But, how President Obama is “spiking the ball” is really beyond reasonable….
Americans’ approval of President Barack Obama is up six points after the death of Osama bin Laden in a U.S. raid on the al Qaeda leader’s Pakistan compound. Obama averaged 46% approval in Gallup Daily tracking in the three days leading up to the military operation and has averaged 52% across the three days since.
This increase in approval rating is not unexpected and is fairly typical, if not low.
Presidents’ popular support often increases in response to major international events, commonly known as “rally events.” Thus, a jump in Obama’s approval after bin Laden’s death is not unexpected.
The six-percentage-point increase in Obama’s approval rating is fairly typical for a rally event. Gallup has compiled data on changes in presidential approval after 48 different international or domestic crises since 1950 and finds a median increase of seven percentage points.
The largest rally Gallup has ever measured was a 35-point increase for George W. Bush after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. Other large rally effects include an 18-point increase for George H.W. Bush at the beginning of the 1991 Persian Gulf War; a 16-point jump for Richard Nixon after the Vietnam War peace accords were signed; and 14-point increases for George H.W. Bush after the U.S. sent troops to Kuwait following Iraq’s invasion of the country, and for Lyndon Johnson after he announced he was halting bombing in North Vietnam.
When the U.S. in December 2003 found and captured another “high-value target” — former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein — George W. Bush’s approval rating rose seven points.
So, will President Obama’s bounce in the polls be sustained? I, frankly, doubt it since most on the RIGHT understand he never supported the measures that brought hm success in this operation, including enhanced interrogation methods.
The U.S. military operation that resulted in the death of Osama bin Laden is a major milestone in Obama’s presidency, and now a majority of Americans approve of the job he is doing, and more than at any time since May 2010. The question is whether Obama can sustain that higher level of support, or whether it will quickly dissipate. Most often, a president’s approval rating begins to decline fairly soon after the rally event occurs, with the increases in approval often disappearing in as little as one to four weeks.
Day By Day by Chris Muir
With regards to the release of the photos, I am ambivalent about the issue. I can see both arguments and know that eventually some of the photos, plus video will leak out.
This will remain cannon fodder for the conspiracy theorists for years to come – without the official sanction of the United States though.
The Day By Day Archive
But, lingering questions remain about President Obama’s competency to lead Americans forward. The economy continues to be poor, unemployment high and America is engaged now in three wars.
One successful military mission, won’t a re-elected President make.
Guess I was right about Jennifer Rubin’s comments about Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels. He has an opinion, maybe his staff just didn’t wish to share them with an unfriendly journalist with the Washington Post.
STEVE DOOCY: This is a big story in Indiana? People really care about finally getting this guy?
DANIELS: Sure. People care about the security of this country every day, but absolutely on an occasion like this.
Again, let’s hope it’s not too temporary — the unity, the spontaneous unity we saw — always great.
And we need it for other purposes in this country.
And, what purposes might those be, governor?
More on this later, as it is apparent that Daniels has the Presidency on his mind.
Cindy Sheehan, today:
I am sorry, but if you believe the newest death of OBL, you’re stupid. Just think to yourself–they paraded Saddam’s dead sons around to prove they were dead–why do you suppose they hastily buried this version of OBL at sea? This lying, murderous Empire can only exist with your brainwashed consent–just put your flags away and THINK!
I have a hard time bearing much ill will toward Sheehan, no matter how nonsensical or inane her utterances get; who knows what the depths of grief can do to a parent’s mind? The widespread politicization of the grief, and the notion of the worst event in your life suddenly turning you into a celebrity with admirers, probably spurs one to react in strange ways.
But the degree to which the “anti-war” crowd — who today applaud war kinetic military action against Libya without congressional approval, and who are today applauding unilateral military action on foreign soil without the host government’s knowledge or consent or U.N. approval — exploited Ms. Sheehan remains unforgivably appalling.
Sorry, but I am not so forgiving. Cindy Sheehan is a deranged moron who should be REBUKED like the NUTTER she is. But……
A Bin Laden death denier or a DEATHER indeed.
You do have to feel sorry, at some level, for Sheehan. Last night I met a military dad who felt that bin Laden’s death meant that his late son, who’d fought in Iraq, had died for something. Sheehan may never have closure or satisfaction.