Michele Bachmann

President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Mike Huckabee Has a Slight Edge.. But..

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According to the latest Gallup poll.
Mike Huckabee tops a large list of potential GOP presidential candidates in current support for the party’s 2012 nomination, with 19% of Republicans saying they are most likely to back him. This gives Huckabee a slight edge over Mitt Romney (15%). Sarah Palin is now at 12% after receiving 16% support in three prior Gallup polls. Newt Gingrich is the only other potential candidate who registers double-digit support. Sixteen percent of Republicans currently have no preference.

The March 18-22 poll of more than 1,000 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted as the field of candidates has yet to emerge. Since Gallup’s February measurement of nomination preferences, Gingrich and Tim Pawlenty have taken formal steps toward announcing their candidacies but have stopped short of doing so, and Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann is reportedly going to follow suit by the summer.

There continues to be speculation about the leading candidates’ plans. Most political experts believe Romney will eventually enter the race, but questions remain about whether Huckabee and Palin will want to abandon their lucrative media careers to pursue the presidency.

But, if Huckabee decides not run – very likely in my opinion, then it is between Romney and Palin.

And, if Huckabee runs and Sarah Palin does not, then, Huck becomes the front-runner:
So, what does all of this mean?

There continues to be no front-runner for the GOP Presidential nomination and various scenarios will play out should either Mike Huckabee or Sarah Palin decide to run or not.

I think the fact that Michele Bachman is gearing up for a possible run and that Dick Armey of the Tea Party organization, FreedomWorks, has said he could endorse Mitch Daniels may give an indication that there may soon be a different set of scenarios and candidates.

Michele Bachmann

President 2012 Video: Rep Michele Bachmann Running for President?

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Well, sort of.

Just over ten months before next February’s Iowa caucuses Sarah Palin is returning from a recent trip to Israel. But Tea Party darling Rep. Michele Bachmann is already hitting the Hawkeye state capital.
Unlike Palin, all signs point to Bachmann running for the Republican presidential nomination later this year. In an Iowa version of ABC News’ “Subway Series” shot on the Des Moines city trolley, the Minnesota Republican told ABC’s Jonathan Karl, “I’m in.”

Well, sort of.

“I’m in for 2012 in that I want to be a part of the conversation in making sure that President Obama only serves one term, not two, because I want to make sure that we get someone who’s going to be making the country work again. That’s what I’m in for,” Bachmann said.

“But I haven’t made a decision yet to announce, obviously, if I’m a candidate or not, but I’m in for the conversation.”

Michele will NOT be a serious candidate in 2012 but she is preparing for the future. What future that is will be anyone’s guess.

Exit question: With Sarah Palin out of the way, will the LEFT Press go after Bachmann as the next boogie woman on the RIGHT?

Michele Bachmann

President 2012 GOP Poll Watch: Mike Huckabee Leading the GOP Field With Positive Intensity

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According to the latest Gallup Poll.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee leads the field of possible GOP presidential candidates in “positive intensity” among Republicans nationwide with a score of +25 among Republicans who are familiar with him, followed by Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota with a score of +20. Huckabee is recognized by 87% of Republicans, compared with Bachmann’s 52%. A number of other possible Republican presidential candidates trail these two in Positive Intensity Scores, including Sarah Palin, who is the best known of the group.

Here are the results:

As with a number of Presidential polls released within the past month, these results verify that there is NO front runner in the GOP Presidential field.

Michelle Bachmann is a bit of a surprise to me but is her intensity rating a spill-over from a Sarah Palin decline in the polls? Hard to say. But, if anything is clear, Mike Huckabee might be reconsidering whether he wants to give up that Saturday night Fox News gig.

And, poor Mitt Romney is hoping for a miracle.

But, who knows, with the GOP primary voters all split apart, who will emerge with sufficient numbers of delegates? I can see a scenario where there is a “brokered” convention, where it is uncertain as to who the GOP nominee will be.

Here are the Republican candidate images among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents:

Here is a chart:

One last chart, Republican candidate images with a combination of recognition and favorability questions:

Again, what does this all mean?
  • No front runner in the GOP Presidential field.
  • Rep. Michelle Bachmann has emerged with intense feelings among the GOP faithful but with h less recognition
  • Mike Huckabee continues to lead the field, despite the likelyhood of him running is more remote.

If I were Huckabee this morning, I would be meeting with advisers. If I were Mitt Romney, I would be planning for a convention-based campaign after primary votes are scattered all over different candidates.

At this stage of the race for 2012, the GOP might be looking at a long primary season.

Michele Bachmann

Representative Michele Bachmann Balks at United States Census

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I think the Republican Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann is more than a little paranoid here and using hyperbole to make her point about government use and abuse of information obtained by the United States Census.
Outspoken Republican Rep. Michele Bachmann says she’s so worried that information from next year’s national census will be abused that she will refuse to fill out anything more than the number of people in her household.

In an interview Wednesday morning with The Washington Times “America’s Morning News,” Mrs. Bachmann, Minnesota Republican, said the questions have become “very intricate, very personal” and she also fears ACORN, the community organizing group that came under fire for its voter registration efforts last year, will be part of the Census Bureau’s door-to-door information collection efforts.

“I know for my family the only question we will be answering is how many people are in our home,” she said. “We won’t be answering any information beyond that, because the Constitution doesn’t require any information beyond that.”

The Congresswoman is incorrect and will comply with the law.

But, Congress should examine the problem of ACORN and the use of the information -especially since Congressional and Electoral College reapportionment depends on a fair and impartial accounting of demographics.

If the Obama Administration and the Democratic Party through ACORN is going to subvert the census process for partisan advantage then the only recourse is to sue in federal court to enjoin/examine the entire process.

And, it may come down to this.

Stay tuned……

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