Former California Assembly Members Tony Strickland and Hannah-Beth Jackson and candidates for California State Senate District 19
Ventura County elections reported yesterday afternoon and former California Assemblyman Tony Strickland has retaken the lead over Democrat Hannah-Beth Jackson. This update has Srickland leading by 540 votes with over 357,000 cast.
Strickland passed Democrat Hannah-Beth Jackson, who had led by 255 votes going into the day, based on the results of 18,041 additional vote-by-mail ballots tabulated in Ventura County.
Neither of the two other counties that have 19th District voters, Los Angeles and Santa Barbara, released additional results on Monday.
Los Angeles County is expected to provide updated vote counts today.
Former California Assembly Members Tony Strickland and Hannah-Beth Jackson and candidates for California State Senate District 19The lead comes from Ventura County mail-in ballots which were received after the time to process them before election day.
Republican Tony Strickland took an 840-vote lead over Democrat Hannah-Beth Jackson Thursday in the oh-so-close balloting in the 19th Senate District, the first day of what could be a monthlong process to determine the winner of the most expensive political contest in Ventura County history.
Strickland emerged with a lead after Ventura County election officials counted 11,294 mail-in-ballots that hadn’t been received in time to process before Election Day. His 948-vote net gain allowed him to leapfrog ahead of Jackson, who led by 108 votes after election night.
The votes counted Thursday were exceptionally rich for Strickland. He was the choice on 58.6 percent of the new ballots counted, well above the percentage by which he carried Ventura County and also above the percentage he received of the mail-in ballots from the county that were tabulated on Election Day.
The lead may be short-lived since Santa Barbara County will release its mail-in ballots today. On the other hand, Strickland supporting Los Angeles County is liable to add to Strickland’s total.
Next, will be the fight for the provisional ballots and a possible state mandated audit.
Flap bets Strickland will win this race eventually but hang on because the lead may change a couple more times over the next few weeks.
Former California Assembly Members Tony Strickland and Hannah-Beth Jackson and candidates for California State Senate District 19Wow!
The election yesterday settled NOTHING (Jackson leads by 108 votes with thousands yet to be counted) in the California State Senate District 19 which includes portions of Santa Barbara, Ventura and Los Angeles Counties.
Timm Herdt of the Ventura County Star has the poop and the numbers.
- Elections officials have processed and counted mail-in ballots that were delivered in the mail through last Friday. All ballots that were delivered via mail on Saturday, Monday and yesterday have not been counted. To these, add all the mail-in ballots that were dropped off at voting precincts yesterday. Finally, add all provisional ballots that were cast. These are the votes that will now determine the outcome.
- Provisional ballots are cast by voters who showed up at the polls and, for some reason or another, weren’t on the rolls. Ventura County Clerk-Recorder Philip Schmit told me last night that there was an unusually high number of provisional ballots cast yesterday.
- The tallying of the outstanding ballots won’t begin until tomorrow or Friday at the earliest, Schmit said. The process could take two weeks.
- California law requires an automatic recount of 10 percent of the ballots in any contest in which the outcome is within half a percentage point. If the contest remains within that margin after the first 10 percent of ballots are recounted, then another 10 percent are recounted, and so on.
Ventura County is where Tony Strickland is strong and many GOP voters vote by mail.
Stay tuned but Flap thinks this race albeit tight today will ultimately go to Republican Tony Strickland.
Santa Barbara’s largest circulation newspaper has endorsed former California Assemblyman Tony Strickland for California State Senate.Opinion: Tony Strickland for state Senate
October 28, 2008 12:00 AM
The right choice to represent the state Senate’s 19th District couldn’t be more clear.
Do you want a candidate known for extreme partisan politics — one who’s distorted her resume, alienated many Santa Barbarans and plotted to hold the state’s budget hostage for political gain?
Or do you want a stable hand in Sacramento during this time of economic uncertainty?
As Senate candidate Tony Strickland has noted:
“Our financial markets are unstable and our economy is in shambles. Californians are frustrated, suspicious and angry because they feel deceived by partisan politicians who offer no solutions. They are worried about losing their retirement savings, the equity they have in their homes and, in some cases, their jobs.”
We have faith that Mr. Strickland will do his best to hold the line against tax hikes and fee increases that your family can’t afford. Too many state lawmakers are out of touch with the challenges facing California households. Their way of dealing with the state’s budget problem consists of either trying to find new ways to take money from you, or papering it over and pushing it off to future generations.Mr. Strickland says, “Let me fight for you.”
If one looks at the record of his opponent, her motto might as well be “let me fight against you.”
Vote for Tony Strickland on Nov. 4.
Tony Strickland’s Democrat opponent, Hannah-Beth Jackson didn’t get the name “Taxin’ Jackson” for nothing.
California Assemblywoman Audra Strickland and her husband Tony, the former Assemblyman and current California State Senate candidate, Camarillo, California September 2008, Photo by FlapIf fundraising is an indicator of success at the polls, former Republican Assemblyman Tony Strickland will win California’s District 19 State Senate race.
The candidates in the 19th Senate District campaign have now raised more than $7 million combined, campaign finance reports filed Thursday show.
In what could be the most expensive legislative campaign in California history, Republican Tony Strickland has taken in $4.3 million, and Democrat Hannah-Beth Jackson has raised $2.7 million.
Thursday’s reports, which cover the period from Oct. 1 to 18, show that each raised nearly $1 million in less than three weeks.
Late contribution reports filed this week show that the two have combined to take in an additional $348,500 since Sunday.
Other reports filed Thursday show that independent expenditure groups have topped the $1 million mark in spending, putting the combined total resources dedicated to this campaign at $8 million and counting.
So, what does this mean for the Strickland campaign?
The 19th state senate district continues to hold a registration edge of Republican registrants over Democrats (albeit a small one). With more campaign dollars, Tony Strickland’s campaign and the the GOP GOTV (Get Out The Vote) operation will be in high gear turning out their base voters.
Remember California has early voting with a huge absentee ballot component. The campaign dollar edge will go along way in the waning days of the campaign to assure their message to undecided voters is delivered by mail, television, radio and telephone.
An editorial from Hannah-Beth Jackson’s hometown newspaper:
Our Opinion: Can you believe what Jackson
says?October 23, 2008 7:48 AM
Hannah-Beth Jackson spent her years in Sacramento as an Assembly member working to make life harder for California businesses and their owners. Creating jobs and economic security wasn’t her priority.
In fact, over the years, Ms. Jackson has tended to say her No. 1 priority is whatever is the prime interest of the particular group she’s before at the moment.
If she’s before environmental organizations, Ms. Jackson claims that protecting the environment is her biggest concern. If she’s before parents and teachers, Ms. Jackson says education is her highest concern. If she’s before crime victims and law enforcement agents, she maintains that public safety is on the top.
You get the picture.
But what’s never been Ms. Jackson’s top concern is helping local businesses and their workers. And, certainly, improving the economic prosperity of your family hasn’t been in the forefront of her mind when in Sacramento during her time as an Assembly member.
Ms. Jackson’s actions earned her the title of Taxin’ Jackson for her support of one idea to tax you after the next. The moniker stuck and entered common usage in Santa Barbara because of its accuracy.
Now Ms. Jackson wants to be in the state Senate.
As a state senator, you could expect Ms. Jackson to back or write legislation to increase taxes and fees for Californians.
She’s never demonstrated any will to downsize big government, even as the state faced billions of dollars in red ink.
Recall how Ms. Jackson in 2004 described her years as an Assembly member. As noted back then, in the style of George W. Bush, who during his re-election campaign couldn’t think of any mistakes he’d made as president, Ms. Jackson has said of her time in the Assembly: “It’s been an extraordinary run, and I wouldn’t have changed it for anything.”
During the Jackson years, our state went from a time of multibillion-dollar surpluses to multibillion-dollar deficits. Ms. Jackson, as our representative in Sacramento and member of the budget committee, shared culpability for this. Her habit of writing unnecessary bills added to the budget problems.
Ms. Jackson wants you to forget about her past.
Tony Strickland has rightly pointed out that Ms. Jackson has had no economic plan. The economy has been off the radar of this Montecito Democrat.
But now, suddenly, she says: “Strengthening our local economy will be my top priority in the state Senate.”
Do you believe it?
Well, they don’t call Hannah-Beth Jackson, Taxin’ Jackson for nothing………But –
There is an alternative – Republican Tony Strickland.
As you know Flap is supporting Republican Tony Strickland for the California State Senate.
Tony Stricklandâ€™s Facebook page is here.
Stricklandâ€™s California State Senate website is here.
And, while you are thinking about, go here and send Tony a few bucks to finance his media campaign.
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From the Press Release:
GOVERNOR ARNOLD SCHWARZENEGGER ENDORSES
TONY STRICKLAND FOR STATE SENATE
California’s Greenest Governor Picks Strickland,
says, “We need independent thinkers in Sacramento.”
(Simi Valley) Today, as Tony Strickland joins Vons officials for the launch of the first solar powered grocery store in Southern California, the Strickland for Senate Campaign announces the official endorsement of California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger in the bid for the 19th District State Senate seat. Strickland’s emphasis on jumpstarting our economy with renewable energy fits with the Governor’s philosophy that it is possible to be both a good steward of the environment while also supporting California businesses.
“Tony’s strength as a leader is admirable,” said Schwarzenegger. “His fight for renewable energy is the foundation of his economic plan and I need him standing with me as we transition California into a renewable, energy efficient economy. We need independent thinkers like Tony Strickland in Sacramento.”
With environmental and business interests often viewed as conflicting, both Strickland and Schwarzenegger believe that the two are not mutually exclusive. Allowing California businesses to lead the way on renewable energy will strengthen our economy, help end our dependence on foreign oil and create high-paying green jobs in the state.
“Arnold Schwarzenegger is the greenest Governor California has ever had,” said Strickland. “I’m honored to share in his vision of transforming California into a renewable, energy-efficient economy. I am extremely grateful to have his support.”
Flap doesn’t know if this OBLIGATORY endorsement will help Strickland much with California conservatives but the Governor’s inaction might have cost him some votes and provided campaign fodder for Hannah-Beth Jackson and the Democrats.
California’s 19th State Senate District has a GOP edge in registration (albiet, slight as it is) and in order to win Strickland needs to turn out his GOP base, plus a few independent voters. Arnold will help with this.
Today’s Editorial at the largest daily newspaper in Santa Barbara County.
Our Opinion: Can you trust Jackson in Sacramento?
October 15, 2008 8:07 AM
Hannah-Beth Jackson is trying to run away from much of her past. Ms. Jackson was known during her years in the statehouse as so extremely partisan and off-putting that even some fellow Democrats, locally and in Sacramento, wanted her out of politics.
But now, amazingly, Ms. Jackson is trying to portray herself as an independent in her run for the state Senate against Tony Strickland. Nothing could be further from the truth.
Ms. Jackson — who earned the title of Taxin’ Jackson — also is attempting to revise history and suggest she didn’t support one idea after the next to increase your taxes.
Now comes word that Ms. Jackson is trying to rewrite the circumstances regarding her participation in a scheme in 2003 to delay passage of the state budget for political gain.
Think back to that summer when Assemblywoman Hannah-Beth Jackson showed up at the county Board of Supervisors meeting to criticize the GOP’s no-new-tax stand and, in her view, that party’s partisanship at the expense of compromise.
It was just more grandstanding and hypocrisy from Ms. Jackson.
Days later, a broadcasting system in the Capitol building aired budget discussions by a group of 11 Democratic Assembly members that included Ms. Jackson. A staff member interrupted the legislators by saying: “Excuse me, guys, you can be heard outside.”
A report in the San Francisco Chronicle stated: “Members of the Assembly Democrats’ progressive caucus were heard making candid, if not intemperate, statements . . . that they may want to ‘precipitate a crisis’ over the budget this year.” The L.A. Daily News noted that the Democrats “speculated that the continuing deadlock over the state budget could benefit their party politically by slowing the drive to recall Gov. Gray Davis.”
At a recent candidates debate in Ventura, Ms. Jackson tried to distance herself from all this by saying there was no secret meeting, according to reports. The Strickland campaign notes: “Hannah-Beth Jackson thinks that when she says something, it’s true. This time, her denials are more hollow than usual. Taxin’ Jackson must have forgotten the news coverage of the now infamous ‘Squawk Box’ recording. In this meeting, Democrats inadvertently had microphones transmitting their secret plans to hold up the budget and to blame the Republicans in hope of gaining a political advantage.”
On top of these apparent lies or distortions about her past, Ms. Jackson has further damaged her reputation by over-the-top mud-slinging against Mr. Strickland.
Voters must ask themselves: Do you have enough trust and confidence in Ms. Jackson to give her a job in Sacramento?
The answer is NO.
Tony Strickland for California State Senate, District 19.
Republican California State Senate candidate and former California Assemblyman Tony Strickland waving to early morning commuters in Camraillo, California, August 13, 2008The Los Angeles Times has a piece up this morning about the Tony Strickland – Hannah-Beth Jackson race. The premise is that both are attempting to attrack moderate voters to win California’s 19th State Senate District.
But as they face off for the 19th state Senate District seat covering much of Ventura and Santa Barbara counties and Santa Clarita in Los Angeles County, both candidates are moving to the center in a bid to win over the crucial block of moderate voters who will probably decide the election.
With no incumbent and voter registration split nearly equally between Republicans and Democrats, big money and attention is pouring into the race. Republicans don’t want to lose the seat held by termed-out Republican Sen. Tom McClintock, and Democrats badly want a win to move the party closer to a two-thirds supermajority needed to pass budget and tax measures, analysts say.
“It’s the hottest race on the Senate side,” said Allan Hoffenblum, editor of the nonpartisan California Target Book. “It’s a centrist district that leans Republican, but it’s anything but a safe seat.”
The 19th district has changed over the past four years with fewer GOP registered voters but the Republicans continue to hold a slight registration edge. This spells an uphill climb for Jackson who is a left-wing partisan from renowned liberal and Democrat dominated Santa Barbara.
Tony Strickland MUST turn out all of his GOP base and a few other voters and he wins. In the closing days of the Presidential race, should McCain precipitously decline in the polls, he must work his GOTV to make sure Republicans vote. However, Proposition 8, the Gay Marriage proposition, will likely motivate many Evangelical, conservative Catholic and Mormon voters to the voting booth. This will help Strickland.
Now, it is all about turnout and how the campaigns work the phones, walk the precincts and get out the vote, including absentee ballots. Whoever has the better political organization wins.
The latest televison ad from the California Taxpayer Protection CommitteeWhy is Democrat Hannah-Beth Jackson lying about her record again?
In a high stakes fight for the 19th District state Senate seat, Republican Tony Strickland squared off with Democrat Hannah-Beth Jackson Friday night in a standing-room-only forum at Ventura College.
While sitting side by side before a crowd of about 200 in the college cafeteria, the two started on a congenial note, then traded barbs, responding to questions about the state budget shortfall, education and the environment.
In light of the 85-day state budget impasse this year, both were asked what they would do to repair the process so the budget is passed on time. Both said bipartisan cooperation was important but blamed the other’s party for the lack of cooperation.
Jackson said negotiation was key. Strickland said he was in favor of redistricting reform and then said his opponent was part of a secret meeting that took place that created division among legislators, leading to a late state budget. Jackson said there was no secret meeting.
NO secret meeting?
After weeks of relentless and personal attacks on Tony Strickland, denying her work to create loop-holes in Proposition 13, and talking about everything but the economy, we’ve decided enough is enough: It’s time to hold Hannah-Beth Jackson accountable.
When the topic of the state budget came up, The Ventura County Star reported in its October 4th edition, “Strickland said he was in favor of redistricting reform and then said his opponent was part of a secret meeting that took place that created division among legislators, leading to a late state budget. Jackson said there was no secret meeting.”
Hannah-Beth Jackson thinks that when she says something, it’s true. This time, her denials are more hollow than usual. Taxin’ Jackson must have forgotten the news coverage of the now infamous “Squawk Box” recording. In this meeting, Democrats inadvertently had microphones transmitting their secret plans to hold up the budget and to blame the Republicans in hope of gaining a political advantage.
While in the California Assembly, Hannah-Beth Jackson met secretly to hold up the California budget for political gain. Now, she denies the meeting.
What is the truth?
From media accounts:
July 22, 2003
HEADLINE: Democrats Discussed Extending Budget Crisis
“In a meeting they thought was private but was actually broadcast around the Capitol on Monday, 11 Assembly Democrats debated prolonging California’s budget crisis to further their political goals.
Members of the Democratic Study Group, a caucus that defines itself as progressive, were unaware that a microphone in Committee Room 127 was on as they discussed slowing progress in an attempt to increase pressure on Republicans to accept tax increases as part of a deal to resolve the state’s $38 billion budget gap.
The conversation was transmitted to roughly 500 “squawk boxes” around Sacramento that political staff, lobbyists and reporters use to listen in on legislative proceedings”
“…Democrats who attended the caucus session included Patti Berg, Eureka; Judy Chu, Monterey Park; Mervyn Dymally, Compton; Loni Hancock, Berkeley; Hannah-Beth Jackson, Santa Barbara; John Laird, Santa Cruz; John Longville, Rialto; Alan Lowenthal, Long Beach; and Patricia Wiggins, Santa Rosa.”
“…The liberals in the group have been pushing for billions of dollars in tax hikes to preserve education and health programs, and were discussing whether to vote for the budget approved in the Senate or to keep fighting.”
July 31, 2003
HEADLINE: HBJ Takes Issue with â€˜Squawk Box’ Reports
“…Jackson was one of 11 assembly Democrats who were surprised to discover their deliberations Monday were being electronically transmitted via the electronic “squawk box” in their committee room to 500 other “squawk boxes” throughout the state capitol…”
“…Assemblymember Jackie Goldberg, said, “Some of us are thinking that maybe people should see the pain up close and personal right now…”
July 23, 2003
HEADLINE: Democrats turn to damage control after budget strategy leak
“Democrats were doing damage control yesterday after Republicans released a transcript of liberal Assembly Democrats talking privately about holding up the state budget to gain political advantage…”
July 22, 2003
HEADLINE: Open Mic Catches California Democrats
“…Unaware that a live microphone was broadcasting their words around the Capitol, Assembly Democrats meeting behind closed doors debated prolonging California’s budget crisis for political gain.”
“…Members of the coalition of liberal Democrats talked about slowing progress on the budget as a means of increasing pressure on Republicans.”July 27, 2003
HEADLINE: ANALYSIS: Outgunned GOP makes big rebound
“…A private discussion of 11 Democrats that was inadvertently broadcast last week through the Capitol’s “squawk box” sound system helped Republicans dramatically.”
“…One Democrat, with comments beamed into 500 offices of lawmakers, lobbyists and reporters, suggested deliberately holding up the budget to force Republicans into line. That outraged Republicans — and the public. ”What I’m asked on talk shows and interviews usually comes down now to three things — the budget, the recall and the “squawk box,” Campbell said.”
LONG BEACH, CA
August 12, 2003
HEADLINE: The car tax shuffle; Legislature: Repeal of
increase is welcome – and a political ploy
“…Hardly a surprising move, though, from a group whose key members recently plotted ways to extend the costly and destructive budget crisis to benefit Davis and the Democratic party. That conversation happened to be accidentally broadcast on the Capitol’s closed-circuit “squawk box”…”
“No wonder Californians are so fed up.”
Should California taxpayers and voters tolerate a lying politician? A politician who manipulates the California budgetary process for POLITICAL GAIN?
Hannah-Beth, Taxin’ Jackson is WRONG for the California State Senate.
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