VA-Sen Poll Watch: George Allen 45% Tim Kaine 32% With 23% Undecided

Posted Posted in George Allen, Tim Kaine

According to the Roanoke College Poll.

  • 45% Allen (R), 32% Kaine (D)

In a very early look at the possible battle for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Sen. Jim Webb, registered voters in the Commonwealth preferred former Gov. and U.S. Sen. George Allen, a Republican, over former Gov. Tim Kaine, a Democrat, by 45 percent to 32 percent with 23 percent undecided. [Please note that the margin of error for this question was + 5.2 percent because it was asked only of the 360 registered voters in the sample.]

Among the battleground groups, Kaine led among political moderates (41%-34%), while Allen led among Independent voters (40%-35%). Not surprisingly, Allen led among Republicans (78%-4%) and conservatives (68%-10%) while Kaine led among Democrats (79%-12%) and liberals (83%-10%). Allen’s lead could be attributed to the large number of conservatives in Virginia, a finding that closely matches the December, 2010 Roanoke College Poll.


Job Approval Vs. Disapproval:

  • President Obama 34% Vs. 57%

Certainly, this is a good poll for the Republicans but remember it is very early and the poll was taken prior to Tim Kaine officially announcing his candidacy (although it was widley anticipated).

Perceptions of the Commonwealth have improved since the December poll, with almost half (49%) saying that things in Virginia are going in the right direction and 36 percent saying things are on the wrong track. (December results were 45 percent right direction and 43 percent wrong track.) At the same time, Governor Bob McDonnell’s approval rating is now 66 percent, up from 57 percent in December.

With regard to the nation, 71 percent of respondents believe that things are on the wrong track with only 20 percent believing that things are going in the right direction. This is essentially unchanged from December. President Obama’s approval rating is now 34 percent, compared to 36 percent in December, well within the polls’ margin of error.

VA-Sen: Sen Jim Webb to Announce He Will NOT Seek Re-election in 2012

Posted 2 CommentsPosted in George Allen, Jim Webb

061027georgeallenandjim VA Sen Poll Watch: Jim Webb 49% Vs. George Allen 45%

Former Virginia Senator George Allen and Senator Jim Webb

Guess former Republican Senator George Allen who is running in 2012 for his old seat will have to find another opponent.
Virginia Senator Jim Webb plans to announce today that he won’t seek reelection, a senior Senate source said.

Webb appeared likely to face a rematch with former Senator George Allen, whom he beat in a bruising 2006 contest. He had expressed ambivalence about the prospect of another run, and has said he never planned a life in politics.

Senate Democratic leaders view Democratic National Committee Chairman Tim Kaine, the former Virginia governor, as a top prospect to replace him, despite Kaine’s disavowals that he’s looking at the race.

It would have been more than likely that George Allen wold have been able to beat Webb in a 2012 race – so Webb took the easy way out and retired.

Good riddance – Webb is a miserable person and POL.

VA-Sen: Does Lackluster Fundraising Say Sen. Jim Webb is Out?

Posted Posted in George Allen, Jim Webb

061027georgeallenandjim VA Sen Poll Watch: Jim Webb 49% Vs. George Allen 45%

Former Virginia Senator George Allen and Senator Jim Webb

Virginia is not a small state and Senator Jim Webb’s fundraising has been poor. Is it because he is NOT running for re-election?
It’s a natural and defensible impulse to try to draw conclusions about Virginia Sen. Jim Webb’s lackluster fundraising quarter.

Reports by The Hill and then USA Today that the Marine only raised $12,000 during the final three months of the year immediately lead to the conclusion that Webb is less likely to pursue a second term.

But there might not be a senator’s financial report that’s less instructive than Jim Webb’s.

It’s no secret he doesn’t enjoy the game of politics, let alone the unseemly and draining process of raising money.  And if those who claim to know him best are being forthright, it’s just as possible that Webb wants to truly settle on a decision before he slugs through dialing for dollars in a secluded, colorless room at the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.

Webb enters 2011 with just $440,000 on hand.  To put things in perspective, while that number will undoubtedly fall on the low end of the fundraising spectrum, it’s not significantly less than some of his colleagues, like Sen. Jon Tester and Sen. Jeff Bingaman.

Yes, those are smaller, cheaper states.  But to be sure, Webb isn’t really even trying yet.

Looks to me that Webb lacks the “fire in his belly” to run against George Allen again – especially with 2012 expected not to be as good for Democrats as 2006 when President George W. Bush was under seige from the Iraq War.

But, if Webb decides to run, it will be a tough campaign in a rematch with George Allen.

VA-Sen Poll Watch: Jim Webb 49% Vs. George Allen 45%

Posted Posted in George Allen, James Webb

Former Virginia Senator George Allen and Senator Jim Webb

This Senate contest in Virginia will be a battle royal.
We polled the Jim Webb/George Allen rematch that’s now become a reality late last year and found Webb ahead 49-45.

Senator Jim Webb has really not made a move to run for re-election, but it is assumed that he will. George Allen will announce his candidacy later in the day.

In a state where the Republican nominee for President must win, if he or she is to beat President Obama, this race may revolve around turnout. This contest will involve a lot of personal campaigning and plenty of television ads in one of the most expensive Senate races in the country.

Former U.S. Senator George Allen Ready to Start Campaign Against Democrat Senator Jim Webb for his Former Seat

Posted Posted in George Allen, Jim Webb, Macaca Moment

Former Virgiinia Senator George Allen

Good for Allen.

George Allen, the former U.S. senator and Virginia governor, plans to tell supporters within a week that he is mounting a campaign to retake the Senate seat he lost to Sen. Jim Webb (D-Va.) in 2006. Allen, 58, the most prominent 2012 challenger to announce so far, has begun to line up key staff members. Webb, 64, who won by 1 percent, has sent mixed signals about whether he will seek reelection. DNC Chairman Tim Kaine, a former Virginia governor who could be the Democratic nominee if Webb bowed out, has been telling friends he thinks Webb will run. The rematch could be one of the hottest races in the country, especially if President Obama’s reelection campaign plays hard in the Old Dominion.

Everyone, including me went after him for his MACACA comment which he made against a Democrat Party “tracker” who was videoing Allen’s every move. This Alinsky type tactic was early in its implementation and Allen fell for the trap.

It cost him a very close election. But, Democrat Senator Webb has been not an exemplary Senator and Virginia has been growing “RED.”

George Allen has an excellent chance against Jim Webb.

But, the campaign will be BRUTAL.