California U.S. Senate candidates Tom Campbell, Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore
The latest poll in the California U.S Senate GOP primary was released yesterday afternoon. Yes, I am a little late getting this posted but I was traveling most of yesterday.
The hotly contested race for the Republican nomination in both the U.S. Senate and Attorney General races are tightening up with the primary only three weeks away, the Small Business Action Committee/M4 Strategies Poll found.
In the U.S. Senate contest, Tom Campbell leads with field with 32.6%, with Carly Fiorina close behind at 28.2%, and Chuck DeVore tallying 15.3%. Fiorina has made the biggest movement since the SBAC/M4 Strategies poll in February. At that time, Campbell had a similar 32%, Fiorina was at 18% and DeVore stood at 11%.
The poll conducted on May 12, 13, and 16 of 600 high propensity Republican voters has a margin of error of 4%.
Keeping in mind that this poll was taken prior to Carly Fiorina’s television advertising campaign coupled with Tom Campbell being “off-air” for the coming week. In any case, Carly Fiorina is within striking distance of Tom Campbell (within the margin of error, is surging and Chuck DeVore is far out of the running.
It is time for conservative leaders to insist that Chuck DeVore withdraw from this race. He is not competitive and is drawing votes away from another conservative Carly Fiorina. DeVore is acting as a spoiler and should be true to his conservative values and withdraw after waging “the good fight.” Otherwise, the left-leaning Tom Campbell, a true RINO (Republican In Name Only) or “Barbara Boxer Light” could win a narrow electoral victory.
I understand the California PPIC poll will be released tonight. Should DeVore poll in a distant third place again, you can put a fork in his candidacy – He’s Done.
Carly Fiorina Vs. Barbara Boxer
5/12/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
Favorable / Unfavorable
Barbara Boxer: 47 / 49 (chart)
Carly Fiorina: 38 / 39
Chuck DeVore: 35 / 33
Tom Campbell: 39 / 35
I have highlighted in bold above the margin of error in which all of the GOP candidate are within. Let’s look at the other candidate’s charts:
Now, Tom Campbell:
The campaigns and some pundits have been trying to spin this poll result as a “surge” for Chuck DeVore.
Look at the poll trends above and only Carly Fiorina has an upward graph trend. But, all of the results are within the margin of error anyway.
The only conclusion to be drawn here is that Senator Barbara Boxer is in trouble.
Chuck DeVore Gets Ultimatum From Red State’s Erick Erickson: Rise in Polls Or We’re Backing Carly Fiorina
Well, I think that Erick Erickson, the Editor of Red State, sees the handwriting on the wall in this race and is trying to cover his own ass.
A prominent conservative is issuing an ultimatum, essentially telling the candidate he supports to do better in the polls â€“ or lose his support.
Erick Erickson, editor-in-chief of RedState.com, backs Assemblyman Chuck DeVore in the California Republican senate primary. DeVore is locked in a battle with former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and former Rep. Tom Campbell for the right to face Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer in November.
Speaking Tuesday with CNN Chief National Correspondent John King, Erickson â€“ a CNN contributor – said he won’t support DeVore much longer if the candidate does not improve his political standing.
“Look, if Chuck DeVore hasn’t gone up in the polls within two weeks significantly, I’ll be with Carly Fiorina because Tom Campbell is that bad,” Erickson said.
So, is Erickson really serious? DeVore has been underwater from the start of this race in a dismal third place. There are only four weeks to go before the California election and early voting has already started.
If Erickson really wanted a conservative to be the Republican nominee, he would ask Chuck DeVore to step aside and endorse Carly Fiorina. Instead, Erickson gives DeVore two weeks to do the “right” thing?
Lip service and distancing on the part of Erickson here. If DeVore splits the conservative vote and liberal RINO Tom Campbell wins, Erickson will have his Red State hands all over this mess.
So, how about it Erick?
Erick must be getting some flack from the DeVore camp and issued this clarification.
Weak sauce because he is NOT serious. He is simply covering his ass if Campbell wins and doesn’t want the fall out or the blame. And, when Fiorina wins – well, you see – Erickson is sucking up.
California U.S. Senate candidates Tom Campbell, Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore
The latest California U.S. Senate poll is out and it shows little movement with California early voting starting today, absentee ballots in the mail and the election in four weeks.
The GOP battle to face incumbent US Senator Democrat Barbara Boxer in November remains essentially unchanged. Today, former Congressman Tom Campbell defeats former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, 35% to 24%. State assembly member Chuck DeVore gets 15%. Limited movement since SurveyUSA’s previous poll. 23% are undecided: Among men, Campbell had led by 8 points, now leads by 12; among women, Campbell had led by 5, now 10. DeVore is up 5 points among voters age 18 to 49, Campbell is down 5, Fiorina is down 10. Among voters age 50+, Campbell is up 6. In California’s Inland Empire, Fiorina had led by 6 points, now trails by 5. Campbell’s lead in the Bay Area is now smaller, but his lead in greater Los Angeles is now larger.
The margin of error for the poll is 4.3% and with 23 per cent undecided, it is anyone’s race.
With Carly Fiorina in the “finally” phase of her campaign and now “on air” with a statewide television campaign, she is hoping to pull away from the pack.
California Pro-Life CouncilThe San Francisco Chronicle had the first mention last night of the endorsement.
Just got this scoop from California Pro Life Council czar Brian Johnston: The organization will endorse Carly Fiorina Tuesday over Orange County Assemblyman Chuck DeVore.
This is a big deal in conservative circles, as this is California’s largest single-issue pro-life group. When Fiorina got the nod recently from the Susan B Anthony Candidate List — think of it as the anti-Emily’s List — Team DeVore dismissed it as a DC-oriented group.(They’re also going to kick Carly $200,000, they told me.) Don’t worry, predicted Team DeVore, California pro-lifers would be behind the rock-ribbed conservative DeVore.
But this pro-life group, the California affiliate of the National Right to Life organization, isn’t. And the reason has to do with one thing: They think Fiorina has a better shot at winning. In the June primary and in the fall.
And, then, Jon Fleischman just posted the official endorsement statement.
This will be a significant endorsement for Carly Fiorina. Having been branded by Chuck Devore as a closet pro-choicer on abortion and a non-conservative moderate RINO, this should help dispel the misstatements.
Plus, the $200K campaign cash donation will help fuel Fiorina mailers in the last few weeks of the campaign.
Here is the text of the post which has now mysteriously disappeared as well as the discourse at Facebook.
U.S. GOP Senate Candidate Chuck DeVore yesterday put up a Facebook post on him erecting 50 billboards across California identifying himself with the U.S. Constitution.
I posted a reply on Facebook, noting that, if he really wanted to follow the Constitution, he would oppose the Iraq and Afghan wars because there has been no declaration of war by Congress, as the Constitution stipulates.
He replied in a message to me: â€œSubject: Like we did on the Barbary Pirates? Oh yea, thatâ€™s right, we never didâ€¦ And that was Jefferson!â€
I replied that Jefferson sending the Navy and the Marines against the Barbary Pirates was hardly the same as running two long wars that have cost thousands of American lives, tens of thousands of Iraqi and Afghan lives, and trillions of dollars to the American taxpayers, bankrupting the country.
Besides my original post, Iâ€™m not sure how much of this debate got onto Facebook. Because whatever was there has been deleted â€” censored by Chuck.
Must have only happy thoughts, America. The $5 trillion Iraq War didnâ€™t bankrupt the country, bring Obama to power, and cause the Bush-Obama Depression. We can balance the budget without increasing military spending â€” nay, we can increase military spending and restore prosperity. The President can start a war whenever he wants to. Declarations of war are necessary only against Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan and Fascist Italy. It says so right there in the penumbras of the emanations of the Constitution. War is peace.
â€“ John Seiler
One, you would think that Chuck DeVore has better things to do than engage a blogger on Facebook – like raising money or speaking before some Tea Party group.
Second, if your arguments are good, then let everyone see what you have written.
Having had some discourse with Chuck DeVore over the past few years, I have found him to be very thin-skinned and vindictive. I mean, afer all, he blocked me on Twitter and Facebook, after I questioned his character.
Guess someone else got under his skin – click and delete.
But, now, why did Cal Watchdog delete the post?
I guess this explains why the Cal Watchdog post disappeared.
Correction: Chuck DeVore blog removed
I removed a post on Chuck DeVore I wrote earlier today after he alerted me to mistakes in it. My apologies to Chuck, whom I have known for more than a decade. Iâ€™ll be more careful.
â€“ John Seiler
Termed out California Assemblyman Chuck DeVoreApparently the word is out on the street – Chuck DeVore is throwing in the towel and looking forward to his next race – Irvine Mayor or City Council.
I attended the Irvine Chamber of Commerceâ€™s breakfast with the Mayor event last Friday. I ran into a number of Irvine community leaders and more than a few of them asked me what I knew about Chuck DeVore running for city council or running for Mayor when he loses the Republican primary for US Senate in a few months like the decision was a done deal. While the office is a step down for Chuckâ€™s lofty asiprations of being elected to statewide or federal office representing California, heâ€™ll be termed out in the Assembly and will need a job to continue a political platform to run for something else â€” governeror, Lt. governor, or some other statewide office.
This appears consistent with the polling in this race, plus political chatter and the fact that his Direcor of Communications, Joshua Trevino, was AWOL from the California Republican Convention earlier in March (presumably job hunting at SXSW).
But, Chuck may have a problem with running again for any position. He must successful defend the charge he misused his State of California staff for his U.S. Senate campaign.
Good luck with that……..
How will this revelation affect the Republican U.S. Senate Primary election in June?
Well, voters can focus on the fact that Chuck Devore IS just another scum-sucking politician running from office to office. And, conservatives, will realize that DeVore has never been serious about this campaign, will turn away and vote for Carly Fiorina since Tom Campbell has always been a left-leaning RINO.
Joshua Trevino (L), Communications Director for U.S. Senate candidate Chuck DeVoreThe answer may be yes if the facts in the below embedded complaint are indeed true.
And, then there is an issue with the reporting of any in-kind contributions for the DeVore Senate Campaign to the Federal Elections Commission. These issues are explored in the embedded complaint to the FEC below:FEC Complaint Chuck Devore
I, frankly, do NOT care what Joshua Trevino and Leisa Brug Kline do in their time away from State of California employment. And, I do not care that they love California Assemblyman Chuck DeVore so much that they wish to volunteer their time to get him elected to the United States Senate.
But, I DO care if my taxpayer dollars are being used to underwrite his campaign.
The investigation will continue, the election will come and go with DeVore not winning and there may even be a small penalty attached to this conduct.
For now, the main issue though is the poor judgment of Chuck DeVore.
Trevino and Kline should have taken a leave of absence from their State of California jobs when they began staffing DeVore’s campaign for U.S. Senate. If they were worried about salaried employment, DeVore should have paid them out of his campaign collections (he certainly has raised enough to pay them a decent salary). But, he didn’t.
Was DeVore being cheap?
Or was DeVore just arrogantly naive or clueless of the appearances/repercussions?
In any case, the issue of impropriety has been raised and will be considered by the voters in June.
Former Hewlett-Packard CEO and California U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina addressing a San Diego National Tax Day Tea Party Protest in San Diego yesterdayWhat Hewlett-Packard is saying is that U.S. Senate opponents of Fiorina, Tom Campbell and Chuck DeVore are full of shit in their criticism.
Hewlett-Packard Co., facing a European bribery probe over a 2003 computer contract, said former Chief Executive Officer Carly Fiorina is being unfairly criticized for being in charge during that time.
â€œTo suggest that Carly Fiorina, or any other senior executive in Palo Alto then or now, was knowledgeable of these alleged activities is wrong and not supported by the facts,â€ David Shane, a company spokesman, said in an interview. â€œThe facts have clearly demonstrated that the criminal investigation is focused on alleged activities that took place seven years ago in Germany and Russia by regional employees.â€
Prosecutors in Germany are investigating possible corruption linked to the Palo Alto, California-based companyâ€™s 35 million-euro ($47.3 million) sale of computers to Russia when Fiorina was CEO. They are examining whether Hewlett-Packard paid bribes to win the contract, Wolfgang Klein, a spokesman at Saxonyâ€™s Chief Prosecutorâ€™s Office, said this week.
Hewlett-Packard, the worldâ€™s biggest maker of personal computers, hired law firm Linklaters LLP in December 2009 to help with its internal investigation, Shane said. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP is assisting Linklaters. The company said the computer contract in question was signed and approved seven years ago.
But, you know, you have to expect this type of campaign crap from Campbell who is smarting from his exposed association with convicted Islamic terrorists and Chuck DeVore who has so little money in the bank for his campaign that he has reached desperation time for anyone to notice him.
So, this is real a non-story in this race except for the whining from Tom Campbell and Chuck DeVore who both cannot seem to understand the facts of the investigation.
And, these guys want to be United States Senators?
Former Hewlett-Packard CEO and California Republican U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina has announced campaign fundraising totals for the first quarter.
Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina Tuesday said she raised $1.7 million since the beginning of the year in her effort to win the June 8 Senate Republican primary and face Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer this fall.
The money Fiorina has gotten from donors â€” $2.78 million since she began her campaign last year â€” only tells part of the story. The former executive has pumped $2.5 million of her own money into the campaign, bringing her total close to $5.3 million.
And with her campaign reporting $2.8 million cash on hand as of March 31, the close of the Federal Elections Commission reporting period, that means Fiorina has so far spent nearly $2.5 million in her effort to beat former Rep. Tom Campbell and Irvine Assemblyman Chuck DeVore for the GOP nomination.
Fiorinaâ€™s fundraising total from donors is $100,000 more than Campbell, who reported raising $1.6 million in the campaign he began in January.
Boxer, a three-term incumbent, announced Monday that her campaign raised $2.4 million in the first quarter, bringing her fundraising total for the campaign to more than $13 million.
So far no official word from the DeVore campaign on what he has raised although he told a town hall meeting Monday night that he raised about $600,000 during the first quarter. As of the end of 2009 DeVore had raised $1.2 million.
Not a stellar performance but in this down California economy and against an entrenched incumbent in a solid blue state, it is not bad. But, the real story is the amount of cash on hand available to Team Carly and her own deep pockets that can pump in another $2-3 million with the stroke of her pen.
Plus, I look for continued IE (independent expenditure) spending to attack RINO Tom Campbell closer to the election.
On a further note, Carly Fiorina raised in one quarter about what her opponent Chuck DeVore has raised total in over fifteen months. I continue to marvel why DeVore continues in this race. He polls third and is why behind in campaign cash.
Here is a link to the Fiorina news release.