• Arnold Schwarzenegger,  California,  Election 2006,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Proposition 74,  Proposition 75,  Proposition 76,  Proposition 77,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election Watch: Governor Schwarzenegger Outspent

    Sacramento Bee: With re-election bid ahead, governor’s cupboard is bare

    After a special election with a price tag that topped $275 million, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s personal war chest is virtually empty as he begins his 2006 re-election campaign, according to reports filed Tuesday with the secretary of state.

    Schwarzenegger’s ballot initiative committee alone exhausted $45.5 million during last year’s special election campaign in which voters rejected eight ballot proposals, including four specifically backed by the governor.

    With all the large campaign committees reporting, opponents of the governor spent about $121 million to defeat those four initiatives, while Schwarzenegger and his allies fought the battle with $76 million of their own.

    Outspent by $45 million Schwarzenegger’s opponents have a significant advantage in the media buys. But, the Governor ran a POOR campaign and the poor fundraising followed.

    Schwarzenegger managed a NO-LOSE campaign into a LOSER.

    The California Teachers Association spent $58.5 million to defeat Arnold.

    On Proposition 73 – the abortion parental notification initiative – opponents outspent proponents $5.6 million to $1.9 million.

    Record setting spending – the nature of California politics.

    California Correctional Peace Officers Association president Mike Jimenez, left, and California Nurses Association president Deborah Burger celebrate their victory over Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s ballot initiatives at a rally in Sacramento, Calif., on Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2005.


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  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  California,  California Republican Party,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Proposition 74,  Proposition 75,  Proposition 76,  Proposition 77,  Proposition 78,  Proposition 79,  Proposition 80,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election 2005: Republican Strongholds Abandon Schwarzenegger

    The San Francisco Chronicle has Republican strongholds left Schwarzenegger in the cold Past allies were no-shows at polls — or opponents

    Voters in some of California’s most reliably Republican counties deserted Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger in droves Tuesday, either sitting out the special election or working actively against the governor’s political agenda.

    While Schwarzenegger’s supporters argue that the landslide defeat was a one-time reaction to an unpopular special election, it’s a result that threatens the chances of Schwarzenegger — and other Republican candidates — in next November’s statewide elections.

    Absolutely correct.

    That is why Flap suggests Schwarzenegger call his agent and book some movie deals.

    Schwarzenegger hasn’t necessarily lost all the people who voted against his package of initiatives Tuesday, but he’s made it easier for them to look at the Democratic alternatives in next year’s re-election campaign. The governor seems to recognize the need for changes, pledging Thursday to work more closely with the Democrat-led Legislature and agreeing Friday to end a legal battle over hospital staffing with the California Nurses Association, one of his most vocal critics.

    “Just because the people here voted against Schwarzenegger doesn’t mean that they’re not mad at the rest of the government as well,” said Giventer of Cal State Stanislaus. “But the governor has to show he’s going to pay attention to what’s important.”

    But, if Schwarzenegger moves to the LEFT he will further alienate or demotivate his Republican base. The Governator has trouble on the LEFT and RIGHT.

    He is really in a NO-WIN bind.

    Flap predicts that Schwarzenegger will withdraw from re-election if he cannot quickly rehabilitiate his poll numbers.

    Isn’t this what his movie pal, Jesse Ventura did?

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  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  Bear Flag League,  California,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Proposition 74,  Proposition 75,  Proposition 76,  Proposition 77,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election 2005: California Voters Just Say NO

    Teamster member Noah Teegarden holds up a sign against Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s ballot measures during a get-out-the-vote drive at the local teamsters hall in Sacramento, Calif., Monday, Nov. 7, 2005.

    The ASSociated Press has Voters Reject Schwarzenegger Initiatives.

    In a stinging rebuke from voters who elected him two years ago, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s efforts to reshape state government were rejected during a special election that darkened his prospects for a second term.

    The Republican governor and former Hollywood actor, who likes to say he can sell anything, on Tuesday saw all four of his signature ballot proposals rejected.

    The election pitted the once-dominant Republican governor against two of California’s powerhouse political forces — public employee unions and Democrats who control the Legislature.

    The unions spent millions of dollars to beat Schwarzenegger’s propositions to limit the use of their member dues for political purposes, cap state spending, redraw legislative districts and restrict public school teacher tenure.

    It was a sobering evening for a man once considered among the most popular politicians in America. The contest represented the biggest test yet of a faltering Schwarzenegger’s leadership.

    Voters overwhelmingly defeated Proposition 76, the governor’s centerpiece proposal to slow the growth of state spending. Proposition 77, which would have redrawn legislative and congressional districts, was knocked down by a similar margin.

    Failing by slimmer spreads were Proposition 74, a plan to make teachers work longer to achieve tenure, and Proposition 73, which would have restricted political spending by public employee unions.

    Poll after poll showed it was an election that Californians didn’t want, with a total lineup of eight initiatives that didn’t connect with every day issues such as gas prices, housing costs and the war in
    Iraq.

    Schwarzenegger’s conflict with the unions made him a target for teachers, nurses and firefighters. Their television advertising blitz helped push his popularity ratings to record lows.

    Union leaders and Democrats who opposed the governor chanted “sweep, sweep” at their Sacramento victory party. “I’m very grateful to Arnold Schwarzenegger for really working people up,” said Deborah Burger, president of the California Nurses Association.

    Well, the voters of California have spoken loud and clear.

    STATUS QUO!

    There will be many analyses of the special election campaign. And Flap will write and comment on them over the weeks ahead.

    But, for sure the unmistaken message from California was the COMPLETE rejection of Schwarzenegger’s reform agenda.

    Others may spin this defeat for the Governator and the California Recovery Team, but Schwarzenegger was BEATEN and TERMINATED.

    If Flap was Arnold, after a nice relaxing trade mission to China, I would start entertaining movie deals.

    More later…….

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  Bear Flag League,  California,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Proposition 74,  Proposition 75,  Proposition 76,  Proposition 77,  Proposition 78,  Proposition 79,  Proposition 80,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election 2005: California to Arnold – Hasta La Vista Baby

    California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger addresses invited guests at an election party in Beverly Hills. Official returns showed that California voters roundly rejected four crucial referendum measures on which Schwarzenegger had staked his political reputation.

    California Special Election Results with 99.5% of the precincts resporting:

    State Ballot Measures
    99.5% ( 17577 of 17657 ) precincts reporting as of Nov 9, 2005 at 3:57 am

    Statewide Returns County Returns | County Status

       Propositions                      Yes Votes   Pct.   No Votes   Pct.
      73 N    Minor's Pregnancy          3,117,521  47.5   3,445,617  52.5  Map 
      74 N    Teacher Tenure             2,975,578  44.9   3,641,434  55.1  Map 
      75 N    Public Union Dues          3,081,355  46.6   3,529,245  53.4  Map 
      76 N    Spending/Funding           2,512,920  38.0   4,091,907  62.0  Map 
      77 N    Redistricting              2,663,629  40.5   3,897,648  59.5  Map 
      78 N    Rx Drug Discounts          2,706,996  41.5   3,802,493  58.5  Map 
      79 N    Rx Drug Rebates            2,510,499  38.9   3,932,332  61.1  Map 
      80 N    Electric Regulation        2,177,432  34.3   4,162,788  65.7  Map 

    Stay Tuned for analysis……..

    And the beginning of California Election 2006………

  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  Bear Flag League,  California,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Proposition 74,  Proposition 75,  Proposition 76,  Proposition 77,  Proposition 78,  Proposition 79,  Proposition 80,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election Watch: Flap’s Voter Guide for November 8

    Update #3 10:02 PM

    Only Prop 75 passing but majority of counties reporting are from Northern California and 99% of San Francisco County.

    Little LA, Orange or San Diego Counties have reported majority of their precincts

    Update #2 8:52 PM

    Will Arnold go 3-2 with 73, 74 and 75 passing?

    Update #1

    Watch real time election results with Flap here.

    From the Official Voter Information Guide:

    PROPOSITION 73

    WAITING PERIOD AND PARENTAL NOTIFICATION BEFORE TERMINATION OF MINOR’S PREGNANCY. INITIATIVE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT.

    SUMMARY

    Amends California Constitution, defining and prohibiting abortion for unemancipated minor until 48 hours after physician notifies minor’s parent/guardian, except in medical emergency or with parental waiver. Mandates reporting requirements. Authorizes monetary damages against physicians for violation. Fiscal Impact: Potential unknown net state costs of several million dollars annually for health and social services programs, the courts, and state administration combined.

    FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

    PROPOSITION 74

    PUBLIC SCHOOL TEACHERS. WAITING PERIOD FOR PERMANENT STATUS. DISMISSAL. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

    SUMMARY

    Increases probationary period for public school teachers from two to five years. Modifies the process by which school boards can dismiss a teaching employee who receives two consecutive unsatisfactory performance evaluations. Fiscal Impact: Unknown net effect on school districts’ costs for teacher compensation, performance evaluations, and other activities. Impact would vary significantly by district and depend largely on future district personnel actions.

    FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

    PROPOSITION 75

    PUBLIC EMPLOYEE UNION DUES. RESTRICTIONS ON POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS. EMPLOYEE CONSENT REQUIREMENT. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

    SUMMARY

    Prohibits using public employee union dues for political contributions without individual employees’ prior consent. Excludes contributions benefitting charities or employees. Requires unions to maintain and, upon request, report member political contributions to Fair Political Practices Commission. Fiscal Impact: Probably minor state and local government implementation costs, potentially offset in part by revenues from fines and/or fees.

    FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

    PROPOSITION 76

    STATE SPENDING AND SCHOOL FUNDING LIMITS. INITIATIVE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT.

    SUMMARY

    Limits state spending to prior year’s level plus three previous years’ average revenue growth. Changes minimum school funding requirements (Proposition 98). Permits Governor, under specified circumstances, to reduce budget appropriations of Governor’s choosing. Fiscal Impact: State spending likely reduced relative to current law, due to additional spending limit and new powers granted to Governor. Reductions could apply to schools and shift costs to other local governments.

    FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

    PROPOSITION 77

    REDISTRICTING. INITIATIVE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT.

    SUMMARY

    Amends state Constitution’s process for redistricting California’s Senate, Assembly, Congressional and Board of Equalization districts. Requires three-member panel of retired judges selected by legislative leaders. Fiscal Impact: One-time state redistricting costs totaling no more than $1.5 million and county costs in the range of $1 million. Potential reduction in future costs, but net impact would depend on decisions by voters.

    FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

    PROPOSITION 78

    DISCOUNTS ON PRESCRIPTION DRUGS. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

    SUMMARY

    Establishes discount prescription drug program for certain low- and moderate-income Californians. Authorizes Department of Health Services to contract with participating pharmacies for discounts and with participating drug manufacturers for rebates. Fiscal Impact: State costs for administration and outreach in the millions to low tens of millions of dollars annually. State costs for advance funding for rebates. Unknown potentially significant savings for state and county health programs.

    FLAP RECOMMENDS A NO VOTE

    PROPOSITION 79

    PRESCRIPTION DRUG DISCOUNTS. STATE-NEGOTIATED REBATES. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

    SUMMARY

    Provides drug discounts to Californians with qualifying incomes. Funded by state-negotiated drug manufacturer rebates. Prohibits Medi-Cal contracts with manufacturers not providing Medicaid best price. Fiscal Impact: State costs for administration and outreach in low tens of millions of dollars annually. State costs for advance funding for rebates. Unknown potentially significant: (1) net costs or savings for Medi-Cal and (2) savings for state and county health programs.

    FLAP RECOMMENDS A NO VOTE

    PROPOSITION 80

    ELECTRIC SERVICE PROVIDERS. REGULATION. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

    SUMMARY

    Subjects electric service providers to regulation by California Public Utilities Commission. Restricts electricity customers’ ability to switch from private utilities to other providers. Requires all retail electric sellers to increase renewable energy resource procurement by 2010. Fiscal Impact: Potential annual administrative costs ranging from negligible to $4 million, paid by fees. Unknown net impact on state and local costs and revenues from uncertain impact on electricity rates.

    FLAP RECOMMENDS A NO VOTE

    Well, there you have it!

    Now, go and vote.

    Flap knows you will be glad you did.

    For more Voter guides head over to XRLQ’s place.

    Once again, here are links to the blogger election guides of which I’ve been made aware:

    1. Stephen Bainbridge (update here)
    2. BoiFromTroi (73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 80)
    3. Tammy Bruce
    4. California Conservative (see also)
    5. Cobb
    6. Matthew Hoy
    7. K.G. at California Mafia
    8. Lonewacko
    9. Hugo Schwyzer
    10. Citizen Smash
    11. Michael Williams
    12. Yami Monkey
    13. Xrlq

    BFL Special Election blog

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  Bear Flag League,  California,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election Watch: Proposition 73 – The Los Angeles Times Poll

    The Los Angeles Times has Voters Support Parental Notice

  • Respondents narrowly favor the abortion initiative. They are leaning against two prescription-drug discount measures.
  • California voters narrowly favor an initiative on Tuesday’s ballot to bar abortions for minors unless parents are notified….

    Views are more set, however, on Proposition 73, the abortion measure, which 51% of likely voters support and 39% oppose. It would prohibit abortions for those younger than 18 until 48 hours after a doctor notified a parent or guardian. There would be some exceptions, including medical emergencies or a parental waiver of the notification rule.

    Men tend to support parental notification more than women do, the poll found. Nearly six in 10 men back Proposition 73, but women are split almost evenly.

    The measure is also favored by nearly two-thirds of those who attend religious services at least once a month, underscoring the potential value of the Republican Party’s promotion of the measure among evangelicals and other conservative Christians. The proposal is most popular among Republicans, conservatives and the elderly.

    “A parent should be involved with a minor’s decision on that,” poll respondent Paula Maine, 46, a conservative Republican pharmaceutical saleswoman who lives in Diamond Bar, said in a follow-up interview.

    The measure is least popular among Democrats and liberals, but their opposition is slightly outweighed by more intense support for the measure among Republicans and conservatives.

    Proposition 73, the Parents Right To Know Initiative website.

    The Official Title and Summary.

    A history of polling from Real Clear Politics is here.

    Flap Says VOTE YES!

    Will Proposition 73 galvanize the Christian RIGHT for Schwarzenegger?

    Stay Tuned……

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  California,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election Watch: Proposition 73 Galvanizing the Christian Base

    The Sacramento Bee has Abortion measure could be pivotal.

    Forces for and against are using Prop. 73 to galvanize their base on the governor’s initiatives.

    The California Catholic Conference prepared a series of homilies for priests to mark October as “Respect Life” month and to use as a countdown to the Nov. 8 special election.

    The sermons make references to Proposition 73, an initiative that would require parental notification before doctors can perform abortions on girls under 18.

    “Proposition 73 is family-oriented, pro-life and promotes the culture of life,” wrote Father Richard Benson, academic dean and moral theology chairman for St. John’s Seminary in Camarillo, in his suggested “homily notes” for priests delivering Mass. “It closes the secret access to abortion.”

    The talking point homilies are among numerous get-out-the-vote efforts in support of or against the parental notification initiative.

    Proposition 73 was in the planning long before Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger announced his special election agenda. But as churches, women’s groups and others rally forces to vote on the initiative, the turnout for Proposition 73 is viewed as a factor in how other special election measures may fare.

    On one side, the Traditional Values Coalition is printing 100,000 slate mailers for evangelical churches, declaring: “We must not let Planned Parenthood and their baby-killing allies dominate at the polls.”

    And Benjamin Lopez, a coalition lobbyist, said the slate mailers will also urge Christian conservatives to vote “yes” on the governor’s special election agenda, comprising Propositions 74, 75, 76 and 77. The measures would extend the time it takes teachers to earn tenure, require public employee labor unions to get members’ permission before spending dues on political campaigns, give the governor broad powers to make budget cuts and change how legislative districts are drawn.

    “We need to get our base motivated about 73 and that, hopefully, will have a coattail effect with the other measures,” Lopez said

    With a week to go before the California Special Election it is ALL about turning out your voter BASE.

    Will Pro-Life voters deliver proposition victories for Governor Schwarzenegger?

    Stay tuned…….

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  Bear Flag League,  California,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election Watch: Proposition 73 – Flap Says Vote YES

    On July 30, 2004, Diana Lopez received a call from her daughter’s middle school, informing her that her 13-year-daughter hadbeen taken to the hospital because she was bleeding. By the time Diana found out where her daughter had actually been taken, a Planned Parenthood abortion center, her young daughter was already undergoing an abortion — orchestrated by her boyfriend’s mother and Planned Parenthood staff. Diana had not known that her daughter was pregnant or contemplating an abortion. Had Diana known of her daughter’s pregnancy, she would have encouraged and assisted her to have her baby rather than undergo a secret abortion.

    Flap supports Proposition 73, the Parents Right To Know initiative. and urges its passage at the California Special Election, November 8th.

    From Real Clear Politics:

    Proposition 73: Parental Notification

    • Termination of Minor’s Pregnancy. Waiting Period and Parental Notification. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.

    Summary: Amends California Constitution to bar abortion on unemancipated minor until 48 hours after physician notifies minor’s parent/legal guardian, except in medical emergency or with parental waiver. Permits judicial waiver of notice based on clear and convincing evidence of minor’s maturity or minor’s best interests. Physician must report abortions performed on minors and State shall compile statistics. Authorizes monetary damages for violation. Minor must consent to abortion unless mentally incapable or in medical emergency. Permits judicial relief if minor’s consent to abortion is coerced.

    Latest polling results and a poll summary is here.

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  Bear Flag League,  California,  Media Bias,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Proposition 74,  Proposition 75,  Proposition 76,  Proposition 77,  Proposition 78,  Proposition 79,  Proposition 80,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election Watch: Another L.A. Times “Hit Piece” on Schwarzenegger’s Wife

    California first lady Maria Shriver hands out emergency backpacks to students at a south Los Angeles elementary school to kick-off Team SAFE-T, Thursday, Oct. 6, 2006.

    The Los Angeles Times has First Lady Appears to Be Sitting Out This Election.

  • Kennedy legacy clashes with her loyalty to her spouse, keeping Shriver silent on ballot issues.
  • On a recent morning, Maria Shriver had a roomful of admiring listeners hanging on her every word. Unfortunately for her husband, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, none of them was old enough to vote.

    Shriver was addressing a fourth-grade class at Charles W. Barrett Elementary School in South Los Angeles as part of a campaign to improve disaster preparedness among children. On another campaign important to the Shriver-Schwarzenegger household — the battle over state ballot initiatives backed by the governor — California’s first lady has remained virtually silent.

    Here we go!

    One week before the California Special Election and the hatchets come out for Governor Schwarzenegger’s wife.

    Paul Pringle
    the reporter is a committed leftie with a left wing agenda. And he is happy to oblige the Moonbat editors of the Los Angeles Times

    Ask Flap how he knows?

    Aides to the couple say that isn’t expected to change before the Nov. 8 special election. They and others don’t blame Shriver for her silence, even if it has deprived Schwarzenegger of one of his most articulate and charismatic advocates.

    After all, Shriver would be breaking family ranks no matter where she came down on the measures, Democratic and Republican activists say. As a Democrat and a Kennedy, they say, she would have to all but shape-shift to endorse proposals despised by the party that counts three of her uncles as icons.

    And if she were to publicly criticize the initiatives, things presumably would get chilly on the home front.

    And who from the Los Angeles Times ever asked Sharon Davis about why her husband bankrupted the state while he was California Governor?

    This is disgraceful BIASED journalism from the Los Angeles Times.

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

  • Arnold Schwarzenegger,  Bear Flag League,  California,  Election 2006,  Politics,  Proposition 73,  Proposition 74,  Proposition 75,  Proposition 76,  Proposition 77,  Special Election 2005

    California Special Election Watch: Schwarzenegger in FULL Campaign Mode

    California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger speaks to the media while touring the Koreatown Galleria in Los Angeles, Saturday, Oct. 29, 2005. Elected two years ago to shake up a stagnated statehouse, the Republican governor is trying out various campaign messages in the closing days of a political campaign in which he hopes to push through a slate of ballot initiatives that would weaken public employee unions and clamp down on state spending.

    The San Francisco Chronicle has Schwarzenegger trolls for votes at San Diego restaurant

    Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger waded into a lunchtime crowd Sunday to kick off a final full week of campaigning for his four state ballot initiatives, telling customers waiting on shrimp salad and clam chowder that lawmakers have failed them.

    Schwarzenegger emerged quietly, without introduction, from the kitchen of Point Loma Seafoods. For 45 minutes, he shook hands, handed out campaign booklets, signed autographs and posed for photos. There were no speeches, no loudspeakers and — unlike many of his appearances — no protests.

    “Remember one thing: the Legislature couldn’t do it, so the people have to do it,” he told one customer.

    “The people have done a better job than the Legislature,” he told another, his voice barely carrying in the noisy crowd.

    With close races for Proposition 74 and 75 the Governor has taken the show on the road. Will it be enough?

    Why, of course!

    California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger speaks to members of the Persian community during a roundtable discussion in Los Angeles, Saturday, Oct. 29, 2005.

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page