Poll Watch: Meg Whitman in Tie With Jerry Brown for California Governor in 2010 – Leading All Others

Posted 3 CommentsPosted in Jerry Brown, Meg Whitman, Steve Poizner
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Economic recovery press conference: Eric Cantor, Mitt Romney and Meg Whitman, former eBay CEO and McCain campaign adviser answer questions submit by the American People via YouTube, January 15, 2009

The latest poll from Rasmussen is extremely favorable for former eBay CEO Meg Whitman in the race for California Governor in 2010.

The race may be nearly two years away, but early match-ups for the 2010 gubernatorial election in California show that it’s likely to be a close one.

With the state’s current Republican governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, ineligible for reelection, the most prominent name mentioned on the GOP side is former eBay CEO Meg Whitman, and for now she beats two of the three leading early contenders for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.

The Poll:

  • Meg Whitman – 38% Vs. Jerry Brown (California Attorney General and former Governor – 40%
  • Meg Whitman – 37% Vs. Gavin Newsom (San Francisco Mayor) – 34%
  • Meg Whitman – 41% Vs. Antonio Villaraigosa (Los Angeles Mayor) – 34%

Favorability:

Forty-three percent (43%) of California voters view Whitman favorably, including 10% Very Favorable, while 22% view her unfavorably. Just five percent (5%) have a Very Unfavorable opinion of Whitman. A third of voters (34%) don’t know enough about her to form an opinion.

Brown is the most well-known name to California voters and is viewed favorably by 46%, including 24% who say that view is Very Favorable. Thirty-eight percent (38%) have an unfavorable opinion of Brown, with 26% Very Unfavorable. Just 16%, however, are not sure what they think of the 70-year-old Brown who has been a fixture in California politics for nearly 40 years.

Newson is viewed favorably by 36%, unfavorably by 41%, and 23% are not sure what they think of him. Thirteen percent (13%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Newsom and 25% a Very Unfavorable view. Villaraigosa’s ratings are 38% favorable, with 13% Very Favorable, and 42% unfavorable, including 27% Very Unfavorable. Twenty percent (20%) are not sure what they think of Villaraigosa.

Flap had mentioned that since Steve Poizner, California’s only statewide elected office holder, was running for Governor that perhaps Whitman should should run for the United States Senate instead. But, with these excellent poll numbers, it is fiull speed ahead with the governor’s race.

But, what will a contested GOP primary election do to her unfavorability ratings?

Stay tuned….

Watch Meg Whitman on video at the press conference referenced above.


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San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newson’s State of the City Address – Whether You Like it or Not

Posted Posted in Gavin Newsom
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San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom is running for California Governor. The race is in 2010 but Newsom is already gearing up for the campaign.

Today, the good Mayor, a champion of gay marriage in California, releases his State of the City addressall 7 1/2 hours of it.

San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom has been crafting his State of the City speech for months and will debut it today – all 7 1/2 hours of it – on his very own YouTube channel.

The format allows the tech-savvy mayor – who has more than 10,000 Facebook friends and whose official Web site has received 27.6 million hits this year – to reach a wider audience and speak directly to anyone who’s interested without the filter of the media or grumbling from critics.

“We have a lot we want to share, but it gets filtered,” Newsom told The Chronicle. “To do an address that’s unfiltered, what better way to do it than on YouTube?”

It also allows the wonky, long-winded Newsom to leave no detail on the cutting-room floor. The mayor’s staff will release the speech in 10 chapters this week, and each one is about 45 minutes long. Health, education and the environment are the subjects on tap for today.

There you go: San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom – “Whether You Like it or Not.”

And, believe Flap, should Newsom make it out of the Democrat primary election (he won’t) the video below would be played over and over again.


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San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom – The Biggest Loser in California’s Gay Marriage Fight?

Posted 4 CommentsPosted in Gavin Newsom, Gay Marriage
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San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom became the “poster boy” for the Yes on 8 Campaign to restore traditional marriage in California

Flap asked the question prior to Tuesday’s California election: Will San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom Deserve The Blame When California Proposition 8 Passes?

The answer is apparently yes – both in San Francisco and statewide (Newsom will run for California Governor in 2010).

Election night was not kind to Gavin Newsom, who may end up one of the biggest losers after suffering a potentially crushing loss with Proposition 8 and at best breaking even in the local contests he had a stake in.

Political analysts have long argued that Newsom has short coattails in local politics – a theory in play with the Board of Supervisors races, in which at least three of the seven seats up for grabs seem likely to go to candidates he did not endorse.

With the local ballot measures, voters for the most part sided with Newsom’s choices, but two propositions that were of particular interest to the mayor – one supporting his special court to prosecute quality-of-life crimes and the other changing the makeup of the San Francisco Transportation Authority – failed spectacularly.

And, pandering to the homosexual lobby has not helped Newsom with other key California Democrat constituencies, African-American and Latino voters.

“The Latino and black voters really turned out in this election. They helped get Proposition 8 voted in, and that portends badly for Gavin Newsom if he’s intending to run for governor,” Boushey said. “He’s going to have to appeal to those voters. They’re socially moderate, and they don’t recognize Gavin Newsom as being socially moderate.”

Paradoxically, the mayor is seen as too liberal for much of the state and too conservative compared to the city’s legislators.

Look to California Attorney General, Jerry Brown, to demagogue the legal challenge to Proposition 8 and pick-up key homosexual lobby support for HIS run for California Governor. Gavin Newsom rolled the dice in 2004 by setting up the California gay marriage flap and will go down to defeat with its proponents.

Here is the video featuring Gavin Newsom – “whether you like it or not:”


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Will San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom Deserve The Blame When California Proposition 8 Passes?

Posted 1 CommentPosted in Gavin Newsom, Gay Marriage
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San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom has become the “poster boy” for the Yes on 8 Campaign to restore traditional marriage in California

Does Gavin Newsom deserve the blame from the homosexual community when California Proposition 8 passes next Tuesday? This is being asked in a gay publication.

San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom has been a tireless crusader for gay rights. It was he who, way back in 2000, began issuing marriage licenses in San Francisco.

Though those marriages were later annulled by the state, California’s Supreme Court this year ruled that gay folk should, in fact, have the right to marry, a decision that spurred the right to launch Proposition 8, which would reverse the Court’s ruling. Again, Newsom’s been campaigning against that measure and just this week shored up support against conservative “extremists.”

Obviously the right doesn’t like Newsom very much and have been using him as the poster child for gay-friendly politicians. This means, of course, that should Proposition 8 pass, Newsom’s ubiquitous image may take some of the blame.

Gavin Newsom’s statement in the video below was really the start of the Yes on 8 campaign.

And, Newsom’s statement “whether you like it or not” may very well become the mantra for traditional marriage ballot fights across the United States.

Mayor Newsom has been conspicuous by his absense in the No on Proposition 8 campaign since the May news conference. Yesterday, Newsome did travel to the Google Campus to speak on No on 8’s behalf but otherwise he has been on the down-lo.

Flap has it upon good authority, however, that there will be new Yes on 8 television ads ridiculing the San Francisco Mayor.

So, blame?

You betcha, depending upon what happens next Tuesday.


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San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom to Run for California Governor?

Posted 3 CommentsPosted in Calfornia Election 2010, California, Gavin Newsom

San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom points out the cheering crowds above to Phyllis Lyon, top right, and Del Martin, seated, after the same-sex couple was married at City Hall in San Francisco, Monday, June 16, 2008. The same-sex couple was the first to be legally married by the mayor

Mayor Gavin Newsom, the darling of the San Francisco homosexual community has established an exploratory committee to run for California Governor in 2010.

San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom, a Democrat best known for his aggressive support of same-sex marriage, launched an exploratory committee Tuesday to consider a 2010 run for governor.

Newsom, 40, is the first Democrat to make a formal move toward replacing Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.

“He’s taking the steps to put together the type of operation that can analyze the race in 2010 and make an informed decision,” said Newsom consultant Eric Jaye.

Newsom has a FAR LEFT constituency and personal baggage that will deny him the Democrat nomination. The frontrunner at this time has to be Attorney General and former California Governor Jerry Brown.

Other likely Democrat candidates include:

  • Steve Westley – former California controllerand 2006 candidate for Governor
  • Antonio Villaraigosa – Mayor of Los Angeles
  • Jack O’Connell – State Schools Superintendent
  • Bill Lockyer – California Treasurer and former Attorney General

The GOP would relish a Newsom candidacy but it won’t happen.


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