicare as we know it” and that “a vote for Parks and the national Republicans is a vote for the Tea Pary.”
Not really. Linda Parks is NO conservative and is a RINO at best.
But, the Democrats are desperate and will pound Parks, trying to drive up her negatives, so that their annointed Democratic candidate, Assemblywoman Julia Brownley can win second place against favorite, Republican Tony Strickland.
I received a call from a political fact check organization the other day while I was traveling, inquiring about the first mail piece with Sarah Palin. This ad, like that one, is blatantly false and misleading – so place it in the pile with the other one and ones to come from the DCCC.
Doesn’t the DCCC remember that all of those negative mailers from Tony Strickland’s wife, Audra, backfired and made Linda Parks a sympathetic figure?
I don’t think this appraach will curry favor with Ventura County Democrats for Brownley – but then again, maybe their polling already shows this.