• Barbara Boxer,  Carly Fiorina,  Chuck DeVore,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen Field Poll: Senator Barbara Boxer Fades as Tom Campbell and Carly Fiorina Surge

    Poll Graphic Courtesy of the Sacramento Bee

    California U.S. Senator Democrat Barbara Boxer is in deep trouble for her re-election bid. The latest poll results are in the graphic above but in summary:

    GOP Primary

    • Campbell 28
    • Fiorina 22
    • DeVore 9
    • Und 40

    General Election

    • Campbell 44 – Boxer 43 – Und 13
    • Boxer 45 – Fiorina 44 – Und 11
    • Boxer 45 – DeVore 41 – Und 14

    The March 9-15 survey was conducted of 748 LV with a MoE of +/- 3.7%. For the primary, 353 GOP LV were surveyed with a MoE of +/- 5.5%.

    A very good poll for former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina as she emerges as the conservative favorite in the race. In fact, supposed Tea Party favorite Chuck DeVore is not doing so well with that group of voters as Fiorina beats DeVore.

    The results of this poll are pretty much what I have expected. Carly Fiorina is starting to surge, Tom Campbell is holding on to a small lead based on his name identification and Chuck Devore trails badly. I expect to see in the next month conservative voters peeling off DeVore to support Fiorina as it becomes perfectly clear that DeVore will not win. Conservatives will flock to Fiorina over the left-leaning libertarian Tom Campbell.

    The biggest shock in the poll, however, is how poorly Barbara Boxer is doing. This race has to be viewed as a toss-up now and the national Republican Party has to be lickng its chops.  Look for more money to surge into Carly Fiorina’s campaign coffers.


  • Barbara Boxer,  Carly Fiorina,  Chuck DeVore,  Polling,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen Poll Watch: Senator Barbara Boxer Threatened By All GOP Candidates

    Rasmussen Poll of March 11, 2010

    The poll results released above are fairly straight forward. Senator Barbara Boxer is vulnerable at this point in the election cycle no matter who her Republican challenger will be.

    Advertising has just begun in the race with an independent expenditure group attacking Tom Campbell as too liberal. But, it is early and whoever can put together the best advertising campaign will likely win the GOP June primary election.


  • Barbara Boxer,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen Video: Tom Campbell and Barbara Boxer Two Peas from Same LIBERAL Pod

    Two Peas Same Liberal Pod Tom Campbell Barbara Boxer Proposition 8 California It’s time for conservative leadership.

    The National Organization for Marriage as an independent expenditure group has HIT Republican U.S. Senate candidate Tom Campbell with this television commercial.

    A national group opposed to gay marriage on Monday launched 30-second ads attacking Republican U.S. Senate candidate Tom Campbell for his stance against Proposition 8, the 2008 voter-approved initiative to define marriage in the state constitution as between a man and a woman.

    The New Jersey-based National Organization for Marriage said it is spending $275,000 on ads that suggest Campbell, a moderate Republican, is not much different from “liberal Barbara Boxer.” The ads are largely airing on cable television with large numbers of Republican voters, including the Sacramento region, San Diego County and Orange County, according to NOM executive director Brian Brown.

    They are first television ads to air for or against any of the U.S. Senate candidates in California this year. Brown said NOM paid for the ads as a 501(c)(4) nonprofit organization, which is not required to disclose its donors.

    The NOM ad makes two points about Campbell’s positions last year supporting some temporary tax hikes to help offset a $40 billion budget deficit, suggesting that his tax views are little different from Boxer’s. The ad’s final point is that Campbell opposed Proposition 8, like Boxer.

    Frankly, I am suprised that the IE conservative groups have have come out this early. Guess they want to erode Campbell’s poll lead before Carly Fiorina begins her television ads.

    This is an effective contrast ad and along with Campbell’s problem with Israel and supporting Islamic terrorists will be played over and over again as the June primary approaches.


  • Sami al-Arian,  Tom Campbell

    Updated: CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Apologizes for Associating with Convicted Islamic Terrorist Supporter Sami Al-Arian

    +++++Update+++++

    The Carly Fiorina campaign says NOT SO FAST Tom…….. From the press release:

    Last Friday Tom Campbell declared his interest in stopping what he called the “silent slander.” Unfortunately for him this week the sound of the truth has proved deafening.
     
    Today, his tactic seemed to be to apologize for not getting his facts straight about statements and actions he took as a candidate
    for U.S. Senate in 2000 and as Professor. But even in the midst of his apology he failed to get his facts straight—yet again.

    For those of you who were not there, Tom said that he would not have written his letter in support of Al-Arian had he known that Al-Arian had made the statement “death to Israel.” The thing is that in the letter itself, Tom Campbell in 2002 specifically and explicitly states that he read the  transcript of the O’Reilly interview that caused the whole dust up for Al-Arian in the first place.
     
    You can read the transcript of the interview Fox News Channel’s Bill O’Reilly conducted with Sami Al-Arian on September 26, 2001, and which Campbell said in 2002 that he had read, here: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,61096,00.html
     
     And here is a link to download the Campbell letter:  http://www.investigativeproject.org/1834/the-letter-dogging-tom-campbell
     
    Campbell also claims that he didn’t know about the ties that another one of his 2000 donors, Alamoudi, had to terrorist groups. But the public record that was available at the time tells a different story.
     
    On October 28, 2000, before Election Day, Mr. Alamoudi participated in a rally at Lafayette Park in Washington, DC where he
    riled up their support for Hamas and Hezbollah – two organizations not exactly known for their peaceful and non-violent approach to advancing their goals. Here is a link to the clip of the rally. It is worth the watch:
    http://www.investigativeproject.org/218/rally-at-lafayette-park-alamoudi
    <http://www.investigativeproject.org/218/rally-at-lafayette-park-alamoudi>

    Just a few days later, on November 4, 2000, at the end of Campbell’s second bid for the U.S. Senate against Dianne Feinstein he told the San Jose Mercury News that he was “comfortable” with Mr. Alamoudi’s position on terror and violence. (Barry Witt,
    “Campbell Defends Muslim Groups Organizations Have Right To Make Political Donations, Candidate Says,” San Jose Mercury
    News
    , 11/4/00)


    At the same time, Hillary Clinton and George Bush returned donations made by Alamoudi and his associates and disavowed his comments. This was well publicized and Tom Campbell was directly asked about these donations in the 2000 campaign precisely because these other politicians had the wisdom to return Alamoudi donations.

    Things got even more interesting when a question from the press came about what his failure to thoroughly research the record before accepting money from, and writing letters on behalf of terrorist sympathizers says to voters about how he will take action as a U.S. Senator. Tom’s answer: “The errors that I made were as a professor and as a candidate in the last weekend of the last campaign. None of these errors related to anything in my official capacity as a United States congressman. None at all.”

    Let me get this straight – what you do when you are not in elective office does not matter when you are running for U.S. Senate? Great, we’ll take that to mean that Tom and his campaign staff retract every statement they have made about Carly’s record when she was not serving in elected office…in other words, every attack they have ever made.Live by the rules, die by the rules, Tom.

    campbell-and-al-arian CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Admits Receiving Terrorist-Linked Sami Al-Arians Donation

    Former California Congressman Tom Campbell who has accepted campaign contributions from prominent Muslim activist Sami al-Arian who is alleged to have formed with others a terrorist support network across the United States and who pled guilty to conspiring to help associates of the terrorist group Palestinian Islamic Jihad

    Well, Tom Campbell finally makes the connection that, just maybe, association with Sami al-Arian may not be such a great idea and that maybe he should say he is sorry.

    Republican U.S. Senate candidate Tom Campbell apologized Friday for defending a professor at the University of South Florida in 2002 who had called for the “death” of Israel and promoted “jihad.”

    At a press conference held at the start of California Republican Party convention in Santa Clara, Campbell said he had made an error in protesting the suspension of Sami Al-Arian to the university’s president.

    “That was an error and I deeply regret it,” Campbell said. “I saw only the material relevant to the question of whether he was misrepresenting himself as speaking on behalf of that university. I did not see other things he had said but I could have and should have and I regret the error.”

    Campbell said he had also erred in not returning donations from Al-Arian.

    Well, too little said and way too late, Tom.

    This apology is not going to fly – you already flunked the Sami al-Arian test. You wrote the letter and you took al-Arian’s money (although at first you denied that, too).

    Previous:

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FLUNKS the Sami Al-Arian Test

    CA-Sen: What Does Tom Campbell Have to Say About Sami Al-Arian?

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell Receives Lifetime Achievement Award from American Muslim Alliance One Month After 9/11

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Admits Receiving Terrorist-Linked Sami Al-Arian’s Donation

    Updated: CA-Sen: Tom Campbell and the Growing Storm Over His Anti-Israel Record

    Updated:CA-Sen: Tom Campbell, Sami al-Arian and Political Access


  • Sami al-Arian,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Apologizes for Associating with Convicted Islamic Terrorist Supporter Sami Al-Arian

    campbell-and-al-arian CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Admits Receiving Terrorist-Linked Sami Al-Arians Donation

    Former California Congressman Tom Campbell who has accepted campaign contributions from prominent Muslim activist Sami al-Arian who is alleged to have formed with others a terrorist support network across the United States and who pled guilty to conspiring to help associates of the terrorist group Palestinian Islamic Jihad

    Well, Tom Campbell finally makes the connection that, just maybe, association with Sami al-Arian may not be such a great idea and that maybe he should say he is sorry.

    Republican U.S. Senate candidate Tom Campbell apologized Friday for defending a professor at the University of South Florida in 2002 who had called for the “death” of Israel and promoted “jihad.”

    At a press conference held at the start of California Republican Party convention in Santa Clara, Campbell said he had made an error in protesting the suspension of Sami Al-Arian to the university’s president.

    “That was an error and I deeply regret it,” Campbell said. “I saw only the material relevant to the question of whether he was misrepresenting himself as speaking on behalf of that university. I did not see other things he had said but I could have and should have and I regret the error.”

    Campbell said he had also erred in not returning donations from Al-Arian.

    Well, too little said and way too late, Tom.

    This apology is not going to fly – you already flunked the Sami al-Arian test. You wrote the letter and you took al-Arian’s money (although at first you denied that, too).

    Previous:

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FLUNKS the Sami Al-Arian Test

    CA-Sen: What Does Tom Campbell Have to Say About Sami Al-Arian?

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell Receives Lifetime Achievement Award from American Muslim Alliance One Month After 9/11

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Admits Receiving Terrorist-Linked Sami Al-Arian’s Donation

    Updated: CA-Sen: Tom Campbell and the Growing Storm Over His Anti-Israel Record

    Updated:CA-Sen: Tom Campbell, Sami al-Arian and Political Access


  • Carly Fiorina,  Meg Whitman,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen: Anti-Israel Claims Hurting Tom Campbell Fundraising or Did Meg Whitman Pull the Plug?

    Former e-Bay CEO Meg Whitman, running for California Governor and former Congressman Tom Campbell formerly a candidate for Governor and now a U.S. Senate candidate

    The case for the anti-Israel cause for Tom Campbell’s fundraising failures is made over at the Frum Forum.

    Now that Campbell has switched over to the Senate race, his current level of fundraising puts him on par with primary opponents Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore, who have both raised similar amounts despite having four or five more months to fundraise.

    On the other hand, the latest fundraising numbers may be an indicator of how donors feel about the anti-Israel allegations lobbed at him in early February.

    Campbell’s campaign announced in February that they had raised $700,000 in one month. It’s taken them an additional month to raise the remaining $300,000 needed to hit the million dollar mark, which means that fundraising dropped by more than half in February.

    Actually, Carly Fiorina has ONLY been fundraising since the first week of November while Chuck DeVore has been at it for over fifteen months. And, remember, that Fiiorina loaned her campaign an additional $2.5 million from her personal wealth at the end of December. The cash on hand comparisons even at this point, place Fiorina far ahead in cash available to mail ads and go on television.

    But, there has been a fall off in Tom Campbell fundraising. Look at the conflicting statements from the Campbell campaign.

    Reached for comment, Campbell spokesman James Fisfis said that their fundraising target was still set at $5 million. Fisfis also dismissed the suggestion that the drop-off had anything to do with the anti-Israel allegations…”

    At his current fundraising pace, Campbell is on track to raise about $1.5 million total for the primary, and instead I point out that in an AP story on January 29, Fisfis pegged Campbell’s fundraising goal a little higher…like $2 to $5 million higher:

    “Campbell is prohibited from transferring any of the money he had raised for the governor’s race but estimated he would raise between $7 million and $10 million during the GOP Senate primary.

    “’And based on our initial fundraising response, we’re sticking with that,’ Fisfis said.”

    And, in February, Team Campbell told the SF Chron that they were sticking by that $7 to $10 million figure…

    So, why the fall-off in campaign cash?

    Was it Tom Campbell’s association with convicted Islamic terrorists like Sami Al-Arian?

    Or was it something more local – like his donor sponsor sugar mommy California Governor Meg Whitman who is the uber-rich former CEO of e-Bay pulling the plug?

    Remember it was Meg Whitman who persuaded Tom Campbell to leave his year-long campaign for California Governor and in January switch to the United States Senate race. And, remember there were plenty of rumors as to the political machinations behind the switch.

    Bill Bradley has the poop.

    While Whitman’s operatives employed coercion in their backfiring bid to get Poizner out of the race, they employed persuasion to remove Campbell from the equation. While consultant Mike Murphy played the heavy with Poizner, several sources say that another former consigliere for Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, Bob White, the longtime chief of staff to former Governor and Senator Pete Wilson who now heads a powerful corporate consulting firm in the state capital, played the lead role for Whitman on the Campbell project. Wilson is Whitman’s campaign chair.

    In December, according to well-informed sources, Whitman operatives began trying to influence people in the orbit around Schwarzenegger to persuade Campbell to switch out of the governor’s race and into the Senate race. Campbell, whose varied career has included stints as a Stanford law professor and head of the UC Berkeley business school, had been the state finance director in the Schwarzenegger Administration.

    The blandishments for Campbell included the promise of new backing and help with fundraising.

    Campbell, though running relatively well in the polls for governor — and probably the most dangerous candidate for presumptive Democratic nominee Jerry Brown in a debate — had raised barely a million dollars. His only realistic hope of winning the Republican gubernatorial primary was to slide through if Whitman and Poizner savaged one another.

    In the Senate primary, he could start off in the lead with residual name ID from two earlier Senate runs. There he would face only one rich candidate, ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, and far right Orange County Assemblyman Chuck DeVore.

    Campbell listened to this and began seriously mulling the prospect of switching races. He did just that last month.

    And when he made the move, he had newfound support.

    George Shultz, secretary of state in the Reagan Administration and secretary of the treasury in the Nixon Administration, was suddenly Campbell’s new campaign chair. Shultz put aside his differences with Campbell on abortion, gay rights, and the Middle East (Campbell is far less pro-Israel) in making the move.

    Campbell picked up a fundraiser, too. Kristin Hueter, a top Whitman fundraiser, made the move to the new Team Campbell. Hueter had previously worked for Schwarzenegger.

    When I reached him, Bob White acknowledged that he was involved in the effort to get Campbell to switch from the governor’s race to the Senate race. But he said that his role wasn’t as central as other sources said it was.

    White had been very involved in bringing former Secretary of State Shultz, now ensconced at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, into the Schwarzenegger orbit when the action movie superstar mounted his swiftly jury-rigged campaign for governor in the 2003 California recall election.

    White and his old boss, former Governor Wilson, who like Shultz is a Hoover Institution fellow, played a major role in bringing Shultz into one of the seminal events of Schwarzenegger’s career, his ballyhooed economic “summit” at an LA airport hotel. Schwarzenegger already had his longtime friend, Democrat Warren Buffett, on board, but needed a big name Republican. Shultz and Buffett co-chaired Schwarzenegger’s economic task force meeting behind closed doors, then played good-natured sidekicks on stage after at Schwarzenegger’s massively attended press conference, allowing themselves to be publicly dominated by the Hollywood showman. (That was the event at which Schwarzenegger chastised his longtime friend Buffett for musing in the Wall Street Journal that California’s Prop 13 needed to be changed, telling him next time that happened he’d have to do 500 sit-ups.)

    As a congressman, Campbell was an ally of then Senator Pete Wilson. As a state senator following his first race for the U.S. Senate in 1992, he was an ally of then Governor Pete Wilson. And, naturally, of Wilson chief of staff White.

    After Bill Bradley’s story broke and Steve Poizner started beating Meg over the head with her attempt to force him from the race, Tom Campbell’s money suddenly dries up.

    Fancy that.

    But, it makes sense, doesn’t it that Meg Whitman told her donors to ratchet back the association with Campbell – at least until the last minute where reporting would not be as visible to disclosure? I mean she doesn’t want to look like a uber-rich bully king-maker, does she?

    Now, we have to wait and watch.

    Has Tom Campbell’s fundraising dried up because Whitman pulled the plug, have donors become uncomfortable with an anti-Israel candidate who associates with Islamic terrorists or has Meg Whitman temporarily suspended funraising for her boy, Campbell, until late in May when disclosure will be hopefully lost in the fray of television ads and campaign hoopla?

    California voters will be watching.

  • Carly Fiorina,  Chuck DeVore,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell Leads Carly Fiorina 33% to 24% While Chuck DeVore Trails at 7%

    2010 California Senate Election: Republican Primary

    The latest poll (DailyKos.com/Research 2000) for the June California GOP primary election for United States Senate is out.

    Tom Campbell (R)  33
    Carly Fiorina (R) 24
    Chuck DeVore (R)   7


    General election

    Barbara Boxer (D)  47
    Tom Campbell (R)   43

    Barbara Boxer (D)  49 (52)
    Carly Fiorina (R)  40 (31)

    Barbara Boxer (D)  49 (53)
    Chuck DeVore (R)   39 (29)


    Favorable/Unfavorable

    Boxer (D)    50/45 (49/43)
    Campbell (R) 46/37 (38/29)
    Fiorina (R)  35/43 (22/29)
    DeVore (R)   34/42 (21/27)


    This is, after all, a Democrat and LEFT leaning poll but there are some obvious points:

    1. Barbara Boxer remains vulnerable with less than 50 per cent against all Republican challengers

    2. The Republican Primary election is really between Carly Fiorina and Tom Campbell. Chuck DeVore trails badly as his campaign has not gained any traction in over a year of campaigning and has to be considered out fof the race even with a large undecided (36 per cent) undecided vote.


  • Carly Fiorina,  Chuck DeVore,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen: Who Won the First GOP Debate?

    California Assemblyman Chuck DeVore reading his script at Republican U.S Senate debate last Friday. Tom Campbell on left.

    The debate was last Friday and I know I am late posting my comments but with the Los Angeles Marathon fast approaching in about two weeks all of my attention is not focused on the Senate race.

    Eric Hogue was the moderator and host of the debate. You can listen to it here.

    The transcript has been posted and it is here.

    I, generally, do not like radio debates or discussions because they are really not substantive debates. I prefer televised, live debates where you can see the candidates and get the measure of them, so to speak. Also, there are no aides, or scripts and everyone is assembled at one place at one time.

    In this discussion, Carly Fiorina was participating from her home via telephone and Chuck DeVore read most of his remarks from prepared notes. Tom Campbell also had his briefing papers and obviously read from them. A live debate is much more off the cuff and a candidate will be punished by reading too much from prepared talking points.

    So, who won?

    I would say nobody because California voters at this point in the election cycle are not concentrating on this race. Tom Campbell who called for this discussion/debate comes off as a bit of a loser because of his weak remarks regarding his associations with Islamic terrorists.

    Carly Fiorina proved she could mix it up with the boys and Chuck DeVore proved he can read.

    Of course, all three campaigns said they won.

    Standard.


  • Sami al-Arian,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FLUNKS the Sami Al-Arian Test

    campbell-and-al-arian CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Admits Receiving Terrorist-Linked Sami Al-Arians Donation

    Former California Congressman Tom Campbell who has accepted campaign contributions from prominent Muslim activist Sami al-Arian who is alleged to have formed with others a terrorist support network across the United States and who pled guilty to conspiring to help associates of the terrorist group Palestinian Islamic Jihad

    Scott Johnson over at Powerline is the teacher and explains why Tom Campbell flunks the Al-Arian test and why he should NOT be elected to the United States Senate.

    Read it all.

    Here, by the way, is the letter that Campbell wrote on Al-Arian’s behalf.

    Read and you decide whether Tom Campbell has the judgment to represent you, California voters, in the United States Senate?

    I say No and will sit out the race should Toim Campbell win the Republican nomination and run against Democrat Senator Barbara Boxer.

    Previous:
    CA-Sen: What Does Tom Campbell Have to Say About Sami Al-Arian?

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell Receives Lifetime Achievement Award from American Muslim Alliance One Month After 9/11

    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Admits Receiving Terrorist-Linked Sami Al-Arian’s Donation

    Updated: CA-Sen: Tom Campbell and the Growing Storm Over His Anti-Israel Record

    Updated:CA-Sen: Tom Campbell, Sami al-Arian and Political Access


  • Sami al-Arian,  Tom Campbell

    CA-Sen: What Does Tom Campbell Have to Say About Sami Al-Arian?


    Florida Leadership Council Ad against Betty Castor who was running for Florida Senate

    As Jennifer Rubin says Tom Cambell is struggling to explain his association.

    Tom Campbell is struggling to explain his association with Sami Al-Arian, a convicted terrorist from whom he
    accepted campaign money and who he defended when Al-Arian was canned by the University of South Florida. (Both these actions occurred before Al-Arian’s conviction.) He’s not the only politician who has struggled
    with this. In 2004 Betty Castor ran for the Senate in Florida. Her tenure as president of  that same university and her handling of Al-Arian made for campaign fodder.

    Yes, these are the type of ads that Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore will be running against Tom Campbell.

    Why, you ask?

    Tom Campbell took the money and now is giving lame excuses. Shame on him.

    Previous:
    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell Receives Lifetime Achievement Award from American Muslim Alliance One Month After 9/11


    CA-Sen: Tom Campbell FINALLY Admits Receiving Terrorist-Linked Sami Al-Arian’s Donation

    Updated: CA-Sen: Tom Campbell and the Growing Storm Over His Anti-Israel Record

    Updated:CA-Sen: Tom Campbell, Sami al-Arian and Political Access