• California,  California Budget,  Flap's California Morning Collection

    Flap’s California Morning Collection: June 14, 2011

    A morning collection of links and comments about my home, California.

    The California State Budget deadline looms tomorrow for the California Legislature. If a state budget is not passed, legislators have their pay docked – now, you see the urgency. In the meantime, California Republicans are not moving to support tax extensions which means the Democrats who are in the majority may pass a budget with accounting gimmics – like the under former Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger.

    Now, the links:

    Faced with loss of pay, Democrats are crafting alternative state budget

    Facing a Wednesday deadline for passing a budget or forfeiting pay, Democrats in the Legislature are quietly drafting a spending plan they could pass without the GOP votes needed for tax increases or extensions.

    The alternative plan would keep paychecks coming even though talks between Gov. Jerry Brown and Republicans have snagged on the issue of taxes.

    “We will have a budget,” said Nathan Barankin, a spokesman for Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg (D-Sacramento).

    Barankin and others close to the process declined to provide details. But a fallback blueprint would almost certainly rely on accounting moves and other measures that would merely paper over the state’s remaining $10-billion shortfall: Democrats, who have sharply cut back many programs already, have little appetite for further reductions.

    Chronicle will not be pool reporter for Michelle Obama visit

    Remember a couple of weeks ago when The White House got ticked off at Comrade Marinucci for posting video of activists protesting President Obama inside a San Francisco fundraiser? To Team Obama she was violating an unwritten rule on a print reporters posting video and they threatened to exclude The Chronicle from being the pool reporter in the future.

    To other sentient beings, Comrade Marinucci was — and pardon the technical term here — “reporting the news.” News that MANY other non-journalists who were there at the fundraiser were recording with various camera phones. And she was perfectly within her rights to do so, The Chronicle has asserted.

    Why we’re re-telling you this story: First Lady Michelle Obama comes to the Bay Area Tuesday and neither Comrade M — nor anybody at The Chronicle — will be the local pool reporter. Handling that gig will be two reporters from the Oakland Tribune. One is the Trib’s hunky, bearded political reporter Josh Richman and the other is a higher education reporter.

    So just to get this down for the record, we asked the White House what was up. And with all due respect — as we’re sure he’ll do a terrific job — why was a higher ed reporter chosen to do the pool reporting on a political event in San Francisco?

    The White House responded that pool reporters are chosen on a rotating basis.

    More competitive seats under draft political maps, PPIC says

    The number of competitive seats in the Legislature and in California’s congressional delegation would jump significantly under draft maps released Friday, according to an analysis by the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California.

    More competitive seats could give Democrats a better chance of securing the two-thirds legislative majority needed to raise state taxes in future years, which would require capturing two additional seats in both the Assembly and Senate.

    Under tentative proposals by California’s new redistricting commission, the number of competitive Assembly seats would rise from nine to 16; competitive state Senate seats, from three to nine; and competitive U.S. House of Representative seats, from four to nine, PPIC concluded.

    No formula is considered foolproof in calculating the number of competitive seats. Analysts use different approaches and reach differing conclusions, serving as grist for lively debate.

    PPIC defined a competitive seat as one that falls between a five-point registration advantage for Republicans and a 10-point advantage for Democrats, which it said reflects the fact that Democrats are more likely to cross party lines.

    Democrats currently hold 52 of 80 seats in the Assembly; 25 of 40 seats in the state Senate, and 34 of 53 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives.

    Dan Walters: The Big Stakes? Two-thirds Margin

    There are many ways to view the new congressional and legislative district maps released last week by the state’s new independent redistricting commission, from the personal to the cultural to the geographic.

    But to Capitol insiders, the most meaningful aspect is whether the Democrats can gain two-thirds majorities in both legislative houses and thus hegemony over tax policy.

    Democrats are two seats shy of two-thirds in each house now, and that’s why the state budget is, as usual, stalemated. Republicans are refusing to vote for nearly $10 billion a year in tax extensions.

    “We need four Republicans,” Gov. Jerry Brown declared Monday as he assembled a gaggle of business, labor and local government leaders to support extending the temporary taxes a few extra months and then asking voters to continue them for five years.

    However, the tax extensions don’t play very well with voters in recent polling. Some Democratic leaders and their union allies have mused about plugging the budget gap with accounting gimmicks, loans and other one-time revenues, and concentrating political resources on getting two-thirds majorities in 2012 elections.

    Enjoy your morning!

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    Flap’s California Morning Collection Archive

  • California,  California Budget

    Will California Become Another Michigan?

    Dan Walters: Will California become another Michigan?

    Has California’s recession-wracked economy finally bottomed out and begun to recover, albeit slowly?

    Or has California become another Michigan, doomed to a semi-permanent state of economic malaise?

    Gov. Jerry Brown adopts the former version in his revised state budget. He calls it a “modest drawn-out recovery” and cites “positive economic signs” such as a fractionally declining unemployment rate, growth in manufacturing and rising exports from the state.

    But the budget also notes such negative factors as “weak housing markets (and) depressed construction activity,” and Japan’s devastating earthquake. And it says that recovery will be painfully slow, with non-farm employment not reaching pre-recession levels until 2016, nearly a decade after the recession began.

    Yes. A Michigan without any manufacturing, since it has left for other countries or states, is my best guess.

    Which young couple wishes to wait for housing costs to come down to a manageable levels while social welfare costs, including public education and prisons skyrocket because of illegal immigration?

    California may see some slight economic improvement but unless structural budget changes occur and the attitude towards business becomes friendly, California = Michigan.

    The population exodus of educated, productive citizens will only accelerate.

  • California Budget,  California Republican Party,  Jerry Brown

    Video: California GOP to Governor Jerry Brown – Do Your Job

    Jerry Brown campaigned on the promise that he could bring both parties together and make the tough decisions now. Call Jerry and tell him to make the tough decisions now!

    A hard-hitting ad by the California GOP that makes an apt point to California Democrats. Where have you been? Especially since they have had control of the California Legislature for decades and Brown has been around California politics for decades.

    So, Jerry, why not negotiate with the Republicans and do YOUR job?

  • California Budget

    California Legislature Passes State Budget – What’s In It? The Good, The Bad, The Ugly List

    Maldonado thumbs up

    State Sen. Abel Maldonado, R-Santa Maria, gives a thumbs up to cast the deciding vote for passage of the state budget plan at the Capitol in Sacramento on Thursday, Feb. 19, 2009. Maldonado provided the final vote needed to pass the spending plan that is aimed at reducing a $42 billion budget deficit

    Ok, so what are the changes in the California State Budget. In other words, what did the California Legislature approve today?

    The LIST:

    REVENUE:

    The plan would raise up to $12.8 billion through June 2010 by imposing a variety of temporary taxes. The higher taxes would be in effect for two years. The taxes would remain longer — through the 2013-14 fiscal year — if voters approve a state spending cap during a special election in May.

    • Increases the state sales tax by 1 cent on the dollar, generating $5.8 billion through the next fiscal year.
    • Raises the fee for licensing vehicles to 1.15 percent of market value, up from the current .65 percent. The move is projected to generate $1.5 billion. A portion of the fee will be dedicated to local law enforcement.
    • Raises the state personal income tax rate by 0.25 percent, generating $3.7 billion in the next fiscal year. If the state receives more than expected from the federal government, the increase in the rate would be reduced to 0.125 percent.
    • Reduces the amount taxpayers can claim on a dependent care credit to the federal level of $100 instead of $300, adding $1.4 billion.

    CUTS:

    Reduces state general fund spending by $15.1 billion through the end of June 2010 by forcing education and social service programs to absorb much of the pain. Among other cuts, the budget proposal

    • Reduces education spending by $8.6 billion over two years, likely forcing schools to lay off teachers, slash salaries and postpone spending on construction and textbook purchases. The proposal also would give districts greater flexibility in spending money that is normally dedicated to specific programs.
    • Imposes a 10 percent across-the-board cut to the University of California and California State University systems, saving $264.4 million.
    • Continues furloughs for 238,000 state workers, trims overtime pay and eliminates Lincoln’s Birthday and Columbus Day as paid state holidays, saving $1.4 billion. The furloughs would be reduced from two days a month to one and workers would receive two personal days off in exchange for giving up the paid holidays under a tentative contract agreement reached recently between the governor and the state’s largest employee union.
    • Eliminates annual cost-of-living increases for recipients of the state’s welfare-to-work program, known as CalWORKS, to save $79 million.
    • Eliminates the state and federal cost-of-living increase for seniors and the disabled who are receiving Supplemental Security Income/State Supplementary Payment, saving $594.1 million.
    • Depending on whether the federal government provides additional aid, the budget compromise would make further reductions to Medi-Cal, the state’s health insurance program for the poor; CalWORKS; in-home support for seniors; and other social service programs by $948 million.
    • Eliminates $1 million that was allocated for the state controller’s office to buy furniture as one of the conditions for securing the last GOP vote.

    Borrowing:

    • Approves a $5 billion plan to borrow against the value of the lottery’s future revenue. Voters must approve changes to the lottery to make it more marketable in the hope that it will bring in more money, and then the state would have to entice investors to buy the bonds.
    • Authorizes the state to take out $6 billion in bonds to cover bills that will not get paid in the current fiscal year. Lawmakers expect to avoid this loan by using federal aid.
    • $400 million transferred from various special funds.


    Ballot Questions – May 19, 2009:

    • Spending cap: Asks voters to impose a limit on the amount the state can spend each year based on revenue growth over the previous 10-year period. Money above that amount would be saved in a rainy day fund. That fund would be capped at 12.5 percent of revenue, and any amount above that could be used to pay debt or for one-time purposes. If voters approve the cap, then temporary taxes that are part of the budget would be extended for an additional two years.
    • Education: Asks voters to modify Proposition 98, the voter-approved minimum school funding guarantee, to protect education funding when state revenue rebounds after lean budget years.
    • Mental health: Asks voters to shift $227 million in voter-approved funding from Proposition 63, the state mental health fund, for two years to pay for a low-income child development program known as the Early Periodic Screening, Diagnosis and Treatment Program.
    • Child development: Asks voters to redirect $608 million in First 5 money for early child development to other children’s programs for five years. Voters approved Proposition 10 in 1998, adding a 50-cent tax to each pack of cigarettes.
    • Lottery: Asks voters for permission to hand out larger lottery jackpots as a way to sell more tickets. Also grants the state permission to stop using lottery proceeds for education programs. Instead, school funding would be paid through the general fund.
    • Legislative pay: Asks voters to amend the Constitution to freeze the pay of lawmakers and state elected officers, meaning they would not be eligible for raises, during years the state is running a deficit.

    Ballot Question – June 2010:

    • Ask voters to amend the state Constitution to allow open primaries for legislative, congressional and statewide elections, including the governor’s race. The top two vote-getters would advance to the general election.

    Economic Stimulus:

    • Grants up to $400 million in tax credits for companies with 20 or fewer employees that hire new workers over the next two years. Allows businesses to claim a credit of up to $3,000 per full-time job created.
    • Provides up to $100 million a year for five years in tax incentives for movie studios to film in California, known as the runaway production credit.
    • Reformulates taxes for corporations that operate in multiple states. Republicans say the tax break would encourage investment in California while critics called it a giveaway that could cost the state $690 million a year.
    • Allows unlimited public-private partnerships on state transportation projects through 2017 and up to 4,500 beds in community-based prisons for inmates nearing parole.
    • Speeds up construction on 10 state public works projects, 5 local transportation projects and 10 redevelopment agency projects and 5 state office buildings by allowing one company to do both the design and construction.
    • Removes environmental hurdles and accelerates permit approval for 8 state road projects through 2010.
    • A 2007 off-highway diesel regulation requires bulldozers, airport baggage trucks and ski resort snowcats to begin reducing emissions from their fleets in 2010. The rule phases in the regulation through 2020 for fleets of large vehicles. The budget proposal would delay the initial phase-in requirements, requiring fewer vehicles to comply in the early years.
    • Exempts environmental reviews for selling surplus state property.
    • A state grant program offers funding to companies that take steps to reduce harmful emissions from their vehicles before state air pollution requirements go into effect. The budget proposal would allow farmers to access that money even if the requirement has already taken effect.
    • Exempts some rural communities from paying prevailing wage on public work projects.

    Well, there you have it in a nutshell.


  • California Budget,  California Open Primary

    California GOP Legislators Who Voted To Destroy California Political Parties and Support Open Primary Elections – The List

    Flap’s friend and fellow blogger Jon Fleishman has the list of California Republican members of the Legislature who voted to destroy the California Republican and Democratic Parties and support an “OPEN PRIMARY” election system.

    The LIST:

    SENATE

    • Roy Ashburn
    • Dave Cogdill
    • Dave Cox
    • Jeff Denham
    • Abel Maldonado

    ASSEMBLY

    • Bill Berryhill
    • Tom Berryhill
    • Sam Blakeslee
    • Mike Duvall
    • Paul Cook
    • Connie Conway
    • Bill Emmerson
    • Nathan Fletcher
    • Jean Fuller
    • Danny Gilmore
    • Brian Nestande
    • Jim Nielson
    • Cameron Smyth
    • Mike Villines

    Jon notes that since this support of “OPEN PRIMARY” elections was a condition of Abel Maldonado’s vote for the California State Budget with its Big – 5 / Big Tax Increase provisions, it can easily be said all of the above legislators are enablers of California tax increases.

    Remember these names well as the California Republican Party meets this weekend in Sacramento.

    And, the funny thing is that the Democrats, particularly the Congressional Democrats will now gear up to defeat this measure in June 2010 – which they will. There will be bipartisan disdain for this open primary system.


  • California Budget

    California Legislature Approves State Budget With Tax Increases – The Links

    The plan, with billions of dollars in tax increases, is sent to Gov. Schwarzenegger for signing.


  • Abel Maldonado,  California Budget

    California Legislature Approves State Budget With Tax Increases – GOP Senator Abel Maldonado Provides Swing Vote

    steinberg 1 vote

    Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steingberg, D-Sacramento, holds up a sign indicating only one more Republican vote is needed to pass the budget during a media gathering deal outside the Senate chambers yesterday evening

    Democrat California State Senate leader Darrell Steinberg got his one Republican vote in the name of Republican Senator Abel Maldonado and with it the California Legislature went on to approve the state budget with tax increases.

    Voting at dawn to end a three-month impasse, the California Legislature passed a budget package that addresses the state’s massive deficit with billions of dollars in new taxes and program cuts after Democrats and Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger reached a deal with a GOP holdout.

    Sen. Abel Maldonado of Santa Maria provided the final Republican vote needed to pass a spending plan, which includes more than $12 billion in tax hikes. In exchange, Democrats agreed to rewrite election rules that Maldonado said had allowed the Capitol to become paralyzed by partisanship, leading the state to the brink of financial ruin.

    And, the funny thing is that this budget does not solve California’s long term structural budget deficit problems and relies on a special election on May 19, 2009 to ratify some of the funding changes.

    GOP Senator Maldonado in speaking in favor of the state budget acknowledged that his political careeer may be over in voting for these tax increases.

    Maldonado is at least RIGHT on this.

    More later…..


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  • Abel Maldonado,  Arnold Schwarzenegger,  California Budget,  Darrell Steinberg

    Shocker: California on the BRINK of Financial Collapse? Governor Schwarzenegger Ready to Send 20,000 Layoff Notices

    Ca-on-the-brink

    California on the Brink screams the Drudge LEDE.

    Shocking?

    No, because California has been in financial trouble for some time now and RINO GOP Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger is the main cause for his inability to lead and govern the Golden State.

    So, where does California stand and what is the urgency?

    Lawmakers adjourned tonight until Tuesday after failing for the third consecutive day to muster an elusive final vote for the state budget package.

    The move came after Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger said he would send 20,000 layoff notices on Tuesday and other administration officials warned of construction stoppages if the $40 billion budget shortfall and the associated cash crunch are not resolved.

    Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg, D-Sacramento, said the Senate would consider the critical tax increase bill on Tuesday morning, whether or not a third Republican senator comes forward to provide the deciding vote. He said the house would stay in session until the package was approved.

    “Bring a toothbrush, bring whatever necessities you need to bring,” Steinberg told senators as the house shut down for the evening.

    The tentative deal would bridge an estimated $40 billion budget gap through a massive mix of program cuts, borrowing and new revenues, including vehicle license fee increases and higher gasoline, sales and personal income taxes.

    Key elements require passage by a two-thirds majority of the Senate and Assembly – thus three GOP votes in each house.

    The California State Senate will reconvene at 10 AM this morning and the tax bill will be taken up. Should the Big 5 Legislative Leaders not be able to persuade one GOP California State Senator to flip their vote for the California State Budget with tax increases, the stalemate will continue.

    And, according to Democrat Senate Leader Steinberg, the Senators will be locked in the State Senate chamber until there is a resolution.

    Here are the details of the Big Five crafted plan.

    Revenue

    The plan would raise up to $14.4 billion through June 2010 by imposing a variety of temporary taxes. The higher taxes would be in effect for two years. However, Republicans would allow taxes to remain longer – two more years – if voters approve a state spending cap during a special election in May.

    Here are the specific taxes:

    • Increases the state sales tax by 1 cent on the dollar, generating $5.8 billion through the next fiscal year.
    • Raises the fee for licensing vehicles to 1.15 percent of market value, up from the current .65 percent. The move is projected to generate $1.5 billion. A portion of the fee will be dedicated to local law enforcement.
    • Adds a 12-cent gasoline tax, raising $2 billion.
    • Imposes a one-time, 5 percent surcharge on people who owe personal income tax at the end of 2009 to generate $3.2 billion. If the state receives more than expected from the federal government, the surcharge would be reduced to 2.5 percent.
    • Reduces the amount taxpayers can claim on a dependent care credit to the federal level of $100 instead of $300, adding $1.4 billion.
    • Redirects $201.6 million of tribal gambling revenue from the state Department of Transportation to the general fund over the two-year period. The money is intended to offset the effects of increased traffic around Indian casinos.

    The GOP Senate Caucus does not support the above tax increases and insist that more cuts in state government spending be made.

    Stay tuned as the California State Budget Stalemate continues.

    Flap will be live microblogging the California State Senate Session on Twitter (in the right sidebar) ——>


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