CA-Gov: Money Down: What Poizner’s Cash Play Means – Who Quits First?

Posted Posted in Meg Whitman, Steve Poizner, Tom Campbell

The former MSM Left writers over at Calbuzz have an analysis of the $15 million cash infusion California Governor candidate Steve Poizner has recently announced.

“He didn’t have any other option,” said one Republican insider. “There were rumors all over Sacramento that he was going to drop out.”

Poizner’s $15 million move will likely stop the bleeding among the gossip-mongering cognoscenti (which he’s done for the moment, at least to judge by campaign flack Jarrod Agen’s success in getting the entire press corps to write exactly the same story Monday). It also may calm some of his current supporters, whose restiveness in the face of his failure to move the needle in the polls seems to have led to the we-got-her-right-where-we-want-her memo his campaign e-blasted last week, which smacked of desperation.

Having made his move, Poiznergreendollar now faces two other, far more difficult tasks: a) actually writing the check he’s promised (we’ll be watching) and b) figuring out how to spend the dough wisely. We’re also not convinced that $15 million is enough to make the kind of splash – positive, negative or both – he needs.

The fact remains the Poizner candidacy has NOT caught fire in California and he badly trails in the polls to both Meg Whitman and Tom Campbell (who has been rumored ready to drop out and run for the U.S. Senate against Carly Firoina and Chuck DeVore).

Frankly, I can think of a better way to waste $15 million. Poizner is not going to be elected Governor of California and we are not even talking about a run against Democrat Jerry Brown.

So, who quits first? Poizner or Campbell? Or both?


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Poll Watch: California Governor 2010 – Rough Year for the GOP?

Posted Posted in Gavin Newsom, Jerry Brown, Meg Whitman, Steve Poizner, Tom Campbell

Looks like a rough year for the California Republican Party to hold the Governorship now held by Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger – no matter who wins the GOP nomination next June.

All Registered Voters:

2010 Governor: General Election (all match-ups)

  • Brown 50%, Whitman 29%
  • Brown 48%, Campbell 27%
  • Brown 50%, Poizner 25%
  • Whitman 31%, Newsom 40%
  • Newsom 38%, Campbell 33%
  • Newsom 39%, Poizner 30%

Meg Whitman looked at one time as a very viable candidate but her lack of candor about her voting record has damaged her credibility. It will be difficult for her to crawl back into the race.

California Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner has the ability to self-fund a big media campaign but has failed to catch-on voterwise. He may be the front-runner at the present time – despite the current polling because of his potential.

Former Congressman Tom Campbell is a moderte Republican but charismatically he is no Pete Wilson and will not motivate the GOP base of donors.

The REAL race may be between “Any Two-some” Newsom and Jerry “Moonbeam” Brown.


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Poll Watch: Meg Whitman Leading in California GOP Governor’s Race

Posted Posted in California Governor 2010, Meg Whitman, Steve Poizner, Tom Campbell
Meg whitman feb 17 2009

Meg Whitman, a likely candidate for California governor, speaks in San Jose, Calif., on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2009. The former eBay chief executive stressed her goals of job creation and limited government

The latest Field Poll in California has former e-Bay CEO Meg Whitman leading the Republican Field (298 Republican Primary voters sampled).
  • Whitman: 21 percent
  • Campbell: 18 percent
  • Poizner: 7 percent
  • Undecided: 54 percent

Here are screenshots of the poll details:

gop-governors-poll
ca-gop-gov-poll-2

ca-gop-governors-poll-3

It is very early in this race and Whitman’s lead is not commanding with a whopping 54 per cent of California Republican voters undecided.

Let the campaigning begin…….


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Meg Whitman Vs. Senator Dianne Feinstein for California Governor in 2010?

Posted 8 CommentsPosted in Dianne Feinstein, Jerry Brown, Meg Whitman, Steve Poizner, Tom Campbell
Meg whitman

Meg Whitman, formerly President and CEO of eBay

They both have as good a chance as any to represent their party (Whitman, GOP and DiFi, Democrat) according to the California Field Poll conducted before last Tuesday’s Presidential election.

U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein is the early favorite on the Democratic side of the 2010 race for governor, and former eBay CEO Meg Whitman is attracting attention in a likely battle for the GOP nomination, a new Field Poll shows.

The survey, which was taken before last week’s election and lists the favorability ratings of possible candidates to succeed Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, “is a little teaser for when we start to look closer at the governor’s race next year,” said Mark DiCamillo, the poll’s director.

Many California voters aren’t ready to shift their attention to an election that is more than 18 months away, but the fall campaign already has had an effect on San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom, whose opposition to the same-sex marriage ban apparently hurt his statewide standing, according to the survey.

On the GOP side, more than two-thirds of registered voters have no opinion about Whitman, former San Jose Rep. Tom Campbell or state Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner.

“It’s basically a level playing field for all of them,” DiCamillo said.

Here is a poll summary:

california governor 2012 fav vs unfav

Flap thinks that on the Demcorat side the nomination will be between Dianne Feinstein and Jerry Brown since they are both seasoned polls who can raise the mega $ millions it will take to run a statewide campaign.

Both appeal to the LEFT with Brown a little more fringe left than DiFi. However, both candidates are OLD and the newly registered young Democrats and independents (who vote in California Democrat primary elections) may be drawn to the sex scandal plagued duo of San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom or Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa.

A multi-way race will not be advantageous to either Brown or Feinstein – look for some early knock-out blows sponsored by the big Labor unions like SEIU.

On the GOP side, Meg Whitman will be the nominee if she wants it. Campbell and Poizner are light-weights politically and although Poizner can self-fund, Whitman has the $ mega-bucks to match him dollar for dollar, plus more. Whitman is new and fresh but can she read a teleprompter?

Meg Whitman was also highly visible in the Yes on California Proposition 8 campaign which had the support of California conservatives. Flap believes Campbell favors gay marriage and Poizner remained neutral during the Prop 8 campaign.

Stay tuned as early posturing begins and don’t forget there may be a darkhorse GOP candidate should Whitman decide to sit this one out – Mitt Romney.

Stay tuned…….


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