• Social Media,  Tea Party,  Twitter

    Tea Party Members Tweet the Most

    Graphic Courtesy of NIIP

    Not really surprising since the LEFT has been slow to move away from their own blogosphere.

    Tea party candidates tweet more frequently than Democrats and even their generic Republican rivals.

    That’s the finding of a study out of the University of Michigan, which surveyed 460,000 tweets over a three-year period from 687 candidates running for U.S. House, Senate and governor. 

    Over the study period, tea party candidates tweeted an average of 901 times compared to 723 times for Republicans and 551 for Democrats.

    “The conservative candidates—Republicans and Tea Party members—definitely used Twitter more visibly and showed a more coherent set of messages and topics,” said Eytan Adar, assistant professor in the School of Information and the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. “They also followed each other much more closely. I think it’s fair to say they were much more cohesive in a lot of ways and at the end of the day that makes for a stronger campaign.”

    The study found that not only did tea party members tweet more often, but they retweeted each other and used hashtags more frequently.

    The entire paper is here (Pdf).

    We utilize graph and text mining techniques to analyze differences between Democrats, Republicans and Tea Party candidates, and suggest a novel use of language modeling for estimating content cohesiveness. Our findings show significant differences in the usage patterns of social media, and suggest conservative candidates used this medium more effectively, conveying a coherent message and maintaining a dense graph of connections. Despite the lack of party leadership, we find Tea Party members display both structural and language-based cohesiveness.

  • Dick Armey,  FreedomWorks,  Michele Bachmann,  Mitt Romney,  President 2012,  Sarah Palin,  Tea Party

    President 2012: Tea Party’s FreedomWorks’ Goal is to Stop Mitt Romney

    Former GOP Rep. Dick Armey of FreedomWorks and Mitt Romney

    Yes, and why would it be any other way? Mitt Romney is NOT a Tea Party candidate, but a GOP establishment one.

    A top goal of the nation’s most influential national Tea Party group is to stop Mitt Romney from winning the Republican nomination for president.

    Interviews with top officials at FreedomWorks, a Washington-based organizing hub for Tea Party activists around the country, revealed that much of their thinking about the 2012 election revolves around derailing the former Massachusetts governor.

    “Romney has a record and we don’t really like it that much,” said Adam Brandon, the group’s communications director.

    FreedomWorks is led by former House Majority Leader Dick Armey (R-Texas) and Matt Kibbe, an economist and former Capitol Hill aide. More than 30 employees, as well as a fresh class of several interns, work out of spacious seventh floor offices near the U.S. Capitol. The group knows they cannot impose their will on the fiercely independent conservative organizers fueling the Tea Party. But they say the activist base is just as anti-Romney as they are.

    Kibbe said in an interview that FreedomWorks has no plans at the moment to endorse an opponent of Romney’s in the primary. But others in the organization made clear they will devote considerable resources toward helping whoever emerges as the most viable Republican in the primary other than the putative front runner.

    Brendan Steinhauser, who travels around the country meeting with activists as FreedomWorks’ top liaison to the grassroots, said most people he talks to are “definitely trying to stop Romney.”

    The Tea Party in 2012 will have one or two choices: Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachman or former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin. Bachmann for sure is running and Palin, as of today looks like it, but may wait until the late summer to announce.

    Either of them will give Mitt Romney a race in Iowa and South Carolina. I, only see Palin, should she run, going beyond South Carolina at this point.

  • Dick Armey,  Mitch Daniels,  President 2012,  Tea Party

    President 2012 Video: Tea Party’s Dick Armey – Mitch Daniels Would Be Perfect Pick for Us

    Watch around 6:30 for former Rep. Dick Armey’s comments on Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels

    Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels with his expressed intent today to sign legislation cutting Indiana Planned Parenthood funding has risen to the top of Presidential candidate discussion.

    Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R) would be the “perfect pick” for the Republican presidential nominee in 2012, said Tea Party figurehead and former House Majority Leader Dick Armey (R-Texas).

    Armey, in a video posted Friday to the website of the conservative magazine Newsmax, effused praise for Daniels and expressed a preference for one of the other former governors expected to join the race as a possible alternative.

    “I think Mitch Daniels would be the perfect pick for us; he’s exactly the man with the proven record that we’re looking for,” Armey said. “He has no need for sensation, but he knows how to get focused on the work and get it done.”

    If not Daniels, Armey said, one of the other governors should get the nod.

    The GOP establishment likes Mitch Daniels as the anti-Romney as does the Bush organization. Daniels should decide in the next day or so and then Mike Huckabee will make his intentions known.

    The race for 2012 will be heating up this next week or so.

  • Polling,  Tea Party

    Poll Watch: Tea Party Unfavorables Reach New High



    According to the latest Gallup Poll.

    About half of Americans, 47%, now have an unfavorable image of the Tea Party movement, the highest since it emerged on the national scene.

    Gallup began tracking Americans’ views of the Tea Party in March 2010, when 37% had a favorable and 40% an unfavorable view. Those views stayed roughly the same through January of this year, but have now turned somewhat more negative. The April 20-23 USA Today/Gallup poll finds favorable opinions of the Tea Party movement dropping to 33%, from 39% in January, and unfavorable opinions rising to 47% from 42%. Twenty percent of Americans say they haven’t heard of the Tea Party or have no opinion of it.

    This is not surprising to me, especially since Gallup’s tracking is about one year too late. The Tea Party first began prior to April 15, 2009 and here is one of my first posts on the Tea Party.

    The GOP took over the House of Representatives thanks to the Tea Party in 2010, after having lost control in 2006. Now, the Democrats and organized LEFT have been able to counter and paint some in the Tea Party as either racists, white supremacists or right wing nuts of some sort.

    So, you have two factors depressing the poll numbers: lack of fear of TOTAL LEFT control of Congress and the Presidency AND organized opposition to an unorganized and amorphous Tea Party.

    You ask whether the Tea Party then has any future utility? Or will it be rolled in part into the GOP?

    The answer is probably a little yes on both.

    The Tea Party movement has no official status as an organization or association. It is not officially connected with the Republican Party. Still, Tea Party candidates who ran for the House and Senate in last fall’s midterm elections for the most part ran as Republicans. And Tea Party candidates who were elected to the House are now making their voices heard in Congress as they pressure House Republican leadership to take strong conservative positions on such issues as cutting government spending and reducing the deficit.

    While Americans who identify as Republicans and conservatives clearly tend to be favorably predisposed toward the Tea Party, these attitudes are by no means universal, underscoring the challenges House GOP leaders face as they try to reflect the interests of their constituencies.

    The views of Republicans split 60% positively to 24% negatively toward the Tea Party; conservatives’ views split 56% to 29%. Substantial majorities of Democrats and liberals view the Tea Party unfavorably. Views of the Tea Party became more negative between January and April among both Republicans and independents; there was very little change in Democrats’ already negative views.

    So, what are the implications?

    The precise influence of the Tea Party movement on U.S. politics is difficult to pinpoint, given its vague shape and lack of any type of official organization. The Tea Party, however, did have a significant influence on last year’s midterm elections. Candidates who were supported by voters who identified with the Tea Party made a significant impact on primary outcomes, and in a number of instances won election to the House and Senate.

    Now observers continue to ponder the impact of those elections on the Republican Party, as these newly elected members attempt to follow through on their campaign promises and pressure House leadership to take stronger conservative positions on key issues.

    The data reviewed here demonstrate the nature of the political challenges Republican congressional leadership faces in responding to Tea Party-supported members. A majority of rank-and-file Republicans nationwide give the Tea Party favorable ratings, but a sizable minority say their opinion is unfavorable or do not classify themselves as supporters.

    Further, the overall image of the Tea Party among all Americans has become substantially more negative than positive over the last several months, which could weaken its perceived clout among GOP congressional leaders. Americans’ negative views of the Tea Party contrast with their much more balanced views of the Republican Party, measured at 44% favorable and 47% unfavorable in the same April 20-23 USA Today/Gallup poll.

  • Sarah Palin,  Tea Party

    Video: Sarah Palin Delivers Blistering Speech to Wisconsin Tea Party

    Sarah Palin does deliver an excellent speech and this will be her role in the 2012 Presidential season. Palin’s negatives in the polls, especially with independents is too high for 2012 as a candidate, so she will be the political surrogate par excellant.

    I suspect she has a series of speeches blasting President Obama already prepared and is waiting for the right time to deliver them.

    Stay tuned….

  • Barack Obama,  Federal Budget,  Polling,  Tea Party

    Tea Party Maintains Strength During Federal Budget Debate?

    Well, sort of, according to this analysis by Karl Rove.

    But, there is another graph from Pew, after the budget agreement between President Obama and Speaker Boehner.

    The fact is the American people are fed up and want their politicians to work out a deal without the threat of shutting down the government. Americans know it is political theater.

    The public has an overwhelmingly negative reaction to the budget negotiations that narrowly avoided a government shutdown. A weekend survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press and the Washington Post finds that “ridiculous” is the word used most frequently to describe the budget negotiations, followed by “disgusting,” “frustrating,” “messy,” “disappointing” and “stupid.”

    Overall, 69% of respondents use negative terms to describe the budget talks, while just 3% use positive words; 16% use neutral words to characterize their impressions of the negotiations. Large majorities of independents (74%), Democrats (69%) and Republicans (65%) offer negative terms to describe the negotiations.

    So, the LEFT is blaming the Tea Party and the RIGHT is blaming President Obama.

    And, the American people are saying a POX on both of their houses – a lose – lose.

    The House just passed the compromise budget deal 260-167 and so it is on to the Senate where passage is likely. 

    Now, next on the agenda are the federal debt ceiling and this year’s 2011-2012 budget.

  • Day By Day,  Federal Budget,  John Boehner,  Tea Party

    Day by Day April 12, 2011 – The Sun King



    Day By Day by Chris Muir

    The 2010-11 Federal Budget deal between President Obama, Senator Harry Reid and Speaker John Boehner has turned out to be a stinker to Tea Party activists. The deal which averted a government shut down at the last hour last week is not something that conservatives can tout.

    On the night the budget deal was struck to avert a shutdown, I argued that it was a deal that conservatives should be happy about. In light of further details that have emerged, I would no longer make such a statement.

     Today, the Associated Press reports on a new Congressional Budget Office report showing that the deal that purported to slash spending by $38.5 billion for the remainder of the year, really only reduces outlays by a fraction of that amount, and only cuts this year’s deficit by a mere $352 million. If the $38.5 billion was chump change in the context of $14 trillion debt, I wouldn’t even know what to call $352 million. Bread crumbs, maybe?

    It appears that Speaker Boehner’s deal will pass today with the Reppublican majority voting Yes. What will be the most interesting development will be how many Tea Party Representatives defect and vote NO.

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    The Day By Day Archive

  • Barack Obama,  Day By Day,  Tea Party

    Day by Day April 11, 2011 – Fired Up



    Day by Day by Chris Muir

    The Tea Party and Conservative Internet Activists WILL hold the GOP and particularly its leadership accountable. Tea Party candidates were elected with a fiscally conservative agenda and any deviation will mean a primary challenge in 2012.

    Make NO mistake about it.

    The debt ceiling extension will be a major battle for control of this country. The Tea Party WILL take the country back from the Democrats, Progressives and Socialists who have posed this country on the brink of ruin.

    Then, it is on to fire/replace President Obama.

    Previous:

    The Day by Day Archive

  • David Prosser,  Tea Party,  Wisconsin

    Video: The Tea Party and the Wisconsin Supreme Court Race

    State Tea Party Express reminds Wisconsin residents to vote on April 5th. Big union bosses are trying to defeat Justice Prosser and elect their own environmental activist judge. Justice Prosser is fair-minded and principled.

    Political pundits have been wondering if the Tea Party was going to lay down in Wisconsin after the Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker Vs. Democrat Legislators Fleebaggers Flap.

    The ansewr is NO.

  • 9/12,  Tea Party

    Millions Protest Big Government in Washington D.C. Today – 9/12; Update: How Many Protesters?

    Twitpic via Brooks Bayne

    Of course, the New York Times downplays the number of protesters but the crowd is now estimated at 2 million.

    The Wall Street Journal has a piece about the conservative protests.

    And, the Tea Party Express Blog is here.

    Live Video Coverage from Fox News is here.

    A Video summary:

    Update:

    So, how many attended?

    However big it was, it was bigger than expected. From the NYT: “Many came on their own and were not part of an organization or group. But the magnitude of the rally took the authorities by surprise, with throngs of people streaming from the White House to Capitol Hill for more than three hours.”


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