California Special Election 2005: Republican Strongholds Abandon Schwarzenegger

Posted 2 CommentsPosted in Arnold Schwarzenegger, California, California Republican Party, Politics, Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Proposition 79, Proposition 80, Special Election 2005

The San Francisco Chronicle has Republican strongholds left Schwarzenegger in the cold Past allies were no-shows at polls — or opponents

Voters in some of California’s most reliably Republican counties deserted Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger in droves Tuesday, either sitting out the special election or working actively against the governor’s political agenda.

While Schwarzenegger’s supporters argue that the landslide defeat was a one-time reaction to an unpopular special election, it’s a result that threatens the chances of Schwarzenegger — and other Republican candidates — in next November’s statewide elections.

Absolutely correct.

That is why Flap suggests Schwarzenegger call his agent and book some movie deals.

Schwarzenegger hasn’t necessarily lost all the people who voted against his package of initiatives Tuesday, but he’s made it easier for them to look at the Democratic alternatives in next year’s re-election campaign. The governor seems to recognize the need for changes, pledging Thursday to work more closely with the Democrat-led Legislature and agreeing Friday to end a legal battle over hospital staffing with the California Nurses Association, one of his most vocal critics.

“Just because the people here voted against Schwarzenegger doesn’t mean that they’re not mad at the rest of the government as well,” said Giventer of Cal State Stanislaus. “But the governor has to show he’s going to pay attention to what’s important.”

But, if Schwarzenegger moves to the LEFT he will further alienate or demotivate his Republican base. The Governator has trouble on the LEFT and RIGHT.

He is really in a NO-WIN bind.

Flap predicts that Schwarzenegger will withdraw from re-election if he cannot quickly rehabilitiate his poll numbers.

Isn’t this what his movie pal, Jesse Ventura did?

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California Special Election 2005: California to Arnold – Hasta La Vista Baby

Posted 2 CommentsPosted in Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Proposition 79, Proposition 80, Special Election 2005

California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger addresses invited guests at an election party in Beverly Hills. Official returns showed that California voters roundly rejected four crucial referendum measures on which Schwarzenegger had staked his political reputation.

California Special Election Results with 99.5% of the precincts resporting:

State Ballot Measures
99.5% ( 17577 of 17657 ) precincts reporting as of Nov 9, 2005 at 3:57 am

Statewide Returns County Returns | County Status


   Propositions                      Yes Votes   Pct.   No Votes   Pct.
  73 N    Minor's Pregnancy          3,117,521  47.5   3,445,617  52.5  Map 
  74 N    Teacher Tenure             2,975,578  44.9   3,641,434  55.1  Map 
  75 N    Public Union Dues          3,081,355  46.6   3,529,245  53.4  Map 
  76 N    Spending/Funding           2,512,920  38.0   4,091,907  62.0  Map 
  77 N    Redistricting              2,663,629  40.5   3,897,648  59.5  Map 
  78 N    Rx Drug Discounts          2,706,996  41.5   3,802,493  58.5  Map 
  79 N    Rx Drug Rebates            2,510,499  38.9   3,932,332  61.1  Map 
  80 N    Electric Regulation        2,177,432  34.3   4,162,788  65.7  Map 

Stay Tuned for analysis……..

And the beginning of California Election 2006………

California Special Election Watch: Flap’s Voter Guide for November 8

Posted Posted in Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Proposition 79, Proposition 80, Special Election 2005

Update #3 10:02 PM

Only Prop 75 passing but majority of counties reporting are from Northern California and 99% of San Francisco County.

Little LA, Orange or San Diego Counties have reported majority of their precincts

Update #2 8:52 PM

Will Arnold go 3-2 with 73, 74 and 75 passing?

Update #1

Watch real time election results with Flap here.

From the Official Voter Information Guide:

PROPOSITION 73

WAITING PERIOD AND PARENTAL NOTIFICATION BEFORE TERMINATION OF MINOR’S PREGNANCY. INITIATIVE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT.

SUMMARY

Amends California Constitution, defining and prohibiting abortion for unemancipated minor until 48 hours after physician notifies minor’s parent/guardian, except in medical emergency or with parental waiver. Mandates reporting requirements. Authorizes monetary damages against physicians for violation. Fiscal Impact: Potential unknown net state costs of several million dollars annually for health and social services programs, the courts, and state administration combined.

FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

PROPOSITION 74

PUBLIC SCHOOL TEACHERS. WAITING PERIOD FOR PERMANENT STATUS. DISMISSAL. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

SUMMARY

Increases probationary period for public school teachers from two to five years. Modifies the process by which school boards can dismiss a teaching employee who receives two consecutive unsatisfactory performance evaluations. Fiscal Impact: Unknown net effect on school districts’ costs for teacher compensation, performance evaluations, and other activities. Impact would vary significantly by district and depend largely on future district personnel actions.

FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

PROPOSITION 75

PUBLIC EMPLOYEE UNION DUES. RESTRICTIONS ON POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS. EMPLOYEE CONSENT REQUIREMENT. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

SUMMARY

Prohibits using public employee union dues for political contributions without individual employees’ prior consent. Excludes contributions benefitting charities or employees. Requires unions to maintain and, upon request, report member political contributions to Fair Political Practices Commission. Fiscal Impact: Probably minor state and local government implementation costs, potentially offset in part by revenues from fines and/or fees.

FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

PROPOSITION 76

STATE SPENDING AND SCHOOL FUNDING LIMITS. INITIATIVE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT.

SUMMARY

Limits state spending to prior year’s level plus three previous years’ average revenue growth. Changes minimum school funding requirements (Proposition 98). Permits Governor, under specified circumstances, to reduce budget appropriations of Governor’s choosing. Fiscal Impact: State spending likely reduced relative to current law, due to additional spending limit and new powers granted to Governor. Reductions could apply to schools and shift costs to other local governments.

FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

PROPOSITION 77

REDISTRICTING. INITIATIVE CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT.

SUMMARY

Amends state Constitution’s process for redistricting California’s Senate, Assembly, Congressional and Board of Equalization districts. Requires three-member panel of retired judges selected by legislative leaders. Fiscal Impact: One-time state redistricting costs totaling no more than $1.5 million and county costs in the range of $1 million. Potential reduction in future costs, but net impact would depend on decisions by voters.

FLAP RECOMMENDS A YES VOTE

PROPOSITION 78

DISCOUNTS ON PRESCRIPTION DRUGS. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

SUMMARY

Establishes discount prescription drug program for certain low- and moderate-income Californians. Authorizes Department of Health Services to contract with participating pharmacies for discounts and with participating drug manufacturers for rebates. Fiscal Impact: State costs for administration and outreach in the millions to low tens of millions of dollars annually. State costs for advance funding for rebates. Unknown potentially significant savings for state and county health programs.

FLAP RECOMMENDS A NO VOTE

PROPOSITION 79

PRESCRIPTION DRUG DISCOUNTS. STATE-NEGOTIATED REBATES. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

SUMMARY

Provides drug discounts to Californians with qualifying incomes. Funded by state-negotiated drug manufacturer rebates. Prohibits Medi-Cal contracts with manufacturers not providing Medicaid best price. Fiscal Impact: State costs for administration and outreach in low tens of millions of dollars annually. State costs for advance funding for rebates. Unknown potentially significant: (1) net costs or savings for Medi-Cal and (2) savings for state and county health programs.

FLAP RECOMMENDS A NO VOTE

PROPOSITION 80

ELECTRIC SERVICE PROVIDERS. REGULATION. INITIATIVE STATUTE.

SUMMARY

Subjects electric service providers to regulation by California Public Utilities Commission. Restricts electricity customers’ ability to switch from private utilities to other providers. Requires all retail electric sellers to increase renewable energy resource procurement by 2010. Fiscal Impact: Potential annual administrative costs ranging from negligible to $4 million, paid by fees. Unknown net impact on state and local costs and revenues from uncertain impact on electricity rates.

FLAP RECOMMENDS A NO VOTE

Well, there you have it!

Now, go and vote.

Flap knows you will be glad you did.

For more Voter guides head over to XRLQ’s place.

Once again, here are links to the blogger election guides of which I’ve been made aware:

  1. Stephen Bainbridge (update here)
  2. BoiFromTroi (73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 80)
  3. Tammy Bruce
  4. California Conservative (see also)
  5. Cobb
  6. Matthew Hoy
  7. K.G. at California Mafia
  8. Lonewacko
  9. Hugo Schwyzer
  10. Citizen Smash
  11. Michael Williams
  12. Yami Monkey
  13. Xrlq

BFL Special Election blog

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Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

California Special Election Watch: Another L.A. Times “Hit Piece” on Schwarzenegger’s Wife

Posted Posted in Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Media Bias, Politics, Proposition 73, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Proposition 79, Proposition 80, Special Election 2005

California first lady Maria Shriver hands out emergency backpacks to students at a south Los Angeles elementary school to kick-off Team SAFE-T, Thursday, Oct. 6, 2006.

The Los Angeles Times has First Lady Appears to Be Sitting Out This Election.

  • Kennedy legacy clashes with her loyalty to her spouse, keeping Shriver silent on ballot issues.
  • On a recent morning, Maria Shriver had a roomful of admiring listeners hanging on her every word. Unfortunately for her husband, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, none of them was old enough to vote.

    Shriver was addressing a fourth-grade class at Charles W. Barrett Elementary School in South Los Angeles as part of a campaign to improve disaster preparedness among children. On another campaign important to the Shriver-Schwarzenegger household — the battle over state ballot initiatives backed by the governor — California’s first lady has remained virtually silent.

    Here we go!

    One week before the California Special Election and the hatchets come out for Governor Schwarzenegger’s wife.

    Paul Pringle
    the reporter is a committed leftie with a left wing agenda. And he is happy to oblige the Moonbat editors of the Los Angeles Times

    Ask Flap how he knows?

    Aides to the couple say that isn’t expected to change before the Nov. 8 special election. They and others don’t blame Shriver for her silence, even if it has deprived Schwarzenegger of one of his most articulate and charismatic advocates.

    After all, Shriver would be breaking family ranks no matter where she came down on the measures, Democratic and Republican activists say. As a Democrat and a Kennedy, they say, she would have to all but shape-shift to endorse proposals despised by the party that counts three of her uncles as icons.

    And if she were to publicly criticize the initiatives, things presumably would get chilly on the home front.

    And who from the Los Angeles Times ever asked Sharon Davis about why her husband bankrupted the state while he was California Governor?

    This is disgraceful BIASED journalism from the Los Angeles Times.

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

    California Special Election Watch: Does California Assembly Speaker Fabian Nunez Support Violence and Thuggery?

    Posted Posted in Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Special Election 2005

    CBS Channel 2 and KCAL News Los Angeles television Channel Nine has this video clip depicting a single Schwarzenegger supporter (Genevieve Peters) struggling to hold her ground in a rally against the governor’s special election initiatives. The rally was held at Los Angeles Pershing Square yesterday. Schwarzenegger opponents tried to hit her with their signs, tried to steal her hat and some blocked news cameras as she argued her point. The crowd turns quickly, grabbing her signs and tearing them up. Even a woman wearing an orange security vest rips up the “Vote Yes” signs.” (CBS 2 News, October 28, 2005).

    Check out the video clip here.

    Check out the thugs as they assault Ms. Peters.

    Now, California Assembly Speaker earlier had whipped up the union crowd to a frenzy. As a former union organizer shouldn’t he know better and urge restraint?

    Shouldn’t he now APOLOGIZE to Ms. Peters on behalf of the UNION THUGS that control him?

    Call his office and let him now how you feel! Remind the Speaker this is America and not a third world country – violence is not acceptable for political dissent.

    Sacramento Office: (916) 319-2046

    Los Angeles Office: (213) 620-4646

    Flap knows you will be glad you did.

    Thanks to The Political Teen for help with the graphics.

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page

    Michelle Malkin has UNION THUGS UNHINGED

    California Special Election Watch: Latest Public Policy Institute of California Poll Released

    Posted Posted in Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bear Flag League, California, Politics, Proposition 74, Proposition 75, Proposition 76, Proposition 77, Proposition 78, Special Election 2005

    The PPIC Statewide Survey: Special Survey on Californians and the Initiative Process, October 2005 has ben released:

    Some findings of the current survey

    • 54% of likely voters consider the special election a bad idea.
    • As the election approaches, none of the measures actively supported by Governor Schwarzenegger enjoys majority support among likely voters:
      • Proposition 74 (teacher tenure), 46% yes, 48% no
      • Proposition 75 (use of union dues), 46% yes, 46% no
      • Proposition 76 (spending and funding limits), 30% yes, 62% no
      • Proposition 77 (redistricting), 36% yes, 50% no
    • Approval ratings of public officials among all Californians:
      • Governor Schwarzenegger, 33% approve, 58% disapprove
      • California Legislature, 25% approve, 56% disapprove
      • President Bush, 36% approve, 60% disapprove
      • U.S. Congress, 42% approve, 46% disapprove
      • Senator Feinstein, 50% approve, 27% disapprove
      • Senator Boxer, 48% approve, 29% disapprove
    • Likely voters are very unhappy with the federal government:
      • 74% have little or no confidence in the federal government to do what is right
      • 69% believe that the federal government wastes a lot of tax dollars.

    Flap reproduces the entire summary of the poll to point out the poll cynicism and bias. The poll is OFF.

    The entire 38 page PPIC Survey is here.

    Approval of Feinstein and Boxer and disapproving everything and everyone else by very wide margins……. not very credible.

    Flap says place this poll in the circular file.

    Stay tuned for the Field and L.A. Times polls.

    November 8 election day is looming.

    Stay tuned.

    The ASSociated Press has Poll: Gov. Schwarzenegger’s Measures Lag.

    Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s “year of reform” initiatives are proving a tough sell to California voters despite a multimillion dollar advertising blitz, according to a poll released Thursday. None of his measures on the Nov. 8 ballot has majority support, and two are opposed by wide margins.

    Telephone interviews were conducted with 1,079 likely voters over seven days ending Oct. 23. There was a sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

    Governor Schwarzenegger’s Job Approval Rating:

    Approve 38%

    Disapprove 57%

    Proposition 74 extends the probationary period for new teachers from 2 years to 5 years, and makes it easier to dismiss teachers with unsatisfactory performance evaluations.

    Approve 46%

    Disapprove 48%

    But within the margin of error.

    Proposition 75 prohibits public employee unions from using union dues for political purposes without the written consent of union members.

    Approve 46%

    Disapprove 46%

    Again, within the margin of error.

    Proposition 76 limits growth in state spending so that it does not exceed recent growth in state revenues.

    Approve 30%

    Disapprove 62%

    Proposition 77 changes the way California draws boundaries for Congressional and legislative districts. District boundaries would be drawn by a panel of retired judges and approved by voters in a statewide election.

    Approve 36%

    Disapprove 50%

    While the poll numbers are not very encouraging for the governor, pollster Mark Baldassare cautioned that the results don’t mean the election is over.

    “All these measures are close,” he said. “There’s a considerable amount of time . . . and there will be new messages and counter-messages. I don’t feel like this election is necessarily settled.”

    This poll although not favorble to the Governor is not disastrous either.

    Indeed, Proposition 74 and 75 may be winning since the results are within the margin of error.

    And Schwarzenegger has forced the California Teachers Association to spend $52.9 million fighting these measures – not a small chunk of change.

    Stay tuned the Field Organization and Los Angeles Times will soon release their polls.

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    Cross-posted to the Bear Flag League Special Election Page