• Barack Obama,  Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch,  Israel

    Barack Obama Watch: Iran Does or Does NOT Pose a Serious Threat?

    Barack Obama says “Iran is no big threat to us” on one day then turns around and says “Iran is grave threat” less than 48 hours later.

    Today since Barack Obama is in Israel, a nuclear Iran poses a “GRAVE THREAT.”

    U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama said on Wednesday a nuclear Iran would pose a “grave threat” and that the world must stop Tehran from obtaining an atomic weapon.

    Obama told reporters during a visit to Israel that if elected, he would take “no options off the table” in dealing with the Iran issue and said tougher sanctions could be imposed.

    “A nuclear Iran would pose a grave threat and the world must prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon,” Obama told reporters after visiting the Israeli town of Sderot, which lies close to the border with the Hamas-run Gaza Strip.

    He said the international community should immediately offer “big sticks and big carrots” to persuade Iran to halt its nuclear program. The West suspects Iran wants to build atom bombs but the Islamic Republic says its aims are peaceful.

    “Iranians need to understand that whether it’s the Bush administration or the Obama administration, this is a paramount concern to the United States,” he said in Sderot, which has been hit by cross-border rockets fired by Gaza-based militants.

    Barack Obama is a foreign policy rookie. WTF do you think the United States and the European Union have been doing the past few years?

    “Big sticks and big carrots” has NOT been successful. Economic and political sanctions have NOT worked.

    Iran continues to enrich uranium and proceeds towards BREAKOUT CAPABILITY.

    First, Senator Obama has to make up his mind whether Iran is a threat or not. Then, he has to formulate a realistic policy – one that does not mirror the “FAILED” Bush Administration one.

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Back to Sanctions or Military Action?

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Back Channel American Nuclear Negotiations with Iran?

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Will NOT Stop Uranium Enrichment


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  • Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch,  Israel

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The Two Red Lines; Update: Israel is Bluffing?

    *****Scroll Down for Update*****

    iraniannuclearinstallations

    Iran’s overt nuclear installations

    Senior United States military officials are concerned that Israel will soon lead an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities beofre the end of 2008.

    A senior defense official told ABC News there is an “increasing likelihood” that Israel will carry out such an attack, a move that likely would prompt Iranian retaliation against, not just Israel, but against the United States as well.

    The official identified two “red lines” that could trigger an Israeli offensive. The first is tied to when Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility produces enough highly enriched uranium to make a nuclear weapon. According to the latest U.S. and Israeli intelligence assessments, that is likely to happen sometime in 2009, and could happen by the end of this year.

    “The red line is not when they get to that point, but before they get to that point,” the official said. “We are in the window of vulnerability.”

    The second red line is connected to when Iran acquires the SA-20 air defense system it is buying from Russia. The Israelis may want to strike before that system — which would make an attack much more difficult — is put in place.

    Some Pentagon officials also worry that Israel may be determined to attack before a new U.S. president, who may be less supportive, is sworn in next January.

    Well, no shit Sherlock.

    President Bush, the United Nations and the European Union haven’t done anything to stop the Iranian Mullahs from acquiring nuclear weapons. The justifications for obtaining them are already floating around the blogs – “well. Israel has nukes, why shouldn’t Iran?”

    So, Israel has a REAL concern that the mad men of Tehran could soon achieve a method for a second HOLOCAUST.

    The United States and the rest of the world economies will be crippled while Israel and the United States neuter Iran. Americans will have to sacrifice. There will be a shortage of gasoline and oil based products.

    But, not for long.

    Update:

    Is Israel’s threat to Iran a bluff?

    Israel seems content to keep Iran and the rest of the world guessing uneasily about whether and when it might attack the Islamic Republic’s nuclear facilities.

    It has done little to douse speculation stoked by a big Israeli air force exercise last month, an Israeli cabinet minister’s remark that military action was “inevitable” and a prediction by former U.S. official John Bolton that this might occur in the final weeks of President George W. Bush’s term.

    Israel is NOT going to wait around until Iran possesses Breakout Capability for their nuclear weapons program.

    Whenever the Breakout Capability is imminent or the two red lines are crossed Israel will act – alone if need be.

    By this fall?

    Possible…..

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: One Year to Stop Iranian NUKE

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Will Play Disrupt Gulf Oil Route Card

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Ahmadinejad – The West Could NOT Break Us

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The Red Line

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Britain to Increase Iran Sanctions

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Ahmadinejad Taunts Bush


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  • Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch,  Israel,  Mohammad Ali Jaafari

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Will Play Disrupt Gulf Oil Route Card

    Mohammed Ali Jaafari

    Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (R) shakes hands with General Yahya Rahim Safavi — the former chief of the Revolutionary Guards — while his newly-appointed successor General Mohammad Ali Jaafari looks on during a meeting in Tehran. Khamenei pledged that Iran will never yield to Western pressure over its nuclear program, and it would outsmart “drunken and arrogant” Western opponents in the standoff. (September 2007)

    In a shocker, Iran says if it is attacked that they will disrupt Persian Gulf Oil routes and attack neighboring states that support the attackers.

    The Revolutionary Guards said Iran would impose controls on shipping in the vital Gulf oil route if Iran was attacked and warned regional states of reprisals if they took part, a newspaper reported on Saturday.

    Fear of an escalation in the standoff between the West and Iran, the world’s fourth largest oil producer, have been one factor propping up sky-high oil prices. Crude hit a record level on international markets near $143 a barrel on Friday.

    Speculation about a possible attack on Iran because of its disputed nuclear ambitions has risen since a report this month said Israel had practiced such a strike, prompting increasingly tough talk of retaliation, if pushed, from Tehran.

    “Naturally every country under attack by an enemy uses all its capacity and opportunities to confront the enemy,” Guards commander-in-chief Mohammad Ali Jafari told Jam-e Jam newspaper in some of the toughest language Iran has used so far.

    Analysts say Iran may not match the firepower of U.S. forces but could still cause havoc in the region using unconventional tactics, such as deploying small craft to attack ships, or using allies in the area to strike at U.S. or Israeli interests.

    Well, DUH.

    Flap thought if Israel or the United States and its allies militarily attacked Iran’s nuclear sites it was tantamount to all out war with Iran. The United States would blockade Iran’s ports, destroy its gasoline refineries and destroy its navy, air force and bomb the crap out of its army.

    In the meantime, the world oil markets would be disrupted untl the United States won the war and secured the Persian Gulf from attack.

    Of course, Iran would attack Israel and United States forces in Iraq and Kuwait. Hezbollah would attack Israel from the north. Israel and the United States would unleash a firestorm of bombing of Iran that the world has never seen.

    Should Iran fire missiles into Israel, Israel would respond by bombing Iran with its nuclear arsenal and turn Tehran into a glass factory.

    So, does Iran really gain much by saber rattling. They will lose in an all out war.

    Here is what Iran can do to disrupt the Gulf but the consequences would be far more disastrous for them.


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  • Iran,  Iran Nuclear Watch,  Israel

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Israel Issues Another Warning

    Deputy Prime Minister of Israel Shaul Mofaz

    Deputy Prime Minister of Israel Shaul Mofaz, seen in April, on Friday warned that Iran would face attack if it pursues what he said was its nuclear weapons program

    Another warning from Israel today re: Iran’s development of nuclear weapons.

    An Israeli deputy prime minister on Friday warned that Iran would face attack if it pursues what he said was its nuclear weapons programme.

    “If Iran continues its nuclear weapons programme, we will attack it,” said Shaul Mofaz, who is also transportation minister.

    “Other options are disappearing. The sanctions are not effective. There will be no alternative but to attack Iran in order to stop the Iranian nuclear programme,” Mofaz told the Yediot Aharonot daily.

    He stressed such an operation could only be conducted with US support.

    A former defence minister and armed forces chief of staff, Mofaz hopes to replace embattled Ehud Olmert as prime minister and at the helm of the Kadima party.

    Flap cannot help but think that the rise of Barack Obama as the Democrat Presidential nominee is driving Israel to pursuing action while George W. Bush is President. Obama is an unknown and has stated he would meet with Iran’s President Ahmadinejad without preconditions.

    In the meanime, the uranium enrichment centrifuges at Natanz continue to spin.

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The IAEA Inspectors

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Israel – Iran Could Have Nukes by 2009

    Iran “Reminded” with Deployment of USS Abraham Lincoln

    Iran Nuclear Watch: Iran Demands Azerbaijan Deliver Russian Nuclear Shipment

    Shocker: Iran Threatens To Eliminate Israel


  • Iran,  Israel,  Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

    Ahmadinejad – Israel Will Soon Disappear

    Ahmadinejad

    Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad speaks during a press conference in Tehran. Ahmadinejad predicted that Muslims would uproot “satanic powers” and repeated his controversial belief that Israel will soon disappear.

    Said while the uranium enrichment centrifuges spin at Natanz:

    “I must announce that the Zionist regime (Israel), with a 60-year record of genocide, plunder, invasion and betrayal is about to die and will soon be erased from the geographical scene,” he said.

    “Today, the time for the fall of the satanic power of the United States has come and the countdown to the annihilation of the emperor of power and wealth has started.”

    How many statements does Ahmadinejad have to make about Israel’s annihilation before the world community understands the intent of Iran’s nuclear program?

    Previous:

    Iran Nuclear Watch: The IAEA Inspectors


  • Barack Obama,  George W. Bush,  Israel,  John McCain,  President 2008

    George W Bush Watch: Slamming Obama for Appeasement

    In a speech to Israel’s Knesset, President Bush said Thursday, ‘some seem to believe we should negotiate with terrorists and radicals.’

    So, did President Bush specifically SLAM Barack Obama?

    You bet he did and the Democrats are screaming BULL, particularly Senator Joe Biden who is being prominently mentioned as Obama’s Vice President choice.

    DNC chair Dean calls for McCain to denounce the president’s Jerusalem comments:

    Sen. Biden: “This is bullsh*t, this is malarkey.”

    Speaker Pelosi: President’s comments “beneath the dignity of the office.”

    DCCC head Rep. Emanuel: “Does the president have no shame?”

    Appeasement will be the WEDGE ISSUE the GOP will use against Obama in the fall. GOP pushback against the antiwar LEFT of the Democrat Party has just started.

    Next, will come the video clips from Hillary Clinton criticizing Obama……..


  • Hezbollah,  Iran,  Israel,  Lebanon,  Syria

    Lebanon Watch: Hezbollah – Here We Go Again

    A family flees a neighorhood in west Beirut. Hezbollah fighters, their guns blazing, seized control of west Beirut on Friday after three days of deadly street battles with pro-government foes pushed Lebanon dangerously close to all-out civil war.

    Iran and Syria have aided Hezbollah RELOAD after the war with Israel in 2006 – so here we go again.

    Get ready for the resumption of Israeli, Hezbollah and Lebanese War. Like Flap said the first time.