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President 2012: Why the GOP Should NOT Settle for Mitt Romney – The Unaired Ted Kennedy Television Ads
The press and pundits have been good lately reporting the collapse of Texas Governor Rick Perry’s campaign for the Presidency. Well, he did perform poorly at the past two GOP Presidential debates and he lost the Florida GOP Straw Poll to Herman Cain.
But, hold on…..
Who is the alternative?
The answer is Mitt Romney.
But, what about Romney?
Romney is NO conservative and will have illegal immigration problems with the GOP base when he is scrutinized – or Perry runs his ads. Remember this from the 2008 campaign.
But, what conservatives need to understand before they “SETTLE” for Mitt Romney and throw Rick Perry under the bus is that Romney is VULNERABLE to the attacks Ted Kennedy used against him in 1994. See the devastating ads in the above video that Kennedy did NOT even have to run.
Obama will run these type of ads BUT ON STEROIDS – just like they ran against Carly Fiorina in California last year.
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is speaking at the Reagan Presidential Library this evening. He would be a welcome addition to the Presidential field. However, if he or Mitch Daniels do not enter the Presidential arena, don’t be so hard on Rick Perry.
Understand what you are getting should Romney win the GOP Presidential nomination.
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President 2012 GOP Virginia Poll Watch: Romney 45% Vs. Obama 37% and Perry 42% Vs. Obama 40%
Electoral College vote map of Larry Sabato
According to the latest Roanoke College Poll.President Obama trails some potential Republican opponents, but he leads others. The generic (unnamed) Republican leads Obama 41% to 33%; Mitt Romney leads 45% to 37%; and Rick Perry leads by an statistically insignificant 42% to 40%. At the same time, Obama leads potential opponents Michele Bachmann (46% to 35%), Ron Paul (43% to 33%), and Sarah Palin (50% to 31%). Looking only at registered voters, none of those margins change by more than 1 percent and several do not change at all.
The GOP Presidential contenders must be pleased that in this key battleground state that they are either close or leading the incumbent President. President Obama’s approval rating is only 39% in Virginia (54% disapproval) and it is obvious that either Mitt Romney or Rick Perry will have a good chance of picking up those needed Electoral College votes against Obama.
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President 2012: Herman Cain Upsets Rick Perry in Florida Republican Straw Poll
Quite an upset since Rick Perry contest this Florida GOP straw poll.Former pizza executive Herman Cain surprised rival Rick Perry with an upset victory on Saturday in a nonbinding Republican presidential straw poll in Florida, dealing a disappointing loss to the Texas governor two days after a shaky debate performance.
Perry, leading in the polls for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012, had needed a victory in the key test of strength in a crucial state to salve the wounds left over from a debate with his rivals on Thursday in which he struggled.
Instead, former Godfather’s Pizza executive Cain, who is far behind the two top-tier candidates Perry and Mitt Romney, won with 37 percent of 2,657 votes cast.
Perry was a distant second at 15 percent, just ahead of Romney, who won 14 percent despite not participating in the poll. Further back were Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman and Michele Bachmann.
Neither Mitt Romney nor Michele Bachmann competed in the straw poll, but Perry did.
It is becoming increasingly apparent that while Rick Perry is the current front-runner in GOP Polls that when the new polls come out, he will have shown a drop. Perry’s debate performacne was booed by the Florida Republican audience and his campaign has taken severe hits over Perry’s statements and/or record on Social Security, mandated Gardasil vaccinations and illegal immigration.
Next week’s polls should give us an indication whether Perry is another GOP flavor of the month front-runner or whether he remains a favorite in the Presidential field.
But, losing head to head against Herman Cain cannot be viewed as a positive development in Rick Perry’s campaign.
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President 2012: NEXT
This question was asked of the Republican candidates in the Fox News/Google Debate on September 22, 2012Well, to say that Texas Governor Rick Perry had a bad night is an understatment. As the front-runner in the polls for the GOP Presidential nominee, he under performed to epic failure proportions.
Perry was even booed by the Florida GOP crowd for his statements defending his record on The Dream Act and illegal immigration.
Mitt Romney, the other front-runner, was the same mechanical TECHNOCRAT flip-flopper he always is. Mitt is the “safe” candidate but continues as uninspiring.
Time for another candidate or candidates to emerge.
The e-mails flooding into our inbox during the evening were less guarded. Early on, we received this missive from a bright young conservative: “I’m watching my first GOP debate…and WE SOUND LIKE CRAZY PEOPLE!!!!” As the evening went on, the craziness receded, and the demoralized comments we received stressed the mediocrity of the field rather than its wackiness. As one more experienced, and therefore more jaded, observer wrote: “I just thought maybe it’s always this bad…they’re only marginally worse than McCain and Bush.”
Now there are some legitimate excuses. With nine candidates on the stage, and answers restricted to one minute, it’s hard to really show your stuff. And two of the candidates—Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney—did provide respectable performances. But no front-runner in a presidential field has ever, we imagine, had as weak a showing as Rick Perry. It was close to a disqualifying two hours for him. And Mitt Romney remains, when all is said and done, a technocratic management consultant whose one term as governor produced Romneycare. He could rise to the occasion as president. Or not.
Time for Chris Christie, Paul Ryan to step up or for Mitch Daniels to reconsider.
American cannot afford another four years of an Obama Administration.
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President 2012 Poll Watch: More Voters Like Mitt Romney Than President Obama or Rick Perry
According to the latest Gallup Poll.More registered voters say they would definitely vote for Mitt Romney or might consider doing so (62%) than say the same about his two main rivals in the 2012 presidential election, Democrat Barack Obama (54%) and Republican Rick Perry (53%).
Though Romney currently receives the highest level of consideration among voters, more say they would “definitely vote for” Obama (33%) than say this about either Romney (21%) or Perry (20%). That may reflect the virtual certainty that Obama will be the Democratic candidate for president, while Republicans’ loyalties are divided between their two leading contenders.
That dynamic is apparent in the higher percentage of Democratic registered voters who say they definitely would vote for Obama (70%) than of Republican registered voters who would definitely vote for either of the main Republican contenders (41% for Perry and 44% for Romney). Once the Republican nominee is decided, the percentage of Republicans who say they would definitely vote for that candidate should increase significantly.
But, it all means nothing for Mitt Romney, unless he can win in the early Republican primary elections/caucuses. But, Mitt will certainly use this poll in tonight’s debate to show his elecability in contrast to Texas Governor Rick Perry.
Romney’s advantage in broader voter consideration over Perry and Obama results partly from his greater appeal to independent voters — 70% say they would definitely vote for him or consider doing so, compared with 60% for Perry and 45% for Obama. Romney also receives greater consideration from Republican and Democratic voters than does Perry, and matches the 90% party loyalty Obama gets from his party’s supporters.The greater consideration Romney gets among registered voters speaks to his potential in the 2012 election, something that has not necessarily been translated to performance yet. Romney is essentially tied with Obama in the latest head-to-head matchup for the general election, and currently trails Perry in Republicans’ current preferences for the party’s presidential nominee. However, the same poll finds Republicans saying they are more willing to trade agreement on the issues for electability when choosing their party’s presidential nominee, something that could work to Romney’s advantage given that he currently fares slightly better than Perry in a head-to-head matchup versus Obama.
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President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Perry 31% Vs. Romney 22% But Romney 47% Vs. Obama 40%
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (L) and Texas Governor Rick Perry participate in the CNN/Tea Party Republican presidential candidates debate in Tampa, Florida September 12, 2011
According to the latest Quinnipiac University Poll.Texas Gov. Rick Perry has a small lead over the Republican presidential pack in Florida with 28 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 22 percent, but Perry tops Romney 31 – 22 percent if Sarah Palin doesn’t run and leads Romney 46 – 38 percent in a two- man face-off, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Romney has barely moved since he led the Florida GOP pack with 23 percent in an August 4 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, while Perry has surged from 13 percent in that survey conducted before he formally announced his candidacy.
All Florida voters disapprove 57 – 39 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his worst score in any Quinnipiac University poll in any state.
In possible 2012 presidential matchups, Romney tops the president 47 – 40 percent while Perry gets 42 percent to Obama’s 44 percent, a dead heat. In the August 4 Florida poll, Romney and Obama were deadlocked 44 – 44 percent while the president led Perry 44 – 39 percent.
Obama does not deserve a second term, Florida voters say 53 – 41 percent.
“Gov. Rick Perry has the lead – and the momentum – among Florida Republicans, while former Gov. Mitt Romney can point to a better general election showing,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
I think this poll lags in measuring momentum as the polls in Arizona and New Hampshire show Romney leading. Yesterday’s national Rasmussen Poll also shows an upside to Mitt Romney.
Tonight’s debate is critical for Rick Perry. If he fails to do well like, the last one on September 12, he will be wounded – not out, but severely wounded. In fact, this may open the door to other candidates to enter the field, like Sarah Palin and/or Chris Christie.
Most of the difference between how Romney and Perry run against President Obama is among independent voters. The president leads Perry 42 – 36 percent among Florida independents, while Romney tops the president 44 – 35 percent among the same group.
“This finding is consistent with Quinnipiac University polls in other states and re-enforces Perry’s need to improve his standing with independent voters,” said Brown.
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President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Rick Perry 28% Vs. Mitt Romney 24%
GOP candidates former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (L) stands with Texas Governor Rick Perry onstage during a photo opportunity before the Reagan Centennial GOP presidential primary debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California September 7, 2011
According to the latest Rasmussen Poll.As of now, the 2012 Republican Presidential Primary race is all about Texas Governor Rick Perry and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, with no other candidate reaching double-digit support.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely GOP Primary voters shows Perry with 28% support and Romney capturing 24%. Before Perry entered his first debate, the Texan held an eleven point advantage over Romney, 29% to 18%.
Tomorrow night’s debate looms as a momentum shifter or not for these two front-runner candidates. Rick Perry has lost a step since the last debate and Romney is stepping up the attacks on Perry’s comments about Social Security.
The other candidate in the field are hpoing to get some traction. But, it does not look too god for them, including Michele Bachmann.
Trailing far behind the frontrunners are former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at nine percent (9%), Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann at eight percent (8%), Georgia businessman Herman Cain with seven percent (7%) support and Texas Congressman Ron Paul who earns six percent (6%). Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania, draws the vote from three percent (3%) while ex-Utah Governor Jon Huntsman draws support from two percent (2%). Michigan Congressman Thad McCotter comes in with just one percent (1%) of the vote. Another 11% of GOP voters are undecided at this time.
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President 2012 GOP Florida Poll Watch: Rick Perry 25% Vs. Mitt Romney 25%
Texas Governor Rick Perry and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney
According to the latest War Room Logistics (R) Poll.The Republican race for president is a two-man tie in Florida, but voters think that Mitt Romney has a slightly better chance of becoming president. Romney and Rick Perry are virtually dead even, garnering 25 percent each of the Republican vote, with Newt Gingrich a distant third at 9 percent, according to the survey by War Room Logistics, a Gainesville firm that polls and consults for Republicans
But in a general election match-up, only Romney matches Obama, pulling in 45 percent of the vote to the presidents 44 percent – a lead that’s well within the overall error margin of the poll that sampled 1,400 self-described likely Florida voters.
“It appears that Romney has cross over-appeal in this early stage, especially with the fickle Independent vote,” pollster Alex Patton noted in an email. Only Romney bests Obama among independents, 45-39. Obama would beat Perry right now, 48-40 percent.
Mitt Romney will use the electability issue and Social Security to pound away at Rick Perry in tomorrow night’s Florida debate, sponsored by Fox News, and Google.
Stay tuned for Quinnipiac’s Florida poll which will be released tomorrow or later today.
Game on……
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President 2012 Poll Watch: Obama 49% Vs Palin 44%
According to the latest McClatchy-Marist Poll.A new McClatchy-Marist poll finds that Obama looks increasingly vulnerable in next year’s election, with a majority of voters believing he’ll lose to any Republican, a solid plurality saying they’ll definitely vote against him and most potential Republican challengers gaining on him.
Even in potential matchups where he leads, Obama in most cases has lost ground to the Republican.
The biggest gain came for Palin, the former Alaska governor who hasn’t yet announced whether she’ll jump into the fast-changing race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.
After trailing Obama by more than 20 percentage points in polls all year, the new national survey, taken Sept. 13-14, found Palin trailing the president by just 5 points, 49-44 percent. The key reason: She now leads Obama among independents, a sharp turnaround.
The LEFT doesn’t know who to go after: Rick Perry, Michele Bachmann, Mitt Romney or now, Sarah Palin.
We will know about Sarah and/or Chris Christie soon – probably a little prior to October 1, when state GOP Parties must tell the Republican National Committee when they will hold their primary elections/caucuses.
By a margin of 49 percent to 36 percent, voters said they definitely plan to vote against Obama, according to the poll. Independents by 53 percent to 28 percent said they definitely plan to vote against him.
With that sentiment permeating the electorate a little more than a year before the general election, most Americans think Obama won’t win a second term.
By 52 percent to 38 percent, voters think he’ll lose to the Republican nominee, whoever that is. Even among Democrats, 31 percent think the Republican nominee will win.
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President 2012 GOP South Carolina Poll Watch: Perry 31% Vs. Romney 27% Vs. Bachmann 4%
According to the latest Winthrop University Poll.
- When asked about Barack Obama’s job performance as president, 40% of all respondents approved, while 50.7% disapproved. Independents—whom many cite as a key factor in the 2012 election–disapproved by 56.5%.
- Among Republicans/Republican leaners definitely planning to vote in the GOP Primary, Rick Perry—who entered the race for the GOP nod during an appearance in SC—lead Mitt Romney by 30.5% to 27.3%–within the margin of error.
- When Republicans/Republican leaners who are definitely planning to vote in the Primary were asked who they thought the eventual 2012 Republican nominee would be—regardless of the one they currently supported—Rick Perry was named most frequently, by 35.4%, while 29.4% chose Mitt Romney.
- Michele Bachmann is polling back to where she was in Winthrop’s April 2011 Poll, when the two frontrunners—Huckabee and Romney—were chosen by 35.7% of Republicans/Republican leaners definitely planning to vote in the GOP Primary. In the new Winthrop Poll, the two frontrunners (Perry and Romney) collectively hold 57.8% of the support from that group. In absolute terms this means Bachmann is back to where she started in April. In relative terms, she has slipped.
- Herman Cain’s numbers, among Republicans/Republican leaners definitely planning to vote in the SC Primary, have gone from 2.1% in the Winthrop April 2001 Poll to 7.7% in this current poll.
- Among Republicans/Republican leaners, 67.8% said they did not consider themselves members of the Tea Party movement, but 74.4% of the same group said they generally agree with the Tea Party’s principles.
- Among Republicans/Republican leaners who are definitely planning on voting in the GOP Primary in SC, 59.9% said that it was more important to select a Republican presidential nominee who matched their beliefs, while 33.5% in this category disagreed, saying it was more important to select a candidate who could beat President Obama in 2012.
- Among Republicans/Republican leaners, 74.7% feel the term “socialist” describes President Obama very well or well.
- Among Republicans/Republican leaners, almost 30% believe President Obama is a Muslim.
- Among Republicans/Republican leaners, 36% continue to believe the president was either probably, or definitely, born in another country. Even though a long-form birth certificate for the president was produced between the Winthrop April 2011 Poll and now—showing he was born in Hawaii—just 5.2% fewer respondents now believe Obama was born outside the country than those back in April (36% now vs. 41.2 % in April).
- Among Republicans/Republican leaners, 62.4% identify the economy/financial crisis and jobs/ unemployment as the biggest problems facing the U.S.
It is a Perry Vs. Romney race in South Carolina. Ed Rollins statement yesterday that Michele Bachmann is a one trick pony candidate in Iowa appears to be true.
Now, how will an endorsement of Senator Jim DeMint and Governor Nikki Haley affect the race?